{ "schema_version": "striker-comparison-v1", "built_date": "2026-09-10", "analysis_as_of": "2026-09-09", "performance_cutoff": "complete2025/26 snapshots only; exclude source season>=2026", "horizon": { "target_season": 2026, "label": "2026/27 full domestic league season", "destination": "Juventus / Serie A scenario", "matches": 38, "max_player_minutes": 3420, "not_remaining_season": true }, "status": "Reconstructed summer comparison; current roster/terms checked where sources permit. Not a pre-window forecast or live availability list.", "default_selected": [ "tm:487969", "tm:357498", "tm:533738", "tm:191891", "tm:559328", "tm:610442", "tm:849520" ], "job_scenarios": { "reserve": 900, "rotation": 1800, "starter": 2700 }, "rate_validation": { "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "target_season": 2026, "max_input_season": 2025, "label": "Retrospective rolling-origin diagnostics on previously explored data; not an untouched holdout", "rate_population": "Prior-season recorded CF/SS start; at least 450 Understat minutes in both seasons; canonical unique identity", "overall": { "n": 2396, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.12627988078796817, "rmse_last_season": 0.14075453263749826, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.17134544148509104, "residual_p10": -0.1137366698467017, "residual_p90": 0.17769096897157732 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07685852962777164, "rmse_last_season": 0.08800400726967086, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09765505617310882, "residual_p10": -0.07753382381948688, "residual_p90": 0.102646048755192 } } }, "club_context_changed": { "n": 885, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.13034175700409015, "rmse_last_season": 0.14893102532070324, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.16675477129461583, "residual_p10": -0.12244106764185035, "residual_p90": 0.19104811658701107 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07793159706891407, "rmse_last_season": 0.09096759637859753, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.08974799138333006, "residual_p10": -0.08630741469039602, "residual_p90": 0.09912953135473679 } } }, "league_changed": { "n": 372, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.13965631540607398, "rmse_last_season": 0.16363083415552723, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.1864841392030112, "residual_p10": -0.1328058506651834, "residual_p90": 0.20920482841970697 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.08308085412310402, "rmse_last_season": 0.09667195460247437, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09644064988083151, "residual_p10": -0.0905758064369711, "residual_p90": 0.10567474547811298 } } }, "per_target_season": [ { "target_season": 2018, "n": 304, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.11406074218934713, "rmse_last_season": 0.12405165809789018, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.15942236412614416, "residual_p10": -0.11408081691076005, "residual_p90": 0.16933064275722745 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.06910832211831419, "rmse_last_season": 0.07821107852098, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09262476949030896, "residual_p10": -0.07247735959365831, "residual_p90": 0.09436631380565931 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 0, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": null, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": null }, { "target_season": 2019, "n": 292, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.12841100123804955, "rmse_last_season": 0.13655760048826515, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.17662697636141236, "residual_p10": -0.10631326220267535, "residual_p90": 0.17530074216807 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07400743544719372, "rmse_last_season": 0.08133159899639021, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09455402658056752, "residual_p10": -0.07782541593639619, "residual_p90": 0.10262827477616861 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 304, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.791095890410959, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7636986301369864 }, { "target_season": 2020, "n": 307, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.11672936949722118, "rmse_last_season": 0.14288382856529727, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.16488458469914555, "residual_p10": -0.1215204574800446, "residual_p90": 0.15510077074695866 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07493422652961611, "rmse_last_season": 0.08586457389815282, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09714039388003627, "residual_p10": -0.07766933279812795, "residual_p90": 0.09228702410871627 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 596, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8045602605863192, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8143322475570033 }, { "target_season": 2021, "n": 329, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.11517100736216442, "rmse_last_season": 0.12463117257036727, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.15926480342837102, "residual_p10": -0.10426597714853197, "residual_p90": 0.17188188077681668 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07353306321126205, "rmse_last_season": 0.0849655315993284, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09461154450366938, "residual_p10": -0.07006454114077376, "residual_p90": 0.10253591077916822 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 903, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8115501519756839, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7993920972644377 }, { "target_season": 2022, "n": 331, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.11603154515385927, "rmse_last_season": 0.12976124958664803, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.16021916830872407, "residual_p10": -0.12442784623869846, "residual_p90": 0.18111394869913974 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07543014636534173, "rmse_last_season": 0.09097398538186573, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09877268595758633, "residual_p10": -0.07673249450844734, "residual_p90": 0.10660749567961658 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 1232, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7673716012084593, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7673716012084593 }, { "target_season": 2023, "n": 282, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.14765068726718394, "rmse_last_season": 0.14752686806929766, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.19451743641404506, "residual_p10": -0.09485221922856878, "residual_p90": 0.21720309329065335 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.09690753647977324, "rmse_last_season": 0.10075557635751027, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.11193698639546064, "residual_p10": -0.07282148789128096, "residual_p90": 0.14462174423957824 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 1563, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8156028368794326, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.723404255319149 }, { "target_season": 2024, "n": 263, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.14729781725601643, "rmse_last_season": 0.16771413165646465, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.18817665275069154, "residual_p10": -0.09813357774088341, "residual_p90": 0.19644232525630578 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07348571828862202, "rmse_last_season": 0.09134692344186839, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.0950479992199718, "residual_p10": -0.07172701489245634, "residual_p90": 0.09355415128880641 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 1845, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8022813688212928, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.8479087452471483 }, { "target_season": 2025, "n": 288, "metrics": { "npxg90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.12611609427195872, "rmse_last_season": 0.1543268691901357, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.1701464188294264, "residual_p10": -0.11905490303390569, "residual_p90": 0.17896492780358578 }, "xa90": { "rmse_marcel": 0.07564364359627032, "rmse_last_season": 0.0899448110847138, "rmse_prior_mean": 0.09592684911835567, "residual_p10": -0.09023899224931982, "residual_p90": 0.087768968328287 } }, "calibration_n_earlier_years": 2108, "npxg90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7708333333333334, "xa90_temporal_envelope_coverage": 0.7569444444444444 } ], "uncertainty_label": "Historical central80% residual envelope for observed-rate survivors; not a player-specific calibrated interval", "limitations": [ "Missing next-season Understat history is not zero output.", "Historical CF/SS filter does not mean source npxG was generated only while playing CF.", "Marcel uses prior league/position context; no validated Juventus or league translation.", "Rate and minutes forecasts are not a fitted joint model; their product is an output proxy.", "Age curves and regression settings inherited unchanged; no selection on these diagnostics." ] }, "cost_definition": "Annualized partial commitment proxy = fixed acquisition amount / stated term + one year gross fixed wage. Full-term proxy shown separately. Not cash, complete liability or fair value.", "total_definition": "Rate \u00d7 minutes /90. Generic empirical minutes yields a product-of-means output proxy, not a jointly modeled expectation. Job scenarios are assumptions.", "uncertainty_definition": "Output envelopes combine historical marginal rate/minutes endpoints as stress scenarios, not a calibrated joint probability interval.", "candidates": [ { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1027396", "player_id": null, "name": "Barbero", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Arouca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Arouca", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1904.0, "npxg90": 0.3715336197564581, "xa90": 0.0714134600232629, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1036401", "player_id": null, "name": "Ricardo Pepi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "PSV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "PSV", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1415.0, "npxg90": 0.6254459219349567, "xa90": 0.1412062830301561, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1038058", "player_id": null, "name": "Timoth\u00e9 Nkada", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Standard Li\u00e8ge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Standard Li\u00e8ge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1240.0, "npxg90": 0.2557669378096057, "xa90": 0.0321264667136053, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1044299", "player_id": null, "name": "Hyeon-Gyu Oh", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KRC Genk" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KRC Genk", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1109.0, "npxg90": 0.6191091004312307, "xa90": 0.1207282351845551, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" }, { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Be\u015fikta\u015f", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1085.0, "npxg90": 0.3014460796584731, "xa90": 0.0614608443827123, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1072519", "player_id": null, "name": "Ercan Kara", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SK Rapid Wien" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SK Rapid Wien", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1175.0, "npxg90": 0.4584561672616512, "xa90": 0.0436716153266582, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1075457", "player_id": null, "name": "Chuchu Ram\u00edrez", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "CD Nacional" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "CD Nacional", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2892.0, "npxg90": 0.3663827769489209, "xa90": 0.0329720800842981, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1079216", "player_id": null, "name": "Charles-Andreas Brym", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "NAC Breda" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "NAC Breda", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1505.0, "npxg90": 0.2200425249397556, "xa90": 0.1300410780795785, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1104389", "player_id": null, "name": "David Toshevski", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FCV Dender EH" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FCV Dender EH", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1491.0, "npxg90": 0.332215292832741, "xa90": 0.063969176599917, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1108882", "player_id": null, "name": "Diego Duarte", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "AVS" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "AVS", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1291.0, "npxg90": 0.2308768398719273, "xa90": 0.0579004533340725, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1118178", "player_id": null, "name": "Juan", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "G\u00f6ztepe" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "G\u00f6ztepe", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2588.0, "npxg90": 0.2905490851660232, "xa90": 0.1879177358824834, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1119118", "player_id": null, "name": "Ousmane Diawara", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "CASHPOINT SCR Altach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "CASHPOINT SCR Altach", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1814.0, "npxg90": 0.2535678132497752, "xa90": 0.0749652711992884, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1159237", "player_id": null, "name": "Pau V\u00edctor", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sporting Braga" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sporting Braga", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2269.0, "npxg90": 0.349667264586138, "xa90": 0.1034719495323588, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:116750", "player_id": null, "name": "Ricky van Wolfswinkel", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Twente" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Twente", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1726.0, "npxg90": 0.2445747457263367, "xa90": 0.0679619798516619, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1173031", "player_id": null, "name": "Bruny Nsimba", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FCV Dender EH" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FCV Dender EH", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1816.0, "npxg90": 0.3443986867525766, "xa90": 0.1634788349022604, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1175942", "player_id": null, "name": "Marlon Mustapha", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "CASHPOINT SCR Altach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "CASHPOINT SCR Altach", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1322.0, "npxg90": 0.1704826008714453, "xa90": 0.1143631256226331, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1178330", "player_id": null, "name": "Simon Elisor", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Famalic\u00e3o" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Famalic\u00e3o", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2053.0, "npxg90": 0.2373010126254179, "xa90": 0.0770706173506122, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1178453", "player_id": null, "name": "Romeo Vermant", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Club Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Club Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1317.0, "npxg90": 0.4461047996964161, "xa90": 0.0746967563732338, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1187331", "player_id": null, "name": "Max Dean", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KAA Gent" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KAA Gent", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1177.0, "npxg90": 0.504022933916207, "xa90": 0.1121402305876084, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1188855", "player_id": null, "name": "Samuel Adeniran", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "LASK" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "LASK", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2068.0, "npxg90": 0.3800193368812133, "xa90": 0.0818610580447102, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1190493", "player_id": null, "name": "Alioune Ndoye", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 953.0, "npxg90": 0.3879632679638057, "xa90": 0.0815161258951689, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1207581", "player_id": null, "name": "David Datro Fofana", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 983.0, "npxg90": 0.3000488286100836, "xa90": 0.0568678026160534, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1227326", "player_id": null, "name": "Pablo", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gil Vicente" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gil Vicente", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 955.0, "npxg90": 0.308506793376663, "xa90": 0.0680597870761811, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1231904", "player_id": null, "name": "Elias Havel", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "TSV Prolactal Hartberg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "TSV Prolactal Hartberg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2311.0, "npxg90": 0.4254456801313386, "xa90": 0.0555363847470706, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1233202", "player_id": null, "name": "Seedy Jatta", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1816.0, "npxg90": 0.331146482066436, "xa90": 0.0452504154409606, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1236382", "player_id": null, "name": "Ademola Ola-Adebomi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "WSG Swarovski Tirol" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "WSG Swarovski Tirol", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1316.0, "npxg90": 0.2453320751980083, "xa90": 0.0975252339180479, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1250495", "player_id": null, "name": "Lequincio Zeefuik", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Heracles Almelo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Heracles Almelo", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1168.0, "npxg90": 0.3090976199058637, "xa90": 0.054644543218286, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1252132", "player_id": null, "name": "Promise David", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Union Saint-Gilloise" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Union Saint-Gilloise", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1493.0, "npxg90": 0.693632919199101, "xa90": 0.0627982632393654, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1257631", "player_id": null, "name": "Angelo Gattermayer", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RZ Pellets WAC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RZ Pellets WAC", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1730.0, "npxg90": 0.1682947922304186, "xa90": 0.0813852138601975, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1257872", "player_id": null, "name": "Mohamed Berte", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FCV Dender EH" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FCV Dender EH", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 951.0, "npxg90": 0.1666466840058095, "xa90": 0.0875672256156849, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1267102", "player_id": null, "name": "Felipe Augusto", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Trabzonspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Trabzonspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2202.0, "npxg90": 0.3473583164267059, "xa90": 0.056594926914662, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1267276", "player_id": null, "name": "Anosike Ementa", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Zulte Waregem" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SV Zulte Waregem", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2616.0, "npxg90": 0.2535997618229017, "xa90": 0.1298376282147311, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1279914", "player_id": null, "name": "Tiago \u00c7ukur", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1536.0, "npxg90": 0.177931641228497, "xa90": 0.0764533155597746, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1284376", "player_id": null, "name": "Marezi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Alverca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Alverca", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1535.0, "npxg90": 0.3093889342068849, "xa90": 0.0241741155568473, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1290479", "player_id": null, "name": "Clayton", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Rio Ave" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Rio Ave", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1600.0, "npxg90": 0.2625412434339523, "xa90": 0.1088496811687946, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1290727", "player_id": null, "name": "Srdjan Hrstic", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "CASHPOINT SCR Altach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "CASHPOINT SCR Altach", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1085.0, "npxg90": 0.3903013704009869, "xa90": 0.0398665866406831, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1291881", "player_id": null, "name": "Milan Zonneveld", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sparta Rotterdam" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sparta Rotterdam", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1080.0, "npxg90": 0.6768750349680583, "xa90": 0.0512750546137491, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1293688", "player_id": null, "name": "Karim Konat\u00e9", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Red Bull Salzburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Red Bull Salzburg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 948.0, "npxg90": 0.677544285979452, "xa90": 0.0934055586687371, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1302821", "player_id": null, "name": "Petar Ratkov", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Red Bull Salzburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Red Bull Salzburg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1129.0, "npxg90": 0.4777971678227846, "xa90": 0.0439556089516125, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1334552", "player_id": null, "name": "Nicol\u00f2 Tresoldi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Club Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Club Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2500.0, "npxg90": 0.5977475910186767, "xa90": 0.1341724977493286, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1342756", "player_id": null, "name": "Lu\u00eds Semedo", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Moreirense" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Moreirense", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 989.0, "npxg90": 0.233681491219238, "xa90": 0.023419731065887, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1350681", "player_id": null, "name": "Dylan Nand\u00edn", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Arouca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Arouca", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 921.0, "npxg90": 0.2423061843027121, "xa90": 0.0919457813815884, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1353053", "player_id": null, "name": "Milan Smit", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Go Ahead Eagles" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Go Ahead Eagles", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1362.0, "npxg90": 0.1910286432846002, "xa90": 0.0809194653044713, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1355089", "player_id": null, "name": "Oluwaseun Adewumi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Cercle Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Cercle Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1585.0, "npxg90": 0.4419085325126768, "xa90": 0.0600348731579276, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1359465", "player_id": null, "name": "Luka Kulenovic", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Heracles Almelo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Heracles Almelo", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1625.0, "npxg90": 0.3266695404052734, "xa90": 0.0650775212507981, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1366348", "player_id": null, "name": "Moses Usor", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "LASK" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "LASK", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2273.0, "npxg90": 0.3941905021247914, "xa90": 0.219392283498795, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1370090", "player_id": null, "name": "Sem van Duijn", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Telstar" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Telstar", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1013.0, "npxg90": 0.3993139332868269, "xa90": 0.1635257736480954, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1382019", "player_id": null, "name": "Nacho Ferri", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KVC Westerlo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KVC Westerlo", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2910.0, "npxg90": 0.5010340336671809, "xa90": 0.0742950384149846, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1385273", "player_id": null, "name": "Peter Kiedl", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Guntamatic Ried" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SV Guntamatic Ried", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 919.0, "npxg90": 0.497879195103059, "xa90": 0.0735971317003289, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1393483", "player_id": null, "name": "Steve Ngoura", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Cercle Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Cercle Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2091.0, "npxg90": 0.3177030014683903, "xa90": 0.0993432681820485, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1393510", "player_id": null, "name": "Gustavo Silva", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1466.0, "npxg90": 0.32113300339099, "xa90": 0.0607303167105046, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1406300", "player_id": null, "name": "Deniz G\u00fcl", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Porto" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Porto", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1170.0, "npxg90": 0.3765384600712703, "xa90": 0.089398063146151, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1412105", "player_id": null, "name": "Thom van Bergen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Groningen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Groningen", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2977.0, "npxg90": 0.5189949640460491, "xa90": 0.0927694956248023, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1421270", "player_id": null, "name": "Kevin Rodr\u00edguez", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Union Saint-Gilloise" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Union Saint-Gilloise", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1825.0, "npxg90": 0.4254361622954068, "xa90": 0.1401615642521479, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1436730", "player_id": null, "name": "Keisuke Goto", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sint-Truidense VV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sint-Truidense VV", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2885.0, "npxg90": 0.3697237530448821, "xa90": 0.1341832153098835, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1451116", "player_id": null, "name": "Soufiane Hetli", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Telstar" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Telstar", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1618.0, "npxg90": 0.2646433850301358, "xa90": 0.0876861405461032, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1463351", "player_id": null, "name": "Janderson", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "G\u00f6ztepe" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "G\u00f6ztepe", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2472.0, "npxg90": 0.2885097033769181, "xa90": 0.1119115948677063, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1463600", "player_id": null, "name": "Aaron Bibout", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KRC Genk" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KRC Genk", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1165.0, "npxg90": 0.625689273484275, "xa90": 0.0609784863745322, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:147594", "player_id": null, "name": "Bryan Linssen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "N.E.C." ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "N.E.C.", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2251.0, "npxg90": 0.4775957338866103, "xa90": 0.160928518175814, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1480699", "player_id": null, "name": "Mihajlo Cvetkovic", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RSC Anderlecht" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RSC Anderlecht", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1625.0, "npxg90": 0.4197655325669508, "xa90": 0.0554917386861947, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1498718", "player_id": null, "name": "Kingstone Mutandwa", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Guntamatic Ried" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SV Guntamatic Ried", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2139.0, "npxg90": 0.4608429230613762, "xa90": 0.0408293129183968, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1506829", "player_id": null, "name": "Raul Florucz", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Union Saint-Gilloise" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Union Saint-Gilloise", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1214.0, "npxg90": 0.3904472772627332, "xa90": 0.1382000020151279, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1514694", "player_id": null, "name": "Alexander Hofleitner", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Grazer AK 1902" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Grazer AK 1902", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1343.0, "npxg90": 0.2906939704650743, "xa90": 0.0935774433550689, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1560046", "player_id": null, "name": "Robin Mirisola", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KRC Genk" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KRC Genk", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1299.0, "npxg90": 0.448794448038447, "xa90": 0.0458030091215776, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:156556", "player_id": null, "name": "N\u00e9lson Oliveira", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1314.0, "npxg90": 0.1916643854689924, "xa90": 0.0239157186795587, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1585676", "player_id": null, "name": "Gustavo Varela", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gil Vicente" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gil Vicente", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1521.0, "npxg90": 0.3954615395450027, "xa90": 0.0303400797251413, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1595632", "player_id": null, "name": "Pape Moussa Fall", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RAAL La Louvi\u00e8re" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RAAL La Louvi\u00e8re", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1771.0, "npxg90": 0.5367069524402069, "xa90": 0.0792478304303749, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1611573", "player_id": null, "name": "Jalen Blesa", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Rio Ave" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Rio Ave", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1077.0, "npxg90": 0.3545933115117065, "xa90": 0.0962498626337078, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1663164", "player_id": null, "name": "Marco Hoffmann", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "TSV Prolactal Hartberg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "TSV Prolactal Hartberg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1879.0, "npxg90": 0.1874385300692628, "xa90": 0.0653645800681365, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1664568", "player_id": null, "name": "Erik Kojzek", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RZ Pellets WAC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RZ Pellets WAC", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 999.0, "npxg90": 0.1248468472076965, "xa90": 0.0571244324112797, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1666324", "player_id": null, "name": "Hyllarion Goore", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KAA Gent" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KAA Gent", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1427.0, "npxg90": 0.3295311847598551, "xa90": 0.1446672870967466, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1667713", "player_id": null, "name": "Jerolldino Bergraaf", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Excelsior" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Excelsior", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1046.0, "npxg90": 0.1094196961897053, "xa90": 0.0212946176585914, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1667728", "player_id": null, "name": "Ramiz Harakate", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Grazer AK 1902" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Grazer AK 1902", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2401.0, "npxg90": 0.3028663105390708, "xa90": 0.1058269465580328, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:167119", "player_id": null, "name": "Markus Pink", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RZ Pellets WAC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RZ Pellets WAC", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1255.0, "npxg90": 0.365199218233268, "xa90": 0.0219812179466642, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1695011", "player_id": null, "name": "Jerry Afriyie", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RAAL La Louvi\u00e8re" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RAAL La Louvi\u00e8re", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2497.0, "npxg90": 0.2757236770882719, "xa90": 0.0836168745779542, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1712589", "player_id": null, "name": "Bouke Boersma", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Mechelen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Mechelen", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1325.0, "npxg90": 0.2255298020704737, "xa90": 0.076950533097645, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:1718174", "player_id": null, "name": "Uchenna Ogundu", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Alanyaspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Alanyaspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 986.0, "npxg90": 0.3172819537033173, "xa90": 0.0771041078451439, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:184360", "player_id": null, "name": "Andreas Weimann", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SK Rapid Wien" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SK Rapid Wien", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1219.0, "npxg90": 0.2108835108070905, "xa90": 0.0534565235817403, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:212695", "player_id": null, "name": "Toman\u00e9", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "AVS" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "AVS", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2024.0, "npxg90": 0.1732766816738566, "xa90": 0.0517967637819734, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:253121", "player_id": null, "name": "Paul Gladon", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fortuna Sittard" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fortuna Sittard", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 967.0, "npxg90": 0.4834777887259546, "xa90": 0.0337835819669445, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:298923", "player_id": null, "name": "Alexandru Maxim", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gazisehir Gaziantep" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gazisehir Gaziantep", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2692.0, "npxg90": 0.081361068127591, "xa90": 0.2373266840051932, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:299358", "player_id": null, "name": "Mame Baba Thiam", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Ey\u00fcpspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Ey\u00fcpspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1182.0, "npxg90": 0.2505837479218614, "xa90": 0.1805472131913083, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:304668", "player_id": null, "name": "Sander van de Streek", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Antalyaspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Antalyaspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2347.0, "npxg90": 0.235330632863575, "xa90": 0.0938602828654422, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:317267", "player_id": null, "name": "Serdar Dursun", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Kocaelispor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Kocaelispor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1526.0, "npxg90": 0.2800911000952965, "xa90": 0.0432287021826947, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:318809", "player_id": null, "name": "Sam Larsson", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1567.0, "npxg90": 0.1814243849782937, "xa90": 0.1641579015131733, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:352358", "player_id": null, "name": "Brandley Kuwas", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Volendam" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Volendam", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2024.0, "npxg90": 0.1495049416783299, "xa90": 0.1464947716520709, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:387525", "player_id": null, "name": "Cassiano", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Casa Pia AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Casa Pia AC", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1883.0, "npxg90": 0.210513005026211, "xa90": 0.0395025544766726, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:408780", "player_id": null, "name": "Henk Veerman", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Volendam" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Volendam", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1696.0, "npxg90": 0.3240371397081411, "xa90": 0.0494429964642479, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:411605", "player_id": null, "name": "Mehmet Umut Nayir", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Trabzonspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Trabzonspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2057.0, "npxg90": 0.2908308203497383, "xa90": 0.0989763552434362, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:424875", "player_id": null, "name": "Bruno Petkovic", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Kocaelispor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Kocaelispor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1337.0, "npxg90": 0.2556013347679942, "xa90": 0.0523112046691848, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:429945", "player_id": null, "name": "Ronivaldo", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Blau Wei\u00df Linz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Blau Wei\u00df Linz", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1577.0, "npxg90": 0.3239714713813235, "xa90": 0.1112141655303287, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:447367", "player_id": null, "name": "Ali Sowe", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Caykur Rizespor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Caykur Rizespor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2289.0, "npxg90": 0.5478990937279218, "xa90": 0.0214642880003542, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:459138", "player_id": null, "name": "Daniel Maderner", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Grazer AK 1902" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Grazer AK 1902", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1350.0, "npxg90": 0.2905466715494791, "xa90": 0.0389383221045136, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:467022", "player_id": null, "name": "Vincent Janssen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Royal Antwerp" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Royal Antwerp", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 3088.0, "npxg90": 0.286732194800451, "xa90": 0.1006986177647052, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:477205", "player_id": null, "name": "Sandro Lima", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Alverca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Alverca", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1426.0, "npxg90": 0.2729284679739204, "xa90": 0.0664370608363211, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:519134", "player_id": null, "name": "Gyrano Kerk", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Royal Antwerp" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Royal Antwerp", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2095.0, "npxg90": 0.208344624548937, "xa90": 0.1308334698825007, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:520348", "player_id": null, "name": "Donis Avdijaj", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "RZ Pellets WAC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "RZ Pellets WAC", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 907.0, "npxg90": 0.1525237062142991, "xa90": 0.1842157297912479, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:630278", "player_id": null, "name": "Tobias Lauritsen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sparta Rotterdam" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sparta Rotterdam", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 3042.0, "npxg90": 0.2473254457733334, "xa90": 0.1043129249437321, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:637749", "player_id": null, "name": "Vangelis Pavlidis", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Benfica" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Benfica", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2667.0, "npxg90": 0.4384859447672343, "xa90": 0.0978183907250317, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:658222", "player_id": null, "name": "Victor Edvardsen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Go Ahead Eagles" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Go Ahead Eagles", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1998.0, "npxg90": 0.1793288325404261, "xa90": 0.2057048651549193, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:667962", "player_id": null, "name": "Rodrigo Pinho", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Estrela" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Estrela", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1185.0, "npxg90": 0.3877670795102662, "xa90": 0.0572151805781111, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:671855", "player_id": null, "name": "Fran Navarro", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sporting Braga" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sporting Braga", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1275.0, "npxg90": 0.3562305787030388, "xa90": 0.0206353299758013, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:690411", "player_id": null, "name": "S\u00e9kou Koita", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gen\u00e7lerbirli\u011fi" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gen\u00e7lerbirli\u011fi", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1732.0, "npxg90": 0.2467309437502889, "xa90": 0.052134424929806, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:693675", "player_id": null, "name": "Dante Vanzeir", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Cercle Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Cercle Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 950.0, "npxg90": 0.1763336890622189, "xa90": 0.1235966487934715, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:727837", "player_id": null, "name": "Koki Ogawa", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "N.E.C." ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "N.E.C.", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1272.0, "npxg90": 0.482242928360993, "xa90": 0.1061702421251332, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:750026", "player_id": null, "name": "Dylan Vente", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "sc Heerenveen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "sc Heerenveen", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2126.0, "npxg90": 0.3804891780088897, "xa90": 0.0724561698909985, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:765229", "player_id": null, "name": "Mark Grosse", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Grazer AK 1902" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Grazer AK 1902", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1222.0, "npxg90": 0.1826071997711194, "xa90": 0.1685187959534446, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:774947", "player_id": null, "name": "Guus Til", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "PSV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "PSV", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2248.0, "npxg90": 0.39405426520894, "xa90": 0.1934953219525754, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:782561", "player_id": null, "name": "Koen Kostons", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "PEC Zwolle" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "PEC Zwolle", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2887.0, "npxg90": 0.3491513622562737, "xa90": 0.1183698100534986, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:791915", "player_id": null, "name": "Umut Bozok", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Ey\u00fcpspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Ey\u00fcpspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2099.0, "npxg90": 0.2297808364097591, "xa90": 0.0826345329457319, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:797896", "player_id": null, "name": "Guilherme Schettine", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Moreirense" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Moreirense", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 994.0, "npxg90": 0.625952719682659, "xa90": 0.0244574260783627, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:813429", "player_id": null, "name": "Kaj Sierhuis", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fortuna Sittard" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fortuna Sittard", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1997.0, "npxg90": 0.4265513155062794, "xa90": 0.0673428033075156, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:819972", "player_id": null, "name": "Cherif Ndiaye", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Samsunspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Samsunspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1421.0, "npxg90": 0.3428106992534984, "xa90": 0.0689668306408425, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:822026", "player_id": null, "name": "Sory Kaba", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Oud-Heverlee Leuven" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Oud-Heverlee Leuven", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1595.0, "npxg90": 0.2588388774088557, "xa90": 0.0884976652348676, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:824191", "player_id": null, "name": "Lukas Fridrikas", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "TSV Prolactal Hartberg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "TSV Prolactal Hartberg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 995.0, "npxg90": 0.2435698479264225, "xa90": 0.0668866734708373, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:846963", "player_id": null, "name": "Aur\u00e9lien Scheidler", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sporting de Charleroi" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sporting de Charleroi", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 3266.0, "npxg90": 0.321974571103051, "xa90": 0.0758919099759851, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:848568", "player_id": null, "name": "Pape Gu\u00e8ye", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Kas\u0131mpa\u015fa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Kas\u0131mpa\u015fa", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1551.0, "npxg90": 0.2419497104401284, "xa90": 0.0362378681651397, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:866165", "player_id": null, "name": "Lion Lauberbach", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Mechelen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Mechelen", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1872.0, "npxg90": 0.4335240217355581, "xa90": 0.0451959010500174, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:875305", "player_id": null, "name": "Denis Dragus", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gazisehir Gaziantep" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gazisehir Gaziantep", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1202.0, "npxg90": 0.1717262855187033, "xa90": 0.1021994023077103, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:889153", "player_id": null, "name": "German Onugkha", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Kayserispor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Kayserispor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1889.0, "npxg90": 0.4260158740761041, "xa90": 0.0440531091881909, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:891748", "player_id": null, "name": "Serginho", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2195.0, "npxg90": 0.2864952130849921, "xa90": 0.072420581869764, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:892709", "player_id": null, "name": "Dennis Eckert", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Standard Li\u00e8ge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Standard Li\u00e8ge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1987.0, "npxg90": 0.2039743309712134, "xa90": 0.0753146769956061, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:905457", "player_id": null, "name": "Jizz Hornkamp", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "AZ" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "AZ", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1345.0, "npxg90": 0.4994564978163482, "xa90": 0.1249377346393344, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:920861", "player_id": null, "name": "Adrian Benedyczak", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Kas\u0131mpa\u015fa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Kas\u0131mpa\u015fa", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1165.0, "npxg90": 0.3521124426387411, "xa90": 0.0527695361125111, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:929835", "player_id": null, "name": "Alejandro Marqu\u00e9s", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Estoril Praia" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Estoril Praia", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1145.0, "npxg90": 0.4363624331211939, "xa90": 0.0304476379307076, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:933639", "player_id": null, "name": "Yanis Begraoui", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Estoril Praia" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Estoril Praia", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2726.0, "npxg90": 0.3000043895606686, "xa90": 0.0595487043075673, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:934742", "player_id": null, "name": "Maurice Malone", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1914.0, "npxg90": 0.397500001524683, "xa90": 0.0641320421591074, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:937032", "player_id": null, "name": "Brynj\u00f3lfur Willumsson", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Groningen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Groningen", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1208.0, "npxg90": 0.4509536201590733, "xa90": 0.0412447010444489, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:938682", "player_id": null, "name": "Jackson Muleka", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Konyaspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Konyaspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2230.0, "npxg90": 0.2890816076988596, "xa90": 0.0577614601417507, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:940453", "player_id": null, "name": "Yorbe Vertessen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Red Bull Salzburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Red Bull Salzburg", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1529.0, "npxg90": 0.3928214564987692, "xa90": 0.1400874193545803, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:942365", "player_id": null, "name": "Troy Parrott", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "AZ" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "AZ", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2206.0, "npxg90": 0.5505666317771158, "xa90": 0.1358112971132059, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:942393", "player_id": null, "name": "Ayase Ueda", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Feyenoord" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Feyenoord", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 2533.0, "npxg90": 0.6438642126084128, "xa90": 0.0592548236327353, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:943386", "player_id": null, "name": "Wendel", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Santa Clara" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Santa Clara", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 917.0, "npxg90": 0.1343914947696964, "xa90": 0.0503435012688423, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:949481", "player_id": null, "name": "Sydney van Hooijdonk", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "NAC Breda" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "NAC Breda", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1200.0, "npxg90": 0.276990008354187, "xa90": 0.0801488488912582, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:950417", "player_id": null, "name": "G\u00fcven Yalcin", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Alanyaspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Alanyaspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 996.0, "npxg90": 0.2832198789320796, "xa90": 0.0455609394843319, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:953517", "player_id": null, "name": "Marius Mouandilmadji", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Samsunspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Samsunspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2048.0, "npxg90": 0.3799204062670469, "xa90": 0.0756922684377059, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "fotmob:957181", "player_id": null, "name": "Kikas", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Estrela" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "unresolved source-native FotMob ID", "review_status": "no_canonical_identity" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Estrela", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1212.0, "npxg90": 0.3369356618069186, "xa90": 0.0350386413312194, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "strategy:defer", "player_id": null, "name": "Defer external recruitment", "kind": "strategy", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "Explicit strategy scenario", "cf_ss_starts": null, "starting_position_counts": {} }, "inclusion_reason": "No new acquisition fee assumed; existing squad coverage, wages and football output remain unpriced.", "prior_clubs": [], "prior_competitions": [], "identity": { "review_status": "strategy_not_player" }, "availability": "No new acquisition fee assumed; existing squad coverage, wages and football output remain unpriced.", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "requires_named_player_or_squad_scenario", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" } }, { "candidate_id": "strategy:development", "player_id": null, "name": "Internal development place", "kind": "strategy", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "Explicit strategy scenario", "cf_ss_starts": null, "starting_position_counts": {} }, "inclusion_reason": "Identify a specific academy player before estimating ability or incremental contract cost.", "prior_clubs": [], "prior_competitions": [], "identity": { "review_status": "strategy_not_player" }, "availability": "Identify a specific academy player before estimating ability or incremental contract cost.", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "requires_named_player_or_squad_scenario", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": -1, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" } }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1000135", "player_id": 1000135, "name": "Joselu P\u00e9rez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13790", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1000135, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 20.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 20.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1000135, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1000675", "player_id": 1000675, "name": "Alejo Sarco", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13505", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13505", "name": "Alejo Sarco", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen,Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 107, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 54, "npxg90": 0.1823, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xa90": 0.1555, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xgchain90": 0.5794, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xgbuildup90": 0.3339, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.9, "player_id": 1000675, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 107.0, "npxg90": 0.35424882946448905, "xa90": 0.21073773277000848, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen,Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0685633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.35999096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07796617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.258146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1000675, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 121.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 121.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1000675, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1004479", "player_id": 1004479, "name": "Zoumana Diallo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14242", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1004479, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 9.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 9.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1004479, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1004679", "player_id": 1004679, "name": "Zach Marsh", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1004679, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1004679, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1004834", "player_id": 1004834, "name": "George Ilenikhena", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AS Monaco" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12804", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12804", "name": "George Ilenikhena", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Monaco", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1015, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 340, "npxg90": 0.4007, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xa90": 0.1462, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xgchain90": 0.645, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xgbuildup90": 0.1895, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.586, "player_id": 1004834, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 672.0, "npxg90": 0.6445944966981187, "xa90": 0.18161168937305255, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 343.0, "npxg90": 0.3313749506200715, "xa90": 0.059526682052077076, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28696333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5783909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.06866617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.248846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1004834, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 486.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1620.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 376.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 486.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1004834, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1005165", "player_id": 1005165, "name": "Giovane", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17, "Second Striker": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona", "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13961", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13961", "name": "Giovane", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli,Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1873, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 936, "npxg90": 0.237, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xa90": 0.191, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xgchain90": 0.4615, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xgbuildup90": 0.1385, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.339, "player_id": 1005165, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1873.0, "npxg90": 0.2051463702796012, "xa90": 0.20937892635692523, "clubs": "Napoli,Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1232633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4146909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11346617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.293646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1005165, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1872.0, "empirical_lo80": 501.45, "empirical_hi80": 3006.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1872.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1872.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1005165, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1008570", "player_id": 1008570, "name": "Mattia Mosconi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14156", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1008570, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 25.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 25.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1008570, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1010856", "player_id": 1010856, "name": "Ryan Rodin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14081", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1010856, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 23.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 23.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1010856, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1011131", "player_id": 1011131, "name": "Josh King", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.06666666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 14, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Fulham FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12410", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12410", "name": "Joshua King", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Fulham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1421, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 682, "npxg90": 0.3063, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.413, "xa90": 0.1202, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.413, "xgchain90": 0.5089, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.413, "xgbuildup90": 0.1928, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.413, "player_id": 1011131, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 115.0, "npxg90": 0.46019415460203006, "xa90": 0.5894467778827833, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1306.0, "npxg90": 0.26184122473184035, "xa90": 0.07163919791562132, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19256333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48399096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04266617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22284604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1011131, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 911.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1822.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1304.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 911.666667, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.066667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1011131, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1011936", "player_id": 1011936, "name": "Kaye Furo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brentford FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14356", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1011936, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1011936, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1012564", "player_id": 1012564, "name": "Rayan", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 12, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14395", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14395", "name": "Rayan", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1146, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 573, "npxg90": 0.1744, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.456, "xa90": 0.1847, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.456, "xgchain90": 0.4867, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.456, "xgbuildup90": 0.2593, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.456, "player_id": 1012564, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1146.0, "npxg90": 0.20956104153191857, "xa90": 0.21823851737871533, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.060663330153298306, "npxg90_high": 0.3520909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10716617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.287346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1012564, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1120.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1120.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1012564, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1018259", "player_id": 1018259, "name": "Gift Orban", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 23, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 23 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12367", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12367", "name": "Gift Orban", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3379, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1358, "npxg90": 0.4167, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xa90": 0.1041, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgchain90": 0.6176, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgbuildup90": 0.1567, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.261, "player_id": 1018259, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 465.0, "npxg90": 0.25177936183829464, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 859.0, "npxg90": 0.4964405217352166, "xa90": 0.017936130838167263, "clubs": "Hoffenheim; Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2055.0, "npxg90": 0.4694940491042433, "xa90": 0.11081880283453603, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.30296333015329835, "npxg90_high": 0.5943909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.026566176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.20674604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1018259, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1356.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2490.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2038.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1356.25, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1018259, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1033005", "player_id": 1033005, "name": "Coba da Costa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13047", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13047", "name": "Coba da Costa", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1321, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 410, "npxg90": 0.0972, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.539, "xa90": 0.0981, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.539, "xgchain90": 0.3642, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.539, "xgbuildup90": 0.2251, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.539, "player_id": 1033005, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1003.0, "npxg90": 0.12844266982773245, "xa90": 0.1459069492282385, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 318.0, "npxg90": 0.06632429547607899, "xa90": 0.024054627030877008, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.27489096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.020566176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.200746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1033005, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 339.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 562.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1033005, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1035156", "player_id": 1035156, "name": "Diego Morcillo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14116", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1035156, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 9.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 9.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1035156, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1035765", "player_id": 1035765, "name": "Ilyas Ansah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.30434782608695654, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 8, "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13866", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13866", "name": "Ilyas Ansah", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1960, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 980, "npxg90": 0.236, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.329, "xa90": 0.1043, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.329, "xgchain90": 0.414, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.329, "xgbuildup90": 0.1654, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.329, "player_id": 1035765, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1960.0, "npxg90": 0.1756844439363221, "xa90": 0.06990359313025767, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1222633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4136909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02676617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.206946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1035765, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1903.0, "empirical_lo80": 495.05, "empirical_hi80": 2813.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1903.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1903.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.304348, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1035765, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1038950", "player_id": 1038950, "name": "Karl Etta Eyong", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Levante UD", "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10930", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10930", "name": "Etta Eyong", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Levante,Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1657, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 828, "npxg90": 0.4645, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xa90": 0.1595, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xgchain90": 0.6255, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xgbuildup90": 0.1487, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.367, "player_id": 1038950, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1657.0, "npxg90": 0.558210178387987, "xa90": 0.15328580175240356, "clubs": "Levante,Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3507633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6421909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08196617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.262146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1038950, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 847.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1981.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1668.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 847.25, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1038950, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1040080", "player_id": 1040080, "name": "Tommaso Gabellini", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13164", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1040080, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1040080, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1041600", "player_id": 1041600, "name": "James Wilson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1041600, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1041600, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1042472", "player_id": 1042472, "name": "Salim Musah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14481", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14481", "name": "Salim Musah", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 182, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 91, "npxg90": 0.3435, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xa90": 0.1689, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xgchain90": 0.6116, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xgbuildup90": 0.2039, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.841, "player_id": 1042472, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 182.0, "npxg90": 0.2326947796557631, "xa90": 0.12508082357081737, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22976333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5211909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.09136617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.271546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1042472, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 197.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1331.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 197.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 197.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1042472, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1042886", "player_id": 1042886, "name": "Chido Obi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1042886, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1042886, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1045243", "player_id": 1045243, "name": "Alexander Staff", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1045243, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1045243, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1045446", "player_id": 1045446, "name": "Dmytro Bogdanov", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14109", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1045446, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 5.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 5.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1045446, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1047280", "player_id": 1047280, "name": "Divine Mukasa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14055", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1047280, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 25.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 25.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1047280, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1052439", "player_id": 1052439, "name": "Kendry P\u00e1ez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13818", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13818", "name": "Kendry P\u00e1ez", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 411, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 206, "npxg90": 0.3063, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.7, "xa90": 0.1467, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.7, "xgchain90": 0.557, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.7, "xgbuildup90": 0.2092, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.7, "player_id": 1052439, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 411.0, "npxg90": 0.23655293740495278, "xa90": 0.09806618692666075, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19256333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48399096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.06916617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.249346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1052439, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 420.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1330.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 420.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 420.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1052439, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1054934", "player_id": 1054934, "name": "Maroan Sannadi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13417", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13417", "name": "Maroan Sannadi", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1011, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 320, "npxg90": 0.3254, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.6, "xa90": 0.1682, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.6, "xgchain90": 0.5767, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.6, "xgbuildup90": 0.1703, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.6, "player_id": 1054934, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 743.0, "npxg90": 0.39399480655247876, "xa90": 0.14600429756624542, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 268.0, "npxg90": 0.3375368143445743, "xa90": 0.19756576630161768, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.21166333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5030909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0906661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.27084604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1054934, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 438.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1572.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 281.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 438.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1054934, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:105521", "player_id": 105521, "name": "Ciro Immobile", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bologna Football Club 1909", "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1209", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1209", "name": "Ciro Immobile", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Bologna; Paris FC", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 36.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2596, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 879, "npxg90": 0.21, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xa90": 0.1071, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xgchain90": 0.3869, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xgbuildup90": 0.1349, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.353, "player_id": 105521, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1675.0, "npxg90": 0.4225371893662125, "xa90": 0.11944823603131878, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 921.0, "npxg90": 0.23411753086876794, "xa90": 0.19229586572911142, "clubs": "Bologna; Paris FC", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0962633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3876909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.029566176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.20974604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 105521, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1153.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2287.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 902.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1153.333333, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 105521, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1056970", "player_id": 1056970, "name": "Asier Hierro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14183", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1056970, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 33.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 33.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1056970, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1058359", "player_id": 1058359, "name": "Samuele In\u00e1cio", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14421", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14421", "name": "Samuele In\u00e1cio", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia Dortmund", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 371, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 186, "npxg90": 0.2676, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.721, "xa90": 0.1774, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.721, "xgchain90": 0.664, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.721, "xgbuildup90": 0.3588, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.721, "player_id": 1058359, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 371.0, "npxg90": 0.4867950250517647, "xa90": 0.2227364384099801, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1538633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.44529096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.09986617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.280046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1058359, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 383.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 383.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1058359, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1058368", "player_id": 1058368, "name": "Francesco Camarda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12218", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12218", "name": "Francesco Camarda", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 865, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 384, "npxg90": 0.2809, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.556, "xa90": 0.1282, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.556, "xgchain90": 0.4413, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.556, "xgbuildup90": 0.1659, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.556, "player_id": 1058368, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 194.0, "npxg90": 0.24217004148462384, "xa90": 0.13050046355761202, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 671.0, "npxg90": 0.21684027600328365, "xa90": 0.07865118393022151, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1671633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4585909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.050666176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.230846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1058368, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 392.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1526.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 679.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 392.25, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1058368, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1058520", "player_id": 1058520, "name": "Otto Stange", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13928", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13928", "name": "Otto Stange", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 275, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 138, "npxg90": 0.3385, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.777, "xa90": 0.1479, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.777, "xgchain90": 0.571, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.777, "xgbuildup90": 0.1905, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.777, "player_id": 1058520, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 275.0, "npxg90": 0.2163936971263452, "xa90": 0.034013104709711944, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22476333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5161909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07036617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.250546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1058520, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 288.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1422.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 288.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 288.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1058520, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1060087", "player_id": 1060087, "name": "Charalampos Kostoulas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brighton & Hove Albion" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14118", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14118", "name": "Charalampos Kostoulas", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brighton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 309, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 154, "npxg90": 0.4321, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.757, "xa90": 0.2141, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.757, "xgchain90": 0.6983, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.757, "xgbuildup90": 0.1853, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.757, "player_id": 1060087, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 309.0, "npxg90": 0.6573738946208676, "xa90": 0.37283427723981805, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3183633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6097909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13656617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.316746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1060087, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 353.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1487.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 353.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 353.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1060087, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1060657", "player_id": 1060657, "name": "Juan Piera", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1060657, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1060657, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1061122", "player_id": 1061122, "name": "Adri\u00e1n Liso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.5714285714285714, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12, "Left Winger": 4, "Right Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13789", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13789", "name": "Adri\u00e1n Liso", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1725, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 862, "npxg90": 0.204, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.358, "xa90": 0.0656, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.358, "xgchain90": 0.3091, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.358, "xgbuildup90": 0.0865, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.358, "player_id": 1061122, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1725.0, "npxg90": 0.14385382445610087, "xa90": 0.007866646543793057, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0902633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3816909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.168246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1061122, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1712.0, "empirical_lo80": 341.45, "empirical_hi80": 2846.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1712.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1712.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.571429, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1061122, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1061285", "player_id": 1061285, "name": "Rodrigo Marina", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1061285, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1061285, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1063338", "player_id": 1063338, "name": "Carlos Esp\u00ed", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Levante UD" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13769", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13769", "name": "Carlos Esp\u00ed", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Levante", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1328, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 664, "npxg90": 0.531, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xa90": 0.0986, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xgchain90": 0.6128, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xgbuildup90": 0.1031, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.42, "player_id": 1063338, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1328.0, "npxg90": 0.6698921278500594, "xa90": 0.04675700601347419, "clubs": "Levante", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4172633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7086909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.02106617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.20124604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1063338, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1339.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2473.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1339.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1339.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1063338, "player": "C. Esp\u00ed", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 5000000.0, "base": 5000000.0, "high": 5000000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 3572000.0, "base": 4803000.0, "high": 7071000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 8572000.0, "base": 9803000.0, "high": 12071000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 42860000.0, "base": 49015000.0, "high": 60355000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/es/la-liga/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1063553", "player_id": 1063553, "name": "Pau Cabanes", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1063553, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 15.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 123.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1063553, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1063598", "player_id": 1063598, "name": "Gorka Carrera", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14208", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1063598, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 59.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 59.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1063598, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1064506", "player_id": 1064506, "name": "Adam Boayar", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1064506, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 98.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 98.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1064506, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1064538", "player_id": 1064538, "name": "Ali Houary", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13838", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13838", "name": "Ali Houary", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 133, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 66, "npxg90": 0.0864, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.878, "xa90": 0.0859, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.878, "xgchain90": 0.3727, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.878, "xgbuildup90": 0.2629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.878, "player_id": 1064538, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 133.0, "npxg90": 0.03778973104138123, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.26409096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.008366176180513121, "xa90_high": 0.188546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1064538, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 125.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 125.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1064538, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1064871", "player_id": 1064871, "name": "Joaqu\u00edn Panichelli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 24 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12413", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12413", "name": "Joaqu\u00edn Panichelli", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2414, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1154, "npxg90": 0.3795, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xa90": 0.1301, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xgchain90": 0.5803, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xgbuildup90": 0.1672, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.294, "player_id": 1064871, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 212.0, "npxg90": 0.17727073712520441, "xa90": 0.037860920222230116, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2202.0, "npxg90": 0.4150716841159952, "xa90": 0.12067336627162932, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.26576333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5571909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05256617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.232746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1064871, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1538.0, "empirical_lo80": 167.45, "empirical_hi80": 2672.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2196.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1538.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1064871, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1066206", "player_id": 1066206, "name": "Toni Fern\u00e1ndez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13110", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1066206, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 45.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1179.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 45.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 45.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1066206, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1067904", "player_id": 1067904, "name": "Bazoumana Tour\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.13793103448275862, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 19, "Left Midfield": 5, "Second Striker": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13427", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13427", "name": "Bazoumana Tour\u00e9", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 2993, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1343, "npxg90": 0.1798, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xa90": 0.231, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgchain90": 0.5611, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgbuildup90": 0.236, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.263, "player_id": 1067904, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 614.0, "npxg90": 0.26840675749637016, "xa90": 0.2557389742728165, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2379.0, "npxg90": 0.19451946725958458, "xa90": 0.2735000995573826, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0660633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3574909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.15346617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.333646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1067904, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1753.666667, "empirical_lo80": 345.716667, "empirical_hi80": 2664.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2326.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1753.666667, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.137931, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1067904, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1069512", "player_id": 1069512, "name": "Jonah Kusi-Asare", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich", "Fulham FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13262", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1069512, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 53.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 36.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1069512, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1071818", "player_id": 1071818, "name": "Sean Neave", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13532", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1071818, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 13.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 13.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1071818, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1074650", "player_id": 1074650, "name": "Sohan Baldoni", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1074650, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1074650, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1075572", "player_id": 1075572, "name": "Enzo Faty", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1075572, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1075572, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1078784", "player_id": 1078784, "name": "Giulio Vinciati", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1078784, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1078784, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1083069", "player_id": 1083069, "name": "Isaac", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14348", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1083069, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 37.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 37.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1083069, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1086474", "player_id": 1086474, "name": "Nouroudine Faye", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1086474, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1086474, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:108725", "player_id": 108725, "name": "Chris Wood", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4456", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4456", "name": "Chris Wood", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Nottingham Forest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5734, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1662, "npxg90": 0.305, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xa90": 0.0689, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgchain90": 0.376, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgbuildup90": 0.0588, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.224, "player_id": 108725, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1797.0, "npxg90": 0.6693291486876835, "xa90": 0.09951747503001025, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3024.0, "npxg90": 0.3974746549058528, "xa90": 0.09059855259866231, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 913.0, "npxg90": 0.33172363356196477, "xa90": 0.031711373433291196, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1912633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4826909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.171546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 108725, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1650.0, "empirical_lo80": 279.45, "empirical_hi80": 2784.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 907.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1650.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 108725, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1088110", "player_id": 1088110, "name": "Anthony Bermont", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12344", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1088110, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 95.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 95.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1088110, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1089770", "player_id": 1089770, "name": "Joi Nuredini", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13537", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1089770, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1089770, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1089802", "player_id": 1089802, "name": "Remy Rees-Dottin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13307", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1089802, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1089802, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1096744", "player_id": 1096744, "name": "Lanroy Machine", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13612", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13612", "name": "Lanroy Machine", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 466, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 233, "npxg90": 0.3332, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.673, "xa90": 0.1202, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.673, "xgchain90": 0.564, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.673, "xgbuildup90": 0.1967, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.673, "player_id": 1096744, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 466.0, "npxg90": 0.3466078674604581, "xa90": 0.03630669797518862, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2194633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5108909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04266617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22284604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1096744, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 339.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1473.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 505.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 339.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1096744, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1097113", "player_id": 1097113, "name": "Ka\u00efl Boudache", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14379", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14379", "name": "Kail Boudache", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 507, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 254, "npxg90": 0.2693, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.654, "xa90": 0.0946, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.654, "xgchain90": 0.4589, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.654, "xgbuildup90": 0.2219, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.654, "player_id": 1097113, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 507.0, "npxg90": 0.5078005234121218, "xa90": 0.03537783845597823, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1555633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4469909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01706617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.197246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1097113, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 528.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1438.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 528.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 528.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1097113, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1099924", "player_id": 1099924, "name": "Yael Trepy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14264", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1099924, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 83.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 83.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1099924, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1101641", "player_id": 1101641, "name": "Justin Kalumba", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 2, "Right Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO", "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11494", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11494", "name": "Justin-Noel Kalumba", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers; Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 305, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 152, "npxg90": 0.2439, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.759, "xa90": 0.1399, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.759, "xgchain90": 0.4702, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.759, "xgbuildup90": 0.1754, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.759, "player_id": 1101641, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 305.0, "npxg90": 0.023717063311182087, "xa90": 0.07878202841174407, "clubs": "Angers; Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1301633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42159096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.062366176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.24254604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1101641, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 212.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1122.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 304.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 212.333333, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1101641, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1103958", "player_id": 1103958, "name": "Prosper Peter", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13604", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13604", "name": "Prosper Peter", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1257, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 628, "npxg90": 0.4064, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xa90": 0.1099, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgchain90": 0.5663, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgbuildup90": 0.1122, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.433, "player_id": 1103958, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1257.0, "npxg90": 0.4349167887254803, "xa90": 0.06432287950682185, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29266333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.5840909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.032366176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.212546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1103958, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 852.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1986.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1266.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 852.333333, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1103958, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1104206", "player_id": 1104206, "name": "Agust\u00edn Albarrac\u00edn", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14399", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1104206, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 31.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 31.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1104206, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1106860", "player_id": 1106860, "name": "Enzo Molebe", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13010", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1106860, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 9.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 9.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1106860, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1108466", "player_id": 1108466, "name": "Rio Ngumoha", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13692", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13692", "name": "Rio Ngumoha", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 17.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 515, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 258, "npxg90": 0.1608, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xa90": 0.2292, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xgchain90": 0.6143, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xgbuildup90": 0.3055, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.651, "player_id": 1108466, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 515.0, "npxg90": 0.2134564764146666, "xa90": 0.37155518926752423, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.047063330153298305, "npxg90_high": 0.3384909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1516661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.33184604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1108466, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 551.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 551.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1108466, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1108476", "player_id": 1108476, "name": "Harry Gray", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1108476, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1108476, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1108478", "player_id": 1108478, "name": "Alejandro Gomes Rodr\u00edguez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13591", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1108478, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1108478, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1111776", "player_id": 1111776, "name": "Ibou San\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.6, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12000", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12000", "name": "Ibou San\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 624, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 286, "npxg90": 0.2359, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.627, "xa90": 0.1581, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.627, "xgchain90": 0.4546, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.627, "xgbuildup90": 0.1398, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.627, "player_id": 1111776, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 104.0, "npxg90": 0.4291252219655479, "xa90": 0.024961365673404474, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 520.0, "npxg90": 0.0573981748893857, "xa90": 0.1633069715820826, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1221633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4135909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08056617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.260746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1111776, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 397.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1531.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 536.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 397.666667, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.6, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1111776, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1111820", "player_id": 1111820, "name": "Junior Ajayi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12639", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1111820, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 4.333333, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1111820, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1117771", "player_id": 1117771, "name": "Ange Lago", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14511", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1117771, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 48.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 48.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1117771, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1118293", "player_id": 1118293, "name": "Fynn Schenten", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14253", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1118293, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 97.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 97.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1118293, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1122007", "player_id": 1122007, "name": "Mykyta Aleksandrov", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1122007, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1122007, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1122712", "player_id": 1122712, "name": "Braiden Graham", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Everton FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1122712, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1122712, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1124005", "player_id": 1124005, "name": "Christantus Uche", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace", "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12726", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12726", "name": "Christantus Uche", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Crystal Palace; Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2921, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 825, "npxg90": 0.2468, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.368, "xa90": 0.1583, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.368, "xgchain90": 0.493, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.368, "xgbuildup90": 0.1557, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.368, "player_id": 1124005, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2542.0, "npxg90": 0.12536669744986143, "xa90": 0.1514286246886411, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 379.0, "npxg90": 0.527497151655226, "xa90": 0.15129303731672997, "clubs": "Crystal Palace; Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1330633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42449096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.08076617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.260946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1124005, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1120.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2254.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 429.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1120.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1124005, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:112930", "player_id": 112930, "name": "Benito Raman", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Mechelen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Mechelen", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1050.0, "npxg90": 0.4127657175064087, "xa90": 0.0932237103581428, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 112930, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1131161", "player_id": 1131161, "name": "Robinio Vaz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma", "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13330", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13330", "name": "Robinio Vaz", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Marseille; Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 530, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 265, "npxg90": 0.4319, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.644, "xa90": 0.1678, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.644, "xgchain90": 0.7023, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.644, "xgbuildup90": 0.2664, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.644, "player_id": 1131161, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 530.0, "npxg90": 0.5776613888875494, "xa90": 0.16391478914697216, "clubs": "Marseille; Roma", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.31816333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.6095909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09026617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.270446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1131161, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 410.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1544.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 578.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 410.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1131161, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1133733", "player_id": 1133733, "name": "Yaya Di\u00e9m\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14605", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14605", "name": "Yaya Di\u00e9m\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 159, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 80, "npxg90": 0.298, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.858, "xa90": 0.1419, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.858, "xgchain90": 0.5062, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.858, "xgbuildup90": 0.1788, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.858, "player_id": 1133733, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 159.0, "npxg90": 0.1028551920404974, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1842633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4756909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06436617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24454604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1133733, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 155.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1289.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 155.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 155.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1133733, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1133928", "player_id": 1133928, "name": "Angel Yondjo Matah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1133928, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1133928, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1141560", "player_id": 1141560, "name": "Kader Me\u00eft\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1141560, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 532.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1666.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 530.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 532.333333, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1141560, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1143517", "player_id": 1143517, "name": "Yanis Beau Djellel", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1143517, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1143517, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1144627", "player_id": 1144627, "name": "Kento Shiogai", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14371", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14371", "name": "Kento Shiogai", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 292, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 146, "npxg90": 0.2645, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.767, "xa90": 0.156, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.767, "xgchain90": 0.6361, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.767, "xgbuildup90": 0.2973, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.767, "player_id": 1144627, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 292.0, "npxg90": 0.5798860143053614, "xa90": 0.17593944751440663, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15076333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.44219096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07846617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.258646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1144627, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 313.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1447.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 313.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 313.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1144627, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1153105", "player_id": 1153105, "name": "Yassir Zabiri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14459", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1153105, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 42.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 42.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1153105, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1153628", "player_id": 1153628, "name": "Yannik Wagner", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13863", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1153628, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 45.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 45.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1153628, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1155608", "player_id": 1155608, "name": "Amady Camara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13828", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13828", "name": "Amady Camara", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nantes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 131, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 66, "npxg90": 0.3411, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.88, "xa90": 0.1513, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.88, "xgchain90": 0.5723, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.88, "xgbuildup90": 0.182, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.88, "player_id": 1155608, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 131.0, "npxg90": 0.47717759243518343, "xa90": 0.0810928349845282, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22736333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5187909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07376617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.253946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1155608, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1155608, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1160814", "player_id": 1160814, "name": "Rayan Fofana", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13506", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13506", "name": "Rayan Fofana", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 759, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 380, "npxg90": 0.5276, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.558, "xa90": 0.1087, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.558, "xgchain90": 0.7221, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.558, "xgbuildup90": 0.1884, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.558, "player_id": 1160814, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 759.0, "npxg90": 0.7488519887222721, "xa90": 0.039911790946019966, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.41386333015329824, "npxg90_high": 0.7052909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.031166176180513122, "xa90_high": 0.211346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1160814, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 531.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1665.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 785.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 531.333333, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1160814, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:116088", "player_id": 116088, "name": "Marius B\u00fclter", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.7777777777777778, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14, "Left Winger": 3, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7879", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7879", "name": "Marius B\u00fclter", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4681, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1565, "npxg90": 0.1882, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xa90": 0.1788, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgchain90": 0.4684, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgbuildup90": 0.1836, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.235, "player_id": 116088, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1331.0, "npxg90": 0.12810963857429178, "xa90": 0.2346585815524715, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1772.0, "npxg90": 0.18528932160498157, "xa90": 0.15438607887577258, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1578.0, "npxg90": 0.22697818132662728, "xa90": 0.2682790910194809, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07446333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.36589096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.1012661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.28144604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 116088, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1567.25, "empirical_lo80": 196.7, "empirical_hi80": 2701.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1591.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1567.25, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.777778, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 116088, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1162654", "player_id": 1162654, "name": "Noam Obougou", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14229", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1162654, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 99.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 99.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1162654, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1164330", "player_id": 1164330, "name": "Martin Pedroarena", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "CA Osasuna" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1164330, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1164330, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1166534", "player_id": 1166534, "name": "\u00c1lex Costa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1166534, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1166534, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1168219", "player_id": 1168219, "name": "Said El Mala", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.55, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11, "Left Winger": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13911", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13911", "name": "Said El Mala", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1965, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 982, "npxg90": 0.5009, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xa90": 0.1906, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xgchain90": 0.7595, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xgbuildup90": 0.1795, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.328, "player_id": 1168219, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1965.0, "npxg90": 0.5416016279229225, "xa90": 0.1917356630886784, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3871633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6785909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11306617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.293246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1168219, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1958.0, "empirical_lo80": 587.45, "empirical_hi80": 3092.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1958.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1958.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.55, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1168219, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1172646", "player_id": 1172646, "name": "Ben Casey", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1172646, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1172646, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1178488", "player_id": 1178488, "name": "Idrissa Gueye", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz", "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13811", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13811", "name": "Idrissa Gueye", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Metz; Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 494, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 247, "npxg90": 0.3577, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.66, "xa90": 0.1117, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.66, "xgchain90": 0.5818, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.66, "xgbuildup90": 0.2296, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.66, "player_id": 1178488, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 494.0, "npxg90": 0.43488753763468646, "xa90": 0.028604950646489016, "clubs": "Metz; Udinese", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24396333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5353909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03416617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.21434604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1178488, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 536.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1670.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 536.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 536.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1178488, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1178695", "player_id": 1178695, "name": "Kenny Quetant", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14241", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14241", "name": "Kenny Quetant", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 378, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 189, "npxg90": 0.3004, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.717, "xa90": 0.118, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.717, "xgchain90": 0.4466, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.717, "xgbuildup90": 0.1557, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.717, "player_id": 1178695, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 378.0, "npxg90": 0.2315599515679337, "xa90": 0.005497671663761139, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1866633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4780909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04046617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.220646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1178695, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 373.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1507.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 373.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 373.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1178695, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:118287", "player_id": 118287, "name": "Rachid Ghezzal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3276", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3276", "name": "Rachid Ghezzal", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 211, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 106, "npxg90": 0.2083, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.82, "xa90": 0.102, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.82, "xgchain90": 0.4063, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.82, "xgbuildup90": 0.1662, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.82, "player_id": 118287, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 211.0, "npxg90": 0.10178408077895924, "xa90": 0.00908293377307919, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09456333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.38599096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.02446617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.204646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 118287, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 219.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1353.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 219.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 219.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 118287, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1184007", "player_id": 1184007, "name": "Soriba Diaoune", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13471", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13471", "name": "Soriba Diaoune", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 160, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 80, "npxg90": 0.1977, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.857, "xa90": 0.1265, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.857, "xgchain90": 0.5472, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.857, "xgbuildup90": 0.3239, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.857, "player_id": 1184007, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 160.0, "npxg90": 0.551017593126744, "xa90": 0.11308198026381433, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0839633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3753909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04896617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.229146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1184007, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 178.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1312.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 178.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 178.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1184007, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1185913", "player_id": 1185913, "name": "Pierre Mounguengue", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14597", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1185913, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 15.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 15.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1185913, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1187942", "player_id": 1187942, "name": "Khalis Merah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.13333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 10, "Central Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13736", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13736", "name": "Khalis Merah", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1187, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 594, "npxg90": 0.2078, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.447, "xa90": 0.1403, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.447, "xgchain90": 0.5553, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.447, "xgbuildup90": 0.311, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.447, "player_id": 1187942, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1187.0, "npxg90": 0.10255455007272904, "xa90": 0.11430088887281446, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09406333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3854909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06276617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.242946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1187942, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1139.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2049.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1139.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1139.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.133333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1187942, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1190047", "player_id": 1190047, "name": "Daniel Ndulue", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1190047, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1190047, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1191069", "player_id": 1191069, "name": "Louis Buffon", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13943", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1191069, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 29.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 29.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1191069, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1193849", "player_id": 1193849, "name": "Mathis Albert", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14422", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1193849, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1193849, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1200423", "player_id": 1200423, "name": "R\u00e9mi Himbert", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14363", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14363", "name": "R\u00e9mi Himbert", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 114, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 57, "npxg90": 0.4038, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.894, "xa90": 0.1492, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.894, "xgchain90": 0.5951, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.894, "xgbuildup90": 0.1865, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.894, "player_id": 1200423, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 114.0, "npxg90": 0.9320621741445441, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2900633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5814909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07166617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.251846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1200423, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 129.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1263.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 129.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 129.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1200423, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:120205", "player_id": 120205, "name": "Michael Gregoritsch", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "171", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "171", "name": "Michael Gregoritsch", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3209, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1034, "npxg90": 0.4034, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.317, "xa90": 0.1063, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.317, "xgchain90": 0.542, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.317, "xgbuildup90": 0.176, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.317, "player_id": 120205, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1681.0, "npxg90": 0.6049714419173031, "xa90": 0.0676183083639267, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 602.0, "npxg90": 0.2963232112262534, "xa90": 0.03944343658306472, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 926.0, "npxg90": 0.5304435829050662, "xa90": 0.14758376521309818, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28966333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.5810909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.028766176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.20894604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 120205, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1036.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2170.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 917.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1036.75, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 120205, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1206724", "player_id": 1206724, "name": "Samuele Pisati", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1206724, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1206724, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1213681", "player_id": 1213681, "name": "Alexander R\u00f8ssing-Lelesiit", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13926", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13926", "name": "Alexander R\u00f8ssing-Lelesiit", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 319, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 160, "npxg90": 0.2785, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.751, "xa90": 0.1852, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.751, "xgchain90": 0.5505, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.751, "xgbuildup90": 0.1731, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.751, "player_id": 1213681, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 319.0, "npxg90": 0.025118905291848796, "xa90": 0.20497402614186921, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16476333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.45619096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.10766617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.287846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1213681, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 320.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 320.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1213681, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1226357", "player_id": 1226357, "name": "Brian Madjo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13810", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13810", "name": "Brian Madjo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 17.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 157, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 78, "npxg90": 0.313, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.859, "xa90": 0.1435, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.859, "xgchain90": 0.5302, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.859, "xgbuildup90": 0.1764, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.859, "player_id": 1226357, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 157.0, "npxg90": 0.18117764098629072, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1992633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4906909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0659661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.24614604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1226357, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 157.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1291.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 157.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 157.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1226357, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1230661", "player_id": 1230661, "name": "Mateus Man\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 12, "Central Midfield": 6, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13484", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13484", "name": "Mateus Man\u00e9", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1784, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 892, "npxg90": 0.112, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.35, "xa90": 0.1618, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.35, "xgchain90": 0.3436, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.35, "xgbuildup90": 0.1912, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.35, "player_id": 1230661, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1784.0, "npxg90": 0.09950677816225675, "xa90": 0.16555794174344418, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2896909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08426617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.264446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1230661, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1790.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1193.666667, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1230661, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1234988", "player_id": 1234988, "name": "Juli\u00e1n Vignolo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13918", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13918", "name": "Juli\u00e1n Vignolo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Toulouse", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 154, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 77, "npxg90": 0.2551, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.862, "xa90": 0.1355, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.862, "xgchain90": 0.4783, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.862, "xgbuildup90": 0.2835, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.862, "player_id": 1234988, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 154.0, "npxg90": 0.9861969771226505, "xa90": 0.19341035612991878, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1413633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4327909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.057966176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.23814604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1234988, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1234988, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:123682", "player_id": 123682, "name": "Callum Wilson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "468", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "468", "name": "Callum Wilson", "comp": "GB1", "team": "West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2505, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 934, "npxg90": 0.3853, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xa90": 0.0791, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgchain90": 0.4658, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgbuildup90": 0.094, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.34, "player_id": 123682, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 963.0, "npxg90": 0.8039413107054256, "xa90": 0.08728380776315092, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 313.0, "npxg90": 0.21586860973423663, "xa90": 0.05426369345607087, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1229.0, "npxg90": 0.5567449209279554, "xa90": 0.07518985844463523, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27156333015329825, "npxg90_high": 0.5629909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0015661761805131208, "xa90_high": 0.181746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 123682, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 956.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2090.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1242.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 956.5, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 123682, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1237740", "player_id": 1237740, "name": "Andre Harriman-Annous", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1237740, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1237740, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1237907", "player_id": 1237907, "name": "Saliou Diop", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Brestois 29" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1237907, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 10.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 7.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1237907, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1251220", "player_id": 1251220, "name": "Antonio Arena", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13989", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1251220, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 21.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 21.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1251220, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1254646", "player_id": 1254646, "name": "Aimar Bl\u00e1zquez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1254646, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1254646, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:125781", "player_id": 125781, "name": "Antoine Griezmann", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 10, "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2270", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2270", "name": "Antoine Griezmann", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6627, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2014, "npxg90": 0.2596, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.192, "xa90": 0.1823, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.192, "xgchain90": 0.6119, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.192, "xgbuildup90": 0.2657, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.192, "player_id": 125781, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2685.0, "npxg90": 0.34391510034989375, "xa90": 0.19028355299843758, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2514.0, "npxg90": 0.24799309238604758, "xa90": 0.29055928924790003, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1428.0, "npxg90": 0.5227250826912894, "xa90": 0.3144014074208857, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1458633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4372909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10476617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.28494604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 125781, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2018.0, "empirical_lo80": 647.45, "empirical_hi80": 3152.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1468.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2018.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 125781, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:127048", "player_id": 127048, "name": "C\u00e9dric Bakambu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2306", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2306", "name": "C\u00e9dric Bakambu", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Betis", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1400, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 486, "npxg90": 0.3218, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xa90": 0.1242, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgchain90": 0.5234, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgbuildup90": 0.1605, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.497, "player_id": 127048, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 197.0, "npxg90": 0.15474046055738092, "xa90": 0.30582952242212247, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 661.0, "npxg90": 0.5117678766825016, "xa90": 0.11498111560828025, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 542.0, "npxg90": 0.7383036348157704, "xa90": 0.17857342695549297, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20806333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4994909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04666617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.226846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 127048, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 503.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1637.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 562.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 503.75, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 127048, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1280281", "player_id": 1280281, "name": "Abdoulie Ceesay", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13326", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13326", "name": "Abdoulie Ceesay", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 282, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 141, "npxg90": 0.2343, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.773, "xa90": 0.1465, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.773, "xgchain90": 0.5574, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.773, "xgbuildup90": 0.2807, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.773, "player_id": 1280281, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 282.0, "npxg90": 0.49276307126150487, "xa90": 0.14187363511387338, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.12056333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.41199096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.06896617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24914604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1280281, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 319.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 230.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1280281, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:128223", "player_id": 128223, "name": "\u00c1lvaro Morata", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1804", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1804", "name": "\u00c1lvaro Morata", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Como", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3951, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1217, "npxg90": 0.3705, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xa90": 0.0882, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgchain90": 0.4811, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgbuildup90": 0.12, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.283, "player_id": 128223, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1924.0, "npxg90": 0.7923112867841509, "xa90": 0.1321348169113736, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1110.0, "npxg90": 0.39057474563250666, "xa90": 0.07778324514023356, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 917.0, "npxg90": 0.4072443790928813, "xa90": 0.07627447372385694, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.25676333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5481909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.010666176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.190846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 128223, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1215.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2349.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 924.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1215.25, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 128223, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1296876", "player_id": 1296876, "name": "Marc Dom\u00e8nech", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12883", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12883", "name": "Marc Domenech", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 495, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 173, "npxg90": 0.1043, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.735, "xa90": 0.1161, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.735, "xgchain90": 0.3975, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.735, "xgbuildup90": 0.2509, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.735, "player_id": 1296876, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 297.0, "npxg90": 0.22522500236377574, "xa90": 0.06539399001860258, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 198.0, "npxg90": 0.05316122011704878, "xa90": 0.22944058545611123, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2819909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03856617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.218746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1296876, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 211.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 240.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1296876, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1301775", "player_id": 1301775, "name": "Jan Virgili", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.10526315789473684, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13991", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13991", "name": "Jan Virgili", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1807, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 904, "npxg90": 0.1943, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xa90": 0.1856, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xgchain90": 0.436, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xgbuildup90": 0.1632, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.347, "player_id": 1301775, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1807.0, "npxg90": 0.12916161526689293, "xa90": 0.18779327922336256, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08056333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.37199096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.1080661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.288246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1301775, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1796.0, "empirical_lo80": 388.05, "empirical_hi80": 2706.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1796.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1796.0, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.105263, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1301775, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1306607", "player_id": 1306607, "name": "Junior Kon\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1306607, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1306607, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1307004", "player_id": 1307004, "name": "Nathan Mbala", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14407", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14407", "name": "Nathan Mbala", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 18.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 426, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 213, "npxg90": 0.2791, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.693, "xa90": 0.1895, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.693, "xgchain90": 0.537, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.693, "xgbuildup90": 0.1808, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.693, "player_id": 1307004, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 426.0, "npxg90": 0.14774289926592732, "xa90": 0.22677047938947947, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16536333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.45679096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11196617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.292146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1307004, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 435.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1345.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 435.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 435.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1307004, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1309324", "player_id": 1309324, "name": "Uchenna Ogundu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14455", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1309324, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 43.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 43.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1309324, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1314671", "player_id": 1314671, "name": "Bernard Nguene", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13281", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13281", "name": "Bernard Nguene", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 111, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 56, "npxg90": 0.1321, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xa90": 0.1123, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xgchain90": 0.4941, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xgbuildup90": 0.3215, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.896, "player_id": 1314671, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 111.0, "npxg90": 0.14456051829698924, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.018363330153298302, "npxg90_high": 0.3097909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.034766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.214946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1314671, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 133.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 92.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1314671, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1318474", "player_id": 1318474, "name": "Ugo Kadmiri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14576", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1318474, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 16.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 16.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1318474, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1319952", "player_id": 1319952, "name": "Sergio Esteban", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1319952, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1319952, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:132098", "player_id": 132098, "name": "Harry Kane", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "647", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "647", "name": "Harry Kane", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayern Munich", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7639, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2506, "npxg90": 0.6006, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.161, "xa90": 0.1947, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.161, "xgchain90": 0.9403, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.161, "xgbuildup90": 0.2678, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.161, "player_id": 132098, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2854.0, "npxg90": 0.924832346368145, "xa90": 0.21394169352264697, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2400.0, "npxg90": 0.675694229034707, "xa90": 0.2208644662052393, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2385.0, "npxg90": 0.8016770536536878, "xa90": 0.2793709202054537, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4868633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7782909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11716617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.297346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 132098, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2499.5, "empirical_lo80": 1128.95, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2382.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2499.5, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 132098, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1328146", "player_id": 1328146, "name": "Lamin Sillah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1328146, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1328146, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1340428", "player_id": 1340428, "name": "Will Wright", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1340428, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1340428, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1353609", "player_id": 1353609, "name": "Jean-Baptiste Bosey", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14469", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1353609, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1353609, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1363814", "player_id": 1363814, "name": "Precious Benjamin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1363814, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1363814, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1364454", "player_id": 1364454, "name": "Christian Kofane", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13856", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13856", "name": "Christian Kofane", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1231, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 616, "npxg90": 0.5058, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xa90": 0.1722, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgchain90": 0.7575, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgbuildup90": 0.1776, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.438, "player_id": 1364454, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1231.0, "npxg90": 0.5882806193831004, "xa90": 0.16395448172157803, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3920633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6834909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.09466617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.274846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1364454, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1235.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2369.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1235.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1235.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1364454, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1371793", "player_id": 1371793, "name": "Paul Mendy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14445", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14445", "name": "Paul Mendy", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 326, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 163, "npxg90": 0.4046, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.747, "xa90": 0.1335, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.747, "xgchain90": 0.5979, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.747, "xgbuildup90": 0.1983, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.747, "player_id": 1371793, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 326.0, "npxg90": 0.6595475633165863, "xa90": 0.07101398075650805, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29086333015329835, "npxg90_high": 0.5822909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.055966176180513125, "xa90_high": 0.23614604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1371793, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 330.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1464.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 330.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 330.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1371793, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1379284", "player_id": 1379284, "name": "Bastian Assomo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1379284, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1379284, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1380977", "player_id": 1380977, "name": "Samba Konat\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14223", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1380977, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 3.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1380977, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:143891", "player_id": 143891, "name": "Maximilian Philipp", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4247", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 143891, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 27.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 94.75, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 143891, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:144028", "player_id": 144028, "name": "Leandro Trossard", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7698", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7698", "name": "Leandro Trossard", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Arsenal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6244, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2068, "npxg90": 0.2939, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xa90": 0.1803, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xgchain90": 0.575, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xgbuildup90": 0.2032, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.188, "player_id": 144028, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1649.0, "npxg90": 0.522631339835011, "xa90": 0.17749341175393885, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2569.0, "npxg90": 0.30626278105251703, "xa90": 0.24675182006316407, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2026.0, "npxg90": 0.2999927938629865, "xa90": 0.2215798439868052, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1801633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4715909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1027661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.28294604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 144028, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2008.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2053.25, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 144028, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1453065", "player_id": 1453065, "name": "Miguel Cubo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14586", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1453065, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 48.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 48.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1453065, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:1459673", "player_id": 1459673, "name": "Mamadou Kon\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 1459673, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 1459673, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:148455", "player_id": 148455, "name": "Mohamed Salah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.043478260869565216, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 22, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1250", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1250", "name": "Mohamed Salah", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8111, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2568, "npxg90": 0.3438, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xa90": 0.2547, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xgchain90": 0.7307, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xgbuildup90": 0.2368, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.157, "player_id": 148455, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2556.0, "npxg90": 0.5849706613734155, "xa90": 0.4342269170766985, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3392.0, "npxg90": 0.5533659528558722, "xa90": 0.42076948020862026, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2163.0, "npxg90": 0.3360548324045956, "xa90": 0.26746812826810445, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2300633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5214909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1771661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.357346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 148455, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2554.0, "empirical_lo80": 1146.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2150.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2554.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.043478, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 148455, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:157501", "player_id": 157501, "name": "M'Baye Niang", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gen\u00e7lerbirli\u011fi" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gen\u00e7lerbirli\u011fi", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1740.0, "npxg90": 0.2219120634013208, "xa90": 0.0148116036735731, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 157501, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:157635", "player_id": 157635, "name": "Yussuf Poulsen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5250", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5250", "name": "Yussuf Poulsen", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1809, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 524, "npxg90": 0.3557, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xa90": 0.1452, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xgchain90": 0.6355, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xgbuildup90": 0.2093, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.478, "player_id": 157635, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1194.0, "npxg90": 0.5216063982128498, "xa90": 0.16459538624738929, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 329.0, "npxg90": 0.7631473031495117, "xa90": 0.28598102440882056, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 286.0, "npxg90": 0.21745963048163827, "xa90": 0.08820363222719071, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24196333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5333909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06766617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.247846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 157635, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 553.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1687.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 321.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 553.75, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 157635, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:159471", "player_id": 159471, "name": "Serge Gnabry", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.75, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 11, "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "993", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "993", "name": "Serge Gnabry", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayern Munich", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2927, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1052, "npxg90": 0.4077, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xa90": 0.2736, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgchain90": 0.9205, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgbuildup90": 0.4107, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.313, "player_id": 159471, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 431.0, "npxg90": 0.6975220886260064, "xa90": 0.2708459315333179, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1216.0, "npxg90": 0.5633444911922867, "xa90": 0.38564235065438734, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1280.0, "npxg90": 0.440473737748107, "xa90": 0.36215755610464845, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29396333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5853909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.19606617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.376246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 159471, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1031.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2165.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1228.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1031.25, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.75, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 159471, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:165895", "player_id": 165895, "name": "Matteo Politano", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.07692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 14, "Right Winger": 10, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1473", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1473", "name": "Matteo Politano", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 7566, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2454, "npxg90": 0.1011, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xa90": 0.1749, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xgchain90": 0.4212, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xgbuildup90": 0.259, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.164, "player_id": 165895, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2436.0, "npxg90": 0.17665383942755572, "xa90": 0.3182502783458735, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2881.0, "npxg90": 0.11387102887117172, "xa90": 0.19077347916722587, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2249.0, "npxg90": 0.12540865680405752, "xa90": 0.22426847976385195, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2787909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09736617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.277546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 165895, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2411.25, "empirical_lo80": 1003.3, "empirical_hi80": 3321.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2214.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2411.25, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.076923, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 165895, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:167721", "player_id": 167721, "name": "Chimy \u00c1vila", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6955", "method": "surname+club", "confidence": 0.7 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6955", "name": "Ezequiel \u00c1vila", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Betis", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2169, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 630, "npxg90": 0.2195, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xa90": 0.1353, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgchain90": 0.4438, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgbuildup90": 0.2052, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.433, "player_id": 167721, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1177.0, "npxg90": 0.2111881351558936, "xa90": 0.15122286485588793, "clubs": "Osasuna,Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 642.0, "npxg90": 0.2564306160713607, "xa90": 0.1888669398830873, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 350.0, "npxg90": 0.2320894424404417, "xa90": 0.10413336171103375, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.10576333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.39719096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.05776617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23794604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 167721, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 644.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1778.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 371.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 644.75, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 167721, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:167727", "player_id": 167727, "name": "Andrea Belotti", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1186", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1186", "name": "Andrea Belotti", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2422, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 658, "npxg90": 0.3153, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.422, "xa90": 0.1063, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.422, "xgchain90": 0.4285, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.422, "xgbuildup90": 0.1226, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.422, "player_id": 167727, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1626.0, "npxg90": 0.4175009624517052, "xa90": 0.1455904277062174, "clubs": "Fiorentina,Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 584.0, "npxg90": 0.3980204579101442, "xa90": 0.08900967251177724, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 212.0, "npxg90": 0.6577345082220042, "xa90": 0.017327551009520045, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20156333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.49299096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.028766176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.20894604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 167727, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 663.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1797.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 219.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 663.25, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 167727, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:170506", "player_id": 170506, "name": "Julien Lopez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13803", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 170506, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 41.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 41.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 170506, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:170527", "player_id": 170527, "name": "Timo Werner", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "65", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 170527, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 13.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 388.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 170527, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:173750", "player_id": 173750, "name": "Nouha Dicko", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13802", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 173750, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 66.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 66.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 173750, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:177452", "player_id": 177452, "name": "Abd\u00f3n Prats", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8014", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8014", "name": "Abd\u00f3n Prats", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1710, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 450, "npxg90": 0.174, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.516, "xa90": 0.0895, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.516, "xgchain90": 0.355, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.516, "xgbuildup90": 0.1695, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.516, "player_id": 177452, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1218.0, "npxg90": 0.2989114008458524, "xa90": 0.17284302820859873, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 400.0, "npxg90": 0.4502365758642554, "xa90": 0.02903953813947737, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 92.0, "npxg90": 0.6806521846548371, "xa90": 0.1124883839941543, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.060263330153298295, "npxg90_high": 0.3516909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.011966176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.19214604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 177452, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 131.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 489.25, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 177452, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:177467", "player_id": 177467, "name": "Gerard Moreno", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2120", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2120", "name": "Gerard Moreno", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4362, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1432, "npxg90": 0.2283, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xa90": 0.1769, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgchain90": 0.5073, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgbuildup90": 0.2383, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.251, "player_id": 177467, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2296.0, "npxg90": 0.3044826444806304, "xa90": 0.23004430198542228, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 698.0, "npxg90": 0.21594291088574255, "xa90": 0.49778999664679296, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1368.0, "npxg90": 0.3148291622729678, "xa90": 0.19768345071689078, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11456333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4059909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09936617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.279546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 177467, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1423.5, "empirical_lo80": 52.95, "empirical_hi80": 2557.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1350.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1423.5, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 177467, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:178459", "player_id": 178459, "name": "Davie Selke", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Ba\u015fak\u015fehir" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Ba\u015fak\u015fehir", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1204.0, "npxg90": 0.4912101351145493, "xa90": 0.0738827572312466, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 178459, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:179184", "player_id": 179184, "name": "Michy Batshuayi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1678", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1678", "name": "Michy Batshuayi", "comp": "L1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 411, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 134, "npxg90": 0.2762, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.782, "xa90": 0.1237, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.782, "xgchain90": 0.489, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.782, "xgbuildup90": 0.1618, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.782, "player_id": 179184, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 288.0, "npxg90": 0.4096485860645771, "xa90": 0.011251980904489757, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 123.0, "npxg90": 0.18787516962464265, "xa90": 0.13615728696671928, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1624633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4538909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04616617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.226346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 179184, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 188.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1322.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 134.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 188.666667, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 179184, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:181375", "player_id": 181375, "name": "S\u00e9bastien Haller", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Utrecht" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Utrecht", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 956.0, "npxg90": 0.2310533403851497, "xa90": 0.0970803332129282, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 181375, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:182201", "player_id": 182201, "name": "Ally Samatta", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8287", "method": "surname+club", "confidence": 0.7 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8287", "name": "Mbwana Samatta", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1550, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 775, "npxg90": 0.2524, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.382, "xa90": 0.1004, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.382, "xgchain90": 0.3885, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.382, "xgbuildup90": 0.106, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.382, "player_id": 182201, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1550.0, "npxg90": 0.34038768947845505, "xa90": 0.1109499177745273, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13866333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.43009096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.02286617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.203046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 182201, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1545.0, "empirical_lo80": 174.45, "empirical_hi80": 2679.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1545.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1545.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 182201, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:182916", "player_id": 182916, "name": "Wesley Sa\u00efd", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3799", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3799", "name": "Wesley Said", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 3975, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1509, "npxg90": 0.3559, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xa90": 0.1695, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgchain90": 0.6477, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgbuildup90": 0.2446, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.241, "player_id": 182916, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1004.0, "npxg90": 0.6072363534764168, "xa90": 0.09777579311860272, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 910.0, "npxg90": 0.29214855983525845, "xa90": 0.0934894544655805, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2061.0, "npxg90": 0.49328618304698224, "xa90": 0.258468221141001, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2421633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5335909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09196617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.272146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 182916, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1486.5, "empirical_lo80": 115.95, "empirical_hi80": 2620.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2013.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1486.5, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 182916, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:186233", "player_id": 186233, "name": "Giorgi Kvilitaia", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14431", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14431", "name": "Giorgi Kvilitaia", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 503, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 252, "npxg90": 0.232, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xa90": 0.1467, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xgchain90": 0.3598, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xgbuildup90": 0.12, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.656, "player_id": 186233, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 503.0, "npxg90": 0.23576713924409146, "xa90": 0.2136031766357289, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11826333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.4096909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06916617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.249346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 186233, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 495.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1629.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 495.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 495.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 186233, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:187097", "player_id": 187097, "name": "Budu Zivzivadze", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.9285714285714286, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13323", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13323", "name": "Budu Zivzivadze", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2095, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 811, "npxg90": 0.3128, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.372, "xa90": 0.1178, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.372, "xgchain90": 0.4516, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.372, "xgbuildup90": 0.1183, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.372, "player_id": 187097, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 947.0, "npxg90": 0.17696111218132465, "xa90": 0.21773031180077396, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1148.0, "npxg90": 0.45626991256448446, "xa90": 0.07123455327354657, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19906333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.49049096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.04026617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.220446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 187097, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1083.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2217.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1147.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1083.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.928571, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 187097, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:188888", "player_id": 188888, "name": "Sheraldo Becker", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05", "CA Osasuna" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7882", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7882", "name": "Sheraldo Becker", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05; Osasuna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3528, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1157, "npxg90": 0.2739, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xa90": 0.2101, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgchain90": 0.595, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgbuildup90": 0.1604, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.293, "player_id": 188888, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1433.0, "npxg90": 0.18365485151737032, "xa90": 0.23681983028051742, "clubs": "Real Sociedad; Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 996.0, "npxg90": 0.1701994866963072, "xa90": 0.16149666317435632, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1099.0, "npxg90": 0.40824567314383114, "xa90": 0.3105138582232543, "clubs": "Mainz 05; Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16016333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4515909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13256617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.312746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 188888, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1155.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2289.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1104.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1155.75, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 188888, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:190393", "player_id": 190393, "name": "Corentin Tolisso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.038461538461538464, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 13, "Central Midfield": 12, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3603", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3603", "name": "Corentin Tolisso", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6426, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2186, "npxg90": 0.2248, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xa90": 0.1365, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgchain90": 0.6241, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgbuildup90": 0.3481, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.18, "player_id": 190393, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1764.0, "npxg90": 0.11171964757448558, "xa90": 0.11125670964544525, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2343.0, "npxg90": 0.2176239564370903, "xa90": 0.1538986646511834, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2319.0, "npxg90": 0.3212147264863047, "xa90": 0.17546202762131935, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1110633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4024909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05896617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.23914604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 190393, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2174.75, "empirical_lo80": 766.8, "empirical_hi80": 3085.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2307.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2174.75, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.038462, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 190393, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:191422", "player_id": 191422, "name": "Mahmoud Dahoud", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.125, "starting_position_counts": { "Defensive Midfield": 6, "Central Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "205", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "205", "name": "Mahmoud Dahoud", "comp": "L1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1697, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 605, "npxg90": 0.1925, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xa90": 0.1273, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgchain90": 0.5742, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgbuildup90": 0.3496, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.442, "player_id": 191422, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 622.0, "npxg90": 0.09236058103477648, "xa90": 0.24503712033271982, "clubs": "Brighton; VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 353.0, "npxg90": 0.18910828893397413, "xa90": 0.19126634216384578, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 722.0, "npxg90": 0.0978783710274092, "xa90": 0.04026114122833737, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07876333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3701909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.049766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.22994604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 191422, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 616.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1526.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 716.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 616.25, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.125, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 191422, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:191891", "player_id": 191891, "name": "Arkadiusz Milik", "kind": "anchor", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named reference option", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1583", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 191891, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 34.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 322.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 191891, "player": "Arkadiusz Milik", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "existing_contract_internal_baseline", "evidence_quality": "partial_internal_or_renewal_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": 1.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 2240000.0, "base": 2240000.0, "high": 2240000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "future_fee_obligations", "retention_opportunity_cost" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Capology archived Juventus wage", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Historical acquisition expense is sunk; it is not charged again as a new transfer fee.", "Wage reference is not a complete incremental retention cost: salary sharing, foregone receipts and other liabilities require separate evidence.", "Archived2026/27 Capology and Transfermarkt show contract through30June2027; wage is a salary estimate, not direct access to contract.", "Incremental new registration fee is not required to use an existing player; unresolved outstanding obligations are not silently treated as zero. Use wage-only reference separately." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": 2240000, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:193033", "player_id": 193033, "name": "Tim Kleindienst", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6142", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 193033, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 6.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1408.75, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 193033, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:193900", "player_id": 193900, "name": "Marius Wolf", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.08333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 10, "Left Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2693", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2693", "name": "Marius Wolf", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 4339, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1335, "npxg90": 0.0764, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.264, "xa90": 0.1571, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.264, "xgchain90": 0.3314, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.264, "xgbuildup90": 0.215, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.264, "player_id": 193900, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1136.0, "npxg90": 0.0701188369536064, "xa90": 0.11168630091919446, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2201.0, "npxg90": 0.031735276780524936, "xa90": 0.12944302509375075, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1002.0, "npxg90": 0.1539876374756237, "xa90": 0.33156820812714316, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.25409096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.0795661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25974604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 193900, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1337.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2247.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1012.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1337.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.083333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 193900, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:196095", "player_id": 196095, "name": "Luca Waldschmidt", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.2857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "294", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "294", "name": "Gian-Luca Waldschmidt", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1795, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 607, "npxg90": 0.3579, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xa90": 0.1981, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgchain90": 0.7186, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgbuildup90": 0.2521, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.442, "player_id": 196095, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1162.0, "npxg90": 0.18305138164647114, "xa90": 0.09705089665821107, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 633.0, "npxg90": 0.6303173409536551, "xa90": 0.37458634568969784, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2441633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5355909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12056617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.300746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 196095, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 827.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1737.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 666.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 827.333333, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.285714, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 196095, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:196139", "player_id": 196139, "name": "Robert Glatzel", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9326", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9326", "name": "Robert Glatzel", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 594, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 297, "npxg90": 0.2739, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.618, "xa90": 0.1294, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.618, "xgchain90": 0.4685, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.618, "xgbuildup90": 0.1403, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.618, "player_id": 196139, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 594.0, "npxg90": 0.31621810923697374, "xa90": 0.1308606844395399, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16016333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4515909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.051866176180513104, "xa90_high": 0.23204604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 196139, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 609.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1743.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 609.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 609.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 196139, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:197751", "player_id": 197751, "name": "Alberto Cerri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4906", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 197751, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 197751, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:197838", "player_id": 197838, "name": "Jamie Vardy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 24 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "755", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "755", "name": "Jamie Vardy", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5010, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1782, "npxg90": 0.176, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xa90": 0.0689, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xgchain90": 0.281, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xgbuildup90": 0.0629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.212, "player_id": 197838, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2890.0, "npxg90": 0.333126092129822, "xa90": 0.11639381609985985, "clubs": "Leicester", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2120.0, "npxg90": 0.2666871054888756, "xa90": 0.0901539079177211, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.062263330153298296, "npxg90_high": 0.3536909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.171546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 197838, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2351.666667, "empirical_lo80": 981.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2108.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2351.666667, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 197838, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:198008", "player_id": 198008, "name": "Andr\u00e9 Silva", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6170", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6170", "name": "Andr\u00e9 Silva", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3068, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1232, "npxg90": 0.3211, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xa90": 0.0965, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xgchain90": 0.4467, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xgbuildup90": 0.1321, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.28, "player_id": 198008, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 717.0, "npxg90": 0.28237521632819995, "xa90": 0.03886955762944461, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 493.0, "npxg90": 0.2713727908734134, "xa90": 0.20208001219899852, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig,Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1858.0, "npxg90": 0.41690523989310146, "xa90": 0.07541541788081435, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2073633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4987909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01896617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.19914604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 198008, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1233.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2367.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1853.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1233.75, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 198008, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:199527", "player_id": 199527, "name": "Jacob Murphy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.10526315789473684, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 14, "Right Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6063", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6063", "name": "Jacob Murphy", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Newcastle United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5289, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1730, "npxg90": 0.1575, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xa90": 0.2377, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgchain90": 0.5016, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgbuildup90": 0.1927, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.217, "player_id": 199527, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1216.0, "npxg90": 0.21448036252925368, "xa90": 0.3867771375103315, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2443.0, "npxg90": 0.242811677496342, "xa90": 0.34413345892331515, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1630.0, "npxg90": 0.1722669366495741, "xa90": 0.26423294396579633, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.04376333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3351909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1601661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.340346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 199527, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1703.75, "empirical_lo80": 295.8, "empirical_hi80": 2614.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1620.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1703.75, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.105263, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 199527, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:199953", "player_id": 199953, "name": "Caleb Ekuban", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9843", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9843", "name": "Caleb Ekuban", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2574, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 880, "npxg90": 0.2986, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xa90": 0.1174, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xgchain90": 0.4222, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.353, "xgbuildup90": 0.0933, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.353, "player_id": 199953, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1104.0, "npxg90": 0.2502403652508055, "xa90": 0.1308026360651559, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 526.0, "npxg90": 0.5867394752899617, "xa90": 0.14692694288696173, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 944.0, "npxg90": 0.3929867388254379, "xa90": 0.11924797968970516, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18486333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4762909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03986617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22004604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 199953, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 904.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2038.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 975.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 904.75, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 199953, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:202886", "player_id": 202886, "name": "Ruben Loftus-Cheek", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 6, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "688", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "688", "name": "Ruben Loftus-Cheek", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4255, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1344, "npxg90": 0.2135, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xa90": 0.1032, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgchain90": 0.4887, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgbuildup90": 0.2608, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.263, "player_id": 202886, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2111.0, "npxg90": 0.17002452380182279, "xa90": 0.09451661721288396, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1022.0, "npxg90": 0.06445010682046705, "xa90": 0.1502022728571803, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1122.0, "npxg90": 0.33203379701783153, "xa90": 0.0835197529491575, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0997633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.39119096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.025666176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.205846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 202886, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1341.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2251.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1126.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1341.25, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 202886, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:203123", "player_id": 203123, "name": "Haris Tabakovic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 28, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 28 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13013", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13013", "name": "Haris Tabakovic", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3213, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1409, "npxg90": 0.3796, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xa90": 0.0947, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgchain90": 0.4577, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgbuildup90": 0.1134, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.254, "player_id": 203123, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 789.0, "npxg90": 0.4629891606564758, "xa90": 0.1958670253252802, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2424.0, "npxg90": 0.47613043905152835, "xa90": 0.06992242610229567, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2658633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5572909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.017166176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.19734604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 203123, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1867.666667, "empirical_lo80": 497.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3001.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2396.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1867.666667, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 203123, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:203504", "player_id": 203504, "name": "Pierre-Yves Hamel", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5762", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 203504, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 78.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1212.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 78.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 78.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 203504, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:206040", "player_id": 206040, "name": "Ra\u00fal Jim\u00e9nez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Fulham FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4105", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4105", "name": "Ra\u00fal Jim\u00e9nez", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Fulham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6169, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2096, "npxg90": 0.27, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xa90": 0.0831, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgchain90": 0.3762, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgbuildup90": 0.0919, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.186, "player_id": 206040, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1423.0, "npxg90": 0.3788521440172187, "xa90": 0.10703704321857747, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2531.0, "npxg90": 0.43104174372481413, "xa90": 0.14505188412455078, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2215.0, "npxg90": 0.3645471862304964, "xa90": 0.07899403013709436, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15626333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.44769096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.0055661761805131105, "xa90_high": 0.185746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 206040, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2076.75, "empirical_lo80": 706.2, "empirical_hi80": 3210.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2199.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2076.75, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 206040, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:206050", "player_id": 206050, "name": "Paulo Dybala", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.9333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 9, "Centre-Forward": 5, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1294", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1294", "name": "Paulo Dybala", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4802, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1540, "npxg90": 0.2512, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xa90": 0.2542, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgchain90": 0.5543, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgbuildup90": 0.2407, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.238, "player_id": 206050, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2011.0, "npxg90": 0.24252803413144602, "xa90": 0.24003331486945245, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1431.0, "npxg90": 0.30271948561212925, "xa90": 0.3916085295894611, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1360.0, "npxg90": 0.3655465716660461, "xa90": 0.42110660542076567, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13746333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4288909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1766661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.356846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 206050, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1526.75, "empirical_lo80": 156.2, "empirical_hi80": 2660.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1356.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1526.75, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.933333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 206050, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:216569", "player_id": 216569, "name": "J\u00e9r\u00e9mie Boga", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.23076923076923078, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Right Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC", "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3544", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3544", "name": "Jeremie Boga", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Juventus; Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4404, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1429, "npxg90": 0.3028, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xa90": 0.1903, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgchain90": 0.6158, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgbuildup90": 0.2133, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.251, "player_id": 216569, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2034.0, "npxg90": 0.22616070925991621, "xa90": 0.22294566117688616, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1059.0, "npxg90": 0.3001765942164082, "xa90": 0.1957481271104502, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1311.0, "npxg90": 0.4373802030480358, "xa90": 0.2279805352600202, "clubs": "Juventus; Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18906333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48049096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11276617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.292946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 216569, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1428.0, "empirical_lo80": 20.05, "empirical_hi80": 2338.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1322.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1428.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.230769, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 216569, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:217115", "player_id": 217115, "name": "Neal Maupay", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille", "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3621", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3621", "name": "Neal Maupay", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Marseille; Sevilla", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3320, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 1051, "npxg90": 0.3055, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xa90": 0.129, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgchain90": 0.5351, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgbuildup90": 0.1598, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.313, "player_id": 217115, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1381.0, "npxg90": 0.4711922295229708, "xa90": 0.15527682842189078, "clubs": "Brentford,Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1054.0, "npxg90": 0.4004769822833547, "xa90": 0.19518669933236188, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 885.0, "npxg90": 0.2157417894419977, "xa90": 0.057656672830551356, "clubs": "Marseille; Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1917633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4831909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05146617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.231646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 217115, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1052.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2186.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 872.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1052.75, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 217115, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:221958", "player_id": 221958, "name": "Roman Yaremchuk", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12041", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12041", "name": "Roman Yaremchuk", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1496, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 516, "npxg90": 0.3518, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.482, "xa90": 0.0984, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.482, "xgchain90": 0.536, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.482, "xgbuildup90": 0.135, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.482, "player_id": 221958, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 930.0, "npxg90": 0.4037309502581915, "xa90": 0.02056525395281853, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 566.0, "npxg90": 0.5214387543051908, "xa90": 0.0961966133041327, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2380633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5294909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02086617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.201046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 221958, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 682.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1816.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 561.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 682.666667, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 221958, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:225020", "player_id": 225020, "name": "Mariano D\u00edaz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 225020, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 267.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1401.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 282.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 267.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 225020, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:225122", "player_id": 225122, "name": "Gon\u00e7alo Guedes", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 0.045454545454545456, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 11, "Right Winger": 10, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5682", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5682", "name": "Gon\u00e7alo Guedes", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Sociedad", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3748, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1395, "npxg90": 0.226, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xa90": 0.138, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgchain90": 0.5295, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgbuildup90": 0.2612, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.256, "player_id": 225122, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 947.0, "npxg90": 0.23295031815232295, "xa90": 0.18357785983127173, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 968.0, "npxg90": 0.3095975143003685, "xa90": 0.13336772285786666, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1833.0, "npxg90": 0.20338501540392195, "xa90": 0.13087137323330153, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11226333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4036909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06046617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.24064604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 225122, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1400.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2310.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1832.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1400.5, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.045455, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 225122, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:225593", "player_id": 225593, "name": "Pere Milla", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 6, "Second Striker": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Espanyol Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4175", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4175", "name": "Pere Milla", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Espanyol", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2407, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1103, "npxg90": 0.2524, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xa90": 0.1345, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xgchain90": 0.3996, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xgbuildup90": 0.1243, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.303, "player_id": 225593, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 402.0, "npxg90": 0.3507574755392635, "xa90": 0.08756490591079441, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2005.0, "npxg90": 0.3435954161712951, "xa90": 0.18404030356732687, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13866333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.43009096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.056966176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.23714604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 225593, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1473.0, "empirical_lo80": 65.05, "empirical_hi80": 2383.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1988.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1473.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 225593, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:228645", "player_id": 228645, "name": "Wout Weghorst", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Ajax" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Ajax", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1782.0, "npxg90": 0.3177272671400898, "xa90": 0.1569317446814642, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 228645, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:229006", "player_id": 229006, "name": "Franck Honorat", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.4166666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 8, "Centre-Forward": 8, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Right Midfield": 2, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3314", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3314", "name": "Franck Honorat", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5904, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1981, "npxg90": 0.0792, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xa90": 0.2998, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgchain90": 0.4403, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgbuildup90": 0.1988, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.195, "player_id": 229006, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2405.0, "npxg90": 0.06506028435659632, "xa90": 0.4304149878867698, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1478.0, "npxg90": 0.24564908831273186, "xa90": 0.4099873044995619, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2021.0, "npxg90": 0.03982378397540607, "xa90": 0.3269451822604448, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2568909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.22226617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.402446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 229006, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1947.25, "empirical_lo80": 539.3, "empirical_hi80": 2857.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1988.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1947.25, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.416667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 229006, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:232271", "player_id": 232271, "name": "Sofiane Boufal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.15384615384615385, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1734", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1734", "name": "Sofiane Boufal", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1050, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 525, "npxg90": 0.1477, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xa90": 0.1975, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xgchain90": 0.4096, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.478, "xgbuildup90": 0.15, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.478, "player_id": 232271, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1050.0, "npxg90": 0.0636492339095899, "xa90": 0.3115317938051054, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.033963330153298305, "npxg90_high": 0.3253909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11996617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.300146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 232271, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1028.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1938.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1028.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1028.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.153846, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 232271, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:234523", "player_id": 234523, "name": "Antonio Sanabria", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2217", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2217", "name": "Antonio Sanabria", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4398, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1330, "npxg90": 0.2662, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xa90": 0.1011, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgchain90": 0.4037, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgbuildup90": 0.1309, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.265, "player_id": 234523, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2156.0, "npxg90": 0.3763315610756928, "xa90": 0.048846255060015775, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1321.0, "npxg90": 0.12351413784065002, "xa90": 0.021765530222207646, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 921.0, "npxg90": 0.2912000304615847, "xa90": 0.19385709739760387, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1524633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4438909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.023566176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.20374604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 234523, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1333.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2467.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 940.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1333.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 234523, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:234781", "player_id": 234781, "name": "Maxwel Cornet", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3278", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3278", "name": "Maxwel Cornet", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 522, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 158, "npxg90": 0.1689, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.752, "xa90": 0.1305, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.752, "xgchain90": 0.4118, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.752, "xgbuildup90": 0.2194, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.752, "player_id": 234781, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 101.0, "npxg90": 0.4727364209766435, "xa90": 0.14346862986388773, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 311.0, "npxg90": 0.3144240690772556, "xa90": 0.30823409126119217, "clubs": "Genoa; Southampton", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 110.0, "npxg90": 0.5467616875063289, "xa90": 0.2010861196639863, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0551633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3465909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05296617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23314604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 234781, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 112.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 161.75, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 234781, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:237164", "player_id": 237164, "name": "Ihlas Bebou", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6271", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6271", "name": "Ihlas Bebou", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1744, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 468, "npxg90": 0.2031, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xa90": 0.164, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xgchain90": 0.5992, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xgbuildup90": 0.273, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.506, "player_id": 237164, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1615.0, "npxg90": 0.2983975741412525, "xa90": 0.1608669980437763, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 129.0, "npxg90": 0.4482411398270795, "xa90": 0.6789192903873532, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08936333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3807909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08646617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.266646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 237164, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 176.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 497.75, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 237164, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:237662", "player_id": 237662, "name": "Breel Embolo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 20, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 20 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5356", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5356", "name": "Breel Embolo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3898, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1442, "npxg90": 0.4252, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xa90": 0.1402, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgchain90": 0.6592, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgbuildup90": 0.1988, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.25, "player_id": 237662, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 175.0, "npxg90": 0.4248080951826913, "xa90": 0.08817080376403671, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1853.0, "npxg90": 0.601193855330147, "xa90": 0.285716025129612, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1870.0, "npxg90": 0.43486135465934633, "xa90": 0.07054615084002203, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3114633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6028909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06266617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.242846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 237662, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1443.0, "empirical_lo80": 72.45, "empirical_hi80": 2577.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1873.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1443.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 237662, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:238407", "player_id": 238407, "name": "Alexander S\u00f8rloth", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 20, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 20 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6531", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6531", "name": "Alexander S\u00f8rloth", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5967, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1980, "npxg90": 0.5694, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xa90": 0.0944, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgchain90": 0.7136, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgbuildup90": 0.1306, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.195, "player_id": 238407, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2487.0, "npxg90": 0.5583534120785385, "xa90": 0.14683410783710613, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1525.0, "npxg90": 1.1633049021978847, "xa90": 0.07699046086092465, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1955.0, "npxg90": 0.6411686838054291, "xa90": 0.056335669001350015, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4556633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7470909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.016866176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.197046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 238407, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2003.5, "empirical_lo80": 632.95, "empirical_hi80": 3137.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1981.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2003.5, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 238407, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:238639", "player_id": 238639, "name": "Steve Mouni\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3800", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 238639, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 238639, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:239647", "player_id": 239647, "name": "Aiyegun Tosin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.36363636363636365, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 7, "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12049", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12049", "name": "Aiyegun Tosin", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lorient", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1968, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 759, "npxg90": 0.3468, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.387, "xa90": 0.1034, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.387, "xgchain90": 0.4768, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.387, "xgbuildup90": 0.1042, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.387, "player_id": 239647, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 900.0, "npxg90": 0.1174021172337234, "xa90": 0.03183338642120361, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1068.0, "npxg90": 0.49522729239981156, "xa90": 0.08731606562904427, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2330633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5244909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.025866176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.206046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 239647, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1012.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1922.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1068.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1012.333333, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.363636, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 239647, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:241527", "player_id": 241527, "name": "Federico Bonazzoli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 31, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 28, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2019", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2019", "name": "Federico Bonazzoli", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3568, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1535, "npxg90": 0.2337, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xa90": 0.0804, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgchain90": 0.3921, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgbuildup90": 0.1503, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.238, "player_id": 241527, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 997.0, "npxg90": 0.18831603200087996, "xa90": 0.10510820538597695, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2571.0, "npxg90": 0.23592055172636636, "xa90": 0.05365637549424116, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1199633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.41139096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.0028661761805131164, "xa90_high": 0.18304604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 241527, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2020.666667, "empirical_lo80": 650.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3154.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2524.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2020.666667, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 241527, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:242086", "player_id": 242086, "name": "Patrik Schick", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.9565217391304348, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1236", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1236", "name": "Patrik Schick", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4742, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1687, "npxg90": 0.5392, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xa90": 0.1139, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgchain90": 0.6955, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgbuildup90": 0.1647, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.222, "player_id": 242086, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1062.0, "npxg90": 0.5102300492383666, "xa90": 0.09518084258346235, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1675.0, "npxg90": 0.7012282657867936, "xa90": 0.047987832940781294, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2005.0, "npxg90": 0.7017057467242725, "xa90": 0.1432835478010469, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4254633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7168909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03636617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.216546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 242086, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1685.75, "empirical_lo80": 315.2, "empirical_hi80": 2819.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1996.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1685.75, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.956522, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 242086, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:245744", "player_id": 245744, "name": "Takuma Asano", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.375, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6087", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6087", "name": "Takuma Asano", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3781, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1111, "npxg90": 0.2869, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.302, "xa90": 0.1001, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.302, "xgchain90": 0.4362, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.302, "xgbuildup90": 0.1476, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.302, "player_id": 245744, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2048.0, "npxg90": 0.4378780683146033, "xa90": 0.07165052676100458, "clubs": "Bochum", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1071.0, "npxg90": 0.2484917695469716, "xa90": 0.07823983097777647, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 662.0, "npxg90": 0.304446255287375, "xa90": 0.13845834295825293, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1731633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4645909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02256617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.20274604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 245744, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1095.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2005.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 659.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1095.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.375, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 245744, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:246968", "player_id": 246968, "name": "Ayoze P\u00e9rez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "770", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "770", "name": "Ayoze P\u00e9rez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5487, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1660, "npxg90": 0.3504, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xa90": 0.1399, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgchain90": 0.5847, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgbuildup90": 0.1592, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.224, "player_id": 246968, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2346.0, "npxg90": 0.34486877558100254, "xa90": 0.16167624972646347, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1987.0, "npxg90": 0.689745278186275, "xa90": 0.1416775289872332, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1154.0, "npxg90": 0.39923433808406467, "xa90": 0.20089423406604462, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2366633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5280909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.062366176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.24254604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 246968, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1631.75, "empirical_lo80": 261.2, "empirical_hi80": 2765.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1122.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1631.75, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 246968, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:247652", "player_id": 247652, "name": "Shon Weissman", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Blau Wei\u00df Linz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Blau Wei\u00df Linz", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2287.0, "npxg90": 0.2956580677874806, "xa90": 0.0827802486382148, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 247652, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:248999", "player_id": 248999, "name": "Lucas H\u00f6ler", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13, "Second Striker": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6475", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6475", "name": "Lucas H\u00f6ler", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6291, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2090, "npxg90": 0.2627, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xa90": 0.0994, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xgchain90": 0.4268, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xgbuildup90": 0.1331, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.187, "player_id": 248999, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2354.0, "npxg90": 0.23772748932558901, "xa90": 0.08311653059504502, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1867.0, "npxg90": 0.5216563961418255, "xa90": 0.14709059775562036, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2070.0, "npxg90": 0.2281018736893716, "xa90": 0.09056257958645407, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1489633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4403909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02186617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.202046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 248999, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2067.5, "empirical_lo80": 696.95, "empirical_hi80": 3201.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2044.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2067.5, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 248999, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:250426", "player_id": 250426, "name": "Adam Armstrong", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.7142857142857143, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Attacking Midfield": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4419", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4419", "name": "Adam Armstrong", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2452, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 906, "npxg90": 0.2205, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.346, "xa90": 0.1292, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.346, "xgchain90": 0.3703, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.346, "xgbuildup90": 0.1157, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.346, "player_id": 250426, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1282.0, "npxg90": 0.22270434828077018, "xa90": 0.14078715319967539, "clubs": "Southampton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1170.0, "npxg90": 0.15749303695674127, "xa90": 0.11548580386890815, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.10676333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.39819096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.051666176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.231846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 250426, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1182.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2316.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1147.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1182.666667, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.714286, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 250426, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:251106", "player_id": 251106, "name": "Enes \u00dcnal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6219", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6219", "name": "Enes \u00dcnal", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 866, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 256, "npxg90": 0.3875, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xa90": 0.1732, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xgchain90": 0.6462, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xgbuildup90": 0.2569, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.652, "player_id": 251106, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 416.0, "npxg90": 0.8866965568337876, "xa90": 0.4092579047517994, "clubs": "Bournemouth; Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 292.0, "npxg90": 0.6216758928478581, "xa90": 0.16802707444621276, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 158.0, "npxg90": 1.3250933026399794, "xa90": 0.161844084534464, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27376333015329835, "npxg90_high": 0.5651909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09566617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.275846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 251106, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 214.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 304.25, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 251106, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:251303", "player_id": 251303, "name": "Johannes Eggestein", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FK Austria Wien" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Austrian Bundesliga" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FK Austria Wien", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 2333.0, "npxg90": 0.1380398605087515, "xa90": 0.1693857646121316, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 251303, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:252677", "player_id": 252677, "name": "Jos\u00e9 Luis Morales", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Levante UD" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2186", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2186", "name": "Morales", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Levante", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1294, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 398, "npxg90": 0.1732, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.547, "xa90": 0.077, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.547, "xgchain90": 0.4354, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.547, "xgbuildup90": 0.2126, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.547, "player_id": 252677, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 996.0, "npxg90": 0.5263768171846688, "xa90": 0.053611914346735165, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 298.0, "npxg90": 0.5339327999453167, "xa90": 0.3336174281051495, "clubs": "Levante", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0594633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.35089096897157734, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.179646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 252677, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 346.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 576.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 252677, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:255508", "player_id": 255508, "name": "I\u00f1aki Williams", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.28, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 17, "Centre-Forward": 7, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2399", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2399", "name": "I\u00f1aki Williams", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7727, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2479, "npxg90": 0.2852, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xa90": 0.1782, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgchain90": 0.532, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgbuildup90": 0.1667, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.162, "player_id": 255508, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2880.0, "npxg90": 0.3572511383681558, "xa90": 0.19349777165916748, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2659.0, "npxg90": 0.3438821999512363, "xa90": 0.29747219112480705, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2188.0, "npxg90": 0.3256602801290601, "xa90": 0.17314005178319364, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17146333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.46289096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.10066617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.280846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 255508, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2461.25, "empirical_lo80": 1053.3, "empirical_hi80": 3371.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2168.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2461.25, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.28, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 255508, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:256267", "player_id": 256267, "name": "Vedat Muriqi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 36, "all_position_starts": 36, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 36 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9002", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9002", "name": "Vedat Muriqi", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7566, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2679, "npxg90": 0.3479, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xa90": 0.0894, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xgchain90": 0.4311, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xgbuildup90": 0.1075, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.152, "player_id": 256267, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2335.0, "npxg90": 0.3465416161562825, "xa90": 0.12430952234508776, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2081.0, "npxg90": 0.37866902699204436, "xa90": 0.11675946626602772, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3150.0, "npxg90": 0.46936690961675986, "xa90": 0.07100886646658182, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2341633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5255909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01186617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.192046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 256267, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2667.75, "empirical_lo80": 1297.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3137.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2667.75, "prior_starts": 36.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 256267, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:257062", "player_id": 257062, "name": "\u00c1lvaro Garc\u00eda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.043478260869565216, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 22, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7071", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7071", "name": "\u00c1lvaro Garc\u00eda", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7241, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2341, "npxg90": 0.2124, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xa90": 0.172, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xgchain90": 0.4302, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xgbuildup90": 0.0932, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.17, "player_id": 257062, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2537.0, "npxg90": 0.25230463480398463, "xa90": 0.131188655087844, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2581.0, "npxg90": 0.2627845228884581, "xa90": 0.20030341944298233, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2123.0, "npxg90": 0.2912738453728435, "xa90": 0.31093544055616945, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09866333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.39009096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.0944661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.274646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 257062, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2319.75, "empirical_lo80": 911.8, "empirical_hi80": 3230.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2108.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2319.75, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.043478, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 257062, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:258889", "player_id": 258889, "name": "Dominic Solanke", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1679", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1679", "name": "Dominic Solanke", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Tottenham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6555, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1886, "npxg90": 0.4092, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xa90": 0.0959, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xgchain90": 0.554, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xgbuildup90": 0.1449, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.203, "player_id": 258889, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3346.0, "npxg90": 0.5143751315349459, "xa90": 0.0953190344303971, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2220.0, "npxg90": 0.4724945587584296, "xa90": 0.099776145121133, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 989.0, "npxg90": 0.3263627591611642, "xa90": 0.05438666741756385, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2954633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5868909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.018366176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.198546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 258889, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1885.25, "empirical_lo80": 514.7, "empirical_hi80": 3019.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1001.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1885.25, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 258889, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:258923", "player_id": 258923, "name": "Marcus Rashford", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 16, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "556", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "556", "name": "Marcus Rashford", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5466, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1801, "npxg90": 0.3214, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xa90": 0.1969, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xgchain90": 0.6626, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xgbuildup90": 0.271, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.21, "player_id": 258923, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2292.0, "npxg90": 0.24106799795521494, "xa90": 0.09385241717295184, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1435.0, "npxg90": 0.2649746905064749, "xa90": 0.2965858043382392, "clubs": "Aston Villa,Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1739.0, "npxg90": 0.4501431915039318, "xa90": 0.2568871159558498, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20766333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.49909096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11936617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.299546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 258923, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1762.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1807.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 258923, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:264372", "player_id": 264372, "name": "Viktor Tsygankov", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.0967741935483871, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 27, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11322", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11322", "name": "Viktor Tsygankov", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6737, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2352, "npxg90": 0.2361, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xa90": 0.1777, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xgchain90": 0.5312, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xgbuildup90": 0.2275, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.169, "player_id": 264372, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2118.0, "npxg90": 0.30521908970206724, "xa90": 0.2910419562488541, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1947.0, "npxg90": 0.13670206365558693, "xa90": 0.19205498747320957, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2672.0, "npxg90": 0.24634118172379132, "xa90": 0.1435173561825824, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.12236333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4137909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10016617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.280346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 264372, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2318.0, "empirical_lo80": 910.05, "empirical_hi80": 3228.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2642.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2318.0, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.096774, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 264372, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:265078", "player_id": 265078, "name": "Patrick Cutrone", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907", "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4918", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4918", "name": "Patrick Cutrone", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2966, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 968, "npxg90": 0.3105, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xa90": 0.1114, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgchain90": 0.4531, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgbuildup90": 0.1182, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.331, "player_id": 265078, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2058.0, "npxg90": 0.35179423396380577, "xa90": 0.12619063529693697, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 908.0, "npxg90": 0.3242598438639571, "xa90": 0.06532628835888686, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1967633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4881909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.033866176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.214046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 265078, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1281.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2415.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 894.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1281.333333, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 265078, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:267160", "player_id": 267160, "name": "Adam Buksa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11102", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11102", "name": "Adam Buksa", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 886, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 443, "npxg90": 0.2675, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xa90": 0.1189, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgchain90": 0.4349, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgbuildup90": 0.1146, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.52, "player_id": 267160, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 886.0, "npxg90": 0.28279105062611215, "xa90": 0.10150438479440073, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15376333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.44519096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04136617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22154604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 267160, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 911.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2045.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 911.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 911.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 267160, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:270541", "player_id": 270541, "name": "Serhou Guirassy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3738", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3738", "name": "Serhou Guirassy", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia Dortmund", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7202, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2392, "npxg90": 0.6176, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.1407, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.8314, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.1964, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 270541, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2228.0, "npxg90": 0.8273291568768409, "xa90": 0.3097764893035326, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2608.0, "npxg90": 0.7469144443255719, "xa90": 0.13552320753995536, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2366.0, "npxg90": 0.6709241992238962, "xa90": 0.07339964127947442, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.5038633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7952909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.06316617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.243346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 270541, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2379.5, "empirical_lo80": 1008.95, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2351.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2379.5, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 270541, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:272278", "player_id": 272278, "name": "Chris F\u00fchrich", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 12, "Left Midfield": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6449", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6449", "name": "Chris F\u00fchrich", "comp": "L1", "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6446, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2043, "npxg90": 0.2235, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xa90": 0.2897, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgchain90": 0.7866, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgbuildup90": 0.4326, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.19, "player_id": 272278, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2709.0, "npxg90": 0.22433600843299267, "xa90": 0.2967784769115258, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2010.0, "npxg90": 0.15439580069549047, "xa90": 0.2348406977061905, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1727.0, "npxg90": 0.22261618707193137, "xa90": 0.4079432554918352, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.10976333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.40119096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.21216617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.392346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 272278, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1998.5, "empirical_lo80": 590.55, "empirical_hi80": 2908.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1706.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1998.5, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 272278, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:272642", "player_id": 272642, "name": "Allan Saint-Maximin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "101", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "101", "name": "Allan Saint-Maximin", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 380, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 190, "npxg90": 0.1809, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.716, "xa90": 0.2158, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.716, "xgchain90": 0.6616, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.716, "xgbuildup90": 0.3532, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.716, "player_id": 272642, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 380.0, "npxg90": 0.35220719496474456, "xa90": 0.47707755697008813, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06716333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.35859096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.13826617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.318446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 272642, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 403.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1537.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 403.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 403.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 272642, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:272855", "player_id": 272855, "name": "Paul Onuachu", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Trabzonspor" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Trabzonspor", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2522.0, "npxg90": 0.4060170349859227, "xa90": 0.0510410592255376, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 272855, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:278359", "player_id": 278359, "name": "Borja Iglesias", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Celta de Vigo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2543", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2543", "name": "Borja Iglesias", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Celta Vigo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4506, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1602, "npxg90": 0.3108, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xa90": 0.0978, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgchain90": 0.5154, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgbuildup90": 0.1589, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.231, "player_id": 278359, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 635.0, "npxg90": 0.3315497608048709, "xa90": 0.22283419468036786, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen; Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1968.0, "npxg90": 0.528347448448696, "xa90": 0.14531752587261995, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1903.0, "npxg90": 0.40840653961997125, "xa90": 0.07850667785733735, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19706333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.48849096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.020266176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.200446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 278359, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1606.0, "empirical_lo80": 235.45, "empirical_hi80": 2740.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1902.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1606.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 278359, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:279823", "player_id": 279823, "name": "Stefano Moreo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 19, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.6785714285714286, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18, "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13939", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13939", "name": "Stefano Moreo", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2336, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1168, "npxg90": 0.175, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xa90": 0.1165, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgchain90": 0.3511, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgbuildup90": 0.1272, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.291, "player_id": 279823, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2336.0, "npxg90": 0.18106360546606656, "xa90": 0.13663870393304947, "clubs": "Pisa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.061263330153298295, "npxg90_high": 0.3526909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.038966176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.219146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 279823, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2316.0, "empirical_lo80": 945.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2316.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2316.0, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.678571, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 279823, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:282388", "player_id": 282388, "name": "Giovanni Simeone", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.9629629629629629, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1102", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1102", "name": "Giovanni Simeone", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3374, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1412, "npxg90": 0.3746, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xa90": 0.0942, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgchain90": 0.5061, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgbuildup90": 0.0932, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.254, "player_id": 282388, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 752.0, "npxg90": 0.4946691736311434, "xa90": 0.09555601511160507, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 349.0, "npxg90": 0.5844212776813176, "xa90": 0.2572199153609809, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2273.0, "npxg90": 0.4427428848162995, "xa90": 0.07357688542427572, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2608633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5522909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.016666176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.19684604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 282388, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1418.25, "empirical_lo80": 47.7, "empirical_hi80": 2552.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2247.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1418.25, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.962963, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 282388, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:282421", "player_id": 282421, "name": "Javi Mu\u00f1oz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4168", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4168", "name": "Javi Mu\u00f1oz", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5778, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1576, "npxg90": 0.1186, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xa90": 0.0803, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgchain90": 0.3153, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgbuildup90": 0.1611, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.233, "player_id": 282421, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2659.0, "npxg90": 0.10680182481443089, "xa90": 0.056927204321216666, "clubs": "Las Palmas", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2592.0, "npxg90": 0.07070370998311168, "xa90": 0.08044750947091314, "clubs": "Las Palmas", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 527.0, "npxg90": 0.05677040425116864, "xa90": 0.044728364844928425, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.004863330153298304, "npxg90_high": 0.2962909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0027661761805131135, "xa90_high": 0.182946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 282421, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1581.25, "empirical_lo80": 173.3, "empirical_hi80": 2491.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 545.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1581.25, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 282421, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:283196", "player_id": 283196, "name": "Kasper Dolberg", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Ajax" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Ajax", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1094.0, "npxg90": 0.3219021913992203, "xa90": 0.0822245883985237, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 283196, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:283497", "player_id": 283497, "name": "Mathias Honsak", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.13333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 11, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11917", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11917", "name": "Mathias Honsak", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3431, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1174, "npxg90": 0.2389, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xa90": 0.1113, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgchain90": 0.414, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgbuildup90": 0.1362, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.29, "player_id": 283497, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1004.0, "npxg90": 0.19100739879429757, "xa90": 0.08994461521432101, "clubs": "Darmstadt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1164.0, "npxg90": 0.21252699013914647, "xa90": 0.08912234696722829, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1263.0, "npxg90": 0.23647318414972116, "xa90": 0.10302343894672224, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1251633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4165909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03376617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.213946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 283497, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1172.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2082.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1249.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1172.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.133333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 283497, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:28396", "player_id": 28396, "name": "Edin Dzeko", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1253", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1253", "name": "Edin Dzeko", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 40.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 220, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 110, "npxg90": 0.1544, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.814, "xa90": 0.0837, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.814, "xgchain90": 0.2905, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.814, "xgbuildup90": 0.1107, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.814, "player_id": 28396, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 220.0, "npxg90": 0.10497611964290791, "xa90": 0.0714976904405789, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.040663330153298316, "npxg90_high": 0.3320909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.006166176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.186346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 28396, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 236.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1370.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 236.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 236.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 28396, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:283994", "player_id": 283994, "name": "Ludovic Ajorque", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 32, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 32 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Brestois 29" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6905", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6905", "name": "Ludovic Ajorque", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Brest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6714, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2387, "npxg90": 0.2855, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.1019, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.4348, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.1339, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 283994, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1347.0, "npxg90": 0.2806342504337795, "xa90": 0.05741653354104218, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2533.0, "npxg90": 0.42042450816839333, "xa90": 0.10892770066342591, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2834.0, "npxg90": 0.3130117254877225, "xa90": 0.12123472677069225, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17176333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4631909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02436617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.204546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 283994, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2377.5, "empirical_lo80": 1006.95, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2824.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2377.5, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 283994, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:284010", "player_id": 284010, "name": "Robin Hack", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6351", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6351", "name": "Robin Hack", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 3895, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1052, "npxg90": 0.2074, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xa90": 0.1659, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgchain90": 0.5161, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.313, "xgbuildup90": 0.227, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.313, "player_id": 284010, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1357.0, "npxg90": 0.30295118136028093, "xa90": 0.13378189459399167, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2227.0, "npxg90": 0.20080854828947453, "xa90": 0.183721176584071, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 311.0, "npxg90": 0.22467694038650995, "xa90": 0.2506221627211647, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09366333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.38509096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.08836617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.268546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 284010, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 317.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1041.5, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 284010, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:286297", "player_id": 286297, "name": "Lorenzo Pellegrini", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 18, "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1471", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1471", "name": "Lorenzo Pellegrini", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5034, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1636, "npxg90": 0.2163, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xa90": 0.1467, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xgchain90": 0.4451, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xgbuildup90": 0.2315, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.227, "player_id": 286297, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1878.0, "npxg90": 0.2139577504021291, "xa90": 0.13732681233888142, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1648.0, "npxg90": 0.25484428487862776, "xa90": 0.1433327316659168, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1508.0, "npxg90": 0.19412494559750082, "xa90": 0.17895530664735038, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1025633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3939909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06916617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.249346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 286297, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1612.75, "empirical_lo80": 204.8, "empirical_hi80": 2523.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1476.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1612.75, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 286297, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:287920", "player_id": 287920, "name": "Tim Skarke", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.75, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10926", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10926", "name": "Tim Skarke", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4135, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1172, "npxg90": 0.1899, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xa90": 0.1287, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgchain90": 0.4304, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgbuildup90": 0.1631, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.29, "player_id": 287920, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2454.0, "npxg90": 0.1444610594692105, "xa90": 0.07498226950541685, "clubs": "Darmstadt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1126.0, "npxg90": 0.15086448249335982, "xa90": 0.11628005273150507, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 555.0, "npxg90": 0.14700428512249444, "xa90": 0.23482750542461872, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07616333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.36759096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.051166176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.231346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 287920, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1197.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2331.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 607.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1197.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.75, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 287920, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:288225", "player_id": 288225, "name": "Ludovic Blas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.06666666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 6, "Central Midfield": 3, "Right Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3475", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3475", "name": "Ludovic Blas", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5414, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1734, "npxg90": 0.163, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xa90": 0.2293, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgchain90": 0.5446, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgbuildup90": 0.2775, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.217, "player_id": 288225, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1561.0, "npxg90": 0.18792838032412879, "xa90": 0.11236560442064299, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2332.0, "npxg90": 0.21536349608062877, "xa90": 0.21755973593608235, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1521.0, "npxg90": 0.19077310167782052, "xa90": 0.4129635163489178, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.04926333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.34069096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.15176617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.331946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 288225, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1737.5, "empirical_lo80": 329.55, "empirical_hi80": 2647.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1542.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1737.5, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.066667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 288225, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:288230", "player_id": 288230, "name": "Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3226", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3226", "name": "Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4319, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1342, "npxg90": 0.4558, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xa90": 0.3568, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgchain90": 0.9847, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.263, "xgbuildup90": 0.3763, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.263, "player_id": 288230, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1522.0, "npxg90": 0.3233100185794915, "xa90": 0.42661185196445434, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1747.0, "npxg90": 0.9157240844017687, "xa90": 0.45342551826850713, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1050.0, "npxg90": 0.37068138739892414, "xa90": 0.4463559789316995, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.34206333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6334909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.27926617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.459446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 288230, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1342.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2476.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1063.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1342.75, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 288230, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:288340", "player_id": 288340, "name": "Phillip Tietz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 19, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 19 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05", "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11845", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11845", "name": "Phillip Tietz", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg,Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5964, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1944, "npxg90": 0.3926, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xa90": 0.106, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgchain90": 0.5763, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgbuildup90": 0.1655, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.198, "player_id": 288340, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2470.0, "npxg90": 0.33342452338983414, "xa90": 0.10182813205096403, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1683.0, "npxg90": 0.31352284035700206, "xa90": 0.07919868698373517, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1811.0, "npxg90": 0.538747768585834, "xa90": 0.09547389502221054, "clubs": "Augsburg,Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27886333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5702909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.028466176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.208646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 288340, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1927.25, "empirical_lo80": 556.7, "empirical_hi80": 3061.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1809.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1927.25, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 288340, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:289257", "player_id": 289257, "name": "Jon Guridi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.06666666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Defensive Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5179", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5179", "name": "Jon Guridi", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Alaves", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6158, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1852, "npxg90": 0.1561, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xa90": 0.0876, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xgchain90": 0.3898, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xgbuildup90": 0.2079, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.206, "player_id": 289257, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2758.0, "npxg90": 0.1613797511374598, "xa90": 0.1374121525468733, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2149.0, "npxg90": 0.15069587205147927, "xa90": 0.04782913352387514, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1251.0, "npxg90": 0.11657504083441315, "xa90": 0.038965073206441866, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.042363330153298295, "npxg90_high": 0.33379096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.010066176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.190246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 289257, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1819.25, "empirical_lo80": 411.3, "empirical_hi80": 2729.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1240.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1819.25, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.066667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 289257, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:290249", "player_id": 290249, "name": "Mauro Arambarri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 37, "cf_start_share": 0.08108108108108109, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 20, "Defensive Midfield": 14, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3264", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3264", "name": "Mauro Arambarri", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 6270, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2387, "npxg90": 0.1492, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.0335, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.2177, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.0991, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 290249, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 321.0, "npxg90": 0.07732979726986351, "xa90": 0.011194842719586097, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2670.0, "npxg90": 0.2444458608044667, "xa90": 0.021898853435610117, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3279.0, "npxg90": 0.16053539108611092, "xa90": 0.026805497917252077, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.035463330153298306, "npxg90_high": 0.3268909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.13614604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 290249, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2377.75, "empirical_lo80": 969.8, "empirical_hi80": 3288.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3255.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2377.75, "prior_starts": 37.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.081081, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 290249, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:292246", "player_id": 292246, "name": "Hee-chan Hwang", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 2, "Left Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8845", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8845", "name": "Hee-Chan Hwang", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4246, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1429, "npxg90": 0.2058, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xa90": 0.1113, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgchain90": 0.3874, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgbuildup90": 0.1185, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.251, "player_id": 292246, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2154.0, "npxg90": 0.33094857881639494, "xa90": 0.1312116266573289, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 623.0, "npxg90": 0.1154322809514322, "xa90": 0.041183102995539934, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1469.0, "npxg90": 0.11644086342145182, "xa90": 0.11527570173742822, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09206333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3834909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03376617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.213946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 292246, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1420.75, "empirical_lo80": 50.2, "empirical_hi80": 2554.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1455.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1420.75, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 292246, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:293200", "player_id": 293200, "name": "Nikola Vla\u0161i\u0107", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 36, "cf_start_share": 0.08333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 17, "Attacking Midfield": 13, "Left Winger": 3, "Second Striker": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6276", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6276", "name": "Nikola Vlasic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7836, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2729, "npxg90": 0.1246, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.15, "xa90": 0.1265, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.15, "xgchain90": 0.4208, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.15, "xgbuildup90": 0.2249, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.15, "player_id": 293200, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2630.0, "npxg90": 0.10999999276783758, "xa90": 0.11660088595187029, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2127.0, "npxg90": 0.07882820594693273, "xa90": 0.1117789887459305, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3079.0, "npxg90": 0.10527652781184481, "xa90": 0.13681018395339098, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.010863330153298309, "npxg90_high": 0.3022909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04896617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.229146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 293200, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2711.75, "empirical_lo80": 1303.8, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3055.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2711.75, "prior_starts": 36.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.083333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 293200, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:293281", "player_id": 293281, "name": "Jacob Bruun Larsen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Left Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5355", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5355", "name": "Jacob Bruun Larsen", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Burnley", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3042, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1011, "npxg90": 0.2607, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.322, "xa90": 0.1391, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.322, "xgchain90": 0.5183, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.322, "xgbuildup90": 0.1917, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.322, "player_id": 293281, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1272.0, "npxg90": 0.3207490573426322, "xa90": 0.10292101515246169, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 767.0, "npxg90": 0.3945275138446762, "xa90": 0.22387078459310253, "clubs": "Hoffenheim,VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1003.0, "npxg90": 0.12850506946162238, "xa90": 0.1236747275826225, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1469633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4383909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06156617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.241746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 293281, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1023.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1933.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1023.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1023.25, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 293281, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:293385", "player_id": 293385, "name": "Dani Olmo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.041666666666666664, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 21, "Left Winger": 1, "Central Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8292", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8292", "name": "Dani Olmo", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4817, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1732, "npxg90": 0.325, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xa90": 0.263, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgchain90": 0.8964, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgbuildup90": 0.4419, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.217, "player_id": 293385, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1487.0, "npxg90": 0.2265365714634435, "xa90": 0.3271534869468645, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1221.0, "npxg90": 0.3797231697882423, "xa90": 0.2839085828119326, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2109.0, "npxg90": 0.37358882785330966, "xa90": 0.28410349049172223, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.21126333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5026909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.18546617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.365646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 293385, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1706.5, "empirical_lo80": 298.55, "empirical_hi80": 2616.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2077.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1706.5, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.041667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 293385, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:295313", "player_id": 295313, "name": "Taiwo Awoniyi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7814", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7814", "name": "Taiwo Awoniyi", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Nottingham Forest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1870, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 578, "npxg90": 0.4706, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xa90": 0.1558, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xgchain90": 0.6566, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xgbuildup90": 0.1864, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.454, "player_id": 295313, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1066.0, "npxg90": 0.4272780174959109, "xa90": 0.13756951687623367, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 363.0, "npxg90": 0.5996690819825022, "xa90": 0.021966216269849747, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 441.0, "npxg90": 0.887103048818452, "xa90": 0.26936035831363836, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3568633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6482909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07826617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.258446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 295313, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 601.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1735.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 481.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 601.75, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 295313, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:297583", "player_id": 297583, "name": "Woo-yeong Jeong", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.07692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 6, "Right Winger": 4, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7267", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7267", "name": "Woo-Yeong Jeong", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3042, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1056, "npxg90": 0.2633, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.312, "xa90": 0.12, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.312, "xgchain90": 0.5237, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.312, "xgbuildup90": 0.1964, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.312, "player_id": 297583, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 552.0, "npxg90": 0.4248697723707427, "xa90": 0.34272821761829697, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1308.0, "npxg90": 0.18201230696205972, "xa90": 0.10874616029168215, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1182.0, "npxg90": 0.204176302989803, "xa90": 0.03252344891466768, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14956333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4409909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04246617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.222646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 297583, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1069.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1979.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1193.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1069.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.076923, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 297583, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:298976", "player_id": 298976, "name": "Borja Mayoral", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2252", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2252", "name": "Borja Mayoral", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4329, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1350, "npxg90": 0.2814, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xa90": 0.0943, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgchain90": 0.4263, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgbuildup90": 0.1141, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.262, "player_id": 298976, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2193.0, "npxg90": 0.36149118620540477, "xa90": 0.0792681175588583, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1064.0, "npxg90": 0.28360892635160934, "xa90": 0.11130787500467404, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1072.0, "npxg90": 0.2306481712296216, "xa90": 0.047097171121624426, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1676633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4590909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.016766176180513112, "xa90_high": 0.196946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 298976, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1347.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2481.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1059.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1347.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 298976, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:300532", "player_id": 300532, "name": "Pontus Almqvist", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9061", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9061", "name": "Pontus Almqvist", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3659, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1025, "npxg90": 0.1059, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.319, "xa90": 0.148, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.319, "xgchain90": 0.3556, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.319, "xgbuildup90": 0.1549, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.319, "player_id": 300532, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2132.0, "npxg90": 0.12524101047953118, "xa90": 0.12769814046872097, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1085.0, "npxg90": 0.1710586810338607, "xa90": 0.13991317741813197, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 442.0, "npxg90": 0.06872257327332215, "xa90": 0.37049696287688083, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2835909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07046617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.250646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 300532, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1031.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1941.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 452.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1031.5, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 300532, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:302371", "player_id": 302371, "name": "Toni Mart\u00ednez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 32, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 32 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 302371, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2154.666667, "empirical_lo80": 784.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3288.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2730.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2154.666667, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 302371, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:305947", "player_id": 305947, "name": "Albert Gudmundsson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.37037037037037035, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 14, "Second Striker": 6, "Centre-Forward": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10366", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10366", "name": "Albert Gudmundsson", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6608, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2224, "npxg90": 0.1867, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xa90": 0.146, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgchain90": 0.4207, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgbuildup90": 0.1829, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.177, "player_id": 305947, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3034.0, "npxg90": 0.20101359060025561, "xa90": 0.16324584016572727, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1284.0, "npxg90": 0.232936570629756, "xa90": 0.12844692450016737, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2290.0, "npxg90": 0.13835535309070063, "xa90": 0.14874816077505137, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07296333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3643909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06846617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24864604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 305947, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2206.5, "empirical_lo80": 798.55, "empirical_hi80": 3116.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2262.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2206.5, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.37037, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 305947, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:306024", "player_id": 306024, "name": "Dominic Calvert-Lewin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 30, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 30 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5555", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5555", "name": "Dominic Calvert-Lewin", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6591, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2331, "npxg90": 0.4403, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xa90": 0.0783, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xgchain90": 0.5211, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xgbuildup90": 0.0981, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.171, "player_id": 306024, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2234.0, "npxg90": 0.48766608477545936, "xa90": 0.12361607893479316, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1625.0, "npxg90": 0.4754488829007516, "xa90": 0.04102060909454639, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2732.0, "npxg90": 0.4897130313868011, "xa90": 0.050867649223410014, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3265633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6179909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0007661761805131118, "xa90_high": 0.180946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 306024, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2314.75, "empirical_lo80": 944.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2730.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2314.75, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 306024, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:308133", "player_id": 308133, "name": "Ado Onaiwu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10799", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 308133, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 308133, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:309400", "player_id": 309400, "name": "Kai Havertz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.5714285714285714, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5220", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5220", "name": "Kai Havertz", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Arsenal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5113, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1424, "npxg90": 0.4869, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.252, "xa90": 0.1757, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.252, "xgchain90": 0.7282, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.252, "xgbuildup90": 0.2306, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.252, "player_id": 309400, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2651.0, "npxg90": 0.4313128998890232, "xa90": 0.1973946995524495, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1880.0, "npxg90": 0.5663594963583857, "xa90": 0.1411693830320493, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 582.0, "npxg90": 0.7570376131952423, "xa90": 0.2253067494398847, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3731633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6645909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09816617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.278346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 309400, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1420.25, "empirical_lo80": 49.7, "empirical_hi80": 2554.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 583.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1420.25, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.571429, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 309400, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:311333", "player_id": 311333, "name": "Alessandro Gabrielloni", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12909", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 311333, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 311333, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:314288", "player_id": 314288, "name": "Lukas Nmecha", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6544", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6544", "name": "Lukas Nmecha", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1503, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 645, "npxg90": 0.4522, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xa90": 0.1342, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xgchain90": 0.6168, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xgbuildup90": 0.1526, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.427, "player_id": 314288, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 427.0, "npxg90": 0.9436169347618936, "xa90": 0.04536824087139035, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1076.0, "npxg90": 0.48988029954532597, "xa90": 0.1409002586153637, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3384633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6298909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05666617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.236846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 314288, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 660.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1794.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1073.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 660.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 314288, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:314398", "player_id": 314398, "name": "Jae-sung Lee", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.11538461538461539, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 20, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Winger": 2, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9783", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9783", "name": "Jae-Sung Lee", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7090, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2330, "npxg90": 0.178, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xa90": 0.1177, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xgchain90": 0.3847, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.171, "xgbuildup90": 0.1546, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.171, "player_id": 314398, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2150.0, "npxg90": 0.26012947079400683, "xa90": 0.1553078895261468, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2711.0, "npxg90": 0.22749914836835175, "xa90": 0.16023566627930624, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2229.0, "npxg90": 0.17049221649094112, "xa90": 0.13429678372366913, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0642633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3556909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.040166176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.22034604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 314398, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2299.0, "empirical_lo80": 891.05, "empirical_hi80": 3209.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2201.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2299.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.115385, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 314398, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:314678", "player_id": 314678, "name": "Brahim D\u00edaz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.38461538461538464, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 6, "Second Striker": 4, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6421", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6421", "name": "Brahim Diaz", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4159, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1350, "npxg90": 0.2829, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xa90": 0.2361, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgchain90": 0.7673, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgbuildup90": 0.3367, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.262, "player_id": 314678, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1548.0, "npxg90": 0.41073661080973095, "xa90": 0.2967042157014962, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1368.0, "npxg90": 0.41721907321755825, "xa90": 0.2170971569016968, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1243.0, "npxg90": 0.12378314628369944, "xa90": 0.26325003532445534, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1691633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4605909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1585661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.338746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 314678, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1359.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2269.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1252.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1359.25, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.384615, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 314678, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:314875", "player_id": 314875, "name": "Jarrod Bowen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 38, "cf_start_share": 0.21052631578947367, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 25, "Centre-Forward": 6, "Right Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1776", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1776", "name": "Jarrod Bowen", "comp": "GB1", "team": "West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 9435, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 3213, "npxg90": 0.2519, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.13, "xa90": 0.1955, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.13, "xgchain90": 0.4224, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.13, "xgbuildup90": 0.0999, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.13, "player_id": 314875, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3026.0, "npxg90": 0.40147960273412314, "xa90": 0.19147181635388894, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2993.0, "npxg90": 0.2722833806513804, "xa90": 0.22953514142893566, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3416.0, "npxg90": 0.19792688988690074, "xa90": 0.22215396278718838, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13816333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.42959096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11796617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.298146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 314875, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 3205.0, "empirical_lo80": 1797.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3409.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 3205.0, "prior_starts": 38.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.210526, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 314875, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:315779", "player_id": 315779, "name": "Christian Pulisic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.9444444444444444, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 13, "Centre-Forward": 4, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2662", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2662", "name": "Christian Pulisic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6788, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2100, "npxg90": 0.3465, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xa90": 0.2221, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgchain90": 0.7374, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgbuildup90": 0.2979, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.186, "player_id": 315779, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2658.0, "npxg90": 0.2746989450398538, "xa90": 0.17768182500599805, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2518.0, "npxg90": 0.30849221558254614, "xa90": 0.2579037549870712, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1612.0, "npxg90": 0.49038680247204475, "xa90": 0.2813051400068343, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23276333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.5241909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.1445661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.324746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 315779, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2084.25, "empirical_lo80": 713.7, "empirical_hi80": 3218.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1612.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2084.25, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.944444, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 315779, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:315865", "player_id": 315865, "name": "Andrea Pinamonti", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 32, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 32 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4895", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "4895", "name": "Andrea Pinamonti", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Sassuolo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8657, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2817, "npxg90": 0.2919, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.146, "xa90": 0.0723, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.146, "xgchain90": 0.4115, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.146, "xgbuildup90": 0.1159, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.146, "player_id": 315865, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3161.0, "npxg90": 0.2225706326147398, "xa90": 0.0567128242437493, "clubs": "Sassuolo", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2886.0, "npxg90": 0.22361318605977135, "xa90": 0.05735520234722605, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2610.0, "npxg90": 0.3714958079287718, "xa90": 0.06147693303124657, "clubs": "Sassuolo", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1781633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4695909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17494604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 315865, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2776.75, "empirical_lo80": 1406.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2575.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2776.75, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 315865, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:315867", "player_id": 315867, "name": "Gianluca Scamacca", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6253", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6253", "name": "Gianluca Scamacca", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2763, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1020, "npxg90": 0.4292, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.32, "xa90": 0.1442, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.32, "xgchain90": 0.6693, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.32, "xgbuildup90": 0.2278, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.32, "player_id": 315867, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1445.0, "npxg90": 0.5153281605934602, "xa90": 0.23705000757758593, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1318.0, "npxg90": 0.501636592628878, "xa90": 0.09263800051521189, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3154633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6068909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06666617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.246846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 315867, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1025.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2159.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1319.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1025.5, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 315867, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:318528", "player_id": 318528, "name": "Marcus Thuram", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 24 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5992", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5992", "name": "Marcus Thuram", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Inter", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6999, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2233, "npxg90": 0.4589, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xa90": 0.1694, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgchain90": 0.7261, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgbuildup90": 0.2185, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.177, "player_id": 318528, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2750.0, "npxg90": 0.5069163074141199, "xa90": 0.1433934954960238, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2316.0, "npxg90": 0.471111614464594, "xa90": 0.17662109737163845, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1933.0, "npxg90": 0.5538509714629634, "xa90": 0.20806625364969814, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.34516333015329825, "npxg90_high": 0.6365909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09186617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.272046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 318528, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2208.0, "empirical_lo80": 837.45, "empirical_hi80": 3342.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1913.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2208.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 318528, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:324358", "player_id": 324358, "name": "Ollie Watkins", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 33, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 33 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Aston Villa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8865", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8865", "name": "Ollie Watkins", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Aston Villa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8824, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2933, "npxg90": 0.48, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.141, "xa90": 0.1227, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.141, "xgchain90": 0.6202, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.141, "xgbuildup90": 0.131, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.141, "player_id": 324358, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3250.0, "npxg90": 0.5334811856196477, "xa90": 0.2144975409886012, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2666.0, "npxg90": 0.5776109707954676, "xa90": 0.1308613565777668, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2908.0, "npxg90": 0.5827012733669062, "xa90": 0.08715335095232093, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.36626333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6576909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04516617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22534604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 324358, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2886.0, "empirical_lo80": 1515.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2854.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2886.0, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 324358, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:324690", "player_id": 324690, "name": "Jonathan Ikon\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.07692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 10, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5661", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5661", "name": "Jonathan Ikone", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris FC", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3604, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1178, "npxg90": 0.3108, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xa90": 0.1481, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgchain90": 0.5738, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgbuildup90": 0.1832, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.29, "player_id": 324690, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1666.0, "npxg90": 0.3298844834443043, "xa90": 0.11299704854451523, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 831.0, "npxg90": 0.37133040787510924, "xa90": 0.05377414125263261, "clubs": "Como,Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1107.0, "npxg90": 0.2953574185570081, "xa90": 0.20614656157852188, "clubs": "Paris FC", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19706333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.48849096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07056617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.250746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 324690, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1186.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2097.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1101.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1186.75, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.076923, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 324690, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:324811", "player_id": 324811, "name": "Arnaud Nordin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.08333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 6, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Right Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05", "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5684", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5684", "name": "Arnaud Nordin", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Mainz 05; Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3555, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1152, "npxg90": 0.1598, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xa90": 0.1273, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xgchain90": 0.3898, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.294, "xgbuildup90": 0.1847, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.294, "player_id": 324811, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1253.0, "npxg90": 0.24438437835535617, "xa90": 0.21977538678494818, "clubs": "Montpellier", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1248.0, "npxg90": 0.2058214705903083, "xa90": 0.10416212220801614, "clubs": "Mainz 05; Montpellier", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1054.0, "npxg90": 0.17742438644764544, "xa90": 0.13267197715122062, "clubs": "Mainz 05; Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.046063330153298304, "npxg90_high": 0.3374909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.049766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.22994604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 324811, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1144.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2055.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1041.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1144.75, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.083333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 324811, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:325223", "player_id": 325223, "name": "Mama Bald\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Brestois 29" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7747", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7747", "name": "Mama Bald\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Brest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2410, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 780, "npxg90": 0.3059, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xa90": 0.1472, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xgchain90": 0.4975, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xgbuildup90": 0.1162, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.381, "player_id": 325223, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 521.0, "npxg90": 0.5453381172225823, "xa90": 0.4138884528927977, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1177.0, "npxg90": 0.25935361547966884, "xa90": 0.18058054886612734, "clubs": "Brest,Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 712.0, "npxg90": 0.37497788803714716, "xa90": 0.05963706071331595, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1921633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.48359096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.06966617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.249846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 325223, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 785.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1696.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 712.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 785.75, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 325223, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:325443", "player_id": 325443, "name": "Viktor Gy\u00f6keres", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7254", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7254", "name": "Viktor Gyokeres", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Arsenal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2255, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1128, "npxg90": 0.4122, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xa90": 0.1178, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgchain90": 0.5725, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgbuildup90": 0.1453, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.299, "player_id": 325443, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2255.0, "npxg90": 0.46248921482697825, "xa90": 0.10591418444366915, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2984633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5898909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04026617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.220446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 325443, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2231.0, "empirical_lo80": 860.45, "empirical_hi80": 3365.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2231.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2231.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 325443, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:326029", "player_id": 326029, "name": "Donyell Malen", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.9130434782608695, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma", "Aston Villa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9749", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9749", "name": "Donyell Malen", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Aston Villa; Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4763, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1716, "npxg90": 0.5589, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xa90": 0.1136, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgchain90": 0.7926, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgbuildup90": 0.2458, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.219, "player_id": 326029, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1797.0, "npxg90": 0.4697766977802342, "xa90": 0.1817063000892757, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 867.0, "npxg90": 0.647934927414961, "xa90": 0.05626978758709653, "clubs": "Aston Villa; Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2099.0, "npxg90": 0.724564287997871, "xa90": 0.08223129495829273, "clubs": "Aston Villa; Roma", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.44516333015329823, "npxg90_high": 0.7365909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.036066176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.216246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 326029, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1735.0, "empirical_lo80": 364.45, "empirical_hi80": 2869.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2123.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1735.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.913043, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 326029, "player": "Donyell Malen", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "prior_winter_arrival_permanent_exercise_benchmark", "evidence_quality": "capology_point_estimate", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": 4.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 6250000.0, "base": 6250000.0, "high": 6250000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 7410000.0, "base": 7410000.0, "high": 7410000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 13660000.0, "base": 13660000.0, "high": 13660000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 54640000.0, "base": 54640000.0, "high": 54640000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Roma original Malen loan", "url": "https://www.asroma.com/en/news/74665/donyell-malen-signs-for-roma", "publication_date": "2026-01-16", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" }, { "title": "Roma Malen permanent option exercised", "url": "https://www.asroma.com/en/news/75420/donyell-malen-statement", "publication_date": "2026-05-26", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty.", "Roma initial loan preceded summer2026; May permanent exercise is not a fresh summer arrival. Official releases confirm transaction and term, not the legacy \u20ac25m amount." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:331726", "player_id": 331726, "name": "Tammy Abraham", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Aston Villa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "702", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Be\u015fikta\u015f", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1252.0, "npxg90": 0.476453658490897, "xa90": 0.1287039485983193, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": { "us_id": "702", "name": "Tammy Abraham", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Aston Villa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1657, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 478, "npxg90": 0.4035, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xa90": 0.1389, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xgchain90": 0.5989, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xgbuildup90": 0.1425, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.501, "player_id": 331726, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 230.0, "npxg90": 0.2717121784453807, "xa90": 0.05904165764703699, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1174.0, "npxg90": 0.4768454180506821, "xa90": 0.19102218740951316, "clubs": "AC Milan,Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 253.0, "npxg90": 0.728702896675868, "xa90": 0.04596272196340937, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28976333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5811909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06136617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24154604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 331726, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 493.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1627.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 277.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 493.25, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 331726, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:333647", "player_id": 333647, "name": "Jonathan Burkardt", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7108", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7108", "name": "Jonathan Burkardt", "comp": "L1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5049, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1600, "npxg90": 0.5169, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xa90": 0.1161, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgchain90": 0.717, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgbuildup90": 0.1849, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.231, "player_id": 333647, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1554.0, "npxg90": 0.3610140749551787, "xa90": 0.14567075379940764, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2144.0, "npxg90": 0.5883451060864574, "xa90": 0.13542037781713698, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1351.0, "npxg90": 0.6718940528552237, "xa90": 0.04450815028719863, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4031633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6945909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03856617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.218746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 333647, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1587.0, "empirical_lo80": 216.45, "empirical_hi80": 2721.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1340.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1587.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 333647, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:334222", "player_id": 334222, "name": "Lucas Boy\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1189", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1189", "name": "Lucas Boy\u00e9", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Alaves", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4573, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1633, "npxg90": 0.3078, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xa90": 0.1218, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xgchain90": 0.4688, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.227, "xgbuildup90": 0.1541, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.227, "player_id": 334222, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2613.0, "npxg90": 0.24610503848287119, "xa90": 0.11052303502697554, "clubs": "Granada", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1960.0, "npxg90": 0.40747844521906607, "xa90": 0.1244207672033535, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19406333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48549096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04426617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.224446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 334222, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2158.0, "empirical_lo80": 787.45, "empirical_hi80": 3292.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1959.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2158.0, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 334222, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:335103", "player_id": 335103, "name": "Linton Maina", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Left Winger": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6638", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6638", "name": "Linton Maina", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 2918, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 981, "npxg90": 0.101, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xa90": 0.1801, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xgchain90": 0.438, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.328, "xgbuildup90": 0.2089, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.328, "player_id": 335103, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1911.0, "npxg90": 0.10467423934612301, "xa90": 0.15804473883830583, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1007.0, "npxg90": 0.11519052624672858, "xa90": 0.2846029440224052, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2786909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10256617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.282746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 335103, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1315.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2226.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1020.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1315.666667, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 335103, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:335457", "player_id": 335457, "name": "Ermedin Demirovic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.9411764705882353, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6496", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6496", "name": "Ermedin Demirovic", "comp": "L1", "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6265, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1943, "npxg90": 0.4571, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xa90": 0.1382, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgchain90": 0.6896, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgbuildup90": 0.1937, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.198, "player_id": 335457, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2911.0, "npxg90": 0.35169305950108876, "xa90": 0.14481965714137154, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1847.0, "npxg90": 0.7637882724194573, "xa90": 0.11357930494431037, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1507.0, "npxg90": 0.47219345639024096, "xa90": 0.1301718575171706, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.34336333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.6347909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.06066617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.240846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 335457, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1933.75, "empirical_lo80": 563.2, "empirical_hi80": 3067.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1498.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1933.75, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.941176, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 335457, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:336012", "player_id": 336012, "name": "Nicolas K\u00fchn", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13933", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13933", "name": "Nicolas K\u00fchn", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Como", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 643, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 322, "npxg90": 0.1124, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.599, "xa90": 0.1431, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.599, "xgchain90": 0.4613, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.599, "xgbuildup90": 0.2616, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.599, "player_id": 336012, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 643.0, "npxg90": 0.12642594329537724, "xa90": 0.20138018479220232, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2900909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06556617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24574604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 336012, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 655.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 655.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 336012, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:337715", "player_id": 337715, "name": "Umar Sadiq", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad", "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1450", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1450", "name": "Umar Sadiq", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Sociedad,Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3152, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1045, "npxg90": 0.367, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.315, "xa90": 0.1312, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.315, "xgchain90": 0.5662, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.315, "xgbuildup90": 0.1411, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.315, "player_id": 337715, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1084.0, "npxg90": 0.3593132883908289, "xa90": 0.10830042065839486, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1040.0, "npxg90": 0.3880127440206706, "xa90": 0.07714267183417597, "clubs": "Real Sociedad,Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1028.0, "npxg90": 0.47746226311106854, "xa90": 0.150300308551045, "clubs": "Real Sociedad,Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.25326333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.5446909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05366617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.233846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 337715, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1058.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2192.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1055.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1058.25, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 337715, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:337725", "player_id": 337725, "name": "Christian Kouam\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7091", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 337725, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 25.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 564.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 337725, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:338424", "player_id": 338424, "name": "Mikel Merino", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Central Midfield": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5304", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5304", "name": "Mikel Merino", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Arsenal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5056, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1514, "npxg90": 0.2937, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xa90": 0.1327, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgchain90": 0.5427, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgbuildup90": 0.257, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.241, "player_id": 338424, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2476.0, "npxg90": 0.13875929696668957, "xa90": 0.09371376285699581, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1578.0, "npxg90": 0.39154744483955456, "xa90": 0.12348486507176899, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1002.0, "npxg90": 0.4686685908072723, "xa90": 0.20570119720197724, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17996333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.47139096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.05516617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.235346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 338424, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1530.0, "empirical_lo80": 159.45, "empirical_hi80": 2664.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1027.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1530.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 338424, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:338425", "player_id": 338425, "name": "\u00c1lex Berenguer", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.04, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 12, "Left Winger": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5091", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5091", "name": "Alex Berenguer", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6105, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2074, "npxg90": 0.2271, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xa90": 0.2018, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xgchain90": 0.4653, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.188, "xgbuildup90": 0.1698, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.188, "player_id": 338425, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1533.0, "npxg90": 0.30368658099797374, "xa90": 0.2729663357080312, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2381.0, "npxg90": 0.2546480441437029, "xa90": 0.22853259563974876, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2191.0, "npxg90": 0.21655489988148974, "xa90": 0.22474428320865497, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1133633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4047909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12426617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.304446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 338425, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2065.25, "empirical_lo80": 657.3, "empirical_hi80": 2975.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2164.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2065.25, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.04, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 338425, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:339314", "player_id": 339314, "name": "Deniz Undav", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 19, "Second Striker": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10804", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10804", "name": "Deniz Undav", "comp": "L1", "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6129, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2098, "npxg90": 0.5867, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xa90": 0.2187, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgchain90": 0.9883, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.186, "xgbuildup90": 0.2957, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.186, "player_id": 339314, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2135.0, "npxg90": 0.6886164784623393, "xa90": 0.30231731789801664, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1733.0, "npxg90": 0.6219023106263954, "xa90": 0.24185562283832493, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2261.0, "npxg90": 0.728429613123355, "xa90": 0.2223047674071309, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4729633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7643909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.14116617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.321346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 339314, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2081.0, "empirical_lo80": 710.45, "empirical_hi80": 3215.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2249.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2081.0, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 339314, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:339332", "player_id": 339332, "name": "Noa Lang", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.2857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13881", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13881", "name": "Noa Lang", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 645, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 322, "npxg90": 0.2513, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xa90": 0.2002, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xgchain90": 0.5465, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xgbuildup90": 0.263, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.598, "player_id": 339332, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 645.0, "npxg90": 0.19049169253124745, "xa90": 0.2755756545378718, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13756333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.42899096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.1226661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.302846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 339332, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 661.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1571.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 661.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 661.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.285714, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 339332, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:339816", "player_id": 339816, "name": "Tete Morente", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 14, "Left Winger": 5, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF", "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8895", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8895", "name": "Tete Morente", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche; Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3835, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1408, "npxg90": 0.0858, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xa90": 0.0854, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgchain90": 0.2724, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.254, "xgbuildup90": 0.1489, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.254, "player_id": 339816, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2036.0, "npxg90": 0.13712658518961904, "xa90": 0.08099782785623973, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1799.0, "npxg90": 0.08621760830904392, "xa90": 0.10641322467577596, "clubs": "Elche; Lecce", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2634909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.00786617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.18804604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 339816, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1792.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1871.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 339816, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:340205", "player_id": 340205, "name": "Gorka Guruzeta", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 28, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 28 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7020", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7020", "name": "Gorka Guruzeta", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6578, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2245, "npxg90": 0.363, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.176, "xa90": 0.117, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.176, "xgchain90": 0.5378, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.176, "xgbuildup90": 0.1364, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.176, "player_id": 340205, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2321.0, "npxg90": 0.4777772857124232, "xa90": 0.11930126074070768, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1856.0, "npxg90": 0.3292212104033438, "xa90": 0.07038053206934851, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2401.0, "npxg90": 0.4116846028496603, "xa90": 0.1312517381891118, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2492633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5406909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.039466176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.219646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 340205, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2205.75, "empirical_lo80": 835.2, "empirical_hi80": 3339.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2370.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2205.75, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 340205, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:340322", "player_id": 340322, "name": "Nathan Tella", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Right Winger": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8456", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8456", "name": "Nathan Tella", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3080, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 992, "npxg90": 0.2205, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xa90": 0.2207, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgchain90": 0.6158, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgbuildup90": 0.271, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.326, "player_id": 340322, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 805.0, "npxg90": 0.41527012735605234, "xa90": 0.38930507941368203, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1385.0, "npxg90": 0.22072485116199467, "xa90": 0.08729983868904492, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 890.0, "npxg90": 0.28137090923578556, "xa90": 0.38653522323858874, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.10676333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.39819096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.14316617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.323346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 340322, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 978.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1888.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 870.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 978.25, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 340322, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:340324", "player_id": 340324, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6482", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6482", "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Crystal Palace", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2416, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 703, "npxg90": 0.3525, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xa90": 0.1398, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xgchain90": 0.5817, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xgbuildup90": 0.1829, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.406, "player_id": 340324, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1036.0, "npxg90": 0.43935018357853173, "xa90": 0.10508491132681665, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 984.0, "npxg90": 0.65427083476651, "xa90": 0.12675286997563956, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 396.0, "npxg90": 0.44158290732990607, "xa90": 0.21829845658926803, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2387633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5301909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.062266176180513125, "xa90_high": 0.242446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 340324, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 732.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1866.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 416.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 732.25, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 340324, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:340376", "player_id": 340376, "name": "Abel Ruiz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7549", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7549", "name": "Abel Ruiz", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1551, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 430, "npxg90": 0.146, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xa90": 0.068, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xgchain90": 0.4, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xgbuildup90": 0.233, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.528, "player_id": 340376, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1383.0, "npxg90": 0.22217174559637676, "xa90": 0.028595555888856566, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 168.0, "npxg90": 0.15644987912050315, "xa90": 0.07030642990555082, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0322633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.32369096897157734, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17064604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 340376, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 178.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 571.333333, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 340376, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:341092", "player_id": 341092, "name": "Federico Chiesa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1433", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1433", "name": "Federico Chiesa", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2562, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 702, "npxg90": 0.2493, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xa90": 0.246, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xgchain90": 0.6807, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.406, "xgbuildup90": 0.2801, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.406, "player_id": 341092, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2220.0, "npxg90": 0.2943360947349386, "xa90": 0.2975644093208216, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 95.0, "npxg90": 0.5823774486780167, "xa90": 0.1966214917208019, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 247.0, "npxg90": 0.6069814961267869, "xa90": 0.5363695896588839, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1355633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4269909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.16846617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.348646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 341092, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 318.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 736.5, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 341092, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:341317", "player_id": 341317, "name": "Oliver Burke", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.5714285714285714, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Right Winger": 9, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5256", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5256", "name": "Oliver Burke", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2571, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1068, "npxg90": 0.3435, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.31, "xa90": 0.1371, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.31, "xgchain90": 0.5594, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.31, "xgbuildup90": 0.1427, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.31, "player_id": 341317, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 872.0, "npxg90": 0.5339494913628479, "xa90": 0.1532109567485408, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1699.0, "npxg90": 0.3198120138855139, "xa90": 0.12131719682815148, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22976333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5211909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.05956617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.239746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 341317, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1069.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2203.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1674.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1069.25, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.571429, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 341317, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:342048", "player_id": 342048, "name": "Grady Diangana", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.15384615384615385, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 6, "Central Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6651", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6651", "name": "Grady Diangana", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 937, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 468, "npxg90": 0.2069, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xa90": 0.1343, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xgchain90": 0.5019, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.506, "xgbuildup90": 0.2287, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.506, "player_id": 342048, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 937.0, "npxg90": 0.13021715476377416, "xa90": 0.1047193051267141, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09316333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3845909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05676617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23694604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 342048, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 929.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1839.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 929.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 929.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.153846, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 342048, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:342229", "player_id": 342229, "name": "Kylian Mbapp\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 29, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 29 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 342229, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2572.0, "empirical_lo80": 1201.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2606.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2572.0, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 342229, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:343052", "player_id": 343052, "name": "Nicolas P\u00e9p\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.4230769230769231, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 8, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5656", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5656", "name": "Nicolas Pepe", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3980, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1619, "npxg90": 0.2711, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xa90": 0.2458, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xgchain90": 0.6723, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xgbuildup90": 0.2418, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.229, "player_id": 343052, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1483.0, "npxg90": 0.320577914120073, "xa90": 0.33407115734817205, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2497.0, "npxg90": 0.29977221273163296, "xa90": 0.29123293944553563, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15736333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.44879096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.1682661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.348446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 343052, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2096.666667, "empirical_lo80": 688.716667, "empirical_hi80": 3007.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2397.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2096.666667, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.423077, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 343052, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:343537", "player_id": 343537, "name": "Artem Dovbyk", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11736", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11736", "name": "Artem Dovbyk", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5496, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1465, "npxg90": 0.4734, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xa90": 0.1706, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgchain90": 0.644, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgbuildup90": 0.1431, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.247, "player_id": 343537, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2678.0, "npxg90": 0.5836757506181982, "xa90": 0.21876701220934008, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2454.0, "npxg90": 0.4706213466395011, "xa90": 0.10712389761358865, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 364.0, "npxg90": 0.7659460296137974, "xa90": 0.3198356213109506, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3596633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6510909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.09306617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.273246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 343537, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1452.25, "empirical_lo80": 81.7, "empirical_hi80": 2586.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 386.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1452.25, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 343537, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:344152", "player_id": 344152, "name": "Odsonne \u00c9douard", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace", "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3697", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3697", "name": "Odsonne Edouard", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Crystal Palace; Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3545, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 1356, "npxg90": 0.4696, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xa90": 0.1034, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgchain90": 0.6055, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgbuildup90": 0.154, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.261, "player_id": 344152, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1534.0, "npxg90": 0.46170535957564585, "xa90": 0.06077754211088708, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 131.0, "npxg90": 0.22375531210244157, "xa90": 0.07277862303925835, "clubs": "Crystal Palace,Leicester", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1880.0, "npxg90": 0.6023285448590808, "xa90": 0.10048341522231063, "clubs": "Crystal Palace; Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3558633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6472909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.025866176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.206046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 344152, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1334.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2468.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1821.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1334.75, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 344152, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:344381", "player_id": 344381, "name": "Christopher Nkunku", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3300", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3300", "name": "Christopher Nkunku", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2637, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 995, "npxg90": 0.3799, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xa90": 0.1281, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xgchain90": 0.5948, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xgbuildup90": 0.2001, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.325, "player_id": 344381, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 416.0, "npxg90": 0.5218644700765322, "xa90": 0.049236155150888056, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 878.0, "npxg90": 0.5153909678186941, "xa90": 0.20640866041760508, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1343.0, "npxg90": 0.41106519398188646, "xa90": 0.1081421220299253, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2661633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5575909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05056617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.230746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 344381, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1012.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2146.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1351.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1012.75, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 344381, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:344888", "player_id": 344888, "name": "Habib Diallo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5769", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5769", "name": "Habib Diallo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1908, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 954, "npxg90": 0.2386, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.335, "xa90": 0.0692, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.335, "xgchain90": 0.3526, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.335, "xgbuildup90": 0.1077, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.335, "player_id": 344888, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1908.0, "npxg90": 0.24377550894640526, "xa90": 0.03505916554340214, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.12486333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.41629096897157736, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.171846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 344888, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1911.0, "empirical_lo80": 540.45, "empirical_hi80": 3045.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1911.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1911.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 344888, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:344892", "player_id": 344892, "name": "Gauthier Hein", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.038461538461538464, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 18, "Right Winger": 7, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5727", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5727", "name": "Gauthier Hein", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2355, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1178, "npxg90": 0.1701, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xa90": 0.1566, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgchain90": 0.3901, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgbuildup90": 0.1595, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.29, "player_id": 344892, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2355.0, "npxg90": 0.1320657343336731, "xa90": 0.1703676354306139, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05636333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.34779096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.0790661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25924604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 344892, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2355.0, "empirical_lo80": 947.05, "empirical_hi80": 3265.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2355.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2355.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.038462, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 344892, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:345590", "player_id": 345590, "name": "Jens Odgaard", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.0625, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 15, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bologna Football Club 1909" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7005", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7005", "name": "Jens Odgaard", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Bologna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3808, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1300, "npxg90": 0.2306, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.27, "xa90": 0.0979, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.27, "xgchain90": 0.449, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.27, "xgbuildup90": 0.1749, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.27, "player_id": 345590, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 430.0, "npxg90": 0.25888823046413967, "xa90": 0.02302590281117794, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1987.0, "npxg90": 0.24062968562739123, "xa90": 0.11663480281687347, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1391.0, "npxg90": 0.17655777566183137, "xa90": 0.060579067378657744, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1168633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.40829096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.020366176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.200546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 345590, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1289.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2200.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1380.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1289.75, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0625, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 345590, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:346499", "player_id": 346499, "name": "Danel Sinani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.17391304347826086, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 18, "Centre-Forward": 4, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12983", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12983", "name": "Danel Sinani", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3334, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1354, "npxg90": 0.191, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xa90": 0.1698, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgchain90": 0.4506, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgbuildup90": 0.2185, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.262, "player_id": 346499, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1254.0, "npxg90": 0.13668039359116668, "xa90": 0.22976554199411536, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2080.0, "npxg90": 0.15034401434688613, "xa90": 0.16032414734274006, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07726333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3686909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09226617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.272446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 346499, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1797.0, "empirical_lo80": 389.05, "empirical_hi80": 2707.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2069.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1797.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.173913, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 346499, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:346779", "player_id": 346779, "name": "Ch\u00e9 Adams", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.9473684210526315, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7700", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7700", "name": "Che Adams", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4549, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1612, "npxg90": 0.2821, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xa90": 0.1192, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xgchain90": 0.4877, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.229, "xgbuildup90": 0.1545, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.229, "player_id": 346779, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2650.0, "npxg90": 0.2972329960679108, "xa90": 0.0741497150288438, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1899.0, "npxg90": 0.31325132096124486, "xa90": 0.15210068060782567, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16836333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.45979096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04166617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22184604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 346779, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2150.666667, "empirical_lo80": 780.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3284.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1897.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2150.666667, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.947368, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 346779, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:346853", "player_id": 346853, "name": "Romano Schmid", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 34, "cf_start_share": 0.08823529411764706, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 21, "Left Winger": 6, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 2, "Central Midfield": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9069", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9069", "name": "Romano Schmid", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8498, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2876, "npxg90": 0.1794, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xa90": 0.2471, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgchain90": 0.5873, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgbuildup90": 0.2856, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.143, "player_id": 346853, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2638.0, "npxg90": 0.18718062487301657, "xa90": 0.2072574138723263, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2856.0, "npxg90": 0.12920366748854392, "xa90": 0.20686274241781286, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3004.0, "npxg90": 0.14694400107830305, "xa90": 0.3078958283850648, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06566333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3570909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.16956617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.349746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 346853, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2861.75, "empirical_lo80": 1453.8, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2993.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2861.75, "prior_starts": 34.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.088235, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 346853, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:346890", "player_id": 346890, "name": "Noah Okafor", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.3684210526315789, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 8, "Centre-Forward": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11966", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11966", "name": "Noah Okafor", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2864, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1114, "npxg90": 0.3707, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xa90": 0.1358, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xgchain90": 0.6152, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xgbuildup90": 0.1996, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.301, "player_id": 346890, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 837.0, "npxg90": 0.4909423009682727, "xa90": 0.12329863584650459, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 435.0, "npxg90": 0.4613929634978031, "xa90": 0.15809683167728886, "clubs": "AC Milan,Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1592.0, "npxg90": 0.35596903550424547, "xa90": 0.12772511901455608, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2569633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5483909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.05826617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23844604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 346890, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1114.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2024.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1569.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1114.25, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.368421, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 346890, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:348795", "player_id": 348795, "name": "Giovani Lo Celso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.06666666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 11, "Central Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5681", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5681", "name": "Giovani Lo Celso", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Betis", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3299, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1174, "npxg90": 0.1897, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xa90": 0.1991, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgchain90": 0.59, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.29, "xgbuildup90": 0.328, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.29, "player_id": 348795, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 466.0, "npxg90": 0.09617626794929669, "xa90": 0.30959738658285446, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1437.0, "npxg90": 0.15630855079203657, "xa90": 0.29261747324578696, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1396.0, "npxg90": 0.18720387888106285, "xa90": 0.18557070131362938, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07596333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3673909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12156617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.301746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 348795, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1185.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2095.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1397.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1185.5, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.066667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 348795, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:349066", "player_id": 349066, "name": "Alexander Isak", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5232", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5232", "name": "Alexander Isak", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5844, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1640, "npxg90": 0.5325, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.226, "xa90": 0.1484, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.226, "xgchain90": 0.7483, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.226, "xgbuildup90": 0.1619, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.226, "player_id": 349066, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2305.0, "npxg90": 0.6835803788421987, "xa90": 0.14259592703909263, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2822.0, "npxg90": 0.6159135839597585, "xa90": 0.17377155971885636, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 717.0, "npxg90": 0.407360882019024, "xa90": 0.10620631745170848, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.41876333015329825, "npxg90_high": 0.7101909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07086617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.251046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 349066, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1611.0, "empirical_lo80": 240.45, "empirical_hi80": 2745.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 702.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1611.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 349066, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:351478", "player_id": 351478, "name": "Mikel Oyarzabal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 30, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 30 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2234", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2234", "name": "Mikel Oyarzabal", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Sociedad", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7178, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2476, "npxg90": 0.3202, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xa90": 0.1517, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgchain90": 0.5694, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgbuildup90": 0.1778, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.162, "player_id": 351478, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2160.0, "npxg90": 0.3606728584660838, "xa90": 0.09129562182351947, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2291.0, "npxg90": 0.28769009890110403, "xa90": 0.11398293031603164, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2727.0, "npxg90": 0.35727455689519544, "xa90": 0.19661568037600016, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2064633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4978909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07416617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.254346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 351478, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2463.25, "empirical_lo80": 1092.7, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2715.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2463.25, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 351478, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:353404", "player_id": 353404, "name": "Ga\u00ebtan Perrin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3285", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3285", "name": "Gaetan Perrin", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3064, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 844, "npxg90": 0.2208, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xa90": 0.2254, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgchain90": 0.4926, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgbuildup90": 0.1938, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.362, "player_id": 353404, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2750.0, "npxg90": 0.20215683183886787, "xa90": 0.27873666700991717, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 314.0, "npxg90": 0.17769761092865924, "xa90": 0.32087208572656484, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1070633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3984909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.14786617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.328046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 353404, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1125.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2035.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 334.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1125.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 353404, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:354726", "player_id": 354726, "name": "Florian Sotoca", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3348", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3348", "name": "Florian Sotoca", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4878, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1334, "npxg90": 0.1502, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xa90": 0.1192, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgchain90": 0.4455, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgbuildup90": 0.239, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.265, "player_id": 354726, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2615.0, "npxg90": 0.1947858717727046, "xa90": 0.258306998481714, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1805.0, "npxg90": 0.2339022851180172, "xa90": 0.0695173029485997, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 458.0, "npxg90": 0.14143795469434176, "xa90": 0.18392459139650824, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.03646333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3278909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04166617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22184604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 354726, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1348.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2482.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 494.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1348.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 354726, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:354814", "player_id": 354814, "name": "M'Bala Nzola", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club", "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9018", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9018", "name": "M'Bala Nzola", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa,Sassuolo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4510, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1506, "npxg90": 0.314, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xa90": 0.093, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xgchain90": 0.4653, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xgbuildup90": 0.1169, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.242, "player_id": 354814, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1526.0, "npxg90": 0.21109733298459965, "xa90": 0.10929921146379698, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1470.0, "npxg90": 0.6074525203023639, "xa90": 0.07441136668607289, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1514.0, "npxg90": 0.29920153327217347, "xa90": 0.07364351055098887, "clubs": "Pisa,Sassuolo", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2002633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4916909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.015466176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.19564604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 354814, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1512.75, "empirical_lo80": 142.2, "empirical_hi80": 2646.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1520.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1512.75, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 354814, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:355369", "player_id": 355369, "name": "Jordan Pefok", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Tondela" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Tondela", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1236.0, "npxg90": 0.2153082437885617, "xa90": 0.0221508972853132, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 355369, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:355861", "player_id": 355861, "name": "Arnaut Danjuma", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.2777777777777778, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 13, "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 355861, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1345.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2255.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1627.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1345.25, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.277778, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 355861, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:357164", "player_id": 357164, "name": "Rafael Le\u00e3o", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 23, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18, "Second Striker": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7193", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7193", "name": "Rafael Le\u00e3o", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6737, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2153, "npxg90": 0.3467, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xa90": 0.2644, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xgchain90": 0.7313, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xgbuildup90": 0.272, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.182, "player_id": 357164, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2534.0, "npxg90": 0.3377554585919043, "xa90": 0.3638233906746017, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2329.0, "npxg90": 0.335092891188408, "xa90": 0.2915745574425939, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1874.0, "npxg90": 0.3880116097398476, "xa90": 0.23904540689846973, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23296333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.5243909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.18686617618051315, "xa90_high": 0.36704604875519203 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 357164, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2144.25, "empirical_lo80": 773.7, "empirical_hi80": 3278.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1861.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2144.25, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 357164, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:357498", "player_id": 357498, "name": "Du\u0161an Vlahovi\u0107", "kind": "anchor", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named reference option", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7084", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7084", "name": "Dusan Vlahovic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Juventus", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5111, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1521, "npxg90": 0.528, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xa90": 0.1144, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xgchain90": 0.6653, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xgbuildup90": 0.159, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.24, "player_id": 357498, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2346.0, "npxg90": 0.5798511947397991, "xa90": 0.10516965514063226, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1793.0, "npxg90": 0.6048955937730106, "xa90": 0.0875519157054367, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 972.0, "npxg90": 0.6274381045390058, "xa90": 0.11547585535380575, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4142633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7056909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03686617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.217046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 357498, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1510.75, "empirical_lo80": 140.2, "empirical_hi80": 2644.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 970.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1510.75, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 357498, "player": "Du\u0161an Vlahovi\u0107", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "hypothetical_renewal_before_departure", "evidence_quality": "partial_internal_or_renewal_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "gross_wage", "contract_term", "signing_and_agent_fees" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Capology archived Juventus wage", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2025-2026/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Juventus Vlahovic original expiry2026", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/upload/dev/rbyns9djqekerapuzioe.pdf", "publication_date": "2022-01-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" }, { "title": "Besiktas Vlahovic agreement", "url": "https://bjk.com.tr/tr/haber/94879", "publication_date": "2026-08-13", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Historical acquisition expense is sunk; it is not charged again as a new transfer fee.", "Wage reference is not a complete incremental retention cost: salary sharing, foregone receipts and other liabilities require separate evidence.", "Juventus original contract expired30June2026. Hypothetical keep means a new employment agreement, whose wages, term and signing costs are unknown. \u20ac22.22m is only last-season gross wage reference.", "Be\u015fikta\u015f announced13August2026 a three-year deal at \u20ac7.5m guaranteed annually; tax basis unspecified, so not entered as comparable gross wage." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": 22220000, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:357778", "player_id": 357778, "name": "Sandro Kulenovi\u0107", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14403", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14403", "name": "Sandro Kulenovic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 284, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 142, "npxg90": 0.2871, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.772, "xa90": 0.1401, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.772, "xgchain90": 0.4977, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.772, "xgbuildup90": 0.1548, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.772, "player_id": 357778, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 284.0, "npxg90": 0.26988559172974086, "xa90": 0.10816627287004195, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17336333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.46479096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.06256617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.242746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 357778, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 294.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1428.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 294.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 294.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 357778, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:358008", "player_id": 358008, "name": "Gianluca Gaetano", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.09523809523809523, "starting_position_counts": { "Defensive Midfield": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Central Midfield": 5, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7507", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7507", "name": "Gianluca Gaetano", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3806, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1432, "npxg90": 0.1942, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xa90": 0.1439, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgchain90": 0.4524, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgbuildup90": 0.221, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.251, "player_id": 358008, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 910.0, "npxg90": 0.16275095112703658, "xa90": 0.22022220506691018, "clubs": "Cagliari,Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 976.0, "npxg90": 0.42696307571681186, "xa90": 0.21942526142143448, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1920.0, "npxg90": 0.0935736423562048, "xa90": 0.1038212767598452, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08046333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.37189096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.06636617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24654604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 358008, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1431.0, "empirical_lo80": 23.05, "empirical_hi80": 2341.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1911.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1431.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.095238, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 358008, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:358032", "player_id": 358032, "name": "Cyril Ngonge", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.47058823529411764, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 5, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Espanyol Barcelona", "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11306", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11306", "name": "Cyril Ngonge", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Espanyol; Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3355, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1196, "npxg90": 0.2531, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xa90": 0.1328, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgchain90": 0.4383, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgbuildup90": 0.1321, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.286, "player_id": 358032, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1750.0, "npxg90": 0.2876207644598825, "xa90": 0.139320842203285, "clubs": "Napoli,Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 177.0, "npxg90": 0.3003842339424764, "xa90": 0.09988067703226866, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1428.0, "npxg90": 0.20264595402639454, "xa90": 0.11969398910633657, "clubs": "Espanyol; Torino", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1393633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4307909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05526617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23544604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 358032, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1196.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2106.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1418.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1196.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.470588, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 358032, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:358515", "player_id": 358515, "name": "Jean-Philippe Krasso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8690", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8690", "name": "Jean-Phillipe Krasso", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris FC", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1082, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 541, "npxg90": 0.2888, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.47, "xa90": 0.2068, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.47, "xgchain90": 0.592, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.47, "xgbuildup90": 0.1699, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.47, "player_id": 358515, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1082.0, "npxg90": 0.2947842231529891, "xa90": 0.2626652913959955, "clubs": "Paris FC", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1750633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4664909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12926617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.309446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 358515, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1089.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2223.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1089.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1089.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 358515, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:361254", "player_id": 361254, "name": "Rafa Mir", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.7619047619047619, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16, "Left Winger": 4, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2589", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2589", "name": "Rafa Mir", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2900, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1184, "npxg90": 0.3089, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.289, "xa90": 0.107, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.289, "xgchain90": 0.5216, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.289, "xgbuildup90": 0.1879, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.289, "player_id": 361254, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 350.0, "npxg90": 0.38719918656029867, "xa90": 0.06734808619533267, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 716.0, "npxg90": 0.3191759111099569, "xa90": 0.11755641300085536, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1834.0, "npxg90": 0.3326412361123342, "xa90": 0.08389130117922144, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19516333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.48659096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.029466176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.209646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 361254, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1186.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2320.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1810.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1186.25, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.761905, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 361254, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:362086", "player_id": 362086, "name": "Isi Palaz\u00f3n", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.7777777777777778, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 18, "Right Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9812", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9812", "name": "Isi Palaz\u00f3n", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 31.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7314, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2402, "npxg90": 0.1534, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.1275, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.3731, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.1918, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 362086, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2854.0, "npxg90": 0.15291391513241845, "xa90": 0.07018759551039716, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2166.0, "npxg90": 0.22342048796961844, "xa90": 0.187424644531161, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2294.0, "npxg90": 0.12620936722739062, "xa90": 0.16682324773504512, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.039663330153298315, "npxg90_high": 0.3310909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04996617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.230146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 362086, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2378.0, "empirical_lo80": 1007.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2263.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2378.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.777778, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 362086, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:363205", "player_id": 363205, "name": "Gabriel Jesus", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5543", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5543", "name": "Gabriel Jesus", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Arsenal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2472, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 717, "npxg90": 0.4601, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.401, "xa90": 0.1531, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.401, "xgchain90": 0.7386, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.401, "xgbuildup90": 0.251, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.401, "player_id": 363205, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1496.0, "npxg90": 0.43867383256833503, "xa90": 0.25480753301398795, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 581.0, "npxg90": 0.522809183664248, "xa90": 0.08574986961796854, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 395.0, "npxg90": 0.9060335865692247, "xa90": 0.04752660222068618, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.34636333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.6377909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07556617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.255746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 363205, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 732.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1866.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 421.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 732.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 363205, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:364135", "player_id": 364135, "name": "Moise Kean", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 23, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 23 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1304", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1304", "name": "Moise Kean", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5410, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1863, "npxg90": 0.5475, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xa90": 0.0603, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgchain90": 0.5782, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgbuildup90": 0.0819, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.205, "player_id": 364135, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 646.0, "npxg90": 0.37648173983298217, "xa90": 0.08902984397376285, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2722.0, "npxg90": 0.6733519605153584, "xa90": 0.07677563703239161, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2042.0, "npxg90": 0.6107266409182146, "xa90": 0.0027768305219147975, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.43376333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.7251909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.162946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 364135, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1860.75, "empirical_lo80": 490.2, "empirical_hi80": 2994.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2041.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1860.75, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 364135, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:368887", "player_id": 368887, "name": "Lo\u00efs Openda", "kind": "anchor", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named reference option", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC", "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10832", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10832", "name": "Lo\u00efs Openda", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Juventus; RasenBallsport Leipzig", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5946, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1658, "npxg90": 0.4798, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.225, "xa90": 0.1556, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.225, "xgchain90": 0.7137, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.225, "xgbuildup90": 0.1641, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.225, "player_id": 368887, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2772.0, "npxg90": 0.7295443084357041, "xa90": 0.21182538572602072, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2489.0, "npxg90": 0.33543830405952174, "xa90": 0.13614874080949013, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 685.0, "npxg90": 0.49949907684141265, "xa90": 0.08542278273044711, "clubs": "Juventus; RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "IT1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3660633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6574909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0780661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25824604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 368887, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1646.0, "empirical_lo80": 275.45, "empirical_hi80": 2780.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 702.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1646.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 368887, "player": "Lo\u00efs Openda", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "hypothetical_retained_before_loan", "evidence_quality": "partial_internal_or_renewal_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": 4.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 7410000.0, "base": 7410000.0, "high": 7410000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "future_fee_obligations", "retention_opportunity_cost" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Capology archived Juventus wage", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2025-2026/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Openda2025 initial contract structure", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/private/fl_attachment/dev/oubp0gexcep2znxampgt.pdf", "publication_date": "2025-09-01", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" }, { "title": "Openda2026 Lyon loan", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/private/fl_attachment/dev/pwcjmxqa8hcmjvshnpmi.pdf", "publication_date": "2026-07-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Historical acquisition expense is sunk; it is not charged again as a new transfer fee.", "Wage reference is not a complete incremental retention cost: salary sharing, foregone receipts and other liabilities require separate evidence.", "Openda left on loan28July2026 for a disclosed \u20ac3.5m receipt. Retaining him before that date would forego the fee; salary coverage is not stated in the release.", "2025 acquisition agreement: \u20ac3.3m loan, \u20ac0.8m conditional bonus; \u20ac40.6m conditional permanent obligation and ancillary cap\u20ac1.7m. Do not double-count the 2025loan as new2026purchase.", "Current employment expiry2030 is archived Transfermarkt; future payroll reference uses prior-season wage, not a verified2026retention offer." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": 7410000, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:369567", "player_id": 369567, "name": "Sasa Kalajdzic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8812", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "LASK", "league": "Austrian Bundesliga", "minutes": 1323.0, "npxg90": 0.4502720897700511, "xa90": 0.2500357352146486, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 369567, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 14.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 172.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 369567, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:369962", "player_id": 369962, "name": "Jo\u00ebl Piroe", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13835", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13835", "name": "Jo\u00ebl Piroe", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 216, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 108, "npxg90": 0.3459, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.816, "xa90": 0.1287, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.816, "xgchain90": 0.5422, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.816, "xgbuildup90": 0.1683, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.816, "player_id": 369962, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 216.0, "npxg90": 0.4515431495383382, "xa90": 0.03575235605239868, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2321633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5235909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.051166176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.231346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 369962, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 246.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1380.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 246.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 246.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 369962, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:371998", "player_id": 371998, "name": "Vinicius Junior", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 0.46875, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 17, "Centre-Forward": 14, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7008", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7008", "name": "Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7034, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2475, "npxg90": 0.4064, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xa90": 0.2355, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgchain90": 0.7768, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.162, "xgbuildup90": 0.2588, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.162, "player_id": 371998, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1902.0, "npxg90": 0.721883470139669, "xa90": 0.20979080669440872, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2267.0, "npxg90": 0.41864661650217, "xa90": 0.3429806982358095, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2865.0, "npxg90": 0.33572903926928005, "xa90": 0.2247703684913238, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29266333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.5840909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.15796617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.338146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 371998, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2445.75, "empirical_lo80": 1037.8, "empirical_hi80": 3356.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2825.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2445.75, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.46875, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 371998, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:375382", "player_id": 375382, "name": "Andr\u00e9 Almeida", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.09090909090909091, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11057", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11057", "name": "Andr\u00e9 Almeida", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4017, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1256, "npxg90": 0.1286, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.276, "xa90": 0.168, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.276, "xgchain90": 0.4671, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.276, "xgbuildup90": 0.268, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.276, "player_id": 375382, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 991.0, "npxg90": 0.04972506609607177, "xa90": 0.12500990298694126, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2019.0, "npxg90": 0.06407375700694314, "xa90": 0.1640770366113705, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1007.0, "npxg90": 0.0781717874635059, "xa90": 0.19528308333949276, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.014863330153298299, "npxg90_high": 0.3062909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09046617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.270646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 375382, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1247.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2157.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1016.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1247.25, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.090909, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 375382, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:375391", "player_id": 375391, "name": "Joel Asoro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1754", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1754", "name": "Joel Asoro", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Metz", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1069, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 322, "npxg90": 0.2519, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xa90": 0.1123, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xgchain90": 0.4289, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.598, "xgbuildup90": 0.1381, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.598, "player_id": 375391, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 849.0, "npxg90": 0.09013276573520666, "xa90": 0.04823254253517823, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 220.0, "npxg90": 0.32080706920136104, "xa90": 0.038932672278447586, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13816333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.42959096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.034766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.214946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 375391, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 431.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1565.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 223.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 431.666667, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 375391, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:375816", "player_id": 375816, "name": "Manuel De Luca", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1598", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 375816, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 14.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 14.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 375816, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:375877", "player_id": 375877, "name": "Vakoun Bayo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13956", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13956", "name": "Vakoun Bayo", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 432, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 216, "npxg90": 0.2671, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.69, "xa90": 0.1414, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.69, "xgchain90": 0.4467, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.69, "xgbuildup90": 0.1377, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.69, "player_id": 375877, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 432.0, "npxg90": 0.27615879332491505, "xa90": 0.1522861079623302, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1533633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4447909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06386617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24404604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 375877, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 447.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1581.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 447.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 447.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 375877, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:377042", "player_id": 377042, "name": "Michael Folorunsho", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.20833333333333334, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 12, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 2, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11877", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11877", "name": "Michael Folorunsho", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5521, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1888, "npxg90": 0.1135, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xa90": 0.0526, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xgchain90": 0.2517, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.203, "xgbuildup90": 0.1371, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.203, "player_id": 377042, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2827.0, "npxg90": 0.1369440729252475, "xa90": 0.044564833343397996, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 662.0, "npxg90": 0.08369030315552774, "xa90": 0.10248604818638359, "clubs": "Fiorentina,Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2032.0, "npxg90": 0.13053310652791456, "xa90": 0.04180968008975784, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2911909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.155246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 377042, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1872.0, "empirical_lo80": 464.05, "empirical_hi80": 2782.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2009.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1872.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.208333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 377042, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:377729", "player_id": 377729, "name": "Martijn Kaars", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13966", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13966", "name": "Martijn Kaars", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1331, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 666, "npxg90": 0.2643, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.419, "xa90": 0.1245, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.419, "xgchain90": 0.5073, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.419, "xgbuildup90": 0.217, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.419, "player_id": 377729, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1331.0, "npxg90": 0.20603347929358304, "xa90": 0.09059469491260155, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15056333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4419909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04696617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.227146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 377729, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1346.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2480.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1346.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1346.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 377729, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:378139", "player_id": 378139, "name": "Aitor Ruibal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Right-Back": 11, "Right Winger": 4, "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6427", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6427", "name": "Aitor Ruibal", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Betis", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 4136, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1486, "npxg90": 0.1335, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xa90": 0.0958, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xgchain90": 0.4189, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xgbuildup90": 0.2362, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.244, "player_id": 378139, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1040.0, "npxg90": 0.10709262840772191, "xa90": 0.0975353448974112, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1287.0, "npxg90": 0.08902017691439681, "xa90": 0.18558971023747137, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1809.0, "npxg90": 0.21990010000542917, "xa90": 0.08933544233070678, "clubs": "Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.019763330153298314, "npxg90_high": 0.31119096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.018266176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.198446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 378139, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1486.75, "empirical_lo80": 78.8, "empirical_hi80": 2397.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1814.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1486.75, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 378139, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:378710", "player_id": 378710, "name": "Richarlison", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.9, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18, "Left Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6026", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6026", "name": "Richarlison", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Tottenham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3908, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1458, "npxg90": 0.4516, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xa90": 0.1441, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgchain90": 0.5674, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgbuildup90": 0.1221, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.248, "player_id": 378710, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1511.0, "npxg90": 0.5729419745820433, "xa90": 0.11719808024357362, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 471.0, "npxg90": 0.8222103650402871, "xa90": 0.15750209379727673, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1926.0, "npxg90": 0.4610409645502952, "xa90": 0.1592611300837353, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3378633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6292909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06656617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24674604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 378710, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1478.0, "empirical_lo80": 107.45, "empirical_hi80": 2612.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1960.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1478.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.9, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 378710, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:381950", "player_id": 381950, "name": "Alexis Saelemaekers", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 0.030303030303030304, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 30, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8297", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8297", "name": "Alexis Saelemaekers", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 6238, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2264, "npxg90": 0.1187, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xa90": 0.1406, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgchain90": 0.5238, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgbuildup90": 0.3318, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.175, "player_id": 381950, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1909.0, "npxg90": 0.13318449816914865, "xa90": 0.14235118527946952, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1510.0, "npxg90": 0.1830856611841167, "xa90": 0.1788279637817713, "clubs": "AC Milan,Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2819.0, "npxg90": 0.11487668952678337, "xa90": 0.15286048867321156, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0049633301532983065, "npxg90_high": 0.29639096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.06306617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.243246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 381950, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2247.0, "empirical_lo80": 839.05, "empirical_hi80": 3157.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2802.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2247.0, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.030303, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 381950, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:38253", "player_id": 38253, "name": "Robert Lewandowski", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "227", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "227", "name": "Robert Lewandowski", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 37.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7123, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2188, "npxg90": 0.3807, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xa90": 0.0819, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgchain90": 0.5526, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgbuildup90": 0.1701, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.18, "player_id": 38253, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2777.0, "npxg90": 0.48424311946080795, "xa90": 0.1652838506923333, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2716.0, "npxg90": 0.876182079622426, "xa90": 0.08202391130018524, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1630.0, "npxg90": 0.7640045705519937, "xa90": 0.12586354804825198, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2669633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5583909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.004366176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.18454604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 38253, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2188.25, "empirical_lo80": 817.7, "empirical_hi80": 3322.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1656.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2188.25, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 38253, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:384593", "player_id": 384593, "name": "Alexis Claude-Maurice", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.08, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 23, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5752", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5752", "name": "Alexis Claude Maurice", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4765, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1725, "npxg90": 0.2266, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xa90": 0.117, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgchain90": 0.4931, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgbuildup90": 0.2289, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.218, "player_id": 384593, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 470.0, "npxg90": 0.1916082206558674, "xa90": 0.04367270518807655, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2160.0, "npxg90": 0.19386756295959157, "xa90": 0.05278673042388012, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2135.0, "npxg90": 0.2033316476021913, "xa90": 0.13555522443643778, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1128633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.40429096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.039466176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.219646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 384593, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1709.0, "empirical_lo80": 301.05, "empirical_hi80": 2619.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2108.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1709.0, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.08, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 384593, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:386455", "player_id": 386455, "name": "Riccardo Sottil", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6672", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6672", "name": "Riccardo Sottil", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3126, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1051, "npxg90": 0.17, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.314, "xa90": 0.2224, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.314, "xgchain90": 0.4026, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.314, "xgbuildup90": 0.1737, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.314, "player_id": 386455, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1116.0, "npxg90": 0.21339001562145932, "xa90": 0.22265982904261156, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 932.0, "npxg90": 0.11357261947168301, "xa90": 0.13397826921082873, "clubs": "AC Milan,Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1078.0, "npxg90": 0.0631960391555956, "xa90": 0.3253455126592423, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05626333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.34769096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.14486617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.325046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 386455, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1072.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1049.75, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 386455, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:386914", "player_id": 386914, "name": "Sam Lammers", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Twente" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Eredivisie" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Twente", "league": "Eredivisie", "minutes": 1545.0, "npxg90": 0.4863844565974856, "xa90": 0.1736157611735816, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 386914, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:387626", "player_id": 387626, "name": "Leon Bailey", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 3, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma", "Aston Villa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5221", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5221", "name": "Leon Bailey", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Aston Villa; Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 3885, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1126, "npxg90": 0.1809, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xa90": 0.2427, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgchain90": 0.5336, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgbuildup90": 0.2491, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.299, "player_id": 387626, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2112.0, "npxg90": 0.2755212329264561, "xa90": 0.43888456971299916, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1152.0, "npxg90": 0.22405014839023352, "xa90": 0.18533441034378484, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 621.0, "npxg90": 0.12205406699491585, "xa90": 0.17090431509026582, "clubs": "Aston Villa; Roma", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06716333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.35859096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.1651661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.345346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 387626, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1122.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2032.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 634.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1122.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 387626, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:388165", "player_id": 388165, "name": "Yoane Wissa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5786", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5786", "name": "Yoane Wissa", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Newcastle United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5991, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1621, "npxg90": 0.4507, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xa90": 0.1088, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xgchain90": 0.65, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xgbuildup90": 0.167, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.228, "player_id": 388165, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2556.0, "npxg90": 0.3933098459695007, "xa90": 0.13480708252271295, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2943.0, "npxg90": 0.633977355623464, "xa90": 0.10548850504356787, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 492.0, "npxg90": 0.5923504760579729, "xa90": 0.031013242082624903, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.33696333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.6283909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03126617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.211446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 388165, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1619.75, "empirical_lo80": 249.2, "empirical_hi80": 2753.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 521.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1619.75, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 388165, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:391004", "player_id": 391004, "name": "Jonas Wind", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10394", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10394", "name": "Jonas Wind", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5135, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1404, "npxg90": 0.3038, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xa90": 0.1623, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgchain90": 0.5384, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgbuildup90": 0.1978, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.255, "player_id": 391004, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2689.0, "npxg90": 0.35091637899907285, "xa90": 0.15521458809029529, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1966.0, "npxg90": 0.22081580940569587, "xa90": 0.21814042959544175, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 480.0, "npxg90": 0.259170078439638, "xa90": 0.049197198590263724, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19006333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48149096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.08476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.264946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 391004, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1398.5, "empirical_lo80": 27.95, "empirical_hi80": 2532.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 480.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1398.5, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 391004, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:391065", "player_id": 391065, "name": "Hamed Traor\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth", "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6986", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6986", "name": "Hamed Junior Traore", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Bournemouth; Marseille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3197, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 956, "npxg90": 0.2414, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.334, "xa90": 0.1144, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.334, "xgchain90": 0.5669, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.334, "xgbuildup90": 0.2614, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.334, "player_id": 391065, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 418.0, "npxg90": 0.18262719428033064, "xa90": 0.15163482135634104, "clubs": "Bournemouth; Napoli", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2154.0, "npxg90": 0.31961919542682204, "xa90": 0.12167271903734188, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 625.0, "npxg90": 0.3953129414319992, "xa90": 0.14149517834186554, "clubs": "Bournemouth; Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1276633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4190909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03686617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.217046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 391065, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 636.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 951.75, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 391065, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:391766", "player_id": 391766, "name": "Marco Gr\u00fcll", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.391304347826087, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 8, "Left Midfield": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12924", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12924", "name": "Marco Gr\u00fcll", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3228, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1317, "npxg90": 0.2458, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.267, "xa90": 0.1283, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.267, "xgchain90": 0.5011, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.267, "xgbuildup90": 0.2074, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.267, "player_id": 391766, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1189.0, "npxg90": 0.3189498716550178, "xa90": 0.15637461386646062, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2039.0, "npxg90": 0.18650880563034036, "xa90": 0.10210642847814883, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1320633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42349096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.050766176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.23094604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 391766, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1734.666667, "empirical_lo80": 326.716667, "empirical_hi80": 2645.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2012.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1734.666667, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.391304, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 391766, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:392085", "player_id": 392085, "name": "Nicol\u00f2 Zaniolo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.8928571428571429, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 23, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6686", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6686", "name": "Nicolo Zaniolo", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3793, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1525, "npxg90": 0.2709, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.239, "xa90": 0.1847, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.239, "xgchain90": 0.5073, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.239, "xgbuildup90": 0.1622, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.239, "player_id": 392085, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 820.0, "npxg90": 0.40661044464242163, "xa90": 0.07019226241675093, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 665.0, "npxg90": 0.25916046775261264, "xa90": 0.1685756512714508, "clubs": "Atalanta,Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2308.0, "npxg90": 0.23958068415264325, "xa90": 0.22199849743780195, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15716333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4485909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10716617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.287346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 392085, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1514.25, "empirical_lo80": 143.7, "empirical_hi80": 2648.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2271.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1514.25, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.892857, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 392085, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:392767", "player_id": 392767, "name": "Danny Namaso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.1724137931034483, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 16, "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Centre-Forward": 5, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13888", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13888", "name": "Danny Namaso", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Auxerre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2544, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1272, "npxg90": 0.2722, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.274, "xa90": 0.1446, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.274, "xgchain90": 0.454, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.274, "xgbuildup90": 0.1629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.274, "player_id": 392767, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2544.0, "npxg90": 0.25886246771990973, "xa90": 0.13975106615722532, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1584633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4498909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06706617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24724604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 392767, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2528.0, "empirical_lo80": 1120.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2528.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2528.0, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.172414, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 392767, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:392770", "player_id": 392770, "name": "Angel Gomes", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.10526315789473684, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Second Striker": 2, "Defensive Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille", "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5598", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5598", "name": "Angel Gomes", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Marseille; Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 4749, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 1536, "npxg90": 0.1099, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xa90": 0.1627, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgchain90": 0.527, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgbuildup90": 0.3473, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.238, "player_id": 392770, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2605.0, "npxg90": 0.05991966956636498, "xa90": 0.2604196139409309, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 750.0, "npxg90": 0.11585071586072444, "xa90": 0.20502272039651873, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1394.0, "npxg90": 0.1454710719740844, "xa90": 0.08824894210080506, "clubs": "Marseille; Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2875909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08516617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.265346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 392770, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1509.0, "empirical_lo80": 101.05, "empirical_hi80": 2419.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1357.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1509.0, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.105263, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 392770, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:393238", "player_id": 393238, "name": "Zakaria Aboukhlal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Midfield": 4, "Left Winger": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10796", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10796", "name": "Zakaria Aboukhlal", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3199, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 925, "npxg90": 0.2418, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xa90": 0.0748, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xgchain90": 0.3993, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xgbuildup90": 0.1414, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.342, "player_id": 393238, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 764.0, "npxg90": 0.2879518247575192, "xa90": 0.027191029929833885, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1935.0, "npxg90": 0.4858303222545357, "xa90": 0.07883298830237499, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 500.0, "npxg90": 0.07419195257127284, "xa90": 0.10756270866841079, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1280633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.41949096897157734, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.177446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 393238, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 507.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 920.5, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 393238, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:393323", "player_id": 393323, "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 0.13333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 12, "Right Winger": 8, "Central Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 3, "Right Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10751", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10751", "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3720, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1559, "npxg90": 0.2319, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xa90": 0.1903, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgchain90": 0.5031, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgbuildup90": 0.1577, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.235, "player_id": 393323, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1203.0, "npxg90": 0.17804419956265244, "xa90": 0.20405278754817727, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2517.0, "npxg90": 0.2102963797552722, "xa90": 0.20248068569847455, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1181633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4095909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11276617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.292946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 393323, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2067.666667, "empirical_lo80": 659.716667, "empirical_hi80": 2978.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2470.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2067.666667, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.133333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 393323, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:394033", "player_id": 394033, "name": "Stefan Schimmer", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11861", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11861", "name": "Stefan Schimmer", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 32.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1074, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 453, "npxg90": 0.4345, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.515, "xa90": 0.1678, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.515, "xgchain90": 0.683, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.515, "xgbuildup90": 0.1636, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.515, "player_id": 394033, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 117.0, "npxg90": 0.4606197430537297, "xa90": 0.6282829321347749, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 220.0, "npxg90": 0.4719174856489355, "xa90": 0.09017890704457054, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 737.0, "npxg90": 0.7223449801088511, "xa90": 0.20163051645035174, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3207633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6121909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09026617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.270446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 394033, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 496.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1630.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 805.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 496.75, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 394033, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:395522", "player_id": 395522, "name": "Samuel Essende", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12922", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12922", "name": "Samuel Essende", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2029, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 598, "npxg90": 0.3216, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.445, "xa90": 0.1272, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.445, "xgchain90": 0.4762, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.445, "xgbuildup90": 0.1234, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.445, "player_id": 395522, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1668.0, "npxg90": 0.3113583543022974, "xa90": 0.09537985488075576, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 361.0, "npxg90": 0.3631478337534907, "xa90": 0.1066224174599816, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2078633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4992909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.049666176180513125, "xa90_high": 0.229846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 395522, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 818.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1952.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 404.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 818.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 395522, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:395523", "player_id": 395523, "name": "Wilfried Kanga", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "KAA Gent" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "KAA Gent", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 2836.0, "npxg90": 0.3550176278324154, "xa90": 0.0541479169550037, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 395523, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:398184", "player_id": 398184, "name": "Ferran Torres", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 19, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.8260869565217391, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 19, "Left Winger": 3, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6441", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6441", "name": "Ferr\u00e1n Torres", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4286, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1578, "npxg90": 0.5947, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xa90": 0.1692, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgchain90": 0.9083, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgbuildup90": 0.2385, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.233, "player_id": 398184, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1168.0, "npxg90": 0.4736501898150891, "xa90": 0.15947429928928614, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1093.0, "npxg90": 0.7972701249195967, "xa90": 0.2928216285553692, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2025.0, "npxg90": 0.7192609766291248, "xa90": 0.1403446993066205, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4809633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7723909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0916661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.27184604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 398184, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1563.75, "empirical_lo80": 193.2, "empirical_hi80": 2697.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1975.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1563.75, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.826087, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 398184, "player": "F. Torres", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "capology_point_estimate", "fee_eur": { "low": 48500000.0, "base": 48500000.0, "high": 48500000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 9700000.0, "base": 9700000.0, "high": 9700000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 13640000.0, "base": 13640000.0, "high": 13640000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 23340000.0, "base": 23340000.0, "high": 23340000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 116700000.0, "base": 116700000.0, "high": 116700000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/fr/ligue-1/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:400546", "player_id": 400546, "name": "Nikolas Nartey", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 11, "Central Midfield": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6415", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6415", "name": "Nikolas Nartey", "comp": "L1", "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1255, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 628, "npxg90": 0.3284, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xa90": 0.2106, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgchain90": 0.7848, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.433, "xgbuildup90": 0.3128, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.433, "player_id": 400546, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1255.0, "npxg90": 0.31564335909438324, "xa90": 0.24054799647445224, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.21466333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5060909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13306617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.313246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 400546, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1256.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 844.333333, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 400546, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:401923", "player_id": 401923, "name": "Victor Osimhen", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Galatasaray" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Galatasaray", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1711.0, "npxg90": 0.8057130393335374, "xa90": 0.0902606505946343, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 401923, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:40433", "player_id": 40433, "name": "Alexis S\u00e1nchez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.5454545454545454, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Right Winger": 4, "Second Striker": 2, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "498", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "498", "name": "Alexis S\u00e1nchez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Sevilla", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 37.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2429, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 927, "npxg90": 0.1423, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xa90": 0.1151, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xgchain90": 0.3605, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xgbuildup90": 0.173, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.341, "player_id": 40433, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 716.0, "npxg90": 0.23837643940855005, "xa90": 0.5409441581880413, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 435.0, "npxg90": 0.2546690371658268, "xa90": 0.021008580152330727, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1278.0, "npxg90": 0.19417517582400584, "xa90": 0.1289746157405242, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.028563330153298316, "npxg90_high": 0.3199909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03756617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.217746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 40433, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 946.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2080.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1300.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 946.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.545455, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 40433, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:405885", "player_id": 405885, "name": "Giacomo Raspadori", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.875, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 5, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC", "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7500", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7500", "name": "Giacomo Raspadori", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta; Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3643, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1158, "npxg90": 0.3571, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xa90": 0.1946, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgchain90": 0.6761, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgbuildup90": 0.2229, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.293, "player_id": 405885, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1546.0, "npxg90": 0.3458701844121128, "xa90": 0.26100904043440987, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1110.0, "npxg90": 0.41228235757129417, "xa90": 0.1776043226992762, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 987.0, "npxg90": 0.3978644130258937, "xa90": 0.19609249338485008, "clubs": "Atalanta; Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24336333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.5347909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11706617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.297246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 405885, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1176.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2310.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1019.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1176.5, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.875, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 405885, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:406040", "player_id": 406040, "name": "Ademola Lookman", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.7777777777777778, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 12, "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC", "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5556", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5556", "name": "Ademola Lookman", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta; Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5666, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1777, "npxg90": 0.435, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xa90": 0.2551, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgchain90": 0.7833, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgbuildup90": 0.2509, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.213, "player_id": 406040, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1930.0, "npxg90": 0.5139316480240056, "xa90": 0.29659329307473076, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2295.0, "npxg90": 0.5116629781676274, "xa90": 0.34852155984616745, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1441.0, "npxg90": 0.47294652137303, "xa90": 0.24789817512324916, "clubs": "Atalanta; Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.32126333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.6126909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.17756617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.357746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 406040, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1751.0, "empirical_lo80": 380.45, "empirical_hi80": 2885.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1419.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1751.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.777778, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 406040, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:406042", "player_id": 406042, "name": "Dennis Johnsen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.4, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9882", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9882", "name": "Dennis Johnsen", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 390, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 195, "npxg90": 0.2517, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xa90": 0.1462, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xgchain90": 0.453, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xgbuildup90": 0.1315, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.711, "player_id": 406042, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 390.0, "npxg90": 0.1699014502362563, "xa90": 0.14303208142518997, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13796333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4293909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06866617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.248846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 406042, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 390.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1300.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 390.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 390.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.4, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 406042, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:406625", "player_id": 406625, "name": "Lautaro Mart\u00ednez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7006", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7006", "name": "Lautaro Mart\u00ednez", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Inter", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7498, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2426, "npxg90": 0.5435, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.165, "xa90": 0.1894, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.165, "xgchain90": 0.8728, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.165, "xgbuildup90": 0.2924, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.165, "player_id": 406625, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2688.0, "npxg90": 0.5903975590730884, "xa90": 0.1415750793447452, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2605.0, "npxg90": 0.5172980604782672, "xa90": 0.18000914174312593, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2205.0, "npxg90": 0.6995440820346074, "xa90": 0.25679491232244334, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.42976333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.7211909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11186617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.292046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 406625, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2400.75, "empirical_lo80": 1030.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2178.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2400.75, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 406625, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:406635", "player_id": 406635, "name": "Phil Foden", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.043478260869565216, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 13, "Right Winger": 4, "Left Winger": 4, "Central Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6055", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6055", "name": "Phil Foden", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6748, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2208, "npxg90": 0.316, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.179, "xa90": 0.2453, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.179, "xgchain90": 0.8015, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.179, "xgbuildup90": 0.4094, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.179, "player_id": 406635, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2895.0, "npxg90": 0.3515435131218458, "xa90": 0.26475335290858165, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1770.0, "npxg90": 0.3144449784215224, "xa90": 0.27367549118096546, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2083.0, "npxg90": 0.28899298334316287, "xa90": 0.26387034361869943, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2022633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4936909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1677661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.347946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 406635, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2205.5, "empirical_lo80": 797.55, "empirical_hi80": 3115.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2085.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2205.5, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.043478, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 406635, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:407098", "player_id": 407098, "name": "Jakub Kami\u0144ski", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 34, "cf_start_share": 0.029411764705882353, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 14, "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Right Midfield": 4, "Left Midfield": 3, "Central Midfield": 2, "Right Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10732", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10732", "name": "Jakub Kaminski", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 4577, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1902, "npxg90": 0.1898, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xa90": 0.1734, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xgchain90": 0.5116, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xgbuildup90": 0.2691, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.202, "player_id": 407098, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 441.0, "npxg90": 0.22497358598879405, "xa90": 0.3071671199737763, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1105.0, "npxg90": 0.09005941339342842, "xa90": 0.2866264090818517, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3031.0, "npxg90": 0.23654981857673912, "xa90": 0.16596418840755964, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0760633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3674909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09586617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.276046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 407098, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1908.5, "empirical_lo80": 500.55, "empirical_hi80": 2818.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3023.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1908.5, "prior_starts": 34.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.029412, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 407098, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:408471", "player_id": 408471, "name": "Javi Puado", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 6, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Espanyol Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6933", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6933", "name": "Javi Puado", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Espanyol", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3710, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1099, "npxg90": 0.2949, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.304, "xa90": 0.1188, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.304, "xgchain90": 0.4473, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.304, "xgbuildup90": 0.1456, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.304, "player_id": 408471, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3023.0, "npxg90": 0.24500484286252627, "xa90": 0.08840024865007819, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 687.0, "npxg90": 0.4391810170671695, "xa90": 0.1254912355190802, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1811633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4725909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04126617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.221446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 408471, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1448.333333, "empirical_lo80": 40.383333, "empirical_hi80": 2358.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 678.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1448.333333, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 408471, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:410225", "player_id": 410225, "name": "Isma\u00efla Sarr", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.20833333333333334, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 19, "Second Striker": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5675", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5675", "name": "Ismaila Sarr", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Crystal Palace", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6353, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2134, "npxg90": 0.3523, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xa90": 0.174, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgchain90": 0.6092, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgbuildup90": 0.1894, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.184, "player_id": 410225, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1434.0, "npxg90": 0.254351815450391, "xa90": 0.17353159184548148, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2738.0, "npxg90": 0.404591066307008, "xa90": 0.3305658951899686, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2181.0, "npxg90": 0.38211006809543546, "xa90": 0.09080316102775289, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2385633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5299909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.0964661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.276646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 410225, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2130.5, "empirical_lo80": 722.55, "empirical_hi80": 3040.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2177.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2130.5, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.208333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 410225, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:411295", "player_id": 411295, "name": "Raphinha", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 12, "Right Winger": 3, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8026", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8026", "name": "Raphinha", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5671, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1774, "npxg90": 0.4526, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xa90": 0.3294, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgchain90": 0.975, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgbuildup90": 0.3897, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.213, "player_id": 411295, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1385.0, "npxg90": 0.45413996182409005, "xa90": 0.4042870177608319, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2862.0, "npxg90": 0.5591018949547466, "xa90": 0.42537874354740735, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1424.0, "npxg90": 0.5623300209133938, "xa90": 0.37332544939100665, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3388633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6302909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.25186617618051316, "xa90_high": 0.43204604875519204 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 411295, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1748.5, "empirical_lo80": 340.55, "empirical_hi80": 2658.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1389.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1748.5, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 411295, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:411537", "player_id": 411537, "name": "Zian Flemming", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13729", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13729", "name": "Zian Flemming", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Burnley", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1795, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 898, "npxg90": 0.3672, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.348, "xa90": 0.0738, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.348, "xgchain90": 0.4433, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.348, "xgbuildup90": 0.1197, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.348, "player_id": 411537, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1795.0, "npxg90": 0.402741577657858, "xa90": 0.03433721917253351, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.25346333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5448909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.176446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 411537, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1776.0, "empirical_lo80": 405.45, "empirical_hi80": 2910.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1776.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1776.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 411537, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:412363", "player_id": 412363, "name": "Rodrygo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 3, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8015", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8015", "name": "Rodrygo", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5024, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1414, "npxg90": 0.3361, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.253, "xa90": 0.2106, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.253, "xgchain90": 0.7272, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.253, "xgbuildup90": 0.3446, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.253, "player_id": 412363, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2426.0, "npxg90": 0.43355506498547797, "xa90": 0.16415788866548822, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1965.0, "npxg90": 0.21637749728810696, "xa90": 0.18337087921855103, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 633.0, "npxg90": 0.40499739807928903, "xa90": 0.4098805865511228, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22236333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5137909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.13306617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.313246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 412363, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1420.25, "empirical_lo80": 12.3, "empirical_hi80": 2330.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 676.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1420.25, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 412363, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:412513", "player_id": 412513, "name": "Thomas Henry", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Standard Li\u00e8ge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Standard Li\u00e8ge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1360.0, "npxg90": 0.1595845573088702, "xa90": 0.0382276988204787, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 412513, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:412660", "player_id": 412660, "name": "Keinan Davis", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1053", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1053", "name": "Keinan Davis", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3315, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1355, "npxg90": 0.2829, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xa90": 0.1743, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgchain90": 0.5383, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgbuildup90": 0.1886, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.262, "player_id": 412660, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 160.0, "npxg90": 0.3098792819073424, "xa90": 0.036526240641251206, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1049.0, "npxg90": 0.2633767799111181, "xa90": 0.21028635192403233, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2106.0, "npxg90": 0.29251884382504684, "xa90": 0.18494460469064042, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1691633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4605909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09676617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.276946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 412660, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1350.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2484.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2078.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1350.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 412660, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:413039", "player_id": 413039, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.5806451612903226, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 10, "Second Striker": 10, "Centre-Forward": 8, "Left Winger": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6552", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6552", "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8049, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2681, "npxg90": 0.3518, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xa90": 0.2056, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xgchain90": 0.6828, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.152, "xgbuildup90": 0.2247, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.152, "player_id": 413039, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1954.0, "npxg90": 0.3166518885615599, "xa90": 0.23675328091991837, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3419.0, "npxg90": 0.238626309493178, "xa90": 0.2731453592317796, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2676.0, "npxg90": 0.447619106743752, "xa90": 0.17122229928727106, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2380633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5294909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12806617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.308246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 413039, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2657.0, "empirical_lo80": 1286.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2625.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2657.0, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.580645, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 413039, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:413262", "player_id": 413262, "name": "Dani Raba", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5199", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5199", "name": "Raba", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 30.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2172, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 605, "npxg90": 0.1946, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xa90": 0.1944, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgchain90": 0.4317, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgbuildup90": 0.1408, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.442, "player_id": 413262, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1925.0, "npxg90": 0.16336212320035542, "xa90": 0.2864548667394496, "clubs": "Leganes", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 247.0, "npxg90": 0.13482777944762214, "xa90": 0.11613793459981077, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0808633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3722909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1168661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.29704604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 413262, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 806.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1940.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 264.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 806.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 413262, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:413605", "player_id": 413605, "name": "David Okereke", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9905", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9905", "name": "David Okereke", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 635, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 258, "npxg90": 0.2336, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.65, "xa90": 0.1222, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.65, "xgchain90": 0.4284, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.65, "xgbuildup90": 0.1699, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.65, "player_id": 413605, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 238.0, "npxg90": 0.1373535957375244, "xa90": 0.03800551203556922, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 397.0, "npxg90": 0.15708171933776785, "xa90": 0.0954805314306273, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11986333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.41129096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.04466617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.22484604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 413605, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 349.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1483.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 400.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 349.333333, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 413605, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:416380", "player_id": 416380, "name": "Ragnar Ache", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8869", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8869", "name": "Ragnar Ache", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1739, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 870, "npxg90": 0.4798, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xa90": 0.1584, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgchain90": 0.6499, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgbuildup90": 0.1932, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.356, "player_id": 416380, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1739.0, "npxg90": 0.5694239219846637, "xa90": 0.15377079536725968, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3660633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6574909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08086617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.261046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 416380, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1726.0, "empirical_lo80": 355.45, "empirical_hi80": 2860.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1726.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1726.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 416380, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:416386", "player_id": 416386, "name": "Abdou Harroui", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.09090909090909091, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 9, "Defensive Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9996", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9996", "name": "Abdou Harroui", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2401, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 827, "npxg90": 0.2007, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xa90": 0.122, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xgchain90": 0.4575, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.367, "xgbuildup90": 0.2014, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.367, "player_id": 416386, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1041.0, "npxg90": 0.22791411445854548, "xa90": 0.14709641818783814, "clubs": "Frosinone", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 452.0, "npxg90": 0.48807576681957043, "xa90": 0.20796399893222656, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 908.0, "npxg90": 0.04085316306332922, "xa90": 0.06805553448197764, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0869633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3783909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.044466176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.224646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 416386, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 825.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1735.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 906.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 825.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.090909, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 416386, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:418560", "player_id": 418560, "name": "Erling Haaland", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 34, "all_position_starts": 34, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 34 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8260", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8260", "name": "Erling Haaland", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8309, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2822, "npxg90": 0.7144, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.145, "xa90": 0.1536, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.145, "xgchain90": 0.8877, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.145, "xgbuildup90": 0.1428, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.145, "player_id": 418560, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2581.0, "npxg90": 0.8914444654464074, "xa90": 0.1656946921284487, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2749.0, "npxg90": 0.6845735063489761, "xa90": 0.1172464394351761, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2979.0, "npxg90": 0.7779655821643927, "xa90": 0.16639538047401928, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.6006633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.8920909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.0760661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25624604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 418560, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2804.75, "empirical_lo80": 1434.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2959.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2804.75, "prior_starts": 34.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 418560, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:418659", "player_id": 418659, "name": "Amine Gouiri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.8, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12, "Left Winger": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6401", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6401", "name": "Amine Gouiri", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Marseille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5530, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1712, "npxg90": 0.4139, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xa90": 0.1862, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgchain90": 0.6744, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgbuildup90": 0.1951, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.219, "player_id": 418659, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2090.0, "npxg90": 0.3700424642814546, "xa90": 0.0967654191697257, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2122.0, "npxg90": 0.4534297221244561, "xa90": 0.1934388833002843, "clubs": "Marseille,Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1318.0, "npxg90": 0.49418532898669354, "xa90": 0.2723599318273603, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3001633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5915909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10866617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.288846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 418659, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1707.0, "empirical_lo80": 336.45, "empirical_hi80": 2841.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1331.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1707.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.8, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 418659, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:419648", "player_id": 419648, "name": "Veljko Birmancevic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11091", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11091", "name": "Veljko Birmancevic", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 129, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 64, "npxg90": 0.2558, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.882, "xa90": 0.1536, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.882, "xgchain90": 0.609, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.882, "xgbuildup90": 0.2888, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.882, "player_id": 419648, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 129.0, "npxg90": 0.044302942967692084, "xa90": 0.07636854121851366, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14206333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.43349096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.0760661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25624604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 419648, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 138.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1272.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 138.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 138.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 419648, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:420002", "player_id": 420002, "name": "Jean-Philippe Mateta", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 25 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5735", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5735", "name": "Jean-Philippe Mateta", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Crystal Palace", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7218, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2361, "npxg90": 0.4396, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xa90": 0.1004, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xgchain90": 0.5854, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.169, "xgbuildup90": 0.1169, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.169, "player_id": 420002, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2303.0, "npxg90": 0.42081490848124464, "xa90": 0.13783571470886327, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2690.0, "npxg90": 0.47878282211831735, "xa90": 0.1289035919915234, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2225.0, "npxg90": 0.523122552589754, "xa90": 0.05054639870865961, "clubs": "Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.32586333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.6172909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02286617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.203046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 420002, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2346.75, "empirical_lo80": 976.2, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2223.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2346.75, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 420002, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:424072", "player_id": 424072, "name": "Mathias Pereira Lage", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.56, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13, "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Left Winger": 3, "Left Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7743", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7743", "name": "Pereira Lage", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 4810, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1719, "npxg90": 0.1689, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xa90": 0.127, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgchain90": 0.3478, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgbuildup90": 0.1443, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.218, "player_id": 424072, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1167.0, "npxg90": 0.30520337377615026, "xa90": 0.18005184216333844, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1576.0, "npxg90": 0.18183720993057725, "xa90": 0.2724640454203458, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2067.0, "npxg90": 0.19283584958410055, "xa90": 0.08981116597252765, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0551633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3465909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04946617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.229646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 424072, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1704.25, "empirical_lo80": 333.7, "empirical_hi80": 2838.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2032.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1704.25, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.56, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 424072, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:424784", "player_id": 424784, "name": "Luis Su\u00e1rez", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Sporting Lisbon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Sporting Lisbon", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 2698.0, "npxg90": 0.6195489418250353, "xa90": 0.1861725691250291, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 424784, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:429014", "player_id": 429014, "name": "Morgan Gibbs-White", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 35, "cf_start_share": 0.05714285714285714, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 28, "Left Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6857", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6857", "name": "Morgan Gibbs-White", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Nottingham Forest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 9187, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 3082, "npxg90": 0.2536, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.135, "xa90": 0.1758, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.135, "xgchain90": 0.5211, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.135, "xgbuildup90": 0.216, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.135, "player_id": 429014, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3177.0, "npxg90": 0.15038120784604178, "xa90": 0.2697497933955267, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2868.0, "npxg90": 0.19268738181879705, "xa90": 0.1916058128309986, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3142.0, "npxg90": 0.3125231061427173, "xa90": 0.12902671138665275, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1398633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4312909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09826617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.278446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 429014, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 3053.0, "empirical_lo80": 1645.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3113.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 3053.0, "prior_starts": 35.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.057143, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 429014, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:429874", "player_id": 429874, "name": "Ansgar Knauff", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Right Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8989", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8989", "name": "Ansgar Knauff", "comp": "L1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5084, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1596, "npxg90": 0.2282, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xa90": 0.1802, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgchain90": 0.5772, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgbuildup90": 0.2344, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.231, "player_id": 429874, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2159.0, "npxg90": 0.26891124528375915, "xa90": 0.13659506549626493, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1623.0, "npxg90": 0.2904831860111183, "xa90": 0.29952917316869976, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1302.0, "npxg90": 0.2558085964863888, "xa90": 0.20105073099724158, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11446333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4058909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10266617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.282846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 429874, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1592.0, "empirical_lo80": 184.05, "empirical_hi80": 2502.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1322.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1592.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 429874, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:429983", "player_id": 429983, "name": "J\u00f8rgen Strand Larsen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace", "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11070", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11070", "name": "J\u00f8rgen Strand Larsen", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Crystal Palace,Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7928, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2570, "npxg90": 0.3336, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xa90": 0.0787, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xgchain90": 0.4638, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.157, "xgbuildup90": 0.1262, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.157, "player_id": 429983, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2951.0, "npxg90": 0.508457982867845, "xa90": 0.08379114721688688, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2624.0, "npxg90": 0.40094190062784657, "xa90": 0.1151967940145036, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2353.0, "npxg90": 0.19093422368770452, "xa90": 0.02626032719710787, "clubs": "Crystal Palace,Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.21986333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.5112909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0011661761805131232, "xa90_high": 0.181346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 429983, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2530.25, "empirical_lo80": 1159.7, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2315.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2530.25, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 429983, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:432092", "player_id": 432092, "name": "Roberto Piccoli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7375", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7375", "name": "Roberto Piccoli", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6199, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1963, "npxg90": 0.3979, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xa90": 0.0816, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgchain90": 0.4907, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgbuildup90": 0.1083, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.196, "player_id": 432092, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1366.0, "npxg90": 0.406149337477273, "xa90": 0.08865858920431242, "clubs": "Empoli,Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3180.0, "npxg90": 0.48550168456913867, "xa90": 0.03240741160258932, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1653.0, "npxg90": 0.37172925366112414, "xa90": 0.08640972540769624, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2841633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5755909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.004066176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.18424604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 432092, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1968.0, "empirical_lo80": 597.45, "empirical_hi80": 3102.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1664.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1968.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 432092, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:432164", "player_id": 432164, "name": "Igor Jesus", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.9642857142857143, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13778", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13778", "name": "Igor Jesus", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Nottingham Forest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2379, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1190, "npxg90": 0.2688, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.288, "xa90": 0.1055, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.288, "xgchain90": 0.3925, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.288, "xgbuildup90": 0.1043, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.288, "player_id": 432164, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2379.0, "npxg90": 0.24355275874715507, "xa90": 0.08626798437943525, "clubs": "Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1550633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4464909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.027966176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.208146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 432164, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2315.0, "empirical_lo80": 944.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2315.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2315.0, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.964286, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 432164, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:433049", "player_id": 433049, "name": "Youssef En-Nesyri", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Fenerbah\u00e7e" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Fenerbah\u00e7e", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1008.0, "npxg90": 0.7848660434995378, "xa90": 0.0789124784725052, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 433049, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:434433", "player_id": 434433, "name": "Nikola Krstovi\u0107", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12008", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12008", "name": "Nikola Krstovic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7278, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2265, "npxg90": 0.4739, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xa90": 0.1305, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgchain90": 0.6404, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgbuildup90": 0.136, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.175, "player_id": 434433, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2401.0, "npxg90": 0.3868031829459029, "xa90": 0.10104536854649201, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3096.0, "npxg90": 0.2880314949001077, "xa90": 0.10383193946963307, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1781.0, "npxg90": 0.7921103921032301, "xa90": 0.1632536148808265, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.36016333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.6515909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05296617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.23314604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 434433, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2257.5, "empirical_lo80": 886.95, "empirical_hi80": 3391.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1786.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2257.5, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 434433, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:434675", "player_id": 434675, "name": "Cody Gakpo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 24, "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11296", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11296", "name": "Cody Gakpo", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6368, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2282, "npxg90": 0.3577, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xa90": 0.2189, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgchain90": 0.7241, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgbuildup90": 0.2508, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.174, "player_id": 434675, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1640.0, "npxg90": 0.4812376562551391, "xa90": 0.23206894067911113, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1970.0, "npxg90": 0.3929512308541742, "xa90": 0.2858621546440772, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2758.0, "npxg90": 0.3206486303421403, "xa90": 0.21512323872276065, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24396333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5353909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.14136617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.321546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 434675, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2270.5, "empirical_lo80": 862.55, "empirical_hi80": 3180.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2749.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2270.5, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 434675, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:435492", "player_id": 435492, "name": "Alimami Gory", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Right-Back": 3, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13801", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13801", "name": "Alimami Gory", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris FC", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 959, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 480, "npxg90": 0.2006, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.5, "xa90": 0.0675, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.5, "xgchain90": 0.3863, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.5, "xgbuildup90": 0.1732, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.5, "player_id": 435492, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 959.0, "npxg90": 0.3651805404997096, "xa90": 0.06301259623920084, "clubs": "Paris FC", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08686333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3782909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17014604875519201 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 435492, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 978.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1888.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 978.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 978.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 435492, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:435648", "player_id": 435648, "name": "Joshua Zirkzee", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.8, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8044", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8044", "name": "Joshua Zirkzee", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4753, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1332, "npxg90": 0.3433, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xa90": 0.1715, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgchain90": 0.6411, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgbuildup90": 0.2382, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.265, "player_id": 435648, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2802.0, "npxg90": 0.24360210048453584, "xa90": 0.19395227572926552, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1378.0, "npxg90": 0.34082336989278716, "xa90": 0.1312613866260851, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 573.0, "npxg90": 0.6041835217263686, "xa90": 0.19103170036099346, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2295633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5209909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09396617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.274146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 435648, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1346.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2480.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 609.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1346.5, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.8, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 435648, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:435772", "player_id": 435772, "name": "Charles De Ketelaere", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.07692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 24, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10877", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10877", "name": "Charles De Ketelaere", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6362, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2142, "npxg90": 0.2738, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.183, "xa90": 0.3368, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.183, "xgchain90": 0.7821, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.183, "xgbuildup90": 0.329, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.183, "player_id": 435772, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2064.0, "npxg90": 0.29719033419306196, "xa90": 0.33459841295383697, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2092.0, "npxg90": 0.4067822705498446, "xa90": 0.28783147716556406, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2206.0, "npxg90": 0.18546554362122727, "xa90": 0.4346048112212261, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1600633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4514909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.2592661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.439446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 435772, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2125.5, "empirical_lo80": 717.55, "empirical_hi80": 3035.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2190.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2125.5, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.076923, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 435772, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:442891", "player_id": 442891, "name": "Martin Terrier", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 6, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5611", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5611", "name": "Martin Terrier", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2799, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 866, "npxg90": 0.3479, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xa90": 0.165, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgchain90": 0.6239, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgbuildup90": 0.2204, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.356, "player_id": 442891, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1561.0, "npxg90": 0.3162258741500132, "xa90": 0.17631656741443008, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 571.0, "npxg90": 0.3849177408291454, "xa90": 0.1990388358589229, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 667.0, "npxg90": 0.43193578334717914, "xa90": 0.14840332782831506, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2341633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5255909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08746617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.267646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 442891, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 864.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1775.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 671.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 864.75, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.142857, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 442891, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:444523", "player_id": 444523, "name": "Lucas Paquet\u00e1", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 13, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Central Midfield": 1, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7365", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7365", "name": "Lucas Paquet\u00e1", "comp": "GB1", "team": "West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6618, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2040, "npxg90": 0.132, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xa90": 0.154, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgchain90": 0.3825, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgbuildup90": 0.1717, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.19, "player_id": 444523, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2676.0, "npxg90": 0.10368008443233745, "xa90": 0.196178198725219, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2398.0, "npxg90": 0.1355578125477011, "xa90": 0.10259268526531588, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1544.0, "npxg90": 0.053539371384558665, "xa90": 0.17556815889514404, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.018263330153298313, "npxg90_high": 0.30969096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.07646617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.256646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 444523, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2017.0, "empirical_lo80": 609.05, "empirical_hi80": 2927.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1522.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2017.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 444523, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:445606", "player_id": 445606, "name": "TM 445606", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 445606, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:445939", "player_id": 445939, "name": "Omar Marmoush", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.625, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Left Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8393", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8393", "name": "Omar Marmoush", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5702, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1599, "npxg90": 0.4209, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xa90": 0.23, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgchain90": 0.7029, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.231, "xgbuildup90": 0.1727, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.231, "player_id": 445939, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2343.0, "npxg90": 0.3799317233388464, "xa90": 0.18020925418534595, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2666.0, "npxg90": 0.49247672214030946, "xa90": 0.30767070548015035, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 693.0, "npxg90": 0.48900836135272857, "xa90": 0.27622584011647605, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.30716333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5985909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.1524661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.332646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 445939, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1587.5, "empirical_lo80": 216.95, "empirical_hi80": 2721.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 699.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1587.5, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.625, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 445939, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:448177", "player_id": 448177, "name": "Jessic Ngankam", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8396", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 448177, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 60.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 189.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 448177, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:449151", "player_id": 449151, "name": "Junior Messias", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.4, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 2, "Central Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8838", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8838", "name": "Junior Messias", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2529, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 796, "npxg90": 0.1007, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xa90": 0.0939, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xgchain90": 0.2672, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xgbuildup90": 0.1484, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.376, "player_id": 449151, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1042.0, "npxg90": 0.14611596343484698, "xa90": 0.1867695645234349, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 832.0, "npxg90": 0.19896178604820028, "xa90": 0.0754263050084074, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 655.0, "npxg90": 0.1514420047231758, "xa90": 0.14526349505167882, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.27839096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.016366176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.196546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 449151, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 812.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1723.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 675.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 812.75, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.4, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 449151, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:451276", "player_id": 451276, "name": "Dominik Szoboszlai", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 36, "cf_start_share": 0.027777777777777776, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 13, "Right-Back": 8, "Right Winger": 7, "Central Midfield": 6, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9788", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9788", "name": "Dominik Szoboszlai", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 7890, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2782, "npxg90": 0.1373, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.147, "xa90": 0.2256, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.147, "xgchain90": 0.6806, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.147, "xgbuildup90": 0.4629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.147, "player_id": 451276, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2135.0, "npxg90": 0.14834446966456166, "xa90": 0.23849558500481435, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2519.0, "npxg90": 0.25040532095907175, "xa90": 0.2807692082176586, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3236.0, "npxg90": 0.11021945999396507, "xa90": 0.24572472089190125, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.023563330153298312, "npxg90_high": 0.3149909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1480661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.328246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 451276, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2768.5, "empirical_lo80": 1360.55, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3233.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2768.5, "prior_starts": 36.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.027778, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 451276, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:452477", "player_id": 452477, "name": "Junior Adamu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12069", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12069", "name": "Junior Adamu", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2035, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 623, "npxg90": 0.3556, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xa90": 0.169, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xgchain90": 0.5433, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xgbuildup90": 0.1502, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.435, "player_id": 452477, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1579.0, "npxg90": 0.36034276572712587, "xa90": 0.11705703839324673, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 456.0, "npxg90": 0.3526502872179998, "xa90": 0.245837541542163, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24186333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5332909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.09146617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.271646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 452477, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 636.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1770.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 449.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 636.25, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 452477, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:453870", "player_id": 453870, "name": "Benedict Hollerbach", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.7692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11981", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11981", "name": "Benedict Hollerbach", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4827, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1432, "npxg90": 0.3154, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xa90": 0.1359, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgchain90": 0.5049, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.251, "xgbuildup90": 0.142, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.251, "player_id": 453870, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1330.0, "npxg90": 0.2805098435400348, "xa90": 0.10995578355527014, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2594.0, "npxg90": 0.31505112463009527, "xa90": 0.08293517353264479, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 903.0, "npxg90": 0.2969192089110712, "xa90": 0.18755105791297863, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20166333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.49309096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.05836617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.23854604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 453870, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1401.5, "empirical_lo80": 30.95, "empirical_hi80": 2535.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 884.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1401.5, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.769231, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 453870, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:454386", "player_id": 454386, "name": "Adrian Benedyczak", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.6, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13172", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13172", "name": "Adrian Benedyczak", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 671, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 287, "npxg90": 0.2603, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.626, "xa90": 0.18, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.626, "xgchain90": 0.4658, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.626, "xgbuildup90": 0.1629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.626, "player_id": 454386, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 195.0, "npxg90": 0.07967014954640315, "xa90": 0.017643573479010508, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 476.0, "npxg90": 0.23304647092997025, "xa90": 0.27486411549401385, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14656333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4379909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10246617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.282646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 454386, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 393.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1527.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 486.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 393.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.6, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 454386, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:455181", "player_id": 455181, "name": "Jorge de Frutos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.45161290322580644, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 17, "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8107", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8107", "name": "Jorge De Frutos", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6598, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2281, "npxg90": 0.3143, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xa90": 0.1236, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgchain90": 0.5206, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgbuildup90": 0.1257, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.174, "player_id": 455181, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1499.0, "npxg90": 0.25240782182353033, "xa90": 0.07667424969916903, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2573.0, "npxg90": 0.24511498658604022, "xa90": 0.14460710833067045, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2526.0, "npxg90": 0.4058210436042372, "xa90": 0.11917470828265023, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20056333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.49199096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.04606617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.226246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 455181, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2254.25, "empirical_lo80": 846.3, "empirical_hi80": 3164.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2485.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2254.25, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.451613, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 455181, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:455661", "player_id": 455661, "name": "Nick Woltemade", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.96, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 19, "Second Striker": 5, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United", "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8117", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8117", "name": "Nick Woltemade", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Newcastle United; VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4817, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1715, "npxg90": 0.3586, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xa90": 0.1697, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgchain90": 0.5828, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.219, "xgbuildup90": 0.1937, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.219, "player_id": 455661, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1170.0, "npxg90": 0.16292098823648232, "xa90": 0.10448273651015301, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1604.0, "npxg90": 0.5973415284944777, "xa90": 0.29961760247595365, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2043.0, "npxg90": 0.330434720224746, "xa90": 0.14312586111184783, "clubs": "Newcastle United; VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24486333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.5362909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.0921661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.27234604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 455661, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1703.0, "empirical_lo80": 332.45, "empirical_hi80": 2837.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2004.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1703.0, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.96, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 455661, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:457422", "player_id": 457422, "name": "Samuele Mulattieri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11927", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 457422, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 457422, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:457673", "player_id": 457673, "name": "Gabriel Strefezza", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.9230769230769231, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 10, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7944", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7944", "name": "Gabriel Strefezza", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4799, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1456, "npxg90": 0.1546, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xa90": 0.1271, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgchain90": 0.3627, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgbuildup90": 0.1672, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.248, "player_id": 457673, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1125.0, "npxg90": 0.12210513845086098, "xa90": 0.13019756145775319, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2648.0, "npxg90": 0.1355559051668502, "xa90": 0.14696341278411312, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1026.0, "npxg90": 0.0926536640250369, "xa90": 0.09380505183352189, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.040863330153298294, "npxg90_high": 0.3322909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04956617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.229746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 457673, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1446.0, "empirical_lo80": 75.45, "empirical_hi80": 2580.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1016.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1446.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.923077, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 457673, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:457736", "player_id": 457736, "name": "Tijjani Noslin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.625, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Left Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12378", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12378", "name": "Tijjani Noslin", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3311, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1106, "npxg90": 0.3002, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xa90": 0.1622, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xgchain90": 0.5809, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.303, "xgbuildup90": 0.2108, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.303, "player_id": 457736, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1368.0, "npxg90": 0.2392103867972956, "xa90": 0.12311164675721605, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 830.0, "npxg90": 0.2880465881786792, "xa90": 0.1734311101756182, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1113.0, "npxg90": 0.34926974094118873, "xa90": 0.19306538636592843, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18646333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.47789096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.08466617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.264846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 457736, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1116.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2250.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1138.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1116.75, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.625, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 457736, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:459463", "player_id": 459463, "name": "Cucho Hern\u00e1ndez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 30, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 30 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 459463, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2113.333333, "empirical_lo80": 742.783333, "empirical_hi80": 3247.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2595.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2113.333333, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 459463, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:459988", "player_id": 459988, "name": "Gennaro Borrelli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11883", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11883", "name": "Gennaro Borrelli", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1263, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 632, "npxg90": 0.3116, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.432, "xa90": 0.0998, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.432, "xgchain90": 0.4574, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.432, "xgbuildup90": 0.183, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.432, "player_id": 459988, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1263.0, "npxg90": 0.3263629473427271, "xa90": 0.06205162889547557, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1978633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4892909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.022266176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.202446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 459988, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 855.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1989.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1272.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 855.666667, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 459988, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:460939", "player_id": 460939, "name": "Tijjani Reijnders", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.05263157894736842, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 10, "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Defensive Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11965", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11965", "name": "Tijjani Reijnders", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7621, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2316, "npxg90": 0.2268, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.172, "xa90": 0.1449, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.172, "xgchain90": 0.6754, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.172, "xgbuildup90": 0.3945, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.172, "player_id": 460939, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2843.0, "npxg90": 0.12939684076619282, "xa90": 0.12210012452543892, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3136.0, "npxg90": 0.23149614296592202, "xa90": 0.14309656618600142, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1642.0, "npxg90": 0.2664875882324943, "xa90": 0.16845096000237672, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11306333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4044909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06736617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24754604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 460939, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2308.25, "empirical_lo80": 900.3, "empirical_hi80": 3218.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1636.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2308.25, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.052632, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 460939, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:461607", "player_id": 461607, "name": "Est\u00e9ban Lepaul", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 33, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 33 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO", "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12850", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12850", "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers,Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4399, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1790, "npxg90": 0.3893, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.211, "xa90": 0.1118, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.211, "xgchain90": 0.5345, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.211, "xgbuildup90": 0.1284, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.211, "player_id": 461607, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1638.0, "npxg90": 0.40247317030002455, "xa90": 0.06316235657412927, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2761.0, "npxg90": 0.4138003462269141, "xa90": 0.11034841299440196, "clubs": "Angers,Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27556333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.5669909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.034266176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.214446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 461607, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2347.0, "empirical_lo80": 976.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2705.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2347.0, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 461607, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:462348", "player_id": 462348, "name": "Mostafa Mohamed", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10831", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10831", "name": "Mostafa Mohamed", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nantes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4420, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1393, "npxg90": 0.2859, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xa90": 0.1032, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgchain90": 0.3919, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgbuildup90": 0.0863, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.256, "player_id": 462348, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2052.0, "npxg90": 0.24537696625645222, "xa90": 0.12115775068339547, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1216.0, "npxg90": 0.4885689887267194, "xa90": 0.03385262318739766, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1152.0, "npxg90": 0.2358458320668433, "xa90": 0.0889751139038708, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1721633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4635909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.025666176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.205846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 462348, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 462348, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:463620", "player_id": 463620, "name": "Willem Geubbels", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6332", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6332", "name": "Willem Geubbels", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris FC", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1013, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 506, "npxg90": 0.3863, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.487, "xa90": 0.1023, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.487, "xgchain90": 0.5458, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.487, "xgbuildup90": 0.1373, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.487, "player_id": 463620, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1013.0, "npxg90": 0.45336927398524424, "xa90": 0.04810537532457359, "clubs": "Paris FC", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27256333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.5639909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.204946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 463620, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1012.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2146.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1012.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1012.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 463620, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:46413", "player_id": 46413, "name": "Ante Budimir", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 35, "all_position_starts": 35, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 35 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "CA Osasuna" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1235", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1235", "name": "Ante Budimir", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Osasuna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8479, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2868, "npxg90": 0.2885, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xa90": 0.0555, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgchain90": 0.3223, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgbuildup90": 0.0497, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.143, "player_id": 46413, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2476.0, "npxg90": 0.4447314535043472, "xa90": 0.08440608907602307, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3008.0, "npxg90": 0.4405218398909362, "xa90": 0.0561999903243788, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2995.0, "npxg90": 0.3980297043372275, "xa90": 0.05145584969767346, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17476333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4661909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.158146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 46413, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2830.5, "empirical_lo80": 1459.95, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2953.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2830.5, "prior_starts": 35.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 46413, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:464195", "player_id": 464195, "name": "Filip Stojilkovic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11921", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11921", "name": "Filip Stojilkovic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 787, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 362, "npxg90": 0.2942, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.57, "xa90": 0.1235, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.57, "xgchain90": 0.4871, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.57, "xgbuildup90": 0.136, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.57, "player_id": 464195, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 127.0, "npxg90": 0.07882015970278912, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Darmstadt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 660.0, "npxg90": 0.31784686242992227, "xa90": 0.09753498096357692, "clubs": "Pisa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18046333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.47189096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.045966176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.226146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 464195, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 489.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1623.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 659.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 489.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 464195, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:46580", "player_id": 46580, "name": "Andrej Kramaric", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.38461538461538464, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 10, "Right Winger": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "956", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "956", "name": "Andrej Kramaric", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7287, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2386, "npxg90": 0.253, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.151, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.5105, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.2016, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 46580, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2231.0, "npxg90": 0.3343432417021691, "xa90": 0.3640176971071053, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2800.0, "npxg90": 0.33835260859757127, "xa90": 0.13662685529728022, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2256.0, "npxg90": 0.3705862447361838, "xa90": 0.18073761799778945, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1392633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4306909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07346617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.253646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 46580, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2358.5, "empirical_lo80": 950.55, "empirical_hi80": 3268.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2223.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2358.5, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.384615, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 46580, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:467623", "player_id": 467623, "name": "Lyle Foster", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Right Winger": 3, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7498", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7498", "name": "Lyle Foster", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Burnley", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3313, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1172, "npxg90": 0.2678, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xa90": 0.0951, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgchain90": 0.4411, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgbuildup90": 0.1476, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.291, "player_id": 467623, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1938.0, "npxg90": 0.2604402695139495, "xa90": 0.06961419497942407, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1375.0, "npxg90": 0.2351248067346486, "xa90": 0.07500801704146645, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1540633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4454909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01756617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.197746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 467623, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1551.0, "empirical_lo80": 180.45, "empirical_hi80": 2685.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1372.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1551.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 467623, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:469822", "player_id": 469822, "name": "David Neres", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12993", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12993", "name": "David Neres", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2200, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 783, "npxg90": 0.2086, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.38, "xa90": 0.2443, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.38, "xgchain90": 0.6114, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.38, "xgbuildup90": 0.2697, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.38, "player_id": 469822, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1268.0, "npxg90": 0.21252908616852637, "xa90": 0.23958168136490632, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 932.0, "npxg90": 0.1433584261126017, "xa90": 0.36561095463551674, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09486333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.38629096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.1667661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.34694604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 469822, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1043.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1953.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 925.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1043.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 469822, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:470038", "player_id": 470038, "name": "Ransford K\u00f6nigsd\u00f6rffer", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.7241379310344828, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21, "Right Winger": 7, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13925", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13925", "name": "Ransford K\u00f6nigsd\u00f6rffer", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2425, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1212, "npxg90": 0.2959, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.284, "xa90": 0.0838, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.284, "xgchain90": 0.4614, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.284, "xgbuildup90": 0.138, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.284, "player_id": 470038, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2425.0, "npxg90": 0.27242028478571434, "xa90": 0.04799048602581025, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1821633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4735909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.006266176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.186446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 470038, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2350.0, "empirical_lo80": 979.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2350.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2350.0, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.724138, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 470038, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:471055", "player_id": 471055, "name": "Marvin Pieringer", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.9, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17, "Second Striker": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11856", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11856", "name": "Marvin Pieringer", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5469, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1790, "npxg90": 0.2725, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xa90": 0.1474, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xgchain90": 0.4508, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.212, "xgbuildup90": 0.1522, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.212, "player_id": 471055, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1527.0, "npxg90": 0.16469363346403146, "xa90": 0.10038727848682634, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2253.0, "npxg90": 0.2885856446419432, "xa90": 0.20331005021413856, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1689.0, "npxg90": 0.2692063637805663, "xa90": 0.1178113696683152, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15876333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.45019096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.06986617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.250046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 471055, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1763.25, "empirical_lo80": 392.7, "empirical_hi80": 2897.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1655.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1763.25, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.9, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 471055, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:472249", "player_id": 472249, "name": "Jan Thielmann", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Right Midfield": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8205", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8205", "name": "Jan Thielmann", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3192, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1194, "npxg90": 0.1184, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xa90": 0.0694, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgchain90": 0.3527, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgbuildup90": 0.2219, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.287, "player_id": 472249, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1610.0, "npxg90": 0.15999171672307927, "xa90": 0.06410254301468593, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1582.0, "npxg90": 0.11673615182197727, "xa90": 0.056789362727748004, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.004663330153298312, "npxg90_high": 0.29609096897157733, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.172046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 472249, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1562.333333, "empirical_lo80": 154.383333, "empirical_hi80": 2472.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1548.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1562.333333, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 472249, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:473050", "player_id": 473050, "name": "Kevin Schade", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 0.1875, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 25, "Centre-Forward": 6, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brentford FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9156", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9156", "name": "Kevin Schade", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brentford", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5412, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2048, "npxg90": 0.3585, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xa90": 0.1526, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgchain90": 0.5788, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgbuildup90": 0.1453, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.19, "player_id": 473050, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 299.0, "npxg90": 0.42192072560854976, "xa90": 0.28490791053676284, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2332.0, "npxg90": 0.3654029987126231, "xa90": 0.14335636599436657, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2781.0, "npxg90": 0.3583016542530947, "xa90": 0.1477429492573908, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2447633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5361909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.07506617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.255246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 473050, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2036.75, "empirical_lo80": 628.8, "empirical_hi80": 2947.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2758.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2036.75, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1875, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 473050, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:473169", "player_id": 473169, "name": "Brian Brobbey", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sunderland AFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9789", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9789", "name": "Brian Brobbey", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Sunderland", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1943, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 972, "npxg90": 0.3303, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xa90": 0.0972, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgchain90": 0.475, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgbuildup90": 0.1122, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.331, "player_id": 473169, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1943.0, "npxg90": 0.3294234101267985, "xa90": 0.06987080776539588, "clubs": "Sunderland", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2165633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5079909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.019666176180513112, "xa90_high": 0.199846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 473169, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1934.0, "empirical_lo80": 563.45, "empirical_hi80": 3068.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1934.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1934.0, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 473169, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:474701", "player_id": 474701, "name": "Crysencio Summerville", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.10344827586206896, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 19, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Midfield": 3, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9492", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9492", "name": "Crysencio Summerville", "comp": "GB1", "team": "West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3269, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1444, "npxg90": 0.2372, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.249, "xa90": 0.1396, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.249, "xgchain90": 0.4522, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.249, "xgbuildup90": 0.1543, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.249, "player_id": 474701, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 760.0, "npxg90": 0.2148200842355819, "xa90": 0.25564387872030864, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2509.0, "npxg90": 0.20442925634114284, "xa90": 0.1160676872796476, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1234633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4148909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06206617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.242246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 474701, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1916.0, "empirical_lo80": 508.05, "empirical_hi80": 2826.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2484.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1916.0, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.103448, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 474701, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:475410", "player_id": 475410, "name": "Matteo Tramoni", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 12, "Second Striker": 4, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Winger": 1, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8880", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8880", "name": "Matteo Tramoni", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1630, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 815, "npxg90": 0.1935, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xa90": 0.1557, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xgchain90": 0.4407, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xgbuildup90": 0.1722, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.371, "player_id": 475410, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1630.0, "npxg90": 0.1353889549825272, "xa90": 0.15926682620532123, "clubs": "Pisa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07976333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.37119096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.07816617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.258346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 475410, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1610.0, "empirical_lo80": 202.05, "empirical_hi80": 2520.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1610.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1610.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 475410, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:476219", "player_id": 476219, "name": "Bojan Miovski", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12995", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 476219, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 320.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1454.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 43.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 320.666667, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 476219, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:480267", "player_id": 480267, "name": "Ronald Araujo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Back": 8, "Right-Back": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8091", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8091", "name": "Ronald Ara\u00fajo", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Barcelona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3812, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1215, "npxg90": 0.1249, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xa90": 0.0658, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgchain90": 0.498, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgbuildup90": 0.4313, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.283, "player_id": 480267, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1992.0, "npxg90": 0.11036463389004839, "xa90": 0.0783877449491656, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 771.0, "npxg90": 0.13615417138379837, "xa90": 0.056805527163850664, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1049.0, "npxg90": 0.19756962495498193, "xa90": 0.05145080275727068, "clubs": "Barcelona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.011163330153298304, "npxg90_high": 0.30259096897157733, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.16844604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 480267, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1061.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1218.25, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 480267, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:486031", "player_id": 486031, "name": "Nico Gonz\u00e1lez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.05555555555555555, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 12, "Left-Back": 3, "Right Winger": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid", "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7074", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7074", "name": "Nicol\u00e1s Gonz\u00e1lez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid; Juventus", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5198, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1673, "npxg90": 0.2627, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xa90": 0.087, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xgchain90": 0.4808, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xgbuildup90": 0.2417, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.223, "player_id": 486031, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1915.0, "npxg90": 0.40281056222693107, "xa90": 0.09535211387914716, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1789.0, "npxg90": 0.22078233282719498, "xa90": 0.06664455522116233, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1494.0, "npxg90": 0.3462825056883585, "xa90": 0.10614824470087707, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid; Juventus", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1489633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4403909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.009466176180513111, "xa90_high": 0.18964604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 486031, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1654.75, "empirical_lo80": 246.8, "empirical_hi80": 2565.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1471.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1654.75, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.055556, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 486031, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:487465", "player_id": 487465, "name": "Pedro Neto", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 0.03333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 17, "Left Winger": 12, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6382", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6382", "name": "Pedro Neto", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6429, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2274, "npxg90": 0.2033, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xa90": 0.252, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgchain90": 0.6, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgbuildup90": 0.2649, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.174, "player_id": 487465, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1524.0, "npxg90": 0.1941159061764873, "xa90": 0.3080340074448604, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2238.0, "npxg90": 0.17778609135255574, "xa90": 0.2640654855400284, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2667.0, "npxg90": 0.1737792528872415, "xa90": 0.26773357405604875, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08956333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.38099096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.17446617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.354646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 487465, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2268.5, "empirical_lo80": 860.55, "empirical_hi80": 3178.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2643.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2268.5, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.033333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 487465, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:487474", "player_id": 487474, "name": "Francisco Concei\u00e7\u00e3o", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.37037037037037035, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 16, "Second Striker": 10, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13052", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13052", "name": "Francisco Concei\u00e7\u00e3o", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Juventus", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3444, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1392, "npxg90": 0.2609, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xa90": 0.1734, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgchain90": 0.6897, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.256, "xgbuildup90": 0.3838, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.256, "player_id": 487474, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1320.0, "npxg90": 0.2133434379303997, "xa90": 0.3003527258776806, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2124.0, "npxg90": 0.3596504627711187, "xa90": 0.17641549409067225, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14716333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.43859096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.09586617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.276046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 487474, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1844.666667, "empirical_lo80": 436.716667, "empirical_hi80": 2755.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2098.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1844.666667, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.37037, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 487474, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:487843", "player_id": 487843, "name": "Lorenzo Colombo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 30, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 30 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8478", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8478", "name": "Lorenzo Colombo", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5978, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2088, "npxg90": 0.2823, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xa90": 0.0888, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xgchain90": 0.45, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.187, "xgbuildup90": 0.1511, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.187, "player_id": 487843, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1351.0, "npxg90": 0.2794354790745842, "xa90": 0.028881049724633522, "clubs": "Monza", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2254.0, "npxg90": 0.2286860425754086, "xa90": 0.10638718470144347, "clubs": "Empoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2373.0, "npxg90": 0.29860178118173675, "xa90": 0.07099796644636865, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1685633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4599909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.011266176180513121, "xa90_high": 0.191446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 487843, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2074.5, "empirical_lo80": 703.95, "empirical_hi80": 3208.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2346.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2074.5, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 487843, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:487850", "player_id": 487850, "name": "Oladapo Afolayan", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12982", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12982", "name": "Oladapo Afolayan", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1779, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 478, "npxg90": 0.1675, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xa90": 0.1596, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xgchain90": 0.4876, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.501, "xgbuildup90": 0.2287, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.501, "player_id": 487850, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1644.0, "npxg90": 0.1679538607080705, "xa90": 0.2040995386204798, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 135.0, "npxg90": 0.35077257081866264, "xa90": 0.05583251640200615, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05376333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3451909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08206617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.262246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 487850, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 642.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1776.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 144.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 642.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 487850, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:487969", "player_id": 487969, "name": "Randal Kolo Muani", "kind": "anchor", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.47619047619047616, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Right Winger": 8, "Left Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named reference option", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5743", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "Signed by Juventus 2026-08-02; actual signing reference, not a currently available alternative.", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5743", "name": "Randal Kolo Muani", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Tottenham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4640, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1586, "npxg90": 0.2905, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.232, "xa90": 0.1325, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.232, "xgchain90": 0.4805, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.232, "xgbuildup90": 0.1341, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.232, "player_id": 487969, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1423.0, "npxg90": 0.4616484156131053, "xa90": 0.18629476621757488, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1513.0, "npxg90": 0.4548468142600148, "xa90": 0.14602755835945844, "clubs": "Juventus; Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1704.0, "npxg90": 0.14263539173325496, "xa90": 0.09756410743673921, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1767633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4681909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.054966176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.23514604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 487969, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1567.75, "empirical_lo80": 159.8, "empirical_hi80": 2478.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1669.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1567.75, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.47619, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 487969, "player": "Randal Kolo Muani", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "actual_juventus_acquisition", "evidence_quality": "primary_fee_secondary_wage", "fee_eur": { "low": 38000000.0, "base": 38000000.0, "high": 41200000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 7600000.0, "base": 7600000.0, "high": 8240000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 10190000.0, "base": 10190000.0, "high": 10190000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 17790000.0, "base": 17790000.0, "high": 18430000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 88950000.0, "base": 88950000.0, "high": 92150000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Juventus definitive acquisition of Kolo Muani", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/private/fl_attachment/dev/rmqn9frsqodxlg8wrvxf.pdf", "publication_date": "2026-08-02", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Actual Juventus acquisition announced2August2026; as-of9September the player is signed, not an unverified alternative offer.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty.", "Base is the disclosed \u20ac38m fee floor. High includes the maximum \u20ac3.2m ancillary costs; actual ancillary amount is unspecified.", "Legacy sealed register treated \u20ac41.2m as exact fee. This version flags the distinction without changing that register.", "Payment over four financial years is not a four-year employment term or an equal cash-payment schedule." ], "conditional_components": [ { "description": "Transfer performance bonuses", "maximum_eur": 12000000, "status": "conditional_not_in_base" }, { "description": "Capology annual wage bonuses", "maximum_eur": 2780000, "status": "secondary_reported_not_in_fixed_wage" } ], "available_for_juventus": true, "availability_status": "signed_by_juventus", "signed_date": "2026-08-02", "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:494237", "player_id": 494237, "name": "Wilson Isidor", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sunderland AFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7148", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7148", "name": "Wilson Isidor", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Sunderland", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1142, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 571, "npxg90": 0.3877, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xa90": 0.0683, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xgchain90": 0.5101, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xgbuildup90": 0.1138, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.457, "player_id": 494237, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1142.0, "npxg90": 0.4428610286223596, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Sunderland", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2739633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5653909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17094604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 494237, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1159.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2293.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1159.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1159.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 494237, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:495752", "player_id": 495752, "name": "Taichi Hara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9776", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 495752, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 25.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 25.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 495752, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:496094", "player_id": 496094, "name": "Karim Adeyemi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 10, "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10772", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10772", "name": "Karim Adeyemi", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia Dortmund", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3593, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1203, "npxg90": 0.3654, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xa90": 0.2664, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xgchain90": 0.7879, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xgbuildup90": 0.2417, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.285, "player_id": 496094, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 913.0, "npxg90": 0.34739960795972263, "xa90": 0.17602944173334983, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1462.0, "npxg90": 0.3534830366446039, "xa90": 0.45352917857641395, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1218.0, "npxg90": 0.38536115673375243, "xa90": 0.25552451275656085, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.25166333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5430909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.18886617618051316, "xa90_high": 0.36904604875519204 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 496094, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1186.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2320.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1196.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1186.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 496094, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:500053", "player_id": 500053, "name": "Pavel Sulc", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.5882352941176471, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Right Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13735", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13735", "name": "Pavel Sulc", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1562, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 781, "npxg90": 0.4097, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xa90": 0.183, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xgchain90": 0.7373, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.381, "xgbuildup90": 0.2676, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.381, "player_id": 500053, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1562.0, "npxg90": 0.4725248572415411, "xa90": 0.19874380987314044, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29596333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5873909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10546617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.285646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 500053, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1569.0, "empirical_lo80": 198.45, "empirical_hi80": 2703.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1569.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1569.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.588235, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 500053, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:500689", "player_id": 500689, "name": "Evann Guessand", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Left Winger": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Aston Villa", "Crystal Palace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8006", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8006", "name": "Evann Guessand", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Aston Villa,Crystal Palace", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 5037, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1489, "npxg90": 0.2792, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xa90": 0.1495, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xgchain90": 0.5373, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.244, "xgbuildup90": 0.1867, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.244, "player_id": 500689, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1508.0, "npxg90": 0.4934623438509215, "xa90": 0.08509523950428245, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2609.0, "npxg90": 0.33755357765966376, "xa90": 0.21447904583605007, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 920.0, "npxg90": 0.18139578985131305, "xa90": 0.12108264960672545, "clubs": "Aston Villa,Crystal Palace", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1654633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4568909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07196617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.252146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 500689, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 916.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1486.75, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 500689, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:501709", "player_id": 501709, "name": "Theo Bair", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12825", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 501709, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 8.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 316.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 501709, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:502670", "player_id": 502670, "name": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 12, "Right Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7453", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7453", "name": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6378, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1964, "npxg90": 0.3849, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xa90": 0.2797, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgchain90": 0.8639, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgbuildup90": 0.3854, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.196, "player_id": 502670, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2774.0, "npxg90": 0.4214009574111538, "xa90": 0.2193333346077067, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2127.0, "npxg90": 0.31325999663141785, "xa90": 0.3582660074126401, "clubs": "Napoli; Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1477.0, "npxg90": 0.439833435951937, "xa90": 0.3499461433263187, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2711633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5625909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.20216617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.382346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 502670, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1956.0, "empirical_lo80": 548.05, "empirical_hi80": 2866.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1482.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1956.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 502670, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:503733", "player_id": 503733, "name": "Anthony Gordon", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.375, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8150", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8150", "name": "Anthony Gordon", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Newcastle United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7318, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2302, "npxg90": 0.3107, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xa90": 0.1984, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xgchain90": 0.6172, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xgbuildup90": 0.2434, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.173, "player_id": 503733, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2956.0, "npxg90": 0.32068164178569764, "xa90": 0.26893577087262244, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2474.0, "npxg90": 0.279173636138921, "xa90": 0.1755106102045785, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1888.0, "npxg90": 0.3085498846633265, "xa90": 0.1770863329234012, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19696333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4883909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12086617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.301046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 503733, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2245.0, "empirical_lo80": 837.05, "empirical_hi80": 3155.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1814.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2245.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.375, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 503733, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:503743", "player_id": 503743, "name": "Morgan Rogers", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 37, "cf_start_share": 0.02702702702702703, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 20, "Left Winger": 14, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Aston Villa" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12412", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12412", "name": "Morgan Rogers", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Aston Villa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7144, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2611, "npxg90": 0.224, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.155, "xa90": 0.1999, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.155, "xgchain90": 0.5384, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.155, "xgbuildup90": 0.2169, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.155, "player_id": 503743, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 652.0, "npxg90": 0.14998724295592017, "xa90": 0.12488899583945429, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3191.0, "npxg90": 0.2317450202672282, "xa90": 0.22975000128178005, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3301.0, "npxg90": 0.1948270233620553, "xa90": 0.20380226447185182, "clubs": "Aston Villa", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11026333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4016909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12236617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.302546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 503743, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2585.5, "empirical_lo80": 1177.55, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3285.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2585.5, "prior_starts": 37.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.027027, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 503743, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:503770", "player_id": 503770, "name": "Folarin Balogun", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AS Monaco" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9690", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9690", "name": "Folarin Balogun", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Monaco", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4615, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1724, "npxg90": 0.4699, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xa90": 0.1686, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgchain90": 0.6711, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.218, "xgbuildup90": 0.1308, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.218, "player_id": 503770, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1712.0, "npxg90": 0.5373467956930748, "xa90": 0.1831642749162269, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 622.0, "npxg90": 0.7463900825170459, "xa90": 0.16350113954454948, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2281.0, "npxg90": 0.46611961755527576, "xa90": 0.16533645146748102, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.35616333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6475909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09106617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.271246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 503770, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1700.5, "empirical_lo80": 329.95, "empirical_hi80": 2834.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2247.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1700.5, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 503770, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:504215", "player_id": 504215, "name": "Giovanni Reyna", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8191", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8191", "name": "Giovanni Reyna", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1251, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 434, "npxg90": 0.1512, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.525, "xa90": 0.2008, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.525, "xgchain90": 0.6256, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.525, "xgbuildup90": 0.3505, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.525, "player_id": 504215, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 445.0, "npxg90": 0.2576366960165206, "xa90": 0.28263389214538454, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund; Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 321.0, "npxg90": 0.044399274286822735, "xa90": 0.1290583241487218, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 485.0, "npxg90": 0.12379099824225778, "xa90": 0.28827582547421926, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.03746333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3288909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12326617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.303446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 504215, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 465.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1375.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 509.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 465.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 504215, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:505653", "player_id": 505653, "name": "F\u00e1bio Silva", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Second Striker": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8778", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8778", "name": "Fabio Silva", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia Dortmund", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2943, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 932, "npxg90": 0.3144, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xa90": 0.1916, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgchain90": 0.6235, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgbuildup90": 0.2126, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.34, "player_id": 505653, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 257.0, "npxg90": 0.31992901609449537, "xa90": 0.08476083540151091, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1902.0, "npxg90": 0.33347821321444177, "xa90": 0.117716888576887, "clubs": "Las Palmas", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 784.0, "npxg90": 0.24166689817413536, "xa90": 0.31680092576663105, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20066333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.49209096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11406617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.294246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 505653, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 937.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2071.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 805.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 937.5, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 505653, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:505674", "player_id": 505674, "name": "Sergio Camello", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.875, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7528", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7528", "name": "Sergio Camello", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3646, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1114, "npxg90": 0.3201, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xa90": 0.1516, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xgchain90": 0.5707, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.301, "xgbuildup90": 0.1627, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.301, "player_id": 505674, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1686.0, "npxg90": 0.24305008683234344, "xa90": 0.08552120673698886, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1150.0, "npxg90": 0.30828879587352276, "xa90": 0.1807494433677715, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 810.0, "npxg90": 0.43183680437505245, "xa90": 0.1768493956575791, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2063633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4977909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07406617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.254246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 505674, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1105.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2239.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 818.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1105.25, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.875, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 505674, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:507341", "player_id": 507341, "name": "Fabian Rieder", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 0.06666666666666667, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 19, "Central Midfield": 8, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg", "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12038", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12038", "name": "Fabian Rieder", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg; Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3728, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1565, "npxg90": 0.1003, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xa90": 0.1775, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgchain90": 0.4381, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.235, "xgbuildup90": 0.2556, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.235, "player_id": 507341, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 342.0, "npxg90": 0.12165699546274386, "xa90": 0.14561323939185392, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 855.0, "npxg90": 0.15527812489553502, "xa90": 0.22555131347555865, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2531.0, "npxg90": 0.09477158146606797, "xa90": 0.20090269070914943, "clubs": "Augsburg; Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2779909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09996617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.280146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 507341, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1548.0, "empirical_lo80": 140.05, "empirical_hi80": 2458.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2485.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1548.0, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.066667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 507341, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:507496", "player_id": 507496, "name": "Felix Mambimbi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.42857142857142855, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13744", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13744", "name": "Felix Mambimbi", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 515, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 258, "npxg90": 0.231, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xa90": 0.1443, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xgchain90": 0.4567, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.651, "xgbuildup90": 0.1615, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.651, "player_id": 507496, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 515.0, "npxg90": 0.08826071222864308, "xa90": 0.11978694257660977, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11726333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.4086909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06676617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.246946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 507496, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 529.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1439.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 529.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 529.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.428571, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 507496, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:513245", "player_id": 513245, "name": "Jesper Lindstr\u00f8m", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9752", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9752", "name": "Jesper Lindstrom", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2117, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 620, "npxg90": 0.1625, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.436, "xa90": 0.1841, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.436, "xgchain90": 0.5219, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.436, "xgbuildup90": 0.3031, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.436, "player_id": 513245, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 476.0, "npxg90": 0.1385439800669854, "xa90": 0.2671958362887136, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1279.0, "npxg90": 0.14203261498120076, "xa90": 0.2027925973622663, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 362.0, "npxg90": 0.23357660072284508, "xa90": 0.19747653564448514, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.04876333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3401909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10656617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.286746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 513245, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 622.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1532.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 374.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 622.25, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 513245, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:514888", "player_id": 514888, "name": "Oliver S\u00f8rensen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.05263157894736842, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 16, "Left Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13949", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13949", "name": "Oliver S\u00f8rensen", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 1834, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 917, "npxg90": 0.089, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.344, "xa90": 0.0493, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.344, "xgchain90": 0.2692, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.344, "xgbuildup90": 0.1916, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.344, "player_id": 514888, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1834.0, "npxg90": 0.1003594278899248, "xa90": 0.03632866963845725, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.2666909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.151946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 514888, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1834.0, "empirical_lo80": 426.05, "empirical_hi80": 2744.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1834.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1834.0, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.052632, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 514888, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:517894", "player_id": 517894, "name": "Matheus Cunha", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.3448275862068966, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 17, "Centre-Forward": 9, "Second Striker": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7080", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7080", "name": "Matheus Cunha", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7622, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2532, "npxg90": 0.2909, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.159, "xa90": 0.1637, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.159, "xgchain90": 0.5825, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.159, "xgbuildup90": 0.2502, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.159, "player_id": 517894, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2499.0, "npxg90": 0.34098264490704794, "xa90": 0.14117858226166197, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2617.0, "npxg90": 0.29047264379082993, "xa90": 0.2548725145520556, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2506.0, "npxg90": 0.25412974778803604, "xa90": 0.1328114437270859, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1771633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4685909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08616617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.266346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 517894, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2515.75, "empirical_lo80": 1107.8, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2503.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2515.75, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.344828, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 517894, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:518644", "player_id": 518644, "name": "Largie Ramazani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.09090909090909091, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 7, "Right Winger": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United", "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10975", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10975", "name": "Largie Ramazani", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2761, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 990, "npxg90": 0.3046, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xa90": 0.2137, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgchain90": 0.647, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgbuildup90": 0.2306, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.326, "player_id": 518644, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1561.0, "npxg90": 0.2905296461750956, "xa90": 0.3098514284652197, "clubs": "Almeria", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1200.0, "npxg90": 0.3178789383731782, "xa90": 0.18422227723058313, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1908633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4822909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13616617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.316346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 518644, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1340.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2250.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1226.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1340.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.090909, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 518644, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:519872", "player_id": 519872, "name": "Livan Burcu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14177", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14177", "name": "Livan Burcu", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 621, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 310, "npxg90": 0.3392, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.607, "xa90": 0.1344, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.607, "xgchain90": 0.5409, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.607, "xgbuildup90": 0.191, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.607, "player_id": 519872, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 621.0, "npxg90": 0.31322771494371304, "xa90": 0.07374578236561755, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2254633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5168909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05686617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.23704604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 519872, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 645.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1555.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 645.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 645.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 519872, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:521407", "player_id": 521407, "name": "Walid Cheddira", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli", "US Lecce", "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11989", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11989", "name": "Walid Cheddira", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce,Sassuolo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3935, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1282, "npxg90": 0.3156, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xa90": 0.0821, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xgchain90": 0.4502, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xgbuildup90": 0.1221, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.272, "player_id": 521407, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2150.0, "npxg90": 0.376058715759495, "xa90": 0.04705890703859718, "clubs": "Frosinone", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 592.0, "npxg90": 0.21550414423030373, "xa90": 0.16766479688797248, "clubs": "Espanyol; Napoli", "competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1193.0, "npxg90": 0.34366747256671293, "xa90": 0.04579792429957686, "clubs": "Lecce,Sassuolo", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2018633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4932909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0045661761805131235, "xa90_high": 0.18474604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 521407, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1298.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2432.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1211.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1298.5, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 521407, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:522784", "player_id": 522784, "name": "Taty Castellanos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 25 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.", "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 522784, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2063.0, "empirical_lo80": 692.45, "empirical_hi80": 3197.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2090.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2063.0, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 522784, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:523318", "player_id": 523318, "name": "Anastasios Douvikas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 25 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 523318, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1678.0, "empirical_lo80": 307.45, "empirical_hi80": 2812.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2278.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1678.0, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 523318, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:524290", "player_id": 524290, "name": "Fisnik Asllani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 28, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.9032258064516129, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 15, "Centre-Forward": 13, "Attacking Midfield": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10113", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10113", "name": "Fisnik Asllani", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2429, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1214, "npxg90": 0.3537, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xa90": 0.1939, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgchain90": 0.7101, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.283, "xgbuildup90": 0.2412, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.283, "player_id": 524290, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2429.0, "npxg90": 0.35217553141732777, "xa90": 0.20014672510605036, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23996333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5313909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1163661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.29654604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 524290, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2358.0, "empirical_lo80": 987.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2358.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2358.0, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.903226, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 524290, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:525140", "player_id": 525140, "name": "Goduine Koyalipou", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO", "Levante UD" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13335", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13335", "name": "Goduine Koyalipou", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers; Levante", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1795, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 670, "npxg90": 0.408, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.417, "xa90": 0.1101, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.417, "xgchain90": 0.5663, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.417, "xgbuildup90": 0.1341, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.417, "player_id": 525140, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 909.0, "npxg90": 0.6461853436240466, "xa90": 0.09323356728447546, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 886.0, "npxg90": 0.39449711145231875, "xa90": 0.06732548006787123, "clubs": "Angers; Levante", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2942633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5856909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.03256617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.21274604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 525140, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 903.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2037.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 908.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 903.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 525140, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:526466", "player_id": 526466, "name": "Elias Saad", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.2857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Left Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12980", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12980", "name": "Elias Saad", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1424, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 486, "npxg90": 0.2526, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xa90": 0.1417, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgchain90": 0.4725, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgbuildup90": 0.1472, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.497, "player_id": 526466, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 906.0, "npxg90": 0.2719054963834436, "xa90": 0.11759458877614988, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 518.0, "npxg90": 0.06457292960244716, "xa90": 0.1078988634711527, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1388633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4302909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06416617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.244346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 526466, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 633.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1543.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 499.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 633.333333, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.285714, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 526466, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:527972", "player_id": 527972, "name": "Mourad El Ghezouani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8946", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 527972, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 50.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 50.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 527972, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:530298", "player_id": 530298, "name": "Christian Conteh", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14451", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14451", "name": "Christian Conteh", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 398, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 199, "npxg90": 0.2528, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.707, "xa90": 0.2123, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.707, "xgchain90": 0.5982, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.707, "xgbuildup90": 0.2072, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.707, "player_id": 530298, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 398.0, "npxg90": 0.030179403759726327, "xa90": 0.31094162720232155, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13906333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.43049096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.13476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.314946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 530298, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 405.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1315.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 405.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 405.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 530298, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:531949", "player_id": 531949, "name": "Ignatius Ganago", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.9, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6238", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6238", "name": "Ignatius Ganago", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nantes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1317, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 563, "npxg90": 0.276, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.46, "xa90": 0.1296, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.46, "xgchain90": 0.4849, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.46, "xgbuildup90": 0.1884, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.46, "player_id": 531949, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 174.0, "npxg90": 0.18758433003877772, "xa90": 0.4178131551578127, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 209.0, "npxg90": 0.1639373412881599, "xa90": 0.0883631028555797, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 934.0, "npxg90": 0.26432921830764167, "xa90": 0.07881414384543257, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16226333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.45369096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.05206617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.232246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 531949, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 531949, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:532776", "player_id": 532776, "name": "Amine Adli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 7, "Right Winger": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8211", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8211", "name": "Amine Adli", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2651, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 922, "npxg90": 0.2579, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xa90": 0.1436, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xgchain90": 0.5736, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.342, "xgbuildup90": 0.2704, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.342, "player_id": 532776, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 882.0, "npxg90": 0.3750468138605356, "xa90": 0.2693240910920562, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 733.0, "npxg90": 0.3449624023650548, "xa90": 0.11266899766530053, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1036.0, "npxg90": 0.3105238121017296, "xa90": 0.11101621575293968, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14416333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.43559096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.06606617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24624604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 532776, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 953.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1863.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1082.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 953.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 532776, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:532826", "player_id": 532826, "name": "Mason Greenwood", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 29, "cf_start_share": 0.06896551724137931, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 24, "Left Winger": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7490", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7490", "name": "Mason Greenwood", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Marseille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8120, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2656, "npxg90": 0.3109, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.153, "xa90": 0.2219, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.153, "xgchain90": 0.7144, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.153, "xgbuildup90": 0.3212, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.153, "player_id": 532826, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2766.0, "npxg90": 0.24001101442004621, "xa90": 0.16758562408088667, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2851.0, "npxg90": 0.3927646248602357, "xa90": 0.21550085274055106, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2503.0, "npxg90": 0.29687359152176457, "xa90": 0.27479442371903084, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19716333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48859096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.14436617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.324546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 532826, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2607.0, "empirical_lo80": 1199.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2471.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2607.0, "prior_starts": 29.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.068966, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 532826, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:533295", "player_id": 533295, "name": "Patrick Wimmer", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.047619047619047616, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 13, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Right Winger": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9730", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9730", "name": "Patrick Wimmer", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4097, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1444, "npxg90": 0.2454, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xa90": 0.133, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgchain90": 0.5136, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgbuildup90": 0.2321, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.25, "player_id": 533295, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 604.0, "npxg90": 0.2698107822705677, "xa90": 0.01493300829354106, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1815.0, "npxg90": 0.2145312662459602, "xa90": 0.14881451711181767, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1678.0, "npxg90": 0.19509288766537933, "xa90": 0.12065626184663628, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1316633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42309096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.055466176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.23564604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 533295, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1411.0, "empirical_lo80": 3.05, "empirical_hi80": 2321.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1634.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1411.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.047619, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 533295, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:533738", "player_id": 533738, "name": "Jonathan David", "kind": "anchor", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 20, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 20 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named reference option", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8636", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8636", "name": "Jonathan Christian David", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Juventus", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6981, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2191, "npxg90": 0.5032, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xa90": 0.1683, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgchain90": 0.7203, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgbuildup90": 0.1962, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.18, "player_id": 533738, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2662.0, "npxg90": 0.607405458034697, "xa90": 0.12265473459360969, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2535.0, "npxg90": 0.5018024692124516, "xa90": 0.16699938542215076, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1784.0, "npxg90": 0.539950539343343, "xa90": 0.21351099208481775, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.38946333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6808909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09076617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.270946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 533738, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2192.25, "empirical_lo80": 821.7, "empirical_hi80": 3326.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1784.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2192.25, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 533738, "player": "Jonathan David", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "hypothetical_retained_before_loan", "evidence_quality": "partial_internal_or_renewal_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": 4.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 11110000.0, "base": 11110000.0, "high": 11110000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "future_fee_obligations", "retention_opportunity_cost" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Capology archived Juventus wage", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "David2025 employment and ancillary costs", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/private/fl_attachment/dev/zok6u6ehh096iczjy0ci.pdf", "publication_date": "2025-07-04", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" }, { "title": "David2026 Atletico loan", "url": "https://www.juventus.com/images/image/private/fl_attachment/dev/zdy5kqwzkeujpncfqrm5.pdf", "publication_date": "2026-09-01", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Historical acquisition expense is sunk; it is not charged again as a new transfer fee.", "Wage reference is not a complete incremental retention cost: salary sharing, foregone receipts and other liabilities require separate evidence.", "David left on loan1September2026, after the legacy August28 incumbent snapshot. Keeping him is a reconstructed alternative before that departure.", "Original2025 ancillary cost \u20ac12.5m payable over three financial years, employment through2030. Not charged again as an incremental2026fee.", "Atl\u00e9tico loan is expressly fee-free, with a \u20ac25m purchase option. Salary sharing is not disclosed; option is not a guaranteed receipt." ], "conditional_components": [ { "description": "Atletico purchase option receipt", "maximum_eur": 25000000, "status": "optional_receipt_not_in_base" } ], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": 11110000, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:535820", "player_id": 535820, "name": "Isak Jansson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13751", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13751", "name": "Isak Jansson", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 623, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 312, "npxg90": 0.2694, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.606, "xa90": 0.1509, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.606, "xgchain90": 0.5007, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.606, "xgbuildup90": 0.1921, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.606, "player_id": 535820, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 623.0, "npxg90": 0.20368229693480516, "xa90": 0.136970817582326, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.15566333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4470909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07336617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.253546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 535820, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 634.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1544.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 634.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 634.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.142857, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 535820, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:537598", "player_id": 537598, "name": "F\u00e1bio Vieira", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.04, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 11, "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Right Winger": 6, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11007", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11007", "name": "F\u00e1bio Vieira", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2518, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1190, "npxg90": 0.2161, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xa90": 0.1919, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgchain90": 0.534, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgbuildup90": 0.2138, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.287, "player_id": 537598, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 277.0, "npxg90": 0.13089988891721202, "xa90": 0.4255755353275189, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2241.0, "npxg90": 0.16613833662346902, "xa90": 0.18629120629146156, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1023633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3937909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1143661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.29454604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 537598, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1575.333333, "empirical_lo80": 167.383333, "empirical_hi80": 2485.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2217.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1575.333333, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.04, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 537598, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:538874", "player_id": 538874, "name": "Terem Moffi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8997", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8997", "name": "Terem Igobor Moffi", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2469, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 738, "npxg90": 0.3686, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.394, "xa90": 0.1634, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.394, "xgchain90": 0.594, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.394, "xgbuildup90": 0.1492, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.394, "player_id": 538874, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1985.0, "npxg90": 0.3850806578149273, "xa90": 0.18848608312213452, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 484.0, "npxg90": 0.45579189958035454, "xa90": 0.12347998636320603, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2548633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5462909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.0858661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.266046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 538874, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 748.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1882.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 489.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 748.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 538874, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:538918", "player_id": 538918, "name": "Sebastiano Esposito", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 33, "all_position_starts": 34, "cf_start_share": 0.9705882352941176, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 17, "Centre-Forward": 16, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7969", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7969", "name": "Sebastiano Esposito", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5121, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1968, "npxg90": 0.1942, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xa90": 0.1551, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgchain90": 0.4077, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.196, "xgbuildup90": 0.1694, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.196, "player_id": 538918, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2370.0, "npxg90": 0.17907613279486573, "xa90": 0.08958432826956239, "clubs": "Empoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2751.0, "npxg90": 0.16302459043498388, "xa90": 0.18247890370951778, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08046333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.37189096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.0775661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25774604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 538918, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2582.666667, "empirical_lo80": 1212.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2702.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2582.666667, "prior_starts": 34.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.970588, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 538918, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:538964", "player_id": 538964, "name": "Thijs Dallinga", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bologna Football Club 1909" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10794", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10794", "name": "Thijs Dallinga", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Bologna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4435, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1305, "npxg90": 0.4174, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xa90": 0.0882, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xgchain90": 0.5474, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xgbuildup90": 0.1205, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.269, "player_id": 538964, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2526.0, "npxg90": 0.48353395309750513, "xa90": 0.06512109849451556, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1124.0, "npxg90": 0.4432971570707089, "xa90": 0.04317730115859163, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 785.0, "npxg90": 0.4455454074273444, "xa90": 0.08254087124328324, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.30366333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.5950909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.010666176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.190846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 538964, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1316.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2450.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 804.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1316.75, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 538964, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:538977", "player_id": 538977, "name": "Georginio Rutter", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.9, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9, "Second Striker": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brighton & Hove Albion" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6937", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6937", "name": "Georginio Rutter", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brighton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3463, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1312, "npxg90": 0.2336, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xa90": 0.1969, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xgchain90": 0.5538, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xgbuildup90": 0.1926, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.268, "player_id": 538977, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1679.0, "npxg90": 0.3043093259749738, "xa90": 0.16790960983613404, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1784.0, "npxg90": 0.1479779431155795, "xa90": 0.23199242930191113, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11986333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.41129096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.11936617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.299546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 538977, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1749.333333, "empirical_lo80": 378.783333, "empirical_hi80": 2883.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1791.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1749.333333, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.9, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 538977, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:539134", "player_id": 539134, "name": "Daniel Maldini", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.75, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC", "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8163", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8163", "name": "Daniel Maldini", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta,Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3086, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1008, "npxg90": 0.3114, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xa90": 0.1258, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xgchain90": 0.5153, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xgbuildup90": 0.1714, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.323, "player_id": 539134, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 568.0, "npxg90": 0.28774284124767907, "xa90": 0.1542055177417072, "clubs": "Empoli,Monza", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1574.0, "npxg90": 0.3833952751436674, "xa90": 0.09712739570688793, "clubs": "Atalanta,Monza", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 944.0, "npxg90": 0.2681984596538468, "xa90": 0.11317840271226873, "clubs": "Atalanta,Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19766333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48909096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.04826617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.22844604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 539134, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1014.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2148.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 952.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1014.5, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.75, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 539134, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:540333", "player_id": 540333, "name": "Tomas Suslov", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.6, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Second Striker": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12095", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12095", "name": "Tom\u00e1s Suslov", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4669, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1278, "npxg90": 0.147, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.273, "xa90": 0.1148, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.273, "xgchain90": 0.333, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.273, "xgbuildup90": 0.1531, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.273, "player_id": 540333, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2105.0, "npxg90": 0.11208238199158548, "xa90": 0.13792122799168716, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2123.0, "npxg90": 0.0711105728071855, "xa90": 0.08639422978581163, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 441.0, "npxg90": 0.08504815760771839, "xa90": 0.04298975767225635, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0332633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.32469096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.037266176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.217446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 540333, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1271.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2405.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 445.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1271.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.6, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 540333, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:545332", "player_id": 545332, "name": "Mikkel Kaufmann", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.8333333333333334, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12053", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12053", "name": "Mikkel Kaufmann", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1300, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 455, "npxg90": 0.2844, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.514, "xa90": 0.179, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.514, "xgchain90": 0.5127, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.514, "xgbuildup90": 0.16, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.514, "player_id": 545332, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 424.0, "npxg90": 0.2593304358317323, "xa90": 0.2258296155827647, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 357.0, "npxg90": 0.12125333818067022, "xa90": 0.04197960641203808, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 519.0, "npxg90": 0.23853848381452478, "xa90": 0.22093615090915922, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1706633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4620909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10146617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.281646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 545332, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 479.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1613.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 534.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 479.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.833333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 545332, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:548111", "player_id": 548111, "name": "\u00c1lex Baena", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.09523809523809523, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 8, "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Left Midfield": 2, "Central Midfield": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8417", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8417", "name": "\u00c1lex Baena", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6919, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2134, "npxg90": 0.1948, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xa90": 0.3455, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgchain90": 0.6664, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgbuildup90": 0.3044, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.184, "player_id": 548111, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2665.0, "npxg90": 0.20935739815151266, "xa90": 0.35293418502410623, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2639.0, "npxg90": 0.2200396760363681, "xa90": 0.4301466075149437, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1615.0, "npxg90": 0.09931061359197364, "xa90": 0.3658669202850884, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08106333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3724909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.2679661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.448146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 548111, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2088.25, "empirical_lo80": 680.3, "empirical_hi80": 2998.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1572.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2088.25, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.095238, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 548111, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:548729", "player_id": 548729, "name": "Zeki Amdouni", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11701", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 548729, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 69.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 703.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 548729, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:550106", "player_id": 550106, "name": "Matteo Cancellieri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 18, "Left Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9071", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9071", "name": "Matteo Cancellieri", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4965, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1676, "npxg90": 0.2627, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xa90": 0.1161, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xgchain90": 0.4311, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.223, "xgbuildup90": 0.1108, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.223, "player_id": 550106, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1772.0, "npxg90": 0.2921593761803166, "xa90": 0.17457611779482618, "clubs": "Empoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1453.0, "npxg90": 0.15538786487309011, "xa90": 0.03336077681643259, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1740.0, "npxg90": 0.2698774518894738, "xa90": 0.0994968935204991, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1489633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4403909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03856617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.218746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 550106, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1669.0, "empirical_lo80": 261.05, "empirical_hi80": 2579.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1731.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1669.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 550106, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:550550", "player_id": 550550, "name": "Gon\u00e7alo Ramos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11767", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11767", "name": "Gon\u00e7alo Ramos", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3772, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1266, "npxg90": 0.5924, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.275, "xa90": 0.1574, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.275, "xgchain90": 0.7866, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.275, "xgbuildup90": 0.2632, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.275, "player_id": 550550, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1432.0, "npxg90": 0.5833714242046438, "xa90": 0.14623585832175182, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1047.0, "npxg90": 1.2022141668209032, "xa90": 0.2872613842004008, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1293.0, "npxg90": 0.5461618041926498, "xa90": 0.10677330625911186, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4786633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7700909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.07986617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.260046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 550550, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1275.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2409.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1309.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1275.25, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 550550, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:550580", "player_id": 550580, "name": "Shuto Machino", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12934", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12934", "name": "Shuto Machino", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2947, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 998, "npxg90": 0.3308, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xa90": 0.1235, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xgchain90": 0.5772, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.325, "xgbuildup90": 0.2133, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.325, "player_id": 550580, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1901.0, "npxg90": 0.31897596485309226, "xa90": 0.10835160346979031, "clubs": "Holstein Kiel", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1046.0, "npxg90": 0.32842123175812726, "xa90": 0.09320721377477932, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2170633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5084909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.045966176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.226146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 550580, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1361.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2495.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1063.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1361.666667, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 550580, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:551505", "player_id": 551505, "name": "Mousa Tamari", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.08, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Midfield": 10, "Left Winger": 7, "Right Winger": 6, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11782", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11782", "name": "Mousa Al Tamari", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Rennes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5930, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2049, "npxg90": 0.1684, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xa90": 0.1532, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgchain90": 0.4815, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgbuildup90": 0.2068, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.19, "player_id": 551505, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1969.0, "npxg90": 0.20134892027092927, "xa90": 0.15262826001995286, "clubs": "Montpellier", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1696.0, "npxg90": 0.28056402602298885, "xa90": 0.2104644551170322, "clubs": "Montpellier,Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2265.0, "npxg90": 0.17113996251480074, "xa90": 0.1733589945916111, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0546633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3460909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07566617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.255846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 551505, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2020.5, "empirical_lo80": 612.55, "empirical_hi80": 2930.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2228.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2020.5, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.08, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 551505, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:552057", "player_id": 552057, "name": "Adam Hlozek", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10774", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 552057, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 37.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 600.25, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 552057, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:552955", "player_id": 552955, "name": "Santiago Gimenez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13453", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13453", "name": "Santiago Gim\u00e9nez", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1570, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 619, "npxg90": 0.3622, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.437, "xa90": 0.1235, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.437, "xgchain90": 0.5306, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.437, "xgbuildup90": 0.1506, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.437, "player_id": 552955, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 665.0, "npxg90": 0.5005834767020735, "xa90": 0.22806605198105476, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 905.0, "npxg90": 0.37685355190084785, "xa90": 0.05450639898441114, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24846333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5398909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.045966176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.226146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 552955, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 820.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1954.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 896.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 820.666667, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 552955, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:553285", "player_id": 553285, "name": "Tim Lemperle", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.875, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21, "Right Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8407", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8407", "name": "Tim Lemperle", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2008, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1004, "npxg90": 0.3778, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xa90": 0.1349, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xgchain90": 0.6152, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.323, "xgbuildup90": 0.1609, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.323, "player_id": 553285, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2008.0, "npxg90": 0.38789182952401113, "xa90": 0.11543398568095023, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2640633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5554909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05736617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.23754604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 553285, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1960.0, "empirical_lo80": 589.45, "empirical_hi80": 3094.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1960.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1960.0, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.875, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 553285, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:557149", "player_id": 557149, "name": "Kang-in Lee", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.05555555555555555, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Right Winger": 8, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 557149, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1545.75, "empirical_lo80": 137.8, "empirical_hi80": 2456.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1522.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1545.75, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.055556, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 557149, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:557612", "player_id": 557612, "name": "S\u00e9kou Mara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre", "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8970", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8970", "name": "S\u00e9kou Mara", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Auxerre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1958, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 797, "npxg90": 0.2635, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xa90": 0.1186, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xgchain90": 0.4381, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.376, "xgbuildup90": 0.1332, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.376, "player_id": 557612, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 727.0, "npxg90": 0.2645368530495705, "xa90": 0.13767872976736156, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1231.0, "npxg90": 0.22330153285609716, "xa90": 0.08020419618349363, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14976333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.44119096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.041066176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.221246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 557612, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1072.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2206.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1229.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1072.333333, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 557612, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:559328", "player_id": 559328, "name": "Emmanuel Emegha", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11817", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11817", "name": "Emanuel Emegha", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4863, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1322, "npxg90": 0.5384, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.266, "xa90": 0.1037, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.266, "xgchain90": 0.6736, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.266, "xgbuildup90": 0.118, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.266, "player_id": 559328, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2105.0, "npxg90": 0.4281859093051483, "xa90": 0.014523263538428836, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2331.0, "npxg90": 0.6804917148641638, "xa90": 0.07719578803966405, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 427.0, "npxg90": 0.8962466101657242, "xa90": 0.2666026586775757, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.42466333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.7160909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.026166176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.206346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 559328, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1319.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2453.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 440.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1319.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 559328, "player": "E. Emegha", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "advance_agreement_summer_arrival_benchmark", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": 7.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 3571428.5714285714, "base": 3571428.5714285714, "high": 3571428.5714285714 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 3572000.0, "base": 4803000.0, "high": 7071000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 7143428.571428571, "base": 8374428.571428571, "high": 10642428.57142857 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 50004000.0, "base": 58621000.0, "high": 74497000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/club/chelsea/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Chelsea advance agreement for Emegha", "url": "https://www.chelseafc.com/en/news/article/chelsea-agree-deal-to-sign-emanuel-emegha", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract.", "Chelsea announced an advance agreement to join in2026. Announcement exact date is not exposed by the retrieved primary text; availability that summer is not established." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:560417", "player_id": 560417, "name": "Alem\u00e3o", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14059", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14059", "name": "Alem\u00e3o", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1118, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 559, "npxg90": 0.306, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.462, "xa90": 0.0892, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.462, "xgchain90": 0.5277, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.462, "xgbuildup90": 0.1835, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.462, "player_id": 560417, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1118.0, "npxg90": 0.33122490055206, "xa90": 0.02505862693867125, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1922633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4836909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.011666176180513119, "xa90_high": 0.191846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 560417, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1133.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2267.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1133.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1133.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 560417, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:560483", "player_id": 560483, "name": "Randy Nteka", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9813", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9813", "name": "Randy Nteka", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2041, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 596, "npxg90": 0.3303, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.446, "xa90": 0.1169, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.446, "xgchain90": 0.5386, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.446, "xgbuildup90": 0.147, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.446, "player_id": 560483, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 548.0, "npxg90": 0.25959064527992565, "xa90": 0.19742109483094328, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1151.0, "npxg90": 0.2607814834690244, "xa90": 0.05978644724375367, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 342.0, "npxg90": 0.7032415040425564, "xa90": 0.034062239390454795, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2165633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5079909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.03936617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.219546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 560483, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 608.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1742.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 367.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 608.75, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 560483, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:560705", "player_id": 560705, "name": "\u00c1lex Sancris", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.4, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Winger": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14086", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14086", "name": "Alex Sancris", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 693, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 346, "npxg90": 0.1769, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.581, "xa90": 0.1415, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.581, "xgchain90": 0.3625, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.581, "xgbuildup90": 0.1481, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.581, "player_id": 560705, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 693.0, "npxg90": 0.05169152354748992, "xa90": 0.1293790682110113, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06316333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3545909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0639661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.24414604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 560705, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 705.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1615.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 705.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 705.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.4, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 560705, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:565821", "player_id": 565821, "name": "Mika Biereth", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AS Monaco" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10349", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10349", "name": "Mika Biereth", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Monaco", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2306, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 839, "npxg90": 0.4076, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.364, "xa90": 0.22, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.364, "xgchain90": 0.7689, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.364, "xgbuildup90": 0.2133, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.364, "player_id": 565821, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1255.0, "npxg90": 0.7662590057013994, "xa90": 0.3437623241508149, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1051.0, "npxg90": 0.2746837676904181, "xa90": 0.19762953220521914, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29386333015329835, "npxg90_high": 0.5852909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1424661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.322646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 565821, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1121.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2255.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1063.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1121.666667, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 565821, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:566615", "player_id": 566615, "name": "Mikael Egill Ellertsson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.03225806451612903, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 10, "Right Midfield": 10, "Left Midfield": 4, "Left-Back": 2, "Right Winger": 2, "Right-Back": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10957", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10957", "name": "Mikael Ellertsson", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5273, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2011, "npxg90": 0.0645, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xa90": 0.0795, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xgchain90": 0.2225, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xgbuildup90": 0.1255, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.193, "player_id": 566615, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2503.0, "npxg90": 0.049695357047036266, "xa90": 0.07772906770824767, "clubs": "Venezia", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2770.0, "npxg90": 0.06986727218550465, "xa90": 0.0812730319555916, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.24219096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.0019661761805131184, "xa90_high": 0.182146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 566615, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2672.0, "empirical_lo80": 1264.05, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2768.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2672.0, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.032258, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 566615, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:566931", "player_id": 566931, "name": "Xavi Simons", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Left Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig", "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8700", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8700", "name": "Xavi Simons", "comp": "GB1", "team": "RasenBallsport Leipzig; Tottenham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6767, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;L1", "effective_minutes": 2156, "npxg90": 0.2133, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xa90": 0.2524, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xgchain90": 0.6217, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.182, "xgbuildup90": 0.2961, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.182, "player_id": 566931, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2738.0, "npxg90": 0.20442185912572441, "xa90": 0.34646038925227585, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2171.0, "npxg90": 0.25800243932076006, "xa90": 0.2564867853668773, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1858.0, "npxg90": 0.13157490500528665, "xa90": 0.22668508294993858, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig; Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0995633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3909909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.17486617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.355046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 566931, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2131.75, "empirical_lo80": 723.8, "empirical_hi80": 3042.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1847.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2131.75, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 566931, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:568157", "player_id": 568157, "name": "Y\u00e9remy Pino", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.03571428571428571, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 16, "Attacking Midfield": 11, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Crystal Palace", "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9024", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9024", "name": "Yeremi Pino", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Crystal Palace; Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4784, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 1771, "npxg90": 0.2095, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xa90": 0.2827, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgchain90": 0.5939, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgbuildup90": 0.2284, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.213, "player_id": 568157, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 501.0, "npxg90": 0.1617812191297908, "xa90": 0.05283759594588223, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1984.0, "npxg90": 0.1805902562562316, "xa90": 0.26256150113523846, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2299.0, "npxg90": 0.1760872199454091, "xa90": 0.3665126144210311, "clubs": "Crystal Palace; Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0957633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.38719096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.20516617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.385346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 568157, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1733.5, "empirical_lo80": 325.55, "empirical_hi80": 2643.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2252.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1733.5, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.035714, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 568157, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:568696", "player_id": 568696, "name": "Cheikh Sabaly", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.08333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 6, "Left Winger": 5, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Metz" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 568696, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1109.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2019.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 971.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1109.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.083333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 568696, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:568698", "player_id": 568698, "name": "Issa Soumar\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 19, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 0.5757575757575758, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 19, "Left Winger": 12, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11792", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11792", "name": "Issa Soumar\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5093, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2009, "npxg90": 0.3178, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xa90": 0.1406, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xgchain90": 0.4631, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.193, "xgbuildup90": 0.1126, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.193, "player_id": 568698, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 243.0, "npxg90": 0.16936780746888233, "xa90": 0.26784975081682205, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1908.0, "npxg90": 0.19822417442106974, "xa90": 0.12791047698624855, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2942.0, "npxg90": 0.36602738230121346, "xa90": 0.13400315463461898, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20406333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.49549096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.06306617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.243246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 568698, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2009.5, "empirical_lo80": 638.95, "empirical_hi80": 3143.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2949.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2009.5, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.575758, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 568698, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:569033", "player_id": 569033, "name": "Armindo Sieb", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9350", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9350", "name": "Armindo Sieb", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1218, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 429, "npxg90": 0.3946, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xa90": 0.1612, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xgchain90": 0.6732, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.528, "xgbuildup90": 0.2199, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.528, "player_id": 569033, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 721.0, "npxg90": 0.3350785634275035, "xa90": 0.19880603017200216, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 497.0, "npxg90": 0.5190883842212574, "xa90": 0.10846314621973087, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28086333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5722909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.08366617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.263846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 569033, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 606.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1740.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 534.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 606.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 569033, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:569140", "player_id": 569140, "name": "Lassine Sinayoko", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 0.53125, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17, "Right Winger": 10, "Left Winger": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AJ Auxerre" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10815", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10815", "name": "Lassine Sinayoko", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Auxerre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5116, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1982, "npxg90": 0.3114, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xa90": 0.1707, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgchain90": 0.519, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.195, "xgbuildup90": 0.1468, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.195, "player_id": 569140, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2305.0, "npxg90": 0.24853643207707787, "xa90": 0.21198692394990207, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2811.0, "npxg90": 0.3385050264420733, "xa90": 0.1583640704283306, "clubs": "Auxerre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19766333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48909096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.09316617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.273346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 569140, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2623.0, "empirical_lo80": 1252.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2781.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2623.0, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.53125, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 569140, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:569389", "player_id": 569389, "name": "Sofiane Diop", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.19230769230769232, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 14, "Centre-Forward": 5, "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6846", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6846", "name": "Sofiane Diop", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3714, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1476, "npxg90": 0.31, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.245, "xa90": 0.1649, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.245, "xgchain90": 0.6229, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.245, "xgbuildup90": 0.2387, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.245, "player_id": 569389, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 505.0, "npxg90": 0.27045973703855336, "xa90": 0.12632438935118145, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1018.0, "npxg90": 0.4903211903965104, "xa90": 0.27522144791595127, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2191.0, "npxg90": 0.273724555134406, "xa90": 0.14703661852037184, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1962633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4876909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08736617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.267546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 569389, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1460.5, "empirical_lo80": 52.55, "empirical_hi80": 2370.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2145.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1460.5, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.192308, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 569389, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:571743", "player_id": 571743, "name": "Armando Broja", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8384", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8384", "name": "Armando Broja", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Burnley", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1636, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 614, "npxg90": 0.3011, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.439, "xa90": 0.1106, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.439, "xgchain90": 0.4587, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.439, "xgbuildup90": 0.1687, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.439, "player_id": 571743, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 500.0, "npxg90": 0.4480821987614036, "xa90": 0.13309140242636203, "clubs": "Chelsea,Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 314.0, "npxg90": 0.029941334798457515, "xa90": 0.05009551633410393, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 822.0, "npxg90": 0.2755311557030591, "xa90": 0.06676160077815943, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18736333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4787909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03306617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.21324604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 571743, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 641.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1775.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 849.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 641.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 571743, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:572265", "player_id": 572265, "name": "Lorenzo Lucca", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Nottingham Forest", "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11936", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11936", "name": "Lorenzo Lucca", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli; Nottingham Forest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5496, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1500, "npxg90": 0.341, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xa90": 0.0847, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xgchain90": 0.4811, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.242, "xgbuildup90": 0.1278, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.242, "player_id": 572265, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2624.0, "npxg90": 0.3120502173934677, "xa90": 0.04958882273413332, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2369.0, "npxg90": 0.32262477432501474, "xa90": 0.05377211368577094, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 503.0, "npxg90": 0.553249677135859, "xa90": 0.12536788777731522, "clubs": "Napoli; Nottingham Forest", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22726333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5186909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.007166176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.187346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 572265, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1505.0, "empirical_lo80": 134.45, "empirical_hi80": 2639.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 528.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1505.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 572265, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:573775", "player_id": 573775, "name": "Hugo Duro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6637", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6637", "name": "Hugo Duro", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7209, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2297, "npxg90": 0.3644, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xa90": 0.0813, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xgchain90": 0.4798, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.173, "xgbuildup90": 0.1111, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.173, "player_id": 573775, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3050.0, "npxg90": 0.3367084816586776, "xa90": 0.046263409882295325, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2180.0, "npxg90": 0.42215310139667, "xa90": 0.05989715081015858, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1979.0, "npxg90": 0.3900093389105592, "xa90": 0.07897001813989869, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.25066333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5420909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.0037661761805131144, "xa90_high": 0.183946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 573775, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2283.0, "empirical_lo80": 912.45, "empirical_hi80": 3417.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1982.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2283.0, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 573775, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:574201", "player_id": 574201, "name": "Grant-Leon Ranos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 10, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11847", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 574201, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 111.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 70.5, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 574201, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:576024", "player_id": 576024, "name": "Juli\u00e1n Alvarez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10846", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10846", "name": "Juli\u00e1n \u00c1lvarez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7151, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2269, "npxg90": 0.3565, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xa90": 0.232, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgchain90": 0.8113, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgbuildup90": 0.3483, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.175, "player_id": 576024, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2682.0, "npxg90": 0.4312494464668652, "xa90": 0.1954064374139545, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2543.0, "npxg90": 0.39589335946194065, "xa90": 0.22858255224560967, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1926.0, "npxg90": 0.3114377490514628, "xa90": 0.2927693878692166, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2427633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5341909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.15446617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.334646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 576024, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2246.0, "empirical_lo80": 875.45, "empirical_hi80": 3380.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1903.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2246.0, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 576024, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:576028", "player_id": 576028, "name": "Thiago Almada", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.1875, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 8, "Right Winger": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13358", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13358", "name": "Thiago Almada", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2261, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 897, "npxg90": 0.2524, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.349, "xa90": 0.1903, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.349, "xgchain90": 0.7198, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.349, "xgbuildup90": 0.3983, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.349, "player_id": 576028, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 934.0, "npxg90": 0.19173299351296283, "xa90": 0.2320325862799773, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1327.0, "npxg90": 0.24126260434000135, "xa90": 0.18952878761949535, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13866333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.43009096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.11276617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.292946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 576028, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1191.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2101.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1312.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1191.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1875, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 576028, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:578392", "player_id": 578392, "name": "Maximilian Beier", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 19, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 0.7916666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 15, "Left Midfield": 5, "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia Dortmund" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8137", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8137", "name": "Maximilian Beier", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia Dortmund", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 6124, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 2048, "npxg90": 0.3613, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xa90": 0.1596, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgchain90": 0.6273, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.19, "xgbuildup90": 0.2054, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.19, "player_id": 578392, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2477.0, "npxg90": 0.4526397069712343, "xa90": 0.0966993703472672, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1578.0, "npxg90": 0.5411594187550445, "xa90": 0.1830821744955991, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2069.0, "npxg90": 0.3588067291150524, "xa90": 0.215579624372859, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24756333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5389909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08206617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.262246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 578392, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2024.75, "empirical_lo80": 654.2, "empirical_hi80": 3158.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2037.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2024.75, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.791667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 578392, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:578419", "player_id": 578419, "name": "Federico Vi\u00f1as", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.7857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22, "Right Winger": 5, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Oviedo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13705", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13705", "name": "Federico Vi\u00f1as", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Oviedo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2575, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1288, "npxg90": 0.2866, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xa90": 0.1209, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xgchain90": 0.3717, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.272, "xgbuildup90": 0.1222, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.272, "player_id": 578419, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2575.0, "npxg90": 0.29332602345249026, "xa90": 0.1058243309699216, "clubs": "Real Oviedo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17286333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.46429096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04336617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.223546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 578419, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2451.0, "empirical_lo80": 1080.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2451.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2451.0, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.785714, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 578419, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:580195", "player_id": 580195, "name": "Jamal Musiala", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Left Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8418", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8418", "name": "Jamal Musiala", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayern Munich", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4283, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1237, "npxg90": 0.4669, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xa90": 0.2785, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xgchain90": 1.0615, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.28, "xgbuildup90": 0.4326, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.28, "player_id": 580195, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1795.0, "npxg90": 0.4199002451862632, "xa90": 0.31376889495381405, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1822.0, "npxg90": 0.5459421424094985, "xa90": 0.27888774274798306, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 666.0, "npxg90": 0.573775330810128, "xa90": 0.3703969842880159, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.35316333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6445909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.20096617618051316, "xa90_high": 0.38114604875519204 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 580195, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1232.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2142.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 679.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1232.5, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.142857, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 580195, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:580451", "player_id": 580451, "name": "Martin Baturina", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.11764705882352941, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 8, "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Midfield": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13934", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13934", "name": "Martin Baturina", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Como", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1579, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 790, "npxg90": 0.1796, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.378, "xa90": 0.2968, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.378, "xgchain90": 0.6241, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.378, "xgbuildup90": 0.3218, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.378, "player_id": 580451, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1579.0, "npxg90": 0.10835864878435955, "xa90": 0.3816671103257934, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06586333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3572909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.21926617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.399446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 580451, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1569.0, "empirical_lo80": 161.05, "empirical_hi80": 2479.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1569.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1569.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.117647, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 580451, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:581678", "player_id": 581678, "name": "Jude Bellingham", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 0.045454545454545456, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Central Midfield": 6, "Left Midfield": 6, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8824", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8824", "name": "Jude Bellingham", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 6794, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2182, "npxg90": 0.3517, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xa90": 0.1564, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgchain90": 0.7581, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.18, "xgbuildup90": 0.4585, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.18, "player_id": 581678, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2351.0, "npxg90": 0.4682311685839038, "xa90": 0.22565050718506466, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2510.0, "npxg90": 0.4158498065553576, "xa90": 0.15439985500299835, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1933.0, "npxg90": 0.360002630557412, "xa90": 0.14144551430997981, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23796333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5293909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07886617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.259046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 581678, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2163.25, "empirical_lo80": 755.3, "empirical_hi80": 3073.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1918.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2163.25, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.045455, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 581678, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:583255", "player_id": 583255, "name": "Antoine Semenyo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 37, "cf_start_share": 0.08108108108108109, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 18, "Left Winger": 16, "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth", "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11363", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11363", "name": "Antoine Semenyo", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth,Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 8580, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2950, "npxg90": 0.3311, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.14, "xa90": 0.1434, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.14, "xgchain90": 0.6238, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.14, "xgbuildup90": 0.2188, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.14, "player_id": 583255, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2141.0, "npxg90": 0.2700349172017859, "xa90": 0.15972621488354016, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 3219.0, "npxg90": 0.406785078645308, "xa90": 0.18477522848800643, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3220.0, "npxg90": 0.316242368955466, "xa90": 0.11543951720947988, "clubs": "Bournemouth,Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2173633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5087909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06586617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24604604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 583255, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2933.25, "empirical_lo80": 1525.3, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3205.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2933.25, "prior_starts": 37.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.081081, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 583255, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:583699", "player_id": 583699, "name": "Andrej Ilic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 24 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12421", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12421", "name": "Andrej Ilic", "comp": "L1", "team": "Union Berlin", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3192, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1358, "npxg90": 0.4039, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xa90": 0.1654, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgchain90": 0.5437, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.261, "xgbuildup90": 0.1211, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.261, "player_id": 583699, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 954.0, "npxg90": 0.4631173795194558, "xa90": 0.03227235942657264, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2238.0, "npxg90": 0.4164670810762583, "xa90": 0.19115946670100292, "clubs": "Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2901633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5815909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.08786617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.268046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 583699, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1366.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2500.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2257.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1366.25, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 583699, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:585959", "player_id": 585959, "name": "Arnaud Kalimuendo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.5882352941176471, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Left Winger": 3, "Right Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt", "Nottingham Forest" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 585959, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1941.0, "empirical_lo80": 570.45, "empirical_hi80": 3075.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1509.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1941.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.588235, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 585959, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:586853", "player_id": 586853, "name": "Vitinha", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.7857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15, "Second Striker": 7, "Left Winger": 5, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11380", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11380", "name": "Vitinha", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4802, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1766, "npxg90": 0.286, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.214, "xa90": 0.1466, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.214, "xgchain90": 0.4915, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.214, "xgbuildup90": 0.1547, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.214, "player_id": 586853, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1194.0, "npxg90": 0.5066967086548257, "xa90": 0.22402785699720956, "clubs": "Genoa; Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1346.0, "npxg90": 0.11876651239519134, "xa90": 0.27519732576699435, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2262.0, "npxg90": 0.2749017665202208, "xa90": 0.08663934499855383, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17226333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4636909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06906617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.24924604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 586853, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1754.75, "empirical_lo80": 384.2, "empirical_hi80": 2888.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2242.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1754.75, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.785714, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 586853, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:58864", "player_id": 58864, "name": "Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 22, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.9565217391304348, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 22, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "318", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "318", "name": "Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Marseille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 37.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4725, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1700, "npxg90": 0.3561, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.22, "xa90": 0.1236, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.22, "xgchain90": 0.5072, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.22, "xgbuildup90": 0.1034, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.22, "player_id": 58864, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2651.0, "npxg90": 0.6749869009704016, "xa90": 0.19270224197406177, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2074.0, "npxg90": 0.6737361408198898, "xa90": 0.22291466687817627, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24236333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5337909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.04606617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.226246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 58864, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2240.666667, "empirical_lo80": 870.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3374.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2047.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2240.666667, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.956522, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 58864, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:588989", "player_id": 588989, "name": "Jhon Arias", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 6, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Central Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13741", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13741", "name": "Jhon Arias", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1140, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 570, "npxg90": 0.2769, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xa90": 0.1036, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xgchain90": 0.4473, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.457, "xgbuildup90": 0.1383, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.457, "player_id": 588989, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1140.0, "npxg90": 0.25998526914535386, "xa90": 0.07075472877017762, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16316333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.4545909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.026066176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.20624604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 588989, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1124.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2034.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1124.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1124.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.142857, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 588989, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:59323", "player_id": 59323, "name": "Cristhian Stuani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1709", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1709", "name": "Cristhian Stuani", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2051, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 602, "npxg90": 0.3696, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.443, "xa90": 0.0834, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.443, "xgchain90": 0.4632, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.443, "xgbuildup90": 0.0823, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.443, "player_id": 59323, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 694.0, "npxg90": 1.4604865455790623, "xa90": 0.29055244879131487, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 998.0, "npxg90": 0.5846945029535967, "xa90": 0.0386521621478464, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 359.0, "npxg90": 0.7149235611589506, "xa90": 0.03316780256527712, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2558633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5472909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.005866176180513119, "xa90_high": 0.18604604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 59323, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 658.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1792.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 396.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 658.5, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 59323, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:593412", "player_id": 593412, "name": "Ilyas Chaira", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 0.03333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 19, "Right Winger": 10, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Oviedo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13701", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13701", "name": "Ilyas Chaira", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Oviedo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2584, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1292, "npxg90": 0.2646, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xa90": 0.0987, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xgchain90": 0.44, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xgbuildup90": 0.1454, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.271, "player_id": 593412, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2584.0, "npxg90": 0.25150071808653124, "xa90": 0.07238815728886393, "clubs": "Real Oviedo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1508633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4422909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.021166176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.201346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 593412, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2461.0, "empirical_lo80": 1053.05, "empirical_hi80": 3371.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2461.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2461.0, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.033333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 593412, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:593482", "player_id": 593482, "name": "Azzedine Ounahi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.05, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Central Midfield": 6, "Left Winger": 5, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8328", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8328", "name": "Azz-Eddine Ounahi", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3011, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1197, "npxg90": 0.179, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xa90": 0.2156, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgchain90": 0.5812, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgbuildup90": 0.3259, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.286, "player_id": 593482, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1234.0, "npxg90": 0.06843692084209846, "xa90": 0.1205048765051307, "clubs": "Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1777.0, "npxg90": 0.15735433841009924, "xa90": 0.27554465509158677, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0652633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3566909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13806617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.318246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 593482, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1582.0, "empirical_lo80": 174.05, "empirical_hi80": 2492.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1766.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1582.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.05, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 593482, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:594991", "player_id": 594991, "name": "Mohamed Bayo", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Gazisehir Gaziantep" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Gazisehir Gaziantep", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 2349.0, "npxg90": 0.4825900432250508, "xa90": 0.0531784328007606, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 594991, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:595650", "player_id": 595650, "name": "Nikola Stulic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 20, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 20 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13969", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13969", "name": "Nikola Stulic", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1713, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 856, "npxg90": 0.2662, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.359, "xa90": 0.1257, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.359, "xgchain90": 0.4026, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.359, "xgbuildup90": 0.1113, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.359, "player_id": 595650, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1713.0, "npxg90": 0.24746162292503485, "xa90": 0.11036129131743556, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1524633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4438909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04816617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.228346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 595650, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1715.0, "empirical_lo80": 344.45, "empirical_hi80": 2849.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1715.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1715.0, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 595650, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:595809", "player_id": 595809, "name": "Beto", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Everton FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9983", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9983", "name": "Beto", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Everton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4051, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1401, "npxg90": 0.521, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xa90": 0.0943, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgchain90": 0.6135, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgbuildup90": 0.0945, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.255, "player_id": 595809, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 979.0, "npxg90": 0.5888866934215647, "xa90": 0.1261538534736274, "clubs": "Everton; Udinese", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1520.0, "npxg90": 0.5486927676186162, "xa90": 0.0820866385719886, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1552.0, "npxg90": 0.6348522552337076, "xa90": 0.05823245321246843, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4072633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6986909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.016766176180513112, "xa90_high": 0.196946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 595809, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1418.5, "empirical_lo80": 47.95, "empirical_hi80": 2552.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1565.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1418.5, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 595809, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:596153", "player_id": 596153, "name": "Justin Njinmah", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Right Winger": 8, "Right Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10585", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10585", "name": "Justin Njinmah", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 3901, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1466, "npxg90": 0.2791, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xa90": 0.0999, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgchain90": 0.5526, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgbuildup90": 0.1983, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.247, "player_id": 596153, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1011.0, "npxg90": 0.3842679197825381, "xa90": 0.21654724444674453, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 927.0, "npxg90": 0.43791705398883635, "xa90": 0.1704986242450846, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1963.0, "npxg90": 0.3107924139107209, "xa90": 0.056842442467178664, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16536333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.45679096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.02236617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.202546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 596153, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1466.75, "empirical_lo80": 96.2, "empirical_hi80": 2600.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1955.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1466.75, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 596153, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:598577", "player_id": 598577, "name": "Florian Wirtz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.07407407407407407, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 16, "Left Winger": 7, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8397", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8397", "name": "Florian Wirtz", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7184, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2402, "npxg90": 0.2968, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xa90": 0.2457, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgchain90": 0.8073, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.167, "xgbuildup90": 0.4071, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.167, "player_id": 598577, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2393.0, "npxg90": 0.3234243971819889, "xa90": 0.3342233075633041, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2365.0, "npxg90": 0.26724237606842977, "xa90": 0.3165018236851339, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2426.0, "npxg90": 0.28108609401868917, "xa90": 0.19974601569432712, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18306333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.47449096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.1681661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.348346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 598577, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2380.0, "empirical_lo80": 972.05, "empirical_hi80": 3290.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2390.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2380.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.074074, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 598577, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:599231", "player_id": 599231, "name": "Ferran Jutgl\u00e0", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.38095238095238093, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 12, "Centre-Forward": 8, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Celta de Vigo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8549", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8549", "name": "Ferr\u00e1n Jutgl\u00e0", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Celta Vigo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1702, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 851, "npxg90": 0.3277, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.361, "xa90": 0.1123, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.361, "xgchain90": 0.5051, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.361, "xgbuildup90": 0.1714, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.361, "player_id": 599231, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1702.0, "npxg90": 0.34889323698722274, "xa90": 0.08218404113563471, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2139633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5053909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.034766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.214946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 599231, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1663.0, "empirical_lo80": 255.05, "empirical_hi80": 2573.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1663.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1663.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.380952, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 599231, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:599663", "player_id": 599663, "name": "Faris Moumbagna", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12425", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 599663, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 88.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 181.75, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 599663, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:600936", "player_id": 600936, "name": "Luca Moro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13880", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13880", "name": "Luca Moro", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Sassuolo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 181, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 90, "npxg90": 0.3116, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xa90": 0.1464, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xgchain90": 0.5348, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.841, "xgbuildup90": 0.1618, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.841, "player_id": 600936, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 181.0, "npxg90": 0.41434149556273586, "xa90": 0.12987230858091492, "clubs": "Sassuolo", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1978633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4892909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06886617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24904604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 600936, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 200.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1334.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 200.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 200.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 600936, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:605268", "player_id": 605268, "name": "Igor Matanovic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12953", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12953", "name": "Igor Matanovic", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1811, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 837, "npxg90": 0.4194, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.365, "xa90": 0.1411, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.365, "xgchain90": 0.6057, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.365, "xgbuildup90": 0.1546, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.365, "player_id": 605268, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 275.0, "npxg90": 0.26442252776839514, "xa90": 0.014516092024066231, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1536.0, "npxg90": 0.47264804368751356, "xa90": 0.1310301416015136, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3056633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5970909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06356617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.243746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 605268, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1142.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2276.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1563.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1142.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 605268, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:607034", "player_id": 607034, "name": "Akor Adams", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11783", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11783", "name": "Akor Adams", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Sevilla", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5553, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1900, "npxg90": 0.3876, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xa90": 0.0812, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xgchain90": 0.4944, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.202, "xgbuildup90": 0.0877, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.202, "player_id": 607034, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2304.0, "npxg90": 0.5357695062411949, "xa90": 0.0769824785675155, "clubs": "Montpellier", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1201.0, "npxg90": 0.40912414594653446, "xa90": 0.058307428119221794, "clubs": "Montpellier; Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2048.0, "npxg90": 0.3435428754937675, "xa90": 0.05053232401223795, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27386333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5652909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0036661761805131116, "xa90_high": 0.183846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 607034, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1898.5, "empirical_lo80": 527.95, "empirical_hi80": 3032.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2060.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1898.5, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 607034, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:607223", "player_id": 607223, "name": "Rayan Cherki", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 10, "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Left Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester City" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8094", "method": "surname+club", "confidence": 0.7 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8094", "name": "Mathis Cherki", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester City", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5563, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1839, "npxg90": 0.2662, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.207, "xa90": 0.4026, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.207, "xgchain90": 0.846, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.207, "xgbuildup90": 0.4125, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.207, "player_id": 607223, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1721.0, "npxg90": 0.29726730181225713, "xa90": 0.2349406595621637, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2050.0, "npxg90": 0.2336144003199368, "xa90": 0.5192253778711324, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1792.0, "npxg90": 0.2331030485012369, "xa90": 0.54164292301201, "clubs": "Manchester City", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1524633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4438909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.32506617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.505246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 607223, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1786.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1834.5, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 607223, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:607226", "player_id": 607226, "name": "Loum Tchaouna", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 7, "Right Midfield": 6, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9977", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9977", "name": "Loum Tchaouna", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Burnley", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3988, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1314, "npxg90": 0.1864, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xa90": 0.1085, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xgchain90": 0.3942, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.268, "xgbuildup90": 0.1547, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.268, "player_id": 607226, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2096.0, "npxg90": 0.11769859695661358, "xa90": 0.0981733719738314, "clubs": "Salernitana", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 624.0, "npxg90": 0.3727373642882762, "xa90": 0.09896268602460623, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1268.0, "npxg90": 0.08936276595469576, "xa90": 0.08514776696636098, "clubs": "Burnley", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07266333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.36409096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.030966176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.211146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 607226, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1270.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1321.75, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 607226, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:608832", "player_id": 608832, "name": "Merlin R\u00f6hl", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Midfield": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Everton FC", "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11331", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11331", "name": "Merlin R\u00f6hl", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Everton; Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 3181, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;L1", "effective_minutes": 971, "npxg90": 0.1219, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xa90": 0.1211, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgchain90": 0.4016, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.331, "xgbuildup90": 0.2119, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.331, "player_id": 608832, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1509.0, "npxg90": 0.18530397307475804, "xa90": 0.14514551033260334, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 970.0, "npxg90": 0.10427258553501871, "xa90": 0.16164202829726887, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 702.0, "npxg90": 0.071624428129349, "xa90": 0.04628072230097575, "clubs": "Everton; Freiburg", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.008163330153298301, "npxg90_high": 0.29959096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.043566176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.223746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 608832, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 743.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 984.25, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 608832, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:609556", "player_id": 609556, "name": "William Osula", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Newcastle United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9556", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9556", "name": "William Osula", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Newcastle United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1653, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 608, "npxg90": 0.3983, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xa90": 0.0902, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xgchain90": 0.5097, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xgbuildup90": 0.1035, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.441, "player_id": 609556, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 769.0, "npxg90": 0.24252993315070753, "xa90": 0.011561293111355933, "clubs": "Sheffield United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 107.0, "npxg90": 0.2377784809219503, "xa90": 0.11259491059267633, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 777.0, "npxg90": 0.5693508674566811, "xa90": 0.05173605956626214, "clubs": "Newcastle United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28456333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.5759909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01266617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.192846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 609556, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 632.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1766.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 811.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 632.5, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 609556, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:610400", "player_id": 610400, "name": "William B\u00f8ving", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14022", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14022", "name": "William B\u00f8ving", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 206, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 103, "npxg90": 0.1302, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.823, "xa90": 0.1638, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.823, "xgchain90": 0.4831, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.823, "xgbuildup90": 0.309, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.823, "player_id": 610400, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 206.0, "npxg90": 0.005810153399349995, "xa90": 0.23798740441793376, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.016463330153298317, "npxg90_high": 0.3078909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08626617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.266446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 610400, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 219.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 219.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 610400, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:610442", "player_id": 610442, "name": "Rasmus H\u00f8jlund", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 32, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 32 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11055", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11055", "name": "Rasmus H\u00f8jlund", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7026, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2452, "npxg90": 0.3607, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xa90": 0.1057, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xgchain90": 0.5443, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.164, "xgbuildup90": 0.143, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.164, "player_id": 610442, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2210.0, "npxg90": 0.38031651096511215, "xa90": 0.07246670388190994, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2032.0, "npxg90": 0.25977597201580377, "xa90": 0.09485007589132943, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2784.0, "npxg90": 0.4057450407256918, "xa90": 0.10562384041459781, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24696333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5383909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02816617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.208346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 610442, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2427.25, "empirical_lo80": 1056.7, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2762.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2427.25, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 610442, "player": "Rasmus H\u00f8jlund", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "prior_2025_arrival_obligation_exercise_benchmark", "evidence_quality": "capology_point_estimate", "fee_eur": { "low": 44000000.0, "base": 44000000.0, "high": 44000000.0 }, "contract_years": 4.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 11000000.0, "base": 11000000.0, "high": 11000000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 9260000.0, "base": 9260000.0, "high": 9260000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 20260000.0, "base": 20260000.0, "high": 20260000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 81040000.0, "base": 81040000.0, "high": 81040000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" }, { "title": "Napoli confirms Hojlund permanent acquisition", "url": "https://sscnapoli.it/en/sscn-hojlund-e-a-tutti-gli-effetti-un-calciatore-azzurro/", "publication_date": "2026-06-03", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "primary_club_release" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty.", "Napoli confirms summer2025 initial loan and June2026 conditions met. Not a new summer2026 recruitment decision; \u20ac44m remains secondary reported." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:610622", "player_id": 610622, "name": "Urko Izeta", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 34, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13821", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13821", "name": "Urko Izeta", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 153, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 76, "npxg90": 0.3956, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.863, "xa90": 0.1691, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.863, "xgchain90": 0.5838, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.863, "xgbuildup90": 0.1812, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.863, "player_id": 610622, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 153.0, "npxg90": 1.0569801071987432, "xa90": 0.18966304247870164, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28186333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5732909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09156617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.271746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 610622, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 182.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1316.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 182.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 182.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 610622, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:610849", "player_id": 610849, "name": "Liam Delap", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 12, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8868", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8868", "name": "Liam Delap", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3735, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1200, "npxg90": 0.3699, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xa90": 0.0854, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgchain90": 0.5615, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgbuildup90": 0.1883, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.286, "player_id": 610849, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2671.0, "npxg90": 0.3507218237942589, "xa90": 0.09382287250257797, "clubs": "Ipswich", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1064.0, "npxg90": 0.4254783435262516, "xa90": 0.014316678201233534, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2561633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5475909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.00786617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.18804604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 610849, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1606.0, "empirical_lo80": 235.45, "empirical_hi80": 2740.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1101.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1606.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 610849, "player": "L. Delap", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "wage_unknown", "fee_eur": { "low": 52500000.0, "base": 52500000.0, "high": 52500000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 10500000.0, "base": 10500000.0, "high": 10500000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer", "gross_wage" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/uk/premier-league/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty.", "Legacy club-ceiling-only wage removed from comparable axis: an existing salary ceiling is not a valid upper bound on this signing." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:612826", "player_id": 612826, "name": "Silas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 612826, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 520.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1654.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 335.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 520.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 612826, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:613393", "player_id": 613393, "name": "Gaetano Oristanio", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.125, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11958", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11958", "name": "Gaetano Oristanio", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4300, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1288, "npxg90": 0.2412, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xa90": 0.097, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xgchain90": 0.4038, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.271, "xgbuildup90": 0.128, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.271, "player_id": 613393, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1094.0, "npxg90": 0.1681194794951671, "xa90": 0.06808911995039453, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2353.0, "npxg90": 0.21773995590961037, "xa90": 0.0890699155308873, "clubs": "Venezia", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 853.0, "npxg90": 0.2531656996289144, "xa90": 0.06344431799433575, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1274633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4188909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01946617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.19964604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 613393, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1287.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2197.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 858.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1287.5, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.125, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 613393, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:616344", "player_id": 616344, "name": "Tiago Tom\u00e1s", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.2, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 7, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10367", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10367", "name": "Tiago Tom\u00e1s", "comp": "L1", "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3922, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1230, "npxg90": 0.3579, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.281, "xa90": 0.1298, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.281, "xgchain90": 0.5895, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.281, "xgbuildup90": 0.1902, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.281, "player_id": 616344, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1007.0, "npxg90": 0.261744918910252, "xa90": 0.08804302048511514, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1919.0, "npxg90": 0.2609433313135743, "xa90": 0.12226489656461659, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 996.0, "npxg90": 0.500030285084104, "xa90": 0.11375271625457758, "clubs": "VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2441633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5355909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.052266176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.23244604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 616344, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1236.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2147.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1013.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1236.75, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.2, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 616344, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:617081", "player_id": 617081, "name": "Diego L\u00f3pez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.2, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 8, "Left Winger": 8, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9694", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9694", "name": "Diego L\u00f3pez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7337, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2280, "npxg90": 0.2031, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xa90": 0.1599, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgchain90": 0.4705, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.174, "xgbuildup90": 0.1642, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.174, "player_id": 617081, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2717.0, "npxg90": 0.15197981114337822, "xa90": 0.19338344221740664, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2839.0, "npxg90": 0.2196114655654955, "xa90": 0.18957387485389518, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1781.0, "npxg90": 0.17568341831811052, "xa90": 0.10269827012271776, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08936333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3807909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0823661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.262546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 617081, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2239.5, "empirical_lo80": 831.55, "empirical_hi80": 3149.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1763.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2239.5, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.2, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 617081, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:618813", "player_id": 618813, "name": "Carlos Mart\u00edn", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 6, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid", "Rayo Vallecano" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10101", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10101", "name": "Carlos Mart\u00edn", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Rayo Vallecano", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.3, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1840, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 578, "npxg90": 0.2355, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xa90": 0.1564, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xgchain90": 0.4488, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.454, "xgbuildup90": 0.1545, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.454, "player_id": 618813, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1367.0, "npxg90": 0.16328467503762323, "xa90": 0.17038905617032246, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 473.0, "npxg90": 0.21872408227329526, "xa90": 0.11017822355315499, "clubs": "Rayo Vallecano", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1217633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4131909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07886617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.259046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 618813, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 452.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 746.333333, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 618813, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:619461", "player_id": 619461, "name": "Mohamed Bamba", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12383", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12383", "name": "Mohamed Bamba", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lorient", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1827, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 623, "npxg90": 0.3655, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xa90": 0.18, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xgchain90": 0.5821, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.435, "xgbuildup90": 0.143, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.435, "player_id": 619461, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1163.0, "npxg90": 0.5372814041652868, "xa90": 0.1630411909049119, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 664.0, "npxg90": 0.28686797756881244, "xa90": 0.22133304210132865, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2517633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5431909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10246617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.282646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 619461, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 834.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1968.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 677.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 834.333333, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 619461, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:620696", "player_id": 620696, "name": "Ibrahim Diabate", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14465", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14465", "name": "Ibrahim Diabate", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Alaves", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 579, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 290, "npxg90": 0.3405, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.624, "xa90": 0.1121, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.624, "xgchain90": 0.5254, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.624, "xgbuildup90": 0.1713, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.624, "player_id": 620696, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 579.0, "npxg90": 0.4238907482301324, "xa90": 0.02300482928521275, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22676333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5181909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03456617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.214746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 620696, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 581.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1715.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 581.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 581.0, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 620696, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:626724", "player_id": 626724, "name": "Jo\u00e3o Pedro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.8064516129032258, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 25, "Attacking Midfield": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8272", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8272", "name": "Jo\u00e3o Pedro", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6699, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2349, "npxg90": 0.4136, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xa90": 0.1783, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xgchain90": 0.6729, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.17, "xgbuildup90": 0.2313, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.17, "player_id": 626724, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2026.0, "npxg90": 0.36040572566325024, "xa90": 0.2408759962943882, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1975.0, "npxg90": 0.2304802328442471, "xa90": 0.2560337851413443, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2698.0, "npxg90": 0.5245132597123278, "xa90": 0.13288408299677454, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29986333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5912909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1007661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.28094604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 626724, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2337.0, "empirical_lo80": 966.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2674.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2337.0, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.806452, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 626724, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:626913", "player_id": 626913, "name": "Boulaye Dia", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7224", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7224", "name": "Boulaye Dia", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 29.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4611, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1467, "npxg90": 0.2404, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xa90": 0.1276, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgchain90": 0.4493, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.247, "xgbuildup90": 0.1723, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.247, "player_id": 626913, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1134.0, "npxg90": 0.3044918034639624, "xa90": 0.04168907224777199, "clubs": "Salernitana", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2220.0, "npxg90": 0.27970307763363866, "xa90": 0.18688253856994008, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1257.0, "npxg90": 0.19318630034215126, "xa90": 0.12259144247076108, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1266633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4180909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05006617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.230246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 626913, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1459.0, "empirical_lo80": 88.45, "empirical_hi80": 2593.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1250.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1459.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 626913, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:627442", "player_id": 627442, "name": "Benjamin Sesko", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Manchester United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11974", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11974", "name": "Benjamin Sesko", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Manchester United", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5595, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1808, "npxg90": 0.4947, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xa90": 0.0779, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xgchain90": 0.6639, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.21, "xgbuildup90": 0.1647, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.21, "player_id": 627442, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1523.0, "npxg90": 0.5079852598728472, "xa90": 0.05419028787161281, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2436.0, "npxg90": 0.34461471916226843, "xa90": 0.0939100969518567, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1636.0, "npxg90": 0.6878799019315369, "xa90": 0.03288287853863099, "clubs": "Manchester United", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3809633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6723909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.0003661761805131142, "xa90_high": 0.18054604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 627442, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1800.0, "empirical_lo80": 429.45, "empirical_hi80": 2934.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1637.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1800.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 627442, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:627626", "player_id": 627626, "name": "Wilfried Gnonto", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Leeds United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11155", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11155", "name": "Wilfried Gnonto", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Leeds", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 493, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 246, "npxg90": 0.2424, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.661, "xa90": 0.1778, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.661, "xgchain90": 0.5481, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.661, "xgbuildup90": 0.2014, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.661, "player_id": 627626, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 493.0, "npxg90": 0.07989564340025126, "xa90": 0.22766988233306104, "clubs": "Leeds", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1286633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4200909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10026617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.280446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 627626, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 524.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 524.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 627626, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:628366", "player_id": 628366, "name": "Lucas Beltr\u00e1n", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 12, "Second Striker": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Valencia CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11900", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11900", "name": "Lucas Beltr\u00e1n", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Valencia", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5054, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1608, "npxg90": 0.2451, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xa90": 0.1383, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xgchain90": 0.5538, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xgbuildup90": 0.2295, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.23, "player_id": 628366, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1712.0, "npxg90": 0.16033207314963688, "xa90": 0.11781990212588528, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1965.0, "npxg90": 0.17251538769661925, "xa90": 0.13477053555823465, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1377.0, "npxg90": 0.3108801813248326, "xa90": 0.13013938113170512, "clubs": "Valencia", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13136333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.4227909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06076617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.240946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 628366, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1596.0, "empirical_lo80": 225.45, "empirical_hi80": 2730.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1366.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1596.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 628366, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:628886", "player_id": 628886, "name": "Iv\u00e1n Romero", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 24, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.6071428571428571, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17, "Left Winger": 9, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Levante UD" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9275", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9275", "name": "Iv\u00e1n Romero", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Levante", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2339, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1170, "npxg90": 0.3291, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xa90": 0.1282, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgchain90": 0.5696, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.291, "xgbuildup90": 0.191, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.291, "player_id": 628886, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2339.0, "npxg90": 0.34055869917251097, "xa90": 0.11103733926501831, "clubs": "Levante", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2153633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5067909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.050666176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.230846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 628886, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2280.0, "empirical_lo80": 909.45, "empirical_hi80": 3414.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2280.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2280.0, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.607143, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 628886, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:631002", "player_id": 631002, "name": "Ra\u00fal Garc\u00eda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "CA Osasuna" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8042", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8042", "name": "Raul Garc\u00eda", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Osasuna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2927, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 963, "npxg90": 0.4557, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.333, "xa90": 0.1206, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.333, "xgchain90": 0.5848, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.333, "xgbuildup90": 0.1308, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.333, "player_id": 631002, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1328.0, "npxg90": 0.3953013450176601, "xa90": 0.0859246363565999, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 673.0, "npxg90": 0.44567958901554655, "xa90": 0.09166449582395193, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 926.0, "npxg90": 0.6743394405245138, "xa90": 0.10910540278075709, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3419633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6333909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.043066176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.223246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 631002, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1025.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2159.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1013.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1025.75, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 631002, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:631821", "player_id": 631821, "name": "Vladyslav Vanat", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 27 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14041", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14041", "name": "Vladyslav Vanat", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2003, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1002, "npxg90": 0.3179, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.324, "xa90": 0.1188, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.324, "xgchain90": 0.4541, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.324, "xgbuildup90": 0.1177, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.324, "player_id": 631821, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2003.0, "npxg90": 0.3265251923041884, "xa90": 0.09454381993924803, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.20416333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.49559096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.04126617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.221446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 631821, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1960.0, "empirical_lo80": 589.45, "empirical_hi80": 3094.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1960.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1960.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 631821, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:63200", "player_id": 63200, "name": "Ashley Barnes", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Burnley FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "4422", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 63200, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 41.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 41.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 63200, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:632741", "player_id": 632741, "name": "Iker Losada", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.3, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 5, "Second Striker": 3, "Right Winger": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Levante UD", "Real Betis Balompi\u00e9" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7825", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7825", "name": "Iker Losada", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Levante", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1552, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 608, "npxg90": 0.165, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xa90": 0.0848, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xgchain90": 0.3625, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.441, "xgbuildup90": 0.178, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.441, "player_id": 632741, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 670.0, "npxg90": 0.23038773683469688, "xa90": 0.12829516188644652, "clubs": "Celta Vigo,Real Betis", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 882.0, "npxg90": 0.2184001704183768, "xa90": 0.05409902588901471, "clubs": "Levante", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.051263330153298314, "npxg90_high": 0.34269096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.0072661761805131175, "xa90_high": 0.187446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 632741, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 827.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1738.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 898.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 827.666667, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.3, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 632741, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:633306", "player_id": 633306, "name": "Iv\u00e1n Az\u00f3n", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 633306, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 633306, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:633992", "player_id": 633992, "name": "Enzo Le F\u00e9e", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 0.030303030303030304, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 12, "Left Midfield": 10, "Central Midfield": 5, "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Defensive Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sunderland AFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8651", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8651", "name": "Enzo Le F\u00e9e", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Sunderland", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4818, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1943, "npxg90": 0.1117, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xa90": 0.1872, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgchain90": 0.4181, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.198, "xgbuildup90": 0.223, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.198, "player_id": 633992, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1548.0, "npxg90": 0.03012802381458324, "xa90": 0.10138303290532773, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 317.0, "npxg90": 0.05392689739680064, "xa90": 0.037882648619943615, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2953.0, "npxg90": 0.06778311489614801, "xa90": 0.22999581398333266, "clubs": "Sunderland", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.28939096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.10966617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.289846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 633992, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1931.25, "empirical_lo80": 523.3, "empirical_hi80": 2841.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2936.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1931.25, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.030303, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 633992, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:639733", "player_id": 639733, "name": "Peque Fern\u00e1ndez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.5833333333333334, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 6, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 639733, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1030.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2164.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 978.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1030.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.583333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 639733, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:640109", "player_id": 640109, "name": "Mart\u00edn Satriano", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.8076923076923077, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21, "Left Winger": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF", "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9001", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9001", "name": "Mart\u00edn Satriano", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe; Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4188, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 1623, "npxg90": 0.2861, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xa90": 0.155, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xgchain90": 0.5102, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.228, "xgbuildup90": 0.1504, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.228, "player_id": 640109, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1883.0, "npxg90": 0.31380389075166387, "xa90": 0.15951801914933414, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2305.0, "npxg90": 0.2679580504603991, "xa90": 0.1459194776842496, "clubs": "Getafe; Lyon", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17236333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.46379096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07746617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.257646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 640109, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1638.0, "empirical_lo80": 267.45, "empirical_hi80": 2772.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2301.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1638.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.807692, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 640109, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:641537", "player_id": 641537, "name": "Tommaso Baldanzi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 5, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma", "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9951", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9951", "name": "Tommaso Baldanzi", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa,Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2825, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 903, "npxg90": 0.2397, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xa90": 0.1366, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xgchain90": 0.5096, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.347, "xgbuildup90": 0.2069, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.347, "player_id": 641537, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1261.0, "npxg90": 0.19120391175404935, "xa90": 0.14319745842204928, "clubs": "Empoli,Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 777.0, "npxg90": 0.22229379035791377, "xa90": 0.15188252797860896, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 787.0, "npxg90": 0.2149122580412534, "xa90": 0.10308406144153359, "clubs": "Genoa,Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1259633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.41739096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.059066176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.239246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 641537, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 905.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1816.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 784.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 905.75, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 641537, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:645774", "player_id": 645774, "name": "Eren Dink\u00e7i", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.125, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 12, "Second Striker": 2, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846", "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9201", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9201", "name": "Eren Sami Dinkci", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim,Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 5320, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1680, "npxg90": 0.1551, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xa90": 0.1133, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgchain90": 0.4026, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgbuildup90": 0.1903, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.222, "player_id": 645774, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2730.0, "npxg90": 0.12143046765045806, "xa90": 0.13584484658357535, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1189.0, "npxg90": 0.08114261319273354, "xa90": 0.18525123163819612, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1401.0, "npxg90": 0.2644868351806282, "xa90": 0.07175793420579245, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim,Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.041363330153298294, "npxg90_high": 0.33279096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.035766176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.215946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 645774, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1658.0, "empirical_lo80": 250.05, "empirical_hi80": 2568.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1381.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1658.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.125, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 645774, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:647280", "player_id": 647280, "name": "Kieron Bowie", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14417", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14417", "name": "Kieron Bowie", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1211, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 606, "npxg90": 0.3021, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xa90": 0.0852, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgchain90": 0.4476, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.442, "xgbuildup90": 0.1152, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.442, "player_id": 647280, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1211.0, "npxg90": 0.30465494069208493, "xa90": 0.03276741241345614, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1883633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4797909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.007666176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.187846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 647280, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1204.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2338.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1204.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1204.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 647280, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:64793", "player_id": 64793, "name": "Leonardo Pavoletti", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1104", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1104", "name": "Leonardo Pavoletti", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cagliari", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 37.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1165, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 340, "npxg90": 0.2452, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xa90": 0.101, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xgchain90": 0.401, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.586, "xgbuildup90": 0.1314, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.586, "player_id": 64793, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 595.0, "npxg90": 0.47405393628262676, "xa90": 0.09454238953209725, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 377.0, "npxg90": 0.6605383313065815, "xa90": 0.3325240212228317, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 193.0, "npxg90": 0.6410956923208088, "xa90": 0.16878107099412637, "clubs": "Cagliari", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1314633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4228909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.023466176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.203646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 64793, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 369.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1503.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 217.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 369.5, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 64793, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:648046", "player_id": 648046, "name": "Evan Ferguson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 19, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10177", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10177", "name": "Evan Ferguson", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2482, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 815, "npxg90": 0.3304, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xa90": 0.1405, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xgchain90": 0.5443, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.371, "xgbuildup90": 0.1489, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.371, "player_id": 648046, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1364.0, "npxg90": 0.26168967718722796, "xa90": 0.04296585171868549, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 341.0, "npxg90": 0.3909549534408228, "xa90": 0.20927393694252563, "clubs": "Brighton,West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 777.0, "npxg90": 0.4031770601580963, "xa90": 0.19532092454983463, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.21666333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5080909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.06296617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.24314604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 648046, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 826.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1960.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 776.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 826.25, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 648046, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:648195", "player_id": 648195, "name": "Enzo Fern\u00e1ndez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 35, "cf_start_share": 0.02857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 18, "Attacking Midfield": 11, "Left Winger": 3, "Defensive Midfield": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11356", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11356", "name": "Enzo Fern\u00e1ndez", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 8327, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2869, "npxg90": 0.2283, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xa90": 0.2141, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgchain90": 0.7016, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.143, "xgbuildup90": 0.4148, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.143, "player_id": 648195, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2237.0, "npxg90": 0.18608497462793686, "xa90": 0.14318049700067254, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2941.0, "npxg90": 0.18768768577080566, "xa90": 0.23678198611298534, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3149.0, "npxg90": 0.297090282267987, "xa90": 0.2533928645143588, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.11456333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.4059909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13656617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.316746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 648195, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2851.5, "empirical_lo80": 1443.55, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3121.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2851.5, "prior_starts": 35.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.028571, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 648195, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:651569", "player_id": 651569, "name": "Daniel Mosquera", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12857", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12857", "name": "Daniel Mosquera", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1899, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 616, "npxg90": 0.3201, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xa90": 0.1442, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgchain90": 0.5103, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgbuildup90": 0.1743, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.438, "player_id": 651569, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1334.0, "npxg90": 0.48363449778044776, "xa90": 0.12543699921931195, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 565.0, "npxg90": 0.17454296666963964, "xa90": 0.1574288745105794, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2063633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4977909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06666617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.246846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 651569, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 844.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1978.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 585.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 844.333333, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 651569, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:651973", "player_id": 651973, "name": "Godson Kyeremeh", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13743", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13743", "name": "Godson Kyeremeh", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 350, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 175, "npxg90": 0.2874, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.733, "xa90": 0.1497, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.733, "xgchain90": 0.4971, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.733, "xgbuildup90": 0.1822, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.733, "player_id": 651973, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 350.0, "npxg90": 0.23212078117898532, "xa90": 0.12843117681997163, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1736633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4650909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07216617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.252346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 651973, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 374.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1508.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 374.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 374.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 651973, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:652061", "player_id": 652061, "name": "Adam Karabec", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.09090909090909091, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 10, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13734", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13734", "name": "Adam Karabec", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 922, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 461, "npxg90": 0.1392, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xa90": 0.1639, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xgchain90": 0.5131, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xgbuildup90": 0.312, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.51, "player_id": 652061, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 922.0, "npxg90": 0.15253825796012507, "xa90": 0.20452045758786144, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.025463330153298297, "npxg90_high": 0.3168909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08636617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.266546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 652061, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 925.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1835.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 925.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 925.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.090909, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 652061, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:65278", "player_id": 65278, "name": "Pedro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 7, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "687", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "687", "name": "Pedro", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2764, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 930, "npxg90": 0.1378, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xa90": 0.1235, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xgchain90": 0.3372, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.341, "xgbuildup90": 0.1329, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.341, "player_id": 65278, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 753.0, "npxg90": 0.2175132348109408, "xa90": 0.2676088523594625, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1057.0, "npxg90": 0.41472446250966283, "xa90": 0.1227736421803483, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 954.0, "npxg90": 0.06896841120115428, "xa90": 0.2646914647259521, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.024063330153298312, "npxg90_high": 0.31549096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.045966176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.226146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 65278, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 972.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 957.25, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 65278, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:654234", "player_id": 654234, "name": "Anton Kade", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.2222222222222222, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Right Midfield": 5, "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10288", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10288", "name": "Anton Kade", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 1740, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 870, "npxg90": 0.2556, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xa90": 0.1374, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgchain90": 0.5005, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.356, "xgbuildup90": 0.1594, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.356, "player_id": 654234, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1740.0, "npxg90": 0.34718757016776963, "xa90": 0.16004475244674188, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1418633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4332909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05986617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24004604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 654234, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1747.0, "empirical_lo80": 339.05, "empirical_hi80": 2657.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1747.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1747.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.222222, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 654234, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:654991", "player_id": 654991, "name": "Samuel Mbangula", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 10, "Second Striker": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12904", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12904", "name": "Samuel Mbangula", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1847, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 752, "npxg90": 0.212, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.39, "xa90": 0.1381, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.39, "xgchain90": 0.4728, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.39, "xgbuildup90": 0.1857, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.39, "player_id": 654991, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 687.0, "npxg90": 0.059804637066401774, "xa90": 0.22976920374681334, "clubs": "Juventus", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1160.0, "npxg90": 0.14250078538818092, "xa90": 0.08045167842044912, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0982633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3896909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06056617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.240746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 654991, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1012.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1922.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1169.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1012.333333, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 654991, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:655207", "player_id": 655207, "name": "Laurs Skjellerup", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14104", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 655207, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 9.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 9.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 655207, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:656681", "player_id": 656681, "name": "Victor Boniface", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11867", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11867", "name": "Victor Boniface", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2905, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 804, "npxg90": 0.5519, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xa90": 0.2006, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgchain90": 0.8366, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgbuildup90": 0.221, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.374, "player_id": 656681, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1565.0, "npxg90": 0.8027728024286965, "xa90": 0.2583383205837716, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1031.0, "npxg90": 0.7284206675345695, "xa90": 0.10387153914839636, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 309.0, "npxg90": 0.2647204152805713, "xa90": 0.3067974189242113, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4381633301532982, "npxg90_high": 0.7295909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12306617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.303246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 656681, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 804.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1938.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 326.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 804.5, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 656681, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:658116", "player_id": 658116, "name": "Ben Bobzien", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9786", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 658116, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 658116, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:659518", "player_id": 659518, "name": "F\u00e9lix Lemar\u00e9chal", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Central Midfield": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10057", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10057", "name": "Felix Lemarechal", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2359, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 729, "npxg90": 0.2342, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.397, "xa90": 0.1615, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.397, "xgchain90": 0.5904, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.397, "xgbuildup90": 0.265, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.397, "player_id": 659518, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1803.0, "npxg90": 0.20337069943274516, "xa90": 0.1375862412439805, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 556.0, "npxg90": 0.14752055692533367, "xa90": 0.20006292700606712, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1204633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4118909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08396617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.264146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 659518, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 964.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1874.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 555.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 964.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.142857, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 659518, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:659542", "player_id": 659542, "name": "Elye Wahi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt", "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9182", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9182", "name": "Sepe Elye Wahi", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3729, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;L1", "effective_minutes": 1244, "npxg90": 0.4587, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.278, "xa90": 0.1296, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.278, "xgchain90": 0.6746, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.278, "xgbuildup90": 0.1405, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.278, "player_id": 659542, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1723.0, "npxg90": 0.6959616698787369, "xa90": 0.16596571535295826, "clubs": "Lens,Montpellier", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 760.0, "npxg90": 0.6975979827540486, "xa90": 0.0595243454322611, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1246.0, "npxg90": 0.32556733680084754, "xa90": 0.10073585541885985, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3449633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6363909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05206617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.232246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 659542, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1245.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2379.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1249.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1245.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 659542, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:659543", "player_id": 659543, "name": "Matthis Abline", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.25925925925925924, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 7, "Right Winger": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9490", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9490", "name": "Matthis Abline", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nantes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6462, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2263, "npxg90": 0.2819, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xa90": 0.1491, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgchain90": 0.4926, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.175, "xgbuildup90": 0.1526, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.175, "player_id": 659543, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1048.0, "npxg90": 0.2984722504900583, "xa90": 0.1946762604781121, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2823.0, "npxg90": 0.2775314702443565, "xa90": 0.133995188916781, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2591.0, "npxg90": 0.2654399253163431, "xa90": 0.14192443866525686, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1681633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4595909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07156617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.251746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 659543, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 659543, "player": "M. Abline", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 5000000.0, "base": 5000000.0, "high": 5000000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 3572000.0, "base": 4600000.0, "high": 4600000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 8572000.0, "base": 9600000.0, "high": 9600000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 42860000.0, "base": 48000000.0, "high": 48000000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/club/monaco/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:660438", "player_id": 660438, "name": "Orri \u00d3skarsson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13048", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13048", "name": "Orri \u00d3skarsson", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Sociedad", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1751, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 643, "npxg90": 0.541, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xa90": 0.0943, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xgchain90": 0.6602, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.427, "xgbuildup90": 0.1069, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.427, "player_id": 660438, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 929.0, "npxg90": 0.5438989431339649, "xa90": 0.016793413047625636, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 822.0, "npxg90": 0.8032296009252977, "xa90": 0.05197267809434094, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4272633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7186909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.016766176180513112, "xa90_high": 0.196946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 660438, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 865.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1999.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 830.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 865.666667, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 660438, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:660867", "player_id": 660867, "name": "Julio Enciso", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 0.18181818181818182, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 16, "Centre-Forward": 4, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11058", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11058", "name": "Julio Enciso", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3562, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1370, "npxg90": 0.3059, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.259, "xa90": 0.2063, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.259, "xgchain90": 0.667, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.259, "xgbuildup90": 0.2516, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.259, "player_id": 660867, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 476.0, "npxg90": 0.33480844624778805, "xa90": 0.44873425917026877, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1168.0, "npxg90": 0.21113362037321576, "xa90": 0.1716488747130314, "clubs": "Brighton,Ipswich", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1918.0, "npxg90": 0.32448510564591765, "xa90": 0.2073076807692787, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1921633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.48359096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.12876617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.308946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 660867, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1355.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2266.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1893.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1355.75, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.181818, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 660867, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:663237", "player_id": 663237, "name": "Jacob Ondrejka", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13386", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13386", "name": "Jacob Ondrejka", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1176, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 486, "npxg90": 0.2454, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xa90": 0.1223, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgchain90": 0.4533, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgbuildup90": 0.1689, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.497, "player_id": 663237, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 408.0, "npxg90": 0.2984573418164954, "xa90": 0.25520265211953835, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 768.0, "npxg90": 0.16676766150339972, "xa90": 0.049905051273526624, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1316633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42309096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.04476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.224946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 663237, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 656.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1566.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 776.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 656.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 663237, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:666547", "player_id": 666547, "name": "Zito Luvumbo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.625, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Right Winger": 3, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio", "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 666547, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1305.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2439.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 830.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1305.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.625, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 666547, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:667251", "player_id": 667251, "name": "Hugo Bolin", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.2, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14428", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14428", "name": "Hugo Bolin", "comp": "L1", "team": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 534, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 267, "npxg90": 0.1715, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.643, "xa90": 0.1256, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.643, "xgchain90": 0.5, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.643, "xgbuildup90": 0.2781, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.643, "player_id": 667251, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 534.0, "npxg90": 0.1957415563336919, "xa90": 0.08553234860301018, "clubs": "Borussia M.Gladbach", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05776333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3491909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04806617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.228246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 667251, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 547.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1457.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 547.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 547.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.2, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 667251, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:667967", "player_id": 667967, "name": "Yassine Kechta", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.07142857142857142, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 6, "Left Midfield": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11795", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11795", "name": "Yassine Kechta", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Le Havre", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5374, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1679, "npxg90": 0.1428, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xa90": 0.1038, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgchain90": 0.3884, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgbuildup90": 0.1866, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.222, "player_id": 667967, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1868.0, "npxg90": 0.0792878985702114, "xa90": 0.07957483785889038, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2163.0, "npxg90": 0.09465680701784718, "xa90": 0.04876153220664116, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1343.0, "npxg90": 0.10323922694206505, "xa90": 0.12326011341273208, "clubs": "Le Havre", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.029063330153298317, "npxg90_high": 0.32049096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.02626617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.206446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 667967, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1657.75, "empirical_lo80": 249.8, "empirical_hi80": 2568.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1330.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1657.75, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.071429, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 667967, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:668606", "player_id": 668606, "name": "Yuito Suzuki", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.9444444444444444, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 17, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11354", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11354", "name": "Yuito Suzuki", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1645, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 822, "npxg90": 0.2036, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.369, "xa90": 0.1276, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.369, "xgchain90": 0.4976, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.369, "xgbuildup90": 0.2344, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.369, "player_id": 668606, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1645.0, "npxg90": 0.22856777725248714, "xa90": 0.1148751331974489, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08986333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3812909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05006617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.230246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 668606, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1637.0, "empirical_lo80": 266.45, "empirical_hi80": 2771.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1637.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1637.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.944444, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 668606, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:668951", "player_id": 668951, "name": "Mat\u00edas Soul\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.35714285714285715, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 16, "Second Striker": 10, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 668951, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2314.25, "empirical_lo80": 906.3, "empirical_hi80": 3224.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2162.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2314.25, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.357143, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 668951, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:67063", "player_id": 67063, "name": "Danny Welbeck", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brighton & Hove Albion" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "501", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "501", "name": "Danny Welbeck", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brighton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6161, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 2112, "npxg90": 0.2503, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.185, "xa90": 0.0707, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.185, "xgchain90": 0.4179, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.185, "xgbuildup90": 0.1588, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.185, "player_id": 67063, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1723.0, "npxg90": 0.32605177022892934, "xa90": 0.11429771248011206, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2152.0, "npxg90": 0.4054541924455961, "xa90": 0.08685483225036177, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2286.0, "npxg90": 0.4108422608151445, "xa90": 0.08907600151976262, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.13656333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.42799096897157735, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.173346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 67063, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2089.0, "empirical_lo80": 718.45, "empirical_hi80": 3223.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2266.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2089.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 67063, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:670688", "player_id": 670688, "name": "Youssef Chermiti", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Everton FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11984", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 670688, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 670688, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:670847", "player_id": 670847, "name": "Mohamed-Ali Cho", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 20, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 15, "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8685", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8685", "name": "Mohamed Ali-Cho", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nice", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4466, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1546, "npxg90": 0.2367, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.237, "xa90": 0.1846, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.237, "xgchain90": 0.5607, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.237, "xgbuildup90": 0.2413, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.237, "player_id": 670847, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1082.0, "npxg90": 0.14042505262808636, "xa90": 0.13435382433855378, "clubs": "Nice; Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1667.0, "npxg90": 0.23173448482743983, "xa90": 0.24002316967099815, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1717.0, "npxg90": 0.2242896000946339, "xa90": 0.18445922605840878, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1229633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.41439096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.1070661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.287246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 670847, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1525.5, "empirical_lo80": 117.55, "empirical_hi80": 2435.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1681.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1525.5, "prior_starts": 20.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 670847, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:670883", "player_id": 670883, "name": "Dane Scarlett", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9332", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 670883, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 7.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 16.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 670883, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:671594", "player_id": 671594, "name": "Kamory Doumbia", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 22, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 21, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Brestois 29" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10100", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10100", "name": "Kamory Doumbia", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Brest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3967, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1443, "npxg90": 0.2815, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xa90": 0.1836, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgchain90": 0.6029, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.25, "xgbuildup90": 0.2179, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.25, "player_id": 671594, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 845.0, "npxg90": 0.37444019070743806, "xa90": 0.10968729342229268, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1317.0, "npxg90": 0.2563028721932262, "xa90": 0.15389006489416868, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1805.0, "npxg90": 0.24920651518386322, "xa90": 0.22169144796284943, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16776333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4591909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10606617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.286246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 671594, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1766.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1430.0, "prior_starts": 22.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 671594, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:672803", "player_id": 672803, "name": "Bertu\u011f Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Rennais FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 672803, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 386.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 672803, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:674806", "player_id": 674806, "name": "Santiago Pierotti", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 31 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12362", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12362", "name": "Santiago Pierotti", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4799, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1865, "npxg90": 0.1779, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xa90": 0.1177, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgchain90": 0.3349, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgbuildup90": 0.1037, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.205, "player_id": 674806, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 175.0, "npxg90": 0.16824121751955579, "xa90": 0.4549675468887602, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1963.0, "npxg90": 0.19536036763186518, "xa90": 0.1312103835553675, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2661.0, "npxg90": 0.12748133683033297, "xa90": 0.08805068369362641, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06416333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3555909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.040166176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.22034604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 674806, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2616.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1840.5, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 674806, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:67556", "player_id": 67556, "name": "Milan Djuric", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913", "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "3856", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "3856", "name": "Milan Djuric", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese,Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 36.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4412, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1206, "npxg90": 0.1517, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xa90": 0.0732, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xgchain90": 0.2641, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.285, "xgbuildup90": 0.0869, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.285, "player_id": 67556, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2479.0, "npxg90": 0.1920267144130177, "xa90": 0.09147176124567272, "clubs": "Monza,Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1522.0, "npxg90": 0.24115103055232262, "xa90": 0.04953678769552677, "clubs": "Monza,Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 411.0, "npxg90": 0.17795883418217193, "xa90": 0.16671722795623933, "clubs": "Cremonese,Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.03796333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3293909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.175846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 67556, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1222.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2356.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 445.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1222.5, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 67556, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:676411", "player_id": 676411, "name": "Dailon Livramento", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12856", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Casa Pia AC", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 940.0, "npxg90": 0.1811776605058223, "xa90": 0.0898863882460492, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 676411, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 676411, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:677935", "player_id": 677935, "name": "Ricky-Jade Jones", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14197", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14197", "name": "Ricky-Jade Jones", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 344, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 172, "npxg90": 0.4543, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.736, "xa90": 0.2257, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.736, "xgchain90": 0.7741, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.736, "xgbuildup90": 0.1747, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.736, "player_id": 677935, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 344.0, "npxg90": 0.742274008171503, "xa90": 0.3688585964237274, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3405633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6319909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.14816617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.328346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 677935, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 350.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1484.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 350.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 350.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 677935, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:678655", "player_id": 678655, "name": "Philip Otele", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 0.2857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14423", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14423", "name": "Philip Otele", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 504, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 252, "npxg90": 0.2881, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xa90": 0.1715, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xgchain90": 0.5407, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.656, "xgbuildup90": 0.1626, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.656, "player_id": 678655, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 504.0, "npxg90": 0.17973140414272035, "xa90": 0.17174411465280823, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17436333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.46579096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.09396617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.274146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 678655, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 477.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1387.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 477.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 477.0, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.285714, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 678655, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:683571", "player_id": 683571, "name": "Tolu Arokodare", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Wolverhampton Wanderers" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8875", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8875", "name": "Tolu Arokodare", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1357, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 678, "npxg90": 0.3924, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.414, "xa90": 0.107, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.414, "xgchain90": 0.4384, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.414, "xgbuildup90": 0.1198, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.414, "player_id": 683571, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1357.0, "npxg90": 0.4420671663497552, "xa90": 0.07691172779968053, "clubs": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27866333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5700909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.029466176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.209646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 683571, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1408.0, "empirical_lo80": 37.45, "empirical_hi80": 2542.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1408.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1408.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 683571, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:683625", "player_id": 683625, "name": "Jacen Russell-Rowe", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14435", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14435", "name": "Jacen Russell-Rowe", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Toulouse", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 461, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 230, "npxg90": 0.31, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.676, "xa90": 0.1204, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.676, "xgchain90": 0.4966, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.676, "xgbuildup90": 0.1701, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.676, "player_id": 683625, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 461.0, "npxg90": 0.3055850567130489, "xa90": 0.03953675688961581, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1962633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4876909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04286617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.223046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 683625, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 683625, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:687609", "player_id": 687609, "name": "Isaac Romero", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.8888888888888888, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sevilla FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12305", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12305", "name": "Isaac Romero", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Sevilla", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4785, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1573, "npxg90": 0.3562, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.234, "xa90": 0.1173, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.234, "xgchain90": 0.5283, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.234, "xgbuildup90": 0.1348, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.234, "player_id": 687609, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1079.0, "npxg90": 0.7739845417488272, "xa90": 0.20061223031443728, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2200.0, "npxg90": 0.30413223508406767, "xa90": 0.10598694188520312, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1506.0, "npxg90": 0.28680364783126044, "xa90": 0.06467521580240404, "clubs": "Sevilla", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.24246333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5338909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.03976617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.219946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 687609, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1550.25, "empirical_lo80": 179.7, "empirical_hi80": 2684.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1490.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1550.25, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.888889, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 687609, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:68863", "player_id": 68863, "name": "Mauro Icardi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Galatasaray" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Super Lig" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Galatasaray", "league": "Super Lig", "minutes": 1313.0, "npxg90": 0.667480554457212, "xa90": 0.0992561394443788, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 68863, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:691482", "player_id": 691482, "name": "Jacopo Fazzini", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.2, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10303", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10303", "name": "Jacopo Fazzini", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3178, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 935, "npxg90": 0.205, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xa90": 0.1254, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xgchain90": 0.4424, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.339, "xgbuildup90": 0.1767, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.339, "player_id": 691482, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1213.0, "npxg90": 0.07964427005545668, "xa90": 0.1542597260903521, "clubs": "Empoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1403.0, "npxg90": 0.2368703670534209, "xa90": 0.07018487907797417, "clubs": "Empoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 562.0, "npxg90": 0.14144579783824415, "xa90": 0.11580812608909354, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0912633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3826909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04786617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.22804604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 691482, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 941.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1851.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 574.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 941.0, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.2, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 691482, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:691786", "player_id": 691786, "name": "Morgan Guilavogui", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11762", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11762", "name": "Morgan Guilavogui", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 28.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2765, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 802, "npxg90": 0.2954, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xa90": 0.1713, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgchain90": 0.6491, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgbuildup90": 0.3043, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.374, "player_id": 691786, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 493.0, "npxg90": 0.42073727779951836, "xa90": 0.33900426477798346, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1828.0, "npxg90": 0.4262871849320063, "xa90": 0.15153963576301246, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 444.0, "npxg90": 0.3625685082295456, "xa90": 0.2358771231327508, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1816633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4730909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09376617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.273946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 691786, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 832.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1742.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 481.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 832.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 691786, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:692368", "player_id": 692368, "name": "Younes Ebnoutalib", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14329", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14329", "name": "Younes Ebnoutalib", "comp": "L1", "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 127, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 64, "npxg90": 0.3549, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.883, "xa90": 0.165, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.883, "xgchain90": 0.6145, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.883, "xgbuildup90": 0.2027, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.883, "player_id": 692368, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 127.0, "npxg90": 0.3991670689479573, "xa90": 0.10264220434849657, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2411633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5325909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08746617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.267646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 692368, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 131.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1265.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 131.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 131.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 692368, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:694507", "player_id": 694507, "name": "Rayan Philippe", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.15384615384615385, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Winger": 1, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "7749", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "7749", "name": "Rayan Philippe", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1272, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 636, "npxg90": 0.3455, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.43, "xa90": 0.1284, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.43, "xgchain90": 0.5296, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.43, "xgbuildup90": 0.1444, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.43, "player_id": 694507, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1272.0, "npxg90": 0.3458687788718995, "xa90": 0.09597805293522915, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23176333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.5231909689715772, "xa90_low": 0.050866176180513104, "xa90_high": 0.23104604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 694507, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1285.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2195.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1285.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1285.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.153846, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 694507, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:696764", "player_id": 696764, "name": "Abu Kamara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10526", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10526", "name": "Abu Kamara", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 210, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 105, "npxg90": 0.1067, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.821, "xa90": 0.0872, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.821, "xgchain90": 0.3867, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.821, "xgbuildup90": 0.2491, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.821, "player_id": 696764, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 210.0, "npxg90": 0.1801895435367312, "xa90": 0.042367657114352496, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0, "npxg90_high": 0.28439096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.009666176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.189846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 696764, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 248.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 248.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 696764, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:701757", "player_id": 701757, "name": "Keke Topp", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 7, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11314", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11314", "name": "Keke Maximilian Topp", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 828, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 361, "npxg90": 0.3391, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.571, "xa90": 0.2087, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.571, "xgchain90": 0.709, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.571, "xgbuildup90": 0.2622, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.571, "player_id": 701757, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 211.0, "npxg90": 0.4374285307116983, "xa90": 0.990861814769241, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 617.0, "npxg90": 0.29481931301241365, "xa90": 0.12739054162834124, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22536333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.5167909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13116617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.311346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 701757, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 498.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1632.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 629.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 498.666667, "prior_starts": 7.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 701757, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:704155", "player_id": 704155, "name": "Andr\u00e9as Hountondji", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.9333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13885", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13885", "name": "Andr\u00e9as Hountondji", "comp": "L1", "team": "St. Pauli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1092, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 546, "npxg90": 0.3491, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.468, "xa90": 0.1123, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.468, "xgchain90": 0.4642, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.468, "xgbuildup90": 0.1082, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.468, "player_id": 704155, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1092.0, "npxg90": 0.3462020547390189, "xa90": 0.058171522680792835, "clubs": "St. Pauli", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.23536333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5267909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.034766176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.214946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 704155, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1075.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2209.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1075.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1075.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.933333, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 704155, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:704270", "player_id": 704270, "name": "Sambou Soumano", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10074", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10074", "name": "Sambou Soumano", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lorient", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 891, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 446, "npxg90": 0.4536, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.519, "xa90": 0.1695, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.519, "xgchain90": 0.5696, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.519, "xgbuildup90": 0.1189, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.519, "player_id": 704270, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 891.0, "npxg90": 0.6108301497920595, "xa90": 0.1825001004217851, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3398633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6312909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09196617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.272146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 704270, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 928.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2062.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 928.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 928.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 704270, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:707242", "player_id": 707242, "name": "Badredine Bouanani", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 5, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice", "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11062", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11062", "name": "Badredine Bouanani", "comp": "L1", "team": "Nice; VfB Stuttgart", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2205, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;L1", "effective_minutes": 686, "npxg90": 0.2573, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.412, "xa90": 0.1755, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.412, "xgchain90": 0.6925, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.412, "xgbuildup90": 0.3555, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.412, "player_id": 707242, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 583.0, "npxg90": 0.21170529020921444, "xa90": 0.20758447315588618, "clubs": "Lorient,Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1083.0, "npxg90": 0.17205247887696584, "xa90": 0.23196296255591833, "clubs": "Nice", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 539.0, "npxg90": 0.18938280842465682, "xa90": 0.10129490297059623, "clubs": "Nice; VfB Stuttgart", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14356333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4349909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0979661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.278146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 707242, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 697.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1608.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 551.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 697.75, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 707242, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:707295", "player_id": 707295, "name": "Giuseppe Ambrosino", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10532", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 707295, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 35.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 35.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 707295, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:708265", "player_id": 708265, "name": "Bradley Barcola", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.09523809523809523, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 16, "Right Winger": 3, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10016", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10016", "name": "Bradley Barcola", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5666, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1861, "npxg90": 0.4932, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xa90": 0.2781, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgchain90": 0.9959, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.205, "xgbuildup90": 0.377, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.205, "player_id": 708265, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1665.0, "npxg90": 0.3020215824850508, "xa90": 0.3129754173191818, "clubs": "Lyon,Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2223.0, "npxg90": 0.6211618127429533, "xa90": 0.4021956437542612, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1778.0, "npxg90": 0.5900100769875288, "xa90": 0.2421252572169387, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.37946333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.6708909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.20056617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.380746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 708265, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1835.0, "empirical_lo80": 427.05, "empirical_hi80": 2745.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1750.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1835.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.095238, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 708265, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:709380", "player_id": 709380, "name": "\u00c1lex For\u00e9s", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Oviedo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13954", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13954", "name": "\u00c1lex For\u00e9s", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Oviedo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 331, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 166, "npxg90": 0.2737, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.744, "xa90": 0.1259, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.744, "xgchain90": 0.5127, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.744, "xgbuildup90": 0.1977, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.744, "player_id": 709380, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 331.0, "npxg90": 0.21541316523652781, "xa90": 0.00541277274804533, "clubs": "Real Oviedo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1599633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4513909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04836617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.22854604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 709380, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 349.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1483.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 349.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 349.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 709380, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:709726", "player_id": 709726, "name": "Hugo Ekitik\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Liverpool FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8995", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8995", "name": "Hugo Ekitike", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Liverpool", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5176, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1753, "npxg90": 0.5621, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.215, "xa90": 0.1786, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.215, "xgchain90": 0.8244, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.215, "xgbuildup90": 0.2158, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.215, "player_id": 709726, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 718.0, "npxg90": 0.45978291655441844, "xa90": 0.23462431881483387, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt; Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2623.0, "npxg90": 0.7142818893412121, "xa90": 0.2572564439002312, "clubs": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1835.0, "npxg90": 0.5852299355762206, "xa90": 0.12218937917285136, "clubs": "Liverpool", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4483633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7397909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.10106617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.281246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 709726, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1732.75, "empirical_lo80": 362.2, "empirical_hi80": 2866.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1811.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1732.75, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 709726, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:711337", "player_id": 711337, "name": "Evanilson", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 32, "all_position_starts": 32, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 32 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12963", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12963", "name": "Evanilson", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5186, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1999, "npxg90": 0.3947, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.194, "xa90": 0.1021, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.194, "xgchain90": 0.5359, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.194, "xgbuildup90": 0.1245, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.194, "player_id": 711337, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2376.0, "npxg90": 0.4906477727645049, "xa90": 0.07254487774899286, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2810.0, "npxg90": 0.37889948515122046, "xa90": 0.09829921007580604, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28096333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5723909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.024566176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.20474604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 711337, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2620.0, "empirical_lo80": 1249.45, "empirical_hi80": 3420.0, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2762.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2620.0, "prior_starts": 32.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 711337, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:711382", "player_id": 711382, "name": "Jon Karrikaburu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 26, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Sociedad" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9922", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9922", "name": "Jon Karrikaburu", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Sociedad", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 107, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 54, "npxg90": 0.1416, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xa90": 0.0892, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xgchain90": 0.4145, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.9, "xgbuildup90": 0.2667, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.9, "player_id": 711382, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 107.0, "npxg90": 0.5967307848002866, "xa90": 0.020065110559775452, "clubs": "Real Sociedad", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.02786333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3192909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.011666176180513119, "xa90_high": 0.191846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 711382, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 129.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 90.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 711382, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:718201", "player_id": 718201, "name": "Kevin Carlos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 29, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "OGC Nice" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 718201, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 874.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2008.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 874.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 874.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 718201, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:718303", "player_id": 718303, "name": "Ernest Poku", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.0625, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Midfield": 8, "Left Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13857", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13857", "name": "Ernest Poku", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 1471, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 736, "npxg90": 0.1722, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.395, "xa90": 0.155, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.395, "xgchain90": 0.5497, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.395, "xgbuildup90": 0.2718, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.395, "player_id": 718303, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1471.0, "npxg90": 0.22805024204328705, "xa90": 0.193247301649634, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0584633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.34989096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07746617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.257646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 718303, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1485.0, "empirical_lo80": 77.05, "empirical_hi80": 2395.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1485.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1485.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0625, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 718303, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:72047", "player_id": 72047, "name": "Iago Aspas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 0.18181818181818182, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Celta de Vigo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2290", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2290", "name": "Iago Aspas", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Celta Vigo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5569, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1663, "npxg90": 0.1423, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xa90": 0.1916, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgchain90": 0.4526, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.224, "xgbuildup90": 0.2131, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.224, "player_id": 72047, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2736.0, "npxg90": 0.21999477886741883, "xa90": 0.39970628653751, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1751.0, "npxg90": 0.19591789463931733, "xa90": 0.24792166822496856, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1082.0, "npxg90": 0.2455294693091991, "xa90": 0.3708489618802963, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.028563330153298316, "npxg90_high": 0.3199909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11406617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.294246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 72047, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1680.25, "empirical_lo80": 272.3, "empirical_hi80": 2590.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1130.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1680.25, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.181818, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 72047, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:720518", "player_id": 720518, "name": "Roberto Fern\u00e1ndez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 25 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Espanyol Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13350", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13350", "name": "Roberto Fern\u00e1ndez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Espanyol", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3925, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1578, "npxg90": 0.293, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xa90": 0.1186, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgchain90": 0.4578, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.233, "xgbuildup90": 0.1096, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.233, "player_id": 720518, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1537.0, "npxg90": 0.1900279436353776, "xa90": 0.05231790723268211, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2388.0, "npxg90": 0.32236694771300384, "xa90": 0.11897592024933827, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1792633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4706909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.041066176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.221246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 720518, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2094.333333, "empirical_lo80": 723.783333, "empirical_hi80": 3228.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2387.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2094.333333, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 720518, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:724129", "player_id": 724129, "name": "Matias Fernandez-Pardo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 0.48148148148148145, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13, "Left Winger": 10, "Right Winger": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13051", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13051", "name": "Matias Fernandez-Pardo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3468, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1469, "npxg90": 0.3468, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.246, "xa90": 0.1846, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.246, "xgchain90": 0.637, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.246, "xgbuildup90": 0.2294, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.246, "player_id": 724129, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1060.0, "npxg90": 0.2668359866717233, "xa90": 0.22138431949435539, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2408.0, "npxg90": 0.3584917342797714, "xa90": 0.18145917129294445, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2330633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5244909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1070661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.287246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 724129, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1943.0, "empirical_lo80": 535.05, "empirical_hi80": 2853.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2382.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1943.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.481481, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 724129, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:726701", "player_id": 726701, "name": "Rodrigo Ribeiro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12418", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12418", "name": "Rodrigo Ribeiro", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 629, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 314, "npxg90": 0.4895, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.604, "xa90": 0.1072, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.604, "xgchain90": 0.7007, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.604, "xgbuildup90": 0.2062, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.604, "player_id": 726701, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 629.0, "npxg90": 0.6624006410092352, "xa90": 0.0038177961859680322, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3757633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6671909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.02966617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.209846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 726701, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 426.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1560.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 633.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 426.666667, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 726701, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:729814", "player_id": 729814, "name": "Georges Mikautadze", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 25, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 23, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon", "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "8187", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "8187", "name": "Georges Mikautadze", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Lyon; Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5499, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 1958, "npxg90": 0.5035, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xa90": 0.1793, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xgchain90": 0.7695, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xgbuildup90": 0.1609, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.197, "player_id": 729814, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1767.0, "npxg90": 0.3748529214026163, "xa90": 0.11602030817185274, "clubs": "Metz", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1397.0, "npxg90": 0.5424884006477033, "xa90": 0.34276831333119484, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2335.0, "npxg90": 0.6282132886334201, "xa90": 0.15994567916243949, "clubs": "Lyon; Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3897633301532982, "npxg90_high": 0.6811909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1017661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.28194604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 729814, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1945.75, "empirical_lo80": 575.2, "empirical_hi80": 3079.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2297.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1945.75, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 729814, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:733576", "player_id": 733576, "name": "Alberto Moleiro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 30, "cf_start_share": 0.03333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 29, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12160", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12160", "name": "Alberto Moleiro", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 7117, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 2413, "npxg90": 0.1968, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.166, "xa90": 0.1668, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.166, "xgchain90": 0.4804, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.166, "xgbuildup90": 0.1887, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.166, "player_id": 733576, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1817.0, "npxg90": 0.09347876354469725, "xa90": 0.12231785941912074, "clubs": "Las Palmas", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2765.0, "npxg90": 0.18713491719896497, "xa90": 0.11965793728572442, "clubs": "Las Palmas", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2535.0, "npxg90": 0.19932833496900002, "xa90": 0.2051293914311031, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.08306333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3744909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08926617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.269446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 733576, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2379.75, "empirical_lo80": 971.8, "empirical_hi80": 3290.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2491.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2379.75, "prior_starts": 30.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.033333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 733576, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:735571", "player_id": 735571, "name": "Rodrigo Muniz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Fulham FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10717", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10717", "name": "Rodrigo Muniz", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Fulham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3525, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1132, "npxg90": 0.4412, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xa90": 0.1027, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xgchain90": 0.5482, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xgbuildup90": 0.1474, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.298, "player_id": 735571, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1602.0, "npxg90": 0.4765121517389008, "xa90": 0.07799873337819335, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 922.0, "npxg90": 0.6675151631098701, "xa90": 0.07623724283856581, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1001.0, "npxg90": 0.4086675930704985, "xa90": 0.08644733370489234, "clubs": "Fulham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3274633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6188909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.025166176180513117, "xa90_high": 0.205346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 735571, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1135.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2269.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 997.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1135.75, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 735571, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:73794", "player_id": 73794, "name": "Duv\u00e1n Zapata", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1148", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1148", "name": "Duv\u00e1n Zapata", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 35.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4721, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1452, "npxg90": 0.2486, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xa90": 0.1047, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgchain90": 0.3763, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.248, "xgbuildup90": 0.1012, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.248, "player_id": 73794, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 3036.0, "npxg90": 0.3831402518374205, "xa90": 0.0896177735187025, "clubs": "Atalanta,Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 597.0, "npxg90": 0.48342761438545867, "xa90": 0.08780814721319244, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1088.0, "npxg90": 0.3012138935874271, "xa90": 0.22172470390454266, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1348633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4262909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02716617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.207346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 73794, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1446.5, "empirical_lo80": 75.95, "empirical_hi80": 2580.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1096.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1446.5, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 73794, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:739443", "player_id": 739443, "name": "Igor Thiago", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 37, "all_position_starts": 37, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 37 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brentford FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13222", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13222", "name": "Thiago", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brentford", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3440, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1683, "npxg90": 0.4482, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xa90": 0.1072, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgchain90": 0.6074, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.222, "xgbuildup90": 0.1499, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.222, "player_id": 739443, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 148.0, "npxg90": 0.06655257509870303, "xa90": 0.06960124205294493, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3292.0, "npxg90": 0.48770741341162566, "xa90": 0.09432083623821, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3344633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6258909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02966617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.209846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 739443, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2247.666667, "empirical_lo80": 877.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3381.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3287.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2247.666667, "prior_starts": 37.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 739443, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:741292", "player_id": 741292, "name": "Iker Bravo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Udinese Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10090", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10090", "name": "Iker Bravo", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Udinese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 828, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 257, "npxg90": 0.2603, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xa90": 0.1282, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xgchain90": 0.4659, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.652, "xgbuildup90": 0.1521, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.652, "player_id": 741292, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 629.0, "npxg90": 0.1716856730121687, "xa90": 0.07479392741295984, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 199.0, "npxg90": 0.20856560942665417, "xa90": 0.10059479174751731, "clubs": "Udinese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14656333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4379909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.050666176180513126, "xa90_high": 0.230846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 741292, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 356.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1490.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 204.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 356.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 741292, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:742201", "player_id": 742201, "name": "Giuliano Simeone", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 25 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9796", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9796", "name": "Giuliano Simeone", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 4758, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1728, "npxg90": 0.1893, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xa90": 0.2262, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgchain90": 0.6929, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.217, "xgbuildup90": 0.3629, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.217, "player_id": 742201, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 617.0, "npxg90": 0.2908557644974277, "xa90": 0.3209857897141668, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1988.0, "npxg90": 0.13588222519492718, "xa90": 0.3252646607914621, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2153.0, "npxg90": 0.25504472917676857, "xa90": 0.23103564894592493, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0755633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.36699096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.14866617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.328846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 742201, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2110.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1697.25, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 742201, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:743599", "player_id": 743599, "name": "Emersonn", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 18, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 18 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14082", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14082", "name": "Emersonn", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Toulouse", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1607, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 804, "npxg90": 0.3825, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xa90": 0.126, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgchain90": 0.4979, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.374, "xgbuildup90": 0.1258, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.374, "player_id": 743599, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1607.0, "npxg90": 0.4152789679845632, "xa90": 0.10522310930931872, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.26876333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.5601909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.04846617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.228646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 743599, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 743599, "player": "Emersonn", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "wage_unknown", "fee_eur": { "low": 28000000.0, "base": 28000000.0, "high": 28000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 5600000.0, "base": 5600000.0, "high": 5600000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer", "gross_wage" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/club/ipswich-town/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty.", "Legacy club-ceiling-only wage removed from comparable axis: an existing salary ceiling is not a valid upper bound on this signing.", "Legacy origin conflict: pool says Toulouse but archived Transfermarkt note says G\u00f6ztepe. Not resolved." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:743951", "player_id": 743951, "name": "Thiago Borbas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Oviedo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14334", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14334", "name": "Thiago Borbas", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Oviedo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 140, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 70, "npxg90": 0.1378, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xa90": 0.0845, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xgchain90": 0.3762, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xgbuildup90": 0.2616, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.873, "player_id": 743951, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 140.0, "npxg90": 0.45896890174065313, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Real Oviedo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.024063330153298312, "npxg90_high": 0.31549096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.006966176180513123, "xa90_high": 0.187146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 743951, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 168.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 168.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 743951, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:745200", "player_id": 745200, "name": "Maghnes Akliouche", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 28, "cf_start_share": 0.03571428571428571, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 23, "Attacking Midfield": 4, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AS Monaco" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10058", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10058", "name": "Maghnes Akliouche", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Monaco", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6467, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 2224, "npxg90": 0.2755, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xa90": 0.2214, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgchain90": 0.7639, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.177, "xgbuildup90": 0.3423, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.177, "player_id": 745200, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1618.0, "npxg90": 0.30436493302102585, "xa90": 0.21037174810106293, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2419.0, "npxg90": 0.2798662539964227, "xa90": 0.3162280073425601, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2430.0, "npxg90": 0.24498743943318171, "xa90": 0.19834222837730692, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.16176333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.45319096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.14386617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.324046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 745200, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2211.75, "empirical_lo80": 803.8, "empirical_hi80": 3122.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2410.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2211.75, "prior_starts": 28.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.035714, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 745200, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:746695", "player_id": 746695, "name": "Kamaldeen Sulemana", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 8, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9630", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9630", "name": "Kamaldeen Sulemana", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Atalanta", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2398, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 848, "npxg90": 0.1495, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xa90": 0.1376, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgchain90": 0.4698, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgbuildup90": 0.246, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.362, "player_id": 746695, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1405.0, "npxg90": 0.09999494735827649, "xa90": 0.08086355881652799, "clubs": "Southampton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 993.0, "npxg90": 0.22549246947120685, "xa90": 0.20662254949305714, "clubs": "Atalanta", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0357633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3271909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06006617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.240246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 746695, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1136.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2047.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1002.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1136.666667, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 746695, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:746910", "player_id": 746910, "name": "Mohamed Amoura", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.6521739130434783, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14, "Left Winger": 7, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13062", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13062", "name": "Mohammed Amoura", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4461, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1602, "npxg90": 0.3793, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xa90": 0.1719, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xgchain90": 0.6417, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.23, "xgbuildup90": 0.2026, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.23, "player_id": 746910, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2512.0, "npxg90": 0.3349221522169437, "xa90": 0.1543632786718025, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1949.0, "npxg90": 0.424774312168138, "xa90": 0.18344495334629526, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.26556333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5569909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09436617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.274546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 746910, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2114.0, "empirical_lo80": 743.45, "empirical_hi80": 3248.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1928.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2114.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.652174, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 746910, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:748382", "player_id": 748382, "name": "Amin Sarr", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11350", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11350", "name": "Amin Sarr", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Verona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3426, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1118, "npxg90": 0.2173, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xa90": 0.1175, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xgchain90": 0.4292, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xgbuildup90": 0.1637, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.3, "player_id": 748382, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 440.0, "npxg90": 0.20873401233587752, "xa90": 0.0429712568663738, "clubs": "Lyon; Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "FR1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1940.0, "npxg90": 0.22242972212507553, "xa90": 0.09831007123089482, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1046.0, "npxg90": 0.13916040284569814, "xa90": 0.11790324876843515, "clubs": "Verona", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1035633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3949909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03996617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.220146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 748382, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1141.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2275.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1086.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1141.75, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 748382, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:75489", "player_id": 75489, "name": "Niclas F\u00fcllkrug", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 32, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan", "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6098", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6098", "name": "Niclas F\u00fcllkrug", "comp": "IT1", "team": "AC Milan; West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4270, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1;IT1", "effective_minutes": 1328, "npxg90": 0.2882, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xa90": 0.1573, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgchain90": 0.4791, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.265, "xgbuildup90": 0.1555, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.265, "player_id": 75489, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2453.0, "npxg90": 0.46134214386605166, "xa90": 0.1654132210778257, "clubs": "Borussia Dortmund,Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 775.0, "npxg90": 0.2513422105100847, "xa90": 0.24191703532011277, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1042.0, "npxg90": 0.31394241858566907, "xa90": 0.23536734955095742, "clubs": "AC Milan; West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1", "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17446333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.46589096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.07976617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.259946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 75489, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1326.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2460.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1056.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1326.75, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 75489, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:76163", "player_id": 76163, "name": "Franco V\u00e1zquez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.75, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Cremonese" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1836", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1836", "name": "Franco V\u00e1zquez", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Cremonese", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 37.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 485, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 242, "npxg90": 0.1706, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.664, "xa90": 0.1346, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.664, "xgchain90": 0.3323, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.664, "xgbuildup90": 0.1338, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.664, "player_id": 76163, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 485.0, "npxg90": 0.2689160808114354, "xa90": 0.3510513158956754, "clubs": "Cremonese", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05686333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3482909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.057066176180513115, "xa90_high": 0.237246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 76163, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 516.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1650.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 516.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 516.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.75, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 76163, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:776798", "player_id": 776798, "name": "Abdallah Sima", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.8333333333333334, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Lens" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11046", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11046", "name": "Abdallah Sima", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lens", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 1922, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 654, "npxg90": 0.3162, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.423, "xa90": 0.099, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.423, "xgchain90": 0.5379, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.423, "xgbuildup90": 0.2215, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.423, "player_id": 776798, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1229.0, "npxg90": 0.563560614818548, "xa90": 0.12448190752359256, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 693.0, "npxg90": 0.4327913286624017, "xa90": 0.09865976386256031, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2024633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4938909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.021466176180513122, "xa90_high": 0.201646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 776798, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 886.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2020.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 711.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 886.333333, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.833333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 776798, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:776890", "player_id": 776890, "name": "Nicolas Jackson", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 25, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.9166666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayern Munich" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10048", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10048", "name": "Nicolas Jackson", "comp": "L1", "team": "Bayern Munich", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.1, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 6103, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1774, "npxg90": 0.5853, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xa90": 0.1673, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgchain90": 0.8503, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.213, "xgbuildup90": 0.2158, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.213, "player_id": 776890, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2818.0, "npxg90": 0.634298599903479, "xa90": 0.1687483448995247, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2294.0, "npxg90": 0.5427490757922817, "xa90": 0.13623179928760948, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 991.0, "npxg90": 0.7712211364581354, "xa90": 0.1897749970324044, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.4715633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.7629909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.08976617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.269946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 776890, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1764.5, "empirical_lo80": 393.95, "empirical_hi80": 2898.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1004.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1764.5, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.916667, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 776890, "player": "N. Jackson", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 55500000.0, "base": 55500000.0, "high": 55500000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 11100000.0, "base": 11100000.0, "high": 11100000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 7929000.0, "base": 9133000.0, "high": 9133000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 19029000.0, "base": 20233000.0, "high": 20233000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 95145000.0, "base": 101165000.0, "high": 101165000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/uk/premier-league/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:777005", "player_id": 777005, "name": "Mert K\u00f6m\u00fcr", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 8, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.4117647058823529, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 9, "Centre-Forward": 7, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Augsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11604", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11604", "name": "Mert K\u00f6m\u00fcr", "comp": "L1", "team": "Augsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.0, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2192, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 912, "npxg90": 0.3038, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.345, "xa90": 0.1798, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.345, "xgchain90": 0.4907, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.345, "xgbuildup90": 0.1456, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.345, "player_id": 777005, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 113.0, "npxg90": 0.11101965751268168, "xa90": 0.03520381529774286, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 624.0, "npxg90": 0.18417641350354713, "xa90": 0.24037652340037033, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1455.0, "npxg90": 0.2873507927066272, "xa90": 0.17114293314132492, "clubs": "Augsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19006333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48149096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.1022661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.28244604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 777005, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 922.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1832.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1463.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 922.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.411765, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 777005, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:780548", "player_id": 780548, "name": "Omri Gandelman", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.1, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 6, "Central Midfield": 3, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Lecce" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14339", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14339", "name": "Omri Gandelman", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lecce", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 971, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 486, "npxg90": 0.132, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xa90": 0.104, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgchain90": 0.3431, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.497, "xgbuildup90": 0.1787, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.497, "player_id": 780548, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 971.0, "npxg90": 0.16071618247842445, "xa90": 0.10390045161595918, "clubs": "Lecce", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.018263330153298313, "npxg90_high": 0.30969096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.026466176180513112, "xa90_high": 0.206646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 780548, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 979.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1889.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 979.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 979.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.1, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 780548, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:787232", "player_id": 787232, "name": "David Datro Fofana", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RC Strasbourg Alsace" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11295", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11295", "name": "David Datro Fofana", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Strasbourg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1732, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 476, "npxg90": 0.3945, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.502, "xa90": 0.1258, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.502, "xgchain90": 0.5608, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.502, "xgbuildup90": 0.1435, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.502, "player_id": 787232, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1560.0, "npxg90": 0.46673917777549767, "xa90": 0.1082958545571623, "clubs": "Burnley; Union Berlin", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 172.0, "npxg90": 0.5081604663715806, "xa90": 0.014442160487348258, "clubs": "Strasbourg", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.28076333015329835, "npxg90_high": 0.5721909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.04826617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.22844604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 787232, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 635.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1769.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 170.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 635.666667, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 787232, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:789898", "player_id": 789898, "name": "Muhammed Damar", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10730", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10730", "name": "Muhammed Damar", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 243, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 122, "npxg90": 0.4156, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.798, "xa90": 0.2147, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.798, "xgchain90": 0.7425, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.798, "xgbuildup90": 0.2316, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.798, "player_id": 789898, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 243.0, "npxg90": 0.6539078912249318, "xa90": 0.37526794640278377, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.30186333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5932909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.13716617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.317346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 789898, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 268.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1402.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 268.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 268.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 789898, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:795387", "player_id": 795387, "name": "Romeo Aigbekaen", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC St. Pauli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 795387, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 795387, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:796213", "player_id": 796213, "name": "Nelson Weiper", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FSV Mainz 05" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11143", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11143", "name": "Nelson Weiper", "comp": "L1", "team": "Mainz 05", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1285, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 443, "npxg90": 0.4673, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xa90": 0.1688, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgchain90": 0.6412, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgbuildup90": 0.1511, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.52, "player_id": 796213, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 114.0, "npxg90": 0.521055134503465, "xa90": 0.10313264241344051, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 685.0, "npxg90": 0.6375322564348688, "xa90": 0.2899618393530811, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 486.0, "npxg90": 0.5143789077798526, "xa90": 0.07328004472785526, "clubs": "Mainz 05", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3535633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6449909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.09126617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.271446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 796213, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 474.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1608.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 540.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 474.75, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 796213, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:801734", "player_id": 801734, "name": "Mathys Tel", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 22, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 0.23076923076923078, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Tottenham Hotspur" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9780", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9780", "name": "Mathys Tel", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Tottenham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3455, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1195, "npxg90": 0.2842, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xa90": 0.2143, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgchain90": 0.6066, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.287, "xgbuildup90": 0.2455, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.287, "player_id": 801734, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 965.0, "npxg90": 0.4553981891259011, "xa90": 0.23830811092581772, "clubs": "Bayern Munich", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1166.0, "npxg90": 0.22636657492872678, "xa90": 0.2366639921317072, "clubs": "Bayern Munich; Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1", "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1324.0, "npxg90": 0.19212077554664223, "xa90": 0.23206936731495617, "clubs": "Tottenham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17046333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.46189096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.13676617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.316946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 801734, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1218.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2128.65, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1342.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1218.25, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.230769, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 801734, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:80197", "player_id": 80197, "name": "Salom\u00f3n Rond\u00f3n", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 13, "all_position_starts": 13, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 13 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Oviedo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "813", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "813", "name": "Salom\u00f3n Rond\u00f3n", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Oviedo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 36.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1054, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 527, "npxg90": 0.1645, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.477, "xa90": 0.0544, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.477, "xgchain90": 0.2512, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.477, "xgbuildup90": 0.0705, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.477, "player_id": 80197, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1054.0, "npxg90": 0.2595851858600663, "xa90": 0.016521232474800307, "clubs": "Real Oviedo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.050763330153298314, "npxg90_high": 0.3421909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.15704604875519199 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 80197, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1038.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2172.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1038.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1038.0, "prior_starts": 13.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 80197, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:804219", "player_id": 804219, "name": "L\u00e9o Scienza", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1. Fu\u00dfballclub Heidenheim 1846" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12986", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12986", "name": "L\u00e9o Scienza", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Heidenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 27.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1334, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 378, "npxg90": 0.1505, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.559, "xa90": 0.259, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.559, "xgchain90": 0.5207, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.559, "xgbuildup90": 0.2677, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.559, "player_id": 804219, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1154.0, "npxg90": 0.17617724960156597, "xa90": 0.32948598296315357, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 180.0, "npxg90": 0.07122621685266495, "xa90": 0.6611915528774261, "clubs": "FC Heidenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0367633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3281909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.18146617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.361646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 804219, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 504.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1638.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 180.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 504.666667, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 804219, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:806955", "player_id": 806955, "name": "Dario Sits", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 806955, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 806955, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:807386", "player_id": 807386, "name": "Conrad Harder", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.875, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14023", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14023", "name": "Conrad Harder", "comp": "L1", "team": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 886, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 443, "npxg90": 0.4239, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xa90": 0.231, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgchain90": 0.7032, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.52, "xgbuildup90": 0.1727, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.52, "player_id": 807386, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 886.0, "npxg90": 0.47531780036288246, "xa90": 0.2860777613624897, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.31016333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.6015909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.15346617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.333646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 807386, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 919.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2053.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 919.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 919.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.875, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 807386, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:807689", "player_id": 807689, "name": "Frank Magri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8, "Right Winger": 8 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10193", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10193", "name": "Frank Magri", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Toulouse", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4234, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1383, "npxg90": 0.2834, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.258, "xa90": 0.0983, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.258, "xgchain90": 0.4243, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.258, "xgbuildup90": 0.1391, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.258, "player_id": 807689, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1425.0, "npxg90": 0.24413683006637976, "xa90": 0.08747503035946896, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1512.0, "npxg90": 0.3670158322590093, "xa90": 0.10241881101613952, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1297.0, "npxg90": 0.23844162058214455, "xa90": 0.0581705893491127, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1696633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4610909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.020766176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.200946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 807689, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 807689, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:812625", "player_id": 812625, "name": "Agust\u00edn \u00c1lvarez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "US Sassuolo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 812625, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 812625, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:817665", "player_id": 817665, "name": "Pablo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 12, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 0.7, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 7, "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14290", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14290", "name": "Pablo", "comp": "GB1", "team": "West Ham", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 844, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 422, "npxg90": 0.2449, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.532, "xa90": 0.1455, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.532, "xgchain90": 0.4713, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.532, "xgbuildup90": 0.1408, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.532, "player_id": 817665, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 844.0, "npxg90": 0.15179091353869834, "xa90": 0.13785477351370792, "clubs": "West Ham", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1311633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.42259096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.06796617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24814604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 817665, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 828.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1962.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 828.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 828.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.7, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 817665, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:819636", "player_id": 819636, "name": "Dzenan Pejcinovic", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 16, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 16 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11227", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11227", "name": "Dzenan Pejcinovic", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1445, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 722, "npxg90": 0.4659, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.399, "xa90": 0.1326, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.399, "xgchain90": 0.633, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.399, "xgbuildup90": 0.1557, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.399, "player_id": 819636, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1445.0, "npxg90": 0.5164212143067979, "xa90": 0.10248712339409495, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.35216333015329826, "npxg90_high": 0.6435909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05506617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.235246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 819636, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 981.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2115.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1456.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 981.666667, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 819636, "player": "D. Pejcinovic", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 5000000.0, "base": 5000000.0, "high": 5000000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 3572000.0, "base": 4803000.0, "high": 5660000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 8572000.0, "base": 9803000.0, "high": 10660000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 42860000.0, "base": 49015000.0, "high": 53300000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/club/stuttgart/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:820241", "player_id": 820241, "name": "Damion Downs", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hamburger SV" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11411", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11411", "name": "Damion Downs", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hamburger SV", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 681, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 304, "npxg90": 0.2788, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.612, "xa90": 0.147, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.612, "xgchain90": 0.5058, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.612, "xgbuildup90": 0.1589, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.612, "player_id": 820241, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 147.0, "npxg90": 0.7196244696269231, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 534.0, "npxg90": 0.08289992118651948, "xa90": 0.1191568308185493, "clubs": "Hamburger SV", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1650633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4564909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06946617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.24964604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 820241, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 415.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1549.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 537.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 415.666667, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 820241, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:820723", "player_id": 820723, "name": "Jan Urbich", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14121", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 820723, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 36.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 36.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 820723, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:820957", "player_id": 820957, "name": "Derry Scherhant", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 10, "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10860", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10860", "name": "Derry Scherhant", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1253, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 626, "npxg90": 0.2043, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.434, "xa90": 0.1446, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.434, "xgchain90": 0.4639, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.434, "xgbuildup90": 0.2196, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.434, "player_id": 820957, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1253.0, "npxg90": 0.2382060171217202, "xa90": 0.1411298076575362, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.09056333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.38199096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.06706617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24724604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 820957, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1292.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1292.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 820957, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:822458", "player_id": 822458, "name": "Bamba Dieng", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 27, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Lorient" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9345", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9345", "name": "Ahmadou Bamba Dieng", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lorient", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.4, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2264, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 876, "npxg90": 0.4652, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.354, "xa90": 0.1149, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.354, "xgchain90": 0.5505, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.354, "xgbuildup90": 0.1338, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.354, "player_id": 822458, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 530.0, "npxg90": 0.5951887423278025, "xa90": 0.21049343183074357, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 495.0, "npxg90": 0.3735317848622799, "xa90": 0.004806672984903509, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1239.0, "npxg90": 0.577786142326729, "xa90": 0.0835596045059745, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.35146333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.6428909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.03736617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.217546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 822458, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 876.25, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2010.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1219.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 876.25, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 822458, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:823231", "player_id": 823231, "name": "Dango Ouattara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 25, "cf_start_share": 0.04, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 23, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brentford FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "9662", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "9662", "name": "Dango Ouattara", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brentford", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5516, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1955, "npxg90": 0.3548, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xa90": 0.2109, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xgchain90": 0.5779, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.197, "xgbuildup90": 0.1549, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.197, "player_id": 823231, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1200.0, "npxg90": 0.21161019334103914, "xa90": 0.12685242639854552, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2013.0, "npxg90": 0.48883816374440836, "xa90": 0.26778709690257263, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2303.0, "npxg90": 0.3397694346222006, "xa90": 0.22913030032076578, "clubs": "Brentford", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2410633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5324909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1333661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.313546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 823231, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1948.75, "empirical_lo80": 540.8, "empirical_hi80": 2859.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2282.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1948.75, "prior_starts": 25.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.04, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 823231, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:82442", "player_id": 82442, "name": "Olivier Giroud", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "502", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "502", "name": "Olivier Giroud", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4007, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1404, "npxg90": 0.2148, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xa90": 0.0954, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgchain90": 0.3372, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.255, "xgbuildup90": 0.0793, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.255, "player_id": 82442, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 2397.0, "npxg90": 0.4414335911503722, "xa90": 0.2185263008214953, "clubs": "AC Milan", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1610.0, "npxg90": 0.3258382030155348, "xa90": 0.10350368370920976, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1010633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3924909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.017866176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.198046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 82442, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1864.0, "empirical_lo80": 493.45, "empirical_hi80": 2998.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1610.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1864.0, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 82442, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:827734", "player_id": 827734, "name": "Ange-Yoan Bonny", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 10, "all_position_starts": 10, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12784", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12784", "name": "Ange-Yoan Bonny", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Inter", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3692, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1201, "npxg90": 0.2972, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xa90": 0.1731, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgchain90": 0.5679, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.286, "xgbuildup90": 0.1728, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.286, "player_id": 827734, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2580.0, "npxg90": 0.22983934121682892, "xa90": 0.14896052022096376, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1112.0, "npxg90": 0.37081110209106005, "xa90": 0.2161671838508718, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18346333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.47489096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.09556617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.275746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 827734, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1602.0, "empirical_lo80": 231.45, "empirical_hi80": 2736.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1130.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1602.0, "prior_starts": 10.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 827734, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:830365", "player_id": 830365, "name": "Alisson Santos", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.1111111111111111, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 6, "Left Winger": 2, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14427", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14427", "name": "Alisson Santos", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Napoli", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 836, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 418, "npxg90": 0.2342, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.535, "xa90": 0.1623, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.535, "xgchain90": 0.5394, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.535, "xgbuildup90": 0.2347, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.535, "player_id": 830365, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 836.0, "npxg90": 0.1627146353740156, "xa90": 0.17352603317982557, "clubs": "Napoli", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1204633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4118909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.264946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 830365, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 836.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1746.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 836.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 836.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.111111, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 830365, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:834742", "player_id": 834742, "name": "Mateo Joseph", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 21, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 19, "cf_start_share": 0.5789473684210527, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 10, "Right Winger": 6, "Left Winger": 1, "Right Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Mallorca" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11208", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11208", "name": "Mateo Joseph", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Mallorca", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1707, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 854, "npxg90": 0.2894, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.36, "xa90": 0.1145, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.36, "xgchain90": 0.4488, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.36, "xgbuildup90": 0.134, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.36, "player_id": 834742, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1707.0, "npxg90": 0.28454309977551756, "xa90": 0.0838485090569421, "clubs": "Mallorca", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1756633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4670909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.03696617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.217146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 834742, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1704.0, "empirical_lo80": 333.45, "empirical_hi80": 2838.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1704.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1704.0, "prior_starts": 19.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.578947, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 834742, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:834752", "player_id": 834752, "name": "Unai G\u00f3mez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.08333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 7, "Left Winger": 3, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Athletic Bilbao" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11531", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11531", "name": "Unai G\u00f3mez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Athletic Club", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3036, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 992, "npxg90": 0.2294, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xa90": 0.1023, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgchain90": 0.408, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.326, "xgbuildup90": 0.1423, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.326, "player_id": 834752, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 839.0, "npxg90": 0.1866630033431164, "xa90": 0.09053727606349182, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1267.0, "npxg90": 0.19784905732371907, "xa90": 0.07210303768339173, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 930.0, "npxg90": 0.2003674361133768, "xa90": 0.05948535304877066, "clubs": "Athletic Club", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1156633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4070909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.02476617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.204946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 834752, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1002.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1913.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 933.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1002.75, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.083333, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 834752, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:838236", "player_id": 838236, "name": "Marin Ljubicic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC Union Berlin" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13428", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 838236, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 20.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 103.666667, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 838236, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:844516", "player_id": 844516, "name": "Luis V\u00e1zquez", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 14, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 14 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14388", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14388", "name": "Luis V\u00e1zquez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.3, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1232, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 616, "npxg90": 0.2391, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xa90": 0.0802, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgchain90": 0.4158, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.438, "xgbuildup90": 0.1634, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.438, "player_id": 844516, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1232.0, "npxg90": 0.19508088637270374, "xa90": 0.012057200210265719, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1253633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4167909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0026661761805131107, "xa90_high": 0.182846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 844516, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1205.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2339.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1205.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1205.0, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 844516, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:845654", "player_id": 845654, "name": "Kenan Y\u0131ld\u0131z", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 0.45454545454545453, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 18, "Second Striker": 14, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 845654, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2260.5, "empirical_lo80": 852.55, "empirical_hi80": 3170.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2844.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2260.5, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.454545, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 845654, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:846254", "player_id": 846254, "name": "Petar Ratkov", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14342", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14342", "name": "Petar Ratkov", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Lazio", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 228, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 114, "npxg90": 0.2792, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.808, "xa90": 0.1234, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.808, "xgchain90": 0.4599, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.808, "xgbuildup90": 0.1488, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.808, "player_id": 846254, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 228.0, "npxg90": 0.20993286890811041, "xa90": 0.0071522948871317665, "clubs": "Lazio", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1654633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4568909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04586617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.226046048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 846254, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 228.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1362.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 228.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 228.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 846254, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:847279", "player_id": 847279, "name": "Oumar Diakit\u00e9", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Cercle Brugge" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Cercle Brugge", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1427.0, "npxg90": 0.414163987788606, "xa90": 0.0899802857374259, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 847279, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:849520", "player_id": 849520, "name": "Santiago Castro", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 26, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Bologna Football Club 1909" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12528", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12528", "name": "Santiago Castro", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Bologna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.9, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4923, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1826, "npxg90": 0.3129, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.208, "xa90": 0.1201, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.208, "xgchain90": 0.47, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.208, "xgbuildup90": 0.1224, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.208, "player_id": 849520, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 229.0, "npxg90": 0.32891884202129457, "xa90": 0.15666108204287732, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2313.0, "npxg90": 0.3025181940484951, "xa90": 0.12185634168205559, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2381.0, "npxg90": 0.3136992505964726, "xa90": 0.10329107307632998, "clubs": "Bologna", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19916333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.49059096897157733, "xa90_low": 0.042566176180513116, "xa90_high": 0.222746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 849520, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1817.25, "empirical_lo80": 446.7, "empirical_hi80": 2951.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2365.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1817.25, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 849520, "player": "Santiago Castro", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "capology_point_estimate", "fee_eur": { "low": 36000000.0, "base": 36000000.0, "high": 36000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 7200000.0, "base": 7200000.0, "high": 7200000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 4070000.0, "base": 4070000.0, "high": 4070000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 11270000.0, "base": 11270000.0, "high": 11270000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 56350000.0, "base": 56350000.0, "high": 56350000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/it/serie-a/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Capology point estimate has no published error interval; identical scenarios do not mean wage certainty." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:851220", "player_id": 851220, "name": "Amine Sba\u00ef", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 23, "cf_start_share": 0.30434782608695654, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 16, "Centre-Forward": 7 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14131", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14131", "name": "Amine Sba\u00ef", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1865, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 932, "npxg90": 0.2188, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xa90": 0.1415, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgchain90": 0.4631, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.34, "xgbuildup90": 0.1628, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.34, "player_id": 851220, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1865.0, "npxg90": 0.17309916332044487, "xa90": 0.13322889538177218, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1050633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3964909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0639661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.24414604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 851220, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1834.0, "empirical_lo80": 426.05, "empirical_hi80": 2744.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1834.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1834.0, "prior_starts": 23.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.304348, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 851220, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:856530", "player_id": 856530, "name": "Mateo Pellegrino", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 34, "all_position_starts": 34, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 34 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13446", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13446", "name": "Mateo Pellegrino", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3754, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1692, "npxg90": 0.3078, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.221, "xa90": 0.0827, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.221, "xgchain90": 0.4064, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.221, "xgbuildup90": 0.1036, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.221, "player_id": 856530, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 742.0, "npxg90": 0.5917511289974429, "xa90": 0.05237960008116102, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 3012.0, "npxg90": 0.2733618438715093, "xa90": 0.06397741877351447, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19406333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.48549096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.005166176180513113, "xa90_high": 0.185346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 856530, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2242.333333, "empirical_lo80": 871.783333, "empirical_hi80": 3376.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2994.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2242.333333, "prior_starts": 34.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 856530, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:857818", "player_id": 857818, "name": "Y\u00e1ser Asprilla", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.3333333333333333, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 4, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13005", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13005", "name": "Y\u00e1ser Asprilla", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1993, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 648, "npxg90": 0.187, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.425, "xa90": 0.2047, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.425, "xgchain90": 0.478, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.425, "xgbuildup90": 0.2191, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.425, "player_id": 857818, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1392.0, "npxg90": 0.12810356874853887, "xa90": 0.19780818858697755, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 601.0, "npxg90": 0.08360568996512652, "xa90": 0.2673024607949368, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0732633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3646909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12716617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.307346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 857818, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 870.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1781.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 605.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 870.666667, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.333333, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 857818, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:862606", "player_id": 862606, "name": "Nesta Elphege", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 15, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14412", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14412", "name": "Nesta Elphege", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Parma Calcio 1913", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 297, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 148, "npxg90": 0.3914, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.764, "xa90": 0.1397, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.764, "xgchain90": 0.5735, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.764, "xgbuildup90": 0.1515, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.764, "player_id": 862606, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 297.0, "npxg90": 0.7121048167799457, "xa90": 0.10815222267851685, "clubs": "Parma Calcio 1913", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.27766333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5690909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06216617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.242346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 862606, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 306.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1440.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 306.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 306.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 862606, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:875306", "player_id": 875306, "name": "\u00c1lvaro Leiva", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14353", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 875306, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 3.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 3.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 875306, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:875334", "player_id": 875334, "name": "Semih K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7soy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Cagliari Calcio" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 875334, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 975.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2109.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 975.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 975.0, "prior_starts": 11.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 875334, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:881297", "player_id": 881297, "name": "Adam Daghim", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfL Wolfsburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14024", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14024", "name": "Adam Daghim", "comp": "L1", "team": "Wolfsburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1328, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 664, "npxg90": 0.2777, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xa90": 0.1967, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xgchain90": 0.6623, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.42, "xgbuildup90": 0.2722, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.42, "player_id": 881297, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1328.0, "npxg90": 0.21068735022928162, "xa90": 0.20837483224907824, "clubs": "Wolfsburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1639633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4553909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11916617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.299346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 881297, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1358.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2268.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1358.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1358.0, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 881297, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:885445", "player_id": 885445, "name": "Hamza Igamane", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "LOSC Lille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13976", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13976", "name": "Hamza Igamane", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 406, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 203, "npxg90": 0.4686, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.703, "xa90": 0.1559, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.703, "xgchain90": 0.8289, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.703, "xgbuildup90": 0.2949, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.703, "player_id": 885445, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 406.0, "npxg90": 0.8336336111071809, "xa90": 0.14703099345191947, "clubs": "Lille", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3548633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.6462909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.07836617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.258546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 885445, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 428.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1562.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 428.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 428.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 885445, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:890719", "player_id": 890719, "name": "Ethan Nwaneri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 3, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Arsenal FC", "Olympique Marseille" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11132", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11132", "name": "Ethan Nwaneri", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Arsenal; Marseille", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 1371, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1;GB1", "effective_minutes": 465, "npxg90": 0.1744, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.508, "xa90": 0.1454, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.508, "xgchain90": 0.5729, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.508, "xgbuildup90": 0.3738, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.508, "player_id": 890719, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 883.0, "npxg90": 0.1809969778137866, "xa90": 0.11841445092833257, "clubs": "Arsenal", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 488.0, "npxg90": 0.22415057616690023, "xa90": 0.18965432824963915, "clubs": "Arsenal; Marseille", "competitions": [ "FR1", "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.060663330153298306, "npxg90_high": 0.3520909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06786617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24804604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 890719, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 487.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 469.0, "prior_starts": 3.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 890719, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:891923", "player_id": 891923, "name": "Dawda Camara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11381", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 891923, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 71.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1205.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 71.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 71.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 891923, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:903693", "player_id": 903693, "name": "Senny Mayulu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.23809523809523808, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 10, "Centre-Forward": 5, "Right-Back": 4, "Defensive Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12345", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12345", "name": "Senny Mayulu", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 2812, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1129, "npxg90": 0.2115, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xa90": 0.1843, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xgchain90": 0.6441, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.298, "xgbuildup90": 0.3554, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.298, "player_id": 903693, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 321.0, "npxg90": 0.052975007794170734, "xa90": 0.13554339584346128, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 787.0, "npxg90": 0.3621631879430487, "xa90": 0.29195970866303733, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1704.0, "npxg90": 0.2544747359237411, "xa90": 0.2123416098766029, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0977633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.38919096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.10676617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.286946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 903693, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1121.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2032.15, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1682.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1121.75, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.238095, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 903693, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:905997", "player_id": 905997, "name": "Pablo Dur\u00e1n", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 0.6470588235294118, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 8, "Left Winger": 5, "Second Striker": 3, "Attacking Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Celta de Vigo" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11154", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11154", "name": "Pablo Dur\u00e1n", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Celta Vigo", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 25.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2844, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1074, "npxg90": 0.2617, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.309, "xa90": 0.1611, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.309, "xgchain90": 0.472, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.309, "xgbuildup90": 0.1351, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.309, "player_id": 905997, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1393.0, "npxg90": 0.19999861181028353, "xa90": 0.2052272804354218, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1451.0, "npxg90": 0.26704714702202237, "xa90": 0.13337222464526421, "clubs": "Celta Vigo", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1479633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4393909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08356617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.263746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 905997, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1414.666667, "empirical_lo80": 44.116667, "empirical_hi80": 2548.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1425.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1414.666667, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.647059, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 905997, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:912392", "player_id": 912392, "name": "Lucas Cepeda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14400", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14400", "name": "Lucas Cepeda", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 390, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 195, "npxg90": 0.1392, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xa90": 0.0868, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xgchain90": 0.4226, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.711, "xgbuildup90": 0.2675, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.711, "player_id": 912392, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 390.0, "npxg90": 0.2570425231153002, "xa90": 0.0615076502928367, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.025463330153298297, "npxg90_high": 0.3168909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.00926617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.189446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 912392, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 399.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1309.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 399.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 399.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 912392, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:914562", "player_id": 914562, "name": "D\u00e9sir\u00e9 Dou\u00e9", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 16, "cf_start_share": 0.0625, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 11, "Attacking Midfield": 3, "Left Winger": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Paris Saint-Germain" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "10431", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "10431", "name": "D\u00e9sir\u00e9 Dou\u00e9", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Paris Saint Germain", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4710, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 1520, "npxg90": 0.3513, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xa90": 0.2788, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xgchain90": 0.8441, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.24, "xgbuildup90": 0.3697, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.24, "player_id": 914562, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1613.0, "npxg90": 0.13987023436498436, "xa90": 0.18100483272564166, "clubs": "Rennes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1725.0, "npxg90": 0.31866359603793726, "xa90": 0.5215189072748889, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1372.0, "npxg90": 0.4872537659530041, "xa90": 0.25272291574529415, "clubs": "Paris Saint Germain", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2375633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5289909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.20126617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.381446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 914562, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1517.0, "empirical_lo80": 109.05, "empirical_hi80": 2427.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1356.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1517.0, "prior_starts": 16.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0625, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 914562, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:914934", "player_id": 914934, "name": "Henrik Meister", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12881", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12881", "name": "Henrik Meister", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.7, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1494, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 747, "npxg90": 0.3125, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.391, "xa90": 0.0831, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.391, "xgchain90": 0.4778, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.391, "xgbuildup90": 0.1224, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.391, "player_id": 914934, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1494.0, "npxg90": 0.3203938458204628, "xa90": 0.03914132422531944, "clubs": "Pisa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1987633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4901909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0055661761805131105, "xa90_high": 0.185746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 914934, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1029.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2163.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1514.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1029.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 914934, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:917778", "player_id": 917778, "name": "R\u00e9my Labeau Lascary", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 12, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 10, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Stade Brestois 29" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11065", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11065", "name": "Remy Labeau Lascary", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Brest", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1803, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 745, "npxg90": 0.3756, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.392, "xa90": 0.1823, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.392, "xgchain90": 0.6251, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.392, "xgbuildup90": 0.1539, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.392, "player_id": 917778, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 626.0, "npxg90": 0.43219431089207583, "xa90": 0.16572470577380147, "clubs": "Lens", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1177.0, "npxg90": 0.40828384914789145, "xa90": 0.20318201648905407, "clubs": "Brest", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2618633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5532909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10476617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.28494604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 917778, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1008.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1918.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1195.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1008.333333, "prior_starts": 12.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 917778, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:918414", "player_id": 918414, "name": "Paris Brunner", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 17, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AS Monaco" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12255", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12255", "name": "Paris Brunner", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Monaco", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 113, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 56, "npxg90": 0.334, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.895, "xa90": 0.1451, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.895, "xgchain90": 0.5532, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.895, "xgbuildup90": 0.1784, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.895, "player_id": 918414, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 113.0, "npxg90": 0.407439485785708, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Monaco", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.22026333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5116909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.06756617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.24774604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 918414, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 127.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1261.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 127.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 127.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 918414, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:923595", "player_id": 923595, "name": "Max Moerstedt", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 31, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12470", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12470", "name": "Max Moerstedt", "comp": "L1", "team": "Hoffenheim", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 779, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 278, "npxg90": 0.3306, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.633, "xa90": 0.1639, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.633, "xgchain90": 0.6441, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.633, "xgbuildup90": 0.2303, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.633, "player_id": 923595, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 445.0, "npxg90": 0.17193133224931997, "xa90": 0.0835171306317442, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 334.0, "npxg90": 0.33693302233151334, "xa90": 0.18134555684592196, "clubs": "Hoffenheim", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2168633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5082909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08636617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.266546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 923595, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 315.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1449.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 401.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 315.5, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 923595, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:925848", "player_id": 925848, "name": "Lorenzo Anghel\u00e8", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Juventus FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12999", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 925848, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 925848, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:927353", "player_id": 927353, "name": "Johan Manzambi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.19230769230769232, "starting_position_counts": { "Central Midfield": 17, "Second Striker": 5, "Left Winger": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Defensive Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SC Freiburg" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13102", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13102", "name": "Johan Manzambi", "comp": "L1", "team": "Freiburg", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 2477, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1156, "npxg90": 0.1903, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xa90": 0.1493, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgchain90": 0.5545, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.293, "xgbuildup90": 0.3279, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.293, "player_id": 927353, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 332.0, "npxg90": 0.525763412342822, "xa90": 0.09967605953654611, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2145.0, "npxg90": 0.1688302039735384, "xa90": 0.15014918721639192, "clubs": "Freiburg", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0765633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.36799096897157735, "xa90_low": 0.0717661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.251946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 927353, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1508.333333, "empirical_lo80": 100.383333, "empirical_hi80": 2418.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2096.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1508.333333, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.192308, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 927353, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:928037", "player_id": 928037, "name": "Ioan Verme\u0219an", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14005", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 928037, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 75.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 75.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 928037, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:929494", "player_id": 929494, "name": "Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "Oud-Heverlee Leuven" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Belgian Pro League" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "Oud-Heverlee Leuven", "league": "Belgian Pro League", "minutes": 1820.0, "npxg90": 0.2526329702359962, "xa90": 0.0470941197741162, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 929494, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:929912", "player_id": 929912, "name": "Ken Izekor", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 929912, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 929912, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:930768", "player_id": 930768, "name": "Matteo Spinacc\u00e8", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 930768, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 930768, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:930781", "player_id": 930781, "name": "Pio Esposito", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 15, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 15 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14003", "method": "surname+name_subset", "confidence": 0.85 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14003", "name": "Francesco Pio Esposito", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Inter", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1535, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 768, "npxg90": 0.487, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.385, "xa90": 0.1344, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.385, "xgchain90": 0.7018, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.385, "xgbuildup90": 0.2032, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.385, "player_id": 930781, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1535.0, "npxg90": 0.5783754880949612, "xa90": 0.12058697983088634, "clubs": "Inter", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.37326333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.6646909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05686617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.23704604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 930781, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1560.0, "empirical_lo80": 189.45, "empirical_hi80": 2694.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1560.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1560.0, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 930781, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:930998", "player_id": 930998, "name": "Yannick Eduardo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12314", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 930998, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 930998, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:934514", "player_id": 934514, "name": "Riccardo Braschi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "ACF Fiorentina" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13932", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13932", "name": "Riccardo Braschi", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Fiorentina", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.9, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 105, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 52, "npxg90": 0.2899, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xa90": 0.1388, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xgchain90": 0.502, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xgbuildup90": 0.1714, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.901, "player_id": 934514, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 105.0, "npxg90": 0.12897580223424093, "xa90": 0.0, "clubs": "Fiorentina", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1761633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4675909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.061266176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.241446048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 934514, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 106.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1240.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 106.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 106.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 934514, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:934527", "player_id": 934527, "name": "Alieu Njie", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 1, "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Torino FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12365", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12365", "name": "Alieu Njie", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Torino", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.2, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 627, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 223, "npxg90": 0.3291, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.683, "xa90": 0.1329, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.683, "xgchain90": 0.5362, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.683, "xgbuildup90": 0.1673, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.683, "player_id": 934527, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 361.0, "npxg90": 0.3079356981952187, "xa90": 0.1396738481901359, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 266.0, "npxg90": 0.40986654327664157, "xa90": 0.054462744357218415, "clubs": "Torino", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2153633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5067909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.05536617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.23554604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 934527, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 319.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1453.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 289.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 319.666667, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 934527, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:934878", "player_id": 934878, "name": "Jeff Ekhator", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 35, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Genoa CFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12776", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12776", "name": "Jeff Ekhator", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Genoa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.7, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1657, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 647, "npxg90": 0.2922, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.426, "xa90": 0.1296, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.426, "xgchain90": 0.4769, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.426, "xgbuildup90": 0.1437, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.426, "player_id": 934878, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 727.0, "npxg90": 0.16432835170909496, "xa90": 0.17008721299387483, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 930.0, "npxg90": 0.30849739332352916, "xa90": 0.08413872525336281, "clubs": "Genoa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.17846333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.46989096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.05206617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.232246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 934878, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 882.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2016.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 944.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 882.333333, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 934878, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:935230", "player_id": 935230, "name": "Gonzalo Garc\u00eda", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 8, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 0.8888888888888888, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Right Winger": 1, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12035", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12035", "name": "Gonzalo Garc\u00eda", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 923, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 462, "npxg90": 0.4078, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xa90": 0.1643, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xgchain90": 0.677, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.51, "xgbuildup90": 0.2004, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.51, "player_id": 935230, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 923.0, "npxg90": 0.5137950270350937, "xa90": 0.15942569047148022, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.29406333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.5854909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08676617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.266946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 935230, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 493.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1627.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 952.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 493.5, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.888889, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 935230, "player": "G. Garc\u00eda", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 40000000.0, "base": 40000000.0, "high": 40000000.0 }, "contract_years": 5.0, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": 8000000.0, "base": 8000000.0, "high": 8000000.0 }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 5715000.0, "base": 7684000.0, "high": 7915000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": 13715000.0, "base": 15684000.0, "high": 15915000.0 }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": 68575000.0, "base": 78420000.0, "high": 79575000.0 }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/uk/premier-league/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:935231", "player_id": 935231, "name": "V\u00edctor Mu\u00f1oz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 31, "cf_start_share": 0.12903225806451613, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 18, "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Second Striker": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "CA Osasuna" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13279", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13279", "name": "V\u00edctor Mu\u00f1oz", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Osasuna", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.1, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2705, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1352, "npxg90": 0.2532, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xa90": 0.1037, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgchain90": 0.4341, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.262, "xgbuildup90": 0.1499, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.262, "player_id": 935231, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2705.0, "npxg90": 0.23671813307126877, "xa90": 0.08025739853254858, "clubs": "Osasuna", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1394633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4308909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.026166176180513118, "xa90_high": 0.206346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 935231, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1791.333333, "empirical_lo80": 383.383333, "empirical_hi80": 2701.733333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2670.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1791.333333, "prior_starts": 31.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.129032, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 935231, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:935232", "player_id": 935232, "name": "Aitor Ma\u00f1as", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Deportivo Alav\u00e9s" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14222", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14222", "name": "Aitor Ma\u00f1as", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Alaves", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 105, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 52, "npxg90": 0.174, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xa90": 0.0899, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xgchain90": 0.4426, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.901, "xgbuildup90": 0.2892, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.901, "player_id": 935232, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 105.0, "npxg90": 0.9299746411187307, "xa90": 0.02627223091466086, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.060263330153298295, "npxg90_high": 0.3516909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.012366176180513111, "xa90_high": 0.192546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 935232, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 115.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 115.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 935232, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:935760", "player_id": 935760, "name": "Rafiu Durosinmi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 14, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Pisa Sporting Club" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14351", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14351", "name": "Rafiu Durosinmi", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Pisa", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 428, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 214, "npxg90": 0.2539, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.692, "xa90": 0.1102, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.692, "xgchain90": 0.4256, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.692, "xgbuildup90": 0.1381, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.692, "player_id": 935760, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 428.0, "npxg90": 0.1597726382489238, "xa90": 0.01842230062270276, "clubs": "Pisa", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.14016333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.43159096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.03266617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.212846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 935760, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 430.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1564.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 430.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 430.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 935760, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:936739", "player_id": 936739, "name": "Dominic Vavassori", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12891", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 936739, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 9.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 9.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 936739, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:936874", "player_id": 936874, "name": "Tyrique George", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC", "Everton FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12573", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12573", "name": "Tyrique George", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea,Everton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.5, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 490, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 204, "npxg90": 0.1542, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.701, "xa90": 0.2215, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.701, "xgchain90": 0.4959, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.701, "xgbuildup90": 0.294, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.701, "player_id": 936874, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 162.0, "npxg90": 0.20771853832734957, "xa90": 0.570084061473608, "clubs": "Chelsea", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 328.0, "npxg90": 0.2274350083728389, "xa90": 0.36813334266587, "clubs": "Chelsea,Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.04046333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3318909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1439661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.324146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 936874, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 353.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 294.666667, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 936874, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:937941", "player_id": 937941, "name": "Thierno Barry", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 21, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 21 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Everton FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12916", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12916", "name": "Thierno Barry", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Everton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 23.8, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 4243, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1541, "npxg90": 0.444, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xa90": 0.0997, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgchain90": 0.5771, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.238, "xgbuildup90": 0.1382, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.238, "player_id": 937941, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2322.0, "npxg90": 0.5548951963987923, "xa90": 0.14210366535671923, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1921.0, "npxg90": 0.4286514512054285, "xa90": 0.04703511335130225, "clubs": "Everton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.33026333015329834, "npxg90_high": 0.6216909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.022166176180513114, "xa90_high": 0.202346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 937941, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2051.666667, "empirical_lo80": 681.116667, "empirical_hi80": 3185.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1915.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2051.666667, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 937941, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:938158", "player_id": 938158, "name": "Marc Guiu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 28, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC", "Sunderland AFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11633", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11633", "name": "Marc Guiu", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Chelsea,Sunderland", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 250, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 125, "npxg90": 0.4598, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.793, "xa90": 0.1786, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.793, "xgchain90": 0.6949, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.793, "xgbuildup90": 0.1597, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.793, "player_id": 938158, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 250.0, "npxg90": 0.9025573548674584, "xa90": 0.2731440156698227, "clubs": "Chelsea,Sunderland", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.34606333015329827, "npxg90_high": 0.6374909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10106617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.281246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 938158, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 168.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1302.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 266.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 168.75, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 938158, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:93936", "player_id": 93936, "name": "Kike Garc\u00eda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 38, "cf_ss_starts": 17, "all_position_starts": 17, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 17 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RCD Espanyol Barcelona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "5074", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "5074", "name": "Kike Garc\u00eda", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Espanyol", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 36.7, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5687, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1845, "npxg90": 0.2399, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xa90": 0.0685, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xgchain90": 0.3513, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.206, "xgbuildup90": 0.076, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.206, "player_id": 93936, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1422.0, "npxg90": 0.6082668338159595, "xa90": 0.11415213022286756, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2571.0, "npxg90": 0.2969491354634283, "xa90": 0.02671797647898367, "clubs": "Alaves", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1694.0, "npxg90": 0.45252647319063105, "xa90": 0.1411895163097763, "clubs": "Espanyol", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1261633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4175909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17114604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 93936, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1857.25, "empirical_lo80": 486.7, "empirical_hi80": 2991.45, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1727.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1857.25, "prior_starts": 17.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 93936, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:939964", "player_id": 939964, "name": "Jean-Matt\u00e9o Bahoya", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 15, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 12, "Attacking Midfield": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Eintracht Frankfurt" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 939964, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1330.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 937.5, "prior_starts": 15.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 939964, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:943795", "player_id": 943795, "name": "Jovan Milosevic", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SV Werder Bremen" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11840", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11840", "name": "Jovan Milosevic", "comp": "L1", "team": "Werder Bremen", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.0, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 476, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 238, "npxg90": 0.3911, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.669, "xa90": 0.1325, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.669, "xgchain90": 0.6104, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.669, "xgbuildup90": 0.1759, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.669, "player_id": 943795, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 476.0, "npxg90": 0.43857620254221585, "xa90": 0.04606740048327366, "clubs": "Werder Bremen", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2773633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5687909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.054966176180513124, "xa90_high": 0.23514604875519202 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 943795, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 330.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1464.866667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 483.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 330.666667, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 943795, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:944331", "player_id": 944331, "name": "Youssoupha Niang", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "1.FC K\u00f6ln" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14337", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14337", "name": "Youssoupha Niang", "comp": "L1", "team": "FC Cologne", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "MF", "minutes_basis": 179, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 90, "npxg90": 0.1638, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.843, "xa90": 0.1416, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.843, "xgchain90": 0.5185, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.843, "xgbuildup90": 0.2976, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.843, "player_id": 944331, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 179.0, "npxg90": 0.159497661151866, "xa90": 0.09238422416441934, "clubs": "FC Cologne", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.05006333015329831, "npxg90_high": 0.3414909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.06406617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.244246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 944331, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 187.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 187.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 944331, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:94529", "player_id": 94529, "name": "Stephan El Shaarawy", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 13, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 5, "cf_start_share": 0.6, "starting_position_counts": { "Second Striker": 3, "Left Winger": 1, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Associazione Sportiva Roma" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "1252", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "1252", "name": "Stephan El Shaarawy", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Roma", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 33.8, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3430, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 1013, "npxg90": 0.1821, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.321, "xa90": 0.1229, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.321, "xgchain90": 0.4529, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.321, "xgbuildup90": 0.2299, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.321, "player_id": 94529, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1732.0, "npxg90": 0.12758497623016943, "xa90": 0.13175114632237866, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1075.0, "npxg90": 0.2485388676440993, "xa90": 0.10218994066465732, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 623.0, "npxg90": 0.2916489370514072, "xa90": 0.25340481803275605, "clubs": "Roma", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.06836333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.35979096897157736, "xa90_low": 0.04536617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.225546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 94529, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1035.75, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2169.95, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 657.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1035.75, "prior_starts": 5.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.6, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 94529, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:945500", "player_id": 945500, "name": "Rayane Belaid", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.5, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12257", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12257", "name": "Rayane Belaid", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Atletico Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 140, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 70, "npxg90": 0.3127, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xa90": 0.1646, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xgchain90": 0.5635, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.873, "xgbuildup90": 0.1969, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.873, "player_id": 945500, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 140.0, "npxg90": 0.3729607899274145, "xa90": 0.13083508078541073, "clubs": "Atletico Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.19896333015329828, "npxg90_high": 0.4903909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.08706617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.267246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 945500, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 134.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1268.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 134.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 134.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.5, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 945500, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:948273", "player_id": 948273, "name": "Mario Mart\u00edn", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 26, "cf_start_share": 0.07692307692307693, "starting_position_counts": { "Defensive Midfield": 20, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Left Midfield": 2, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Central Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Getafe CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11349", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11349", "name": "Mario Mart\u00edn", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Getafe", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.4, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3898, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1514, "npxg90": 0.1584, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xa90": 0.0769, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgchain90": 0.2949, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.241, "xgbuildup90": 0.1248, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.241, "player_id": 948273, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 1740.0, "npxg90": 0.08652134896416602, "xa90": 0.07142059077862008, "clubs": "Real Valladolid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2158.0, "npxg90": 0.12307407558861987, "xa90": 0.038205537737016605, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.04466333015329832, "npxg90_high": 0.3360909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.17954604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 948273, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1509.0, "empirical_lo80": 101.05, "empirical_hi80": 2419.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2135.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1509.0, "prior_starts": 26.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.076923, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 948273, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:948275", "player_id": 948275, "name": "\u00c1lvaro Rodr\u00edguez", "kind": "reviewed_market", "in_legacy_14": true, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 37, "cf_ss_starts": 24, "all_position_starts": 24, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 24 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "Named legacy market comparator", "prior_clubs": [ "Elche CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11186", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11186", "name": "Alvaro Rodr\u00edguez", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Elche", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 22.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 3030, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 1307, "npxg90": 0.409, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xa90": 0.1513, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xgchain90": 0.5662, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.269, "xgbuildup90": 0.139, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.269, "player_id": 948275, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 831.0, "npxg90": 0.14129029257418016, "xa90": 0.06912163320915363, "clubs": "Getafe", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2199.0, "npxg90": 0.498426681521665, "xa90": 0.15803513491950613, "clubs": "Elche", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2952633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5866909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.07376617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.253946048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 948275, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1312.5, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2446.7, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2201.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1312.5, "prior_starts": 24.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 948275, "player": "\u00c1. Rodr\u00edguez", "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "historical_destination_deal_proxy_not_juventus_offer", "evidence_quality": "imputed_wage_scenario", "fee_eur": { "low": 25000000.0, "base": 25000000.0, "high": 25000000.0 }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": 3572000.0, "base": 4803000.0, "high": 5480000.0 }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "undisclosed_ancillary_costs", "performance_bonuses", "future_wage_changes", "juventus_specific_offer", "contract_term" ], "sources": [ { "title": "Legacy pool snapshot", "url": "experiments/band-pool-2026-summer-CF.json", "publication_date": "2026-08-28", "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "local_archived_secondary" }, { "title": "Capology archived wage row", "url": "https://www.capology.com/uk/premier-league/salaries/2026-2027/", "publication_date": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-09-09", "kind": "secondary_salary_estimate", "snapshot_date": "2026-08-30" } ], "notes": [ "Closed-window reconstructed comparison as of 2026-09-09; this destination transaction does not establish Juventus feasibility.", "Contract proxy assumes constant annual fixed gross wage over the stated term; excludes unpriced costs.", "Legacy wage imputation from eight priced signings; low/high are LOO quartile scenarios, not calibrated confidence bounds.", "Historical club top salary is a model cap, not a real upper bound on a new contract.", "Legacy five-year term was a pool-median assumption; archived Capology suggested one year, Transfermarkt had no expiry. No verified base term." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:948294", "player_id": 948294, "name": "Nico Paz", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 33, "cf_start_share": 0.06060606060606061, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 30, "Centre-Forward": 2, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Como 1907" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11541", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11541", "name": "Nico Paz", "comp": "IT1", "team": "Como", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.9, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 5609, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "IT1", "effective_minutes": 2128, "npxg90": 0.2657, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xa90": 0.1981, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgchain90": 0.5891, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.184, "xgbuildup90": 0.2367, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.184, "player_id": 948294, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 2704.0, "npxg90": 0.3063105748340862, "xa90": 0.18235472699809138, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2905.0, "npxg90": 0.22862406639885574, "xa90": 0.21788238360836665, "clubs": "Como", "competitions": [ "IT1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1519633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4433909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.12056617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.300746048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 948294, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2121.5, "empirical_lo80": 713.55, "empirical_hi80": 3031.9, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2886.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2121.5, "prior_starts": 33.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.060606, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 948294, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:950091", "player_id": 950091, "name": "Stefanos Tzimas", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 11, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Brighton & Hove Albion" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14028", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "14028", "name": "Stefanos Tzimas", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Brighton", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 111, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 56, "npxg90": 0.355, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xa90": 0.1697, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xgchain90": 0.5733, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.896, "xgbuildup90": 0.1708, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.896, "player_id": 950091, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 111.0, "npxg90": 0.506762263138552, "xa90": 0.31161115378946874, "clubs": "Brighton", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2412633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5326909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0921661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.27234604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 950091, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 132.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1266.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 132.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 132.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 950091, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:950593", "player_id": 950593, "name": "Dami\u00e1n Pizarro", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Le Havre AC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13049", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 950593, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 26.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 22.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 950593, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:952282", "player_id": 952282, "name": "Afonso Moreira", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 3, "all_position_starts": 18, "cf_start_share": 0.16666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 14, "Centre-Forward": 3, "Left Midfield": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13739", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13739", "name": "Afonso Moreira", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.4, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "DF", "minutes_basis": 1695, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 848, "npxg90": 0.1364, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xa90": 0.2346, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgchain90": 0.5878, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.362, "xgbuildup90": 0.2952, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.362, "player_id": 952282, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1695.0, "npxg90": 0.1678524172279687, "xa90": 0.31472433923817844, "clubs": "Lyon", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.0226633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.3140909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.1570661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.337246048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 952282, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1719.0, "empirical_lo80": 311.05, "empirical_hi80": 2629.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1719.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1719.0, "prior_starts": 18.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.166667, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 952282, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:953135", "player_id": 953135, "name": "Callum Marshall", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "West Ham United" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12359", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 953135, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 58.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 58.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 953135, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:955357", "player_id": 955357, "name": "Junior Kroupi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 23, "cf_ss_starts": 6, "all_position_starts": 21, "cf_start_share": 0.2857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 15, "Centre-Forward": 6 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AFC Bournemouth" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11504", "method": "fuzzy_name", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "review_status": "needs_identity_review" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "11504", "name": "Eli Junior Kroupi", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Bournemouth", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.1, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2773, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 1120, "npxg90": 0.3803, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xa90": 0.129, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xgchain90": 0.6141, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.3, "xgbuildup90": 0.2405, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.3, "player_id": 955357, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1065.0, "npxg90": 0.3579353625873025, "xa90": 0.17617283716902768, "clubs": "Lorient", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1708.0, "npxg90": 0.38607175554643963, "xa90": 0.09567874202949696, "clubs": "Bournemouth", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.26656333015329836, "npxg90_high": 0.5579909689715774, "xa90_low": 0.05146617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.231646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 955357, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 1481.0, "empirical_lo80": 73.05, "empirical_hi80": 2391.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1683.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1481.0, "prior_starts": 21.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.285714, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 955357, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:955427", "player_id": 955427, "name": "Henry Camara", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Atalanta BC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 955427, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 955427, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:955448", "player_id": 955448, "name": "Tidiam Gomis", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 2, "cf_start_share": 0.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Left Winger": 1, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13442", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13442", "name": "Tidiam Gomis", "comp": "L1", "team": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 444, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 188, "npxg90": 0.316, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.718, "xa90": 0.1922, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.718, "xgchain90": 0.6389, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.718, "xgbuildup90": 0.2333, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.718, "player_id": 955448, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 135.0, "npxg90": 0.23718680441379544, "xa90": 0.6056329980492592, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 309.0, "npxg90": 0.1779577985984608, "xa90": 0.14207615146359193, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2022633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4936909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.11466617618051313, "xa90_high": 0.294846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 955448, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 337.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 274.0, "prior_starts": 2.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.0, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 955448, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:957874", "player_id": 957874, "name": "R\u00f4mulo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 30, "cf_ss_starts": 27, "all_position_starts": 27, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 26, "Second Striker": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "RB Leipzig" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13852", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13852", "name": "R\u00f4mulo", "comp": "L1", "team": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 24.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2246, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "L1", "effective_minutes": 1123, "npxg90": 0.5347, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xa90": 0.1541, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgchain90": 0.8635, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.299, "xgbuildup90": 0.2651, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.299, "player_id": 957874, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 2246.0, "npxg90": 0.6082358497890743, "xa90": 0.14452903689061916, "clubs": "RasenBallsport Leipzig", "competitions": [ "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.42096333015329823, "npxg90_high": 0.7123909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.0765661761805131, "xa90_high": 0.25674604875519197 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 957874, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 2209.0, "empirical_lo80": 838.45, "empirical_hi80": 3343.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 2209.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 2209.0, "prior_starts": 27.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 957874, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:96341", "player_id": 96341, "name": "Romelu Lukaku", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 9, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "SSC Napoli" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "594", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 96341, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 40.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1398.5, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 96341, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:96533", "player_id": 96533, "name": "Youssef El Arabi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 33, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 11, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Nantes" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "2082", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "2082", "name": "Youssef El-Arabi", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Nantes", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 39.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 943, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 472, "npxg90": 0.1909, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.504, "xa90": 0.0659, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.504, "xgchain90": 0.2525, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.504, "xgbuildup90": 0.0752, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.504, "player_id": 96533, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 943.0, "npxg90": 0.3287797917395609, "xa90": 0.05428670606282584, "clubs": "Nantes", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.07716333015329829, "npxg90_high": 0.3685909689715773, "xa90_low": 0, "xa90_high": 0.168546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 96533, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 96533, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:967346", "player_id": 967346, "name": "Eliezer Mayenda", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 7, "all_position_starts": 8, "cf_start_share": 0.875, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 7, "Right Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Sunderland AFC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13718", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13718", "name": "Eliezer Mayenda", "comp": "GB1", "team": "Sunderland", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 740, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "GB1", "effective_minutes": 370, "npxg90": 0.2999, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.565, "xa90": 0.1263, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.565, "xgchain90": 0.4517, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.565, "xgbuildup90": 0.1334, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.565, "player_id": 967346, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 740.0, "npxg90": 0.24456804630824844, "xa90": 0.09030774749211364, "clubs": "Sunderland", "competitions": [ "GB1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1861633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4775909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.04876617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.22894604875519198 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 967346, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 756.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1890.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 756.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 756.0, "prior_starts": 8.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.875, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 967346, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:971570", "player_id": 971570, "name": "Endrick", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 18, "cf_ss_starts": 5, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.35714285714285715, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 9, "Centre-Forward": 5 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Olympique Lyon", "Real Madrid" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12884", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12884", "name": "Endrick", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Lyon; Real Madrid", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.0, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1577, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;FR1", "effective_minutes": 708, "npxg90": 0.4162, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.404, "xa90": 0.256, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.404, "xgchain90": 0.7311, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.404, "xgbuildup90": 0.1697, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.404, "player_id": 971570, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 324.0, "npxg90": 0.8133917296719221, "xa90": 0.1844546943902969, "clubs": "Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1253.0, "npxg90": 0.41051243102595697, "xa90": 0.3266682807602886, "clubs": "Lyon; Real Madrid", "competitions": [ "ES1", "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.3024633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.5938909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.17846617618051314, "xa90_high": 0.358646048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 971570, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 940.666667, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1851.066667, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1235.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 940.666667, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.357143, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 971570, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:971663", "player_id": 971663, "name": "Jeremy Ar\u00e9valo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "VfB Stuttgart" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14338", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 971663, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 32.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 32.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 971663, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:972465", "player_id": 972465, "name": "Tani Oluwaseyi", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 36, "cf_ss_starts": 9, "all_position_starts": 9, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 9 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Villarreal CF" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13996", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13996", "name": "Tani Oluwaseyi", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Villarreal", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 26.2, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 949, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 474, "npxg90": 0.3165, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.503, "xa90": 0.1799, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.503, "xgchain90": 0.563, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.503, "xgbuildup90": 0.1228, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.503, "player_id": 972465, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 949.0, "npxg90": 0.3431775178701408, "xa90": 0.1941794665182918, "clubs": "Villarreal", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.2027633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4941909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.10236617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.282546048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 972465, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 892.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2026.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 892.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 892.0, "prior_starts": 9.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 972465, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:972475", "player_id": 972475, "name": "Matteo Lavelli", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 6, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Inter Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14157", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 972475, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 7.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 7.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 972475, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:974894", "player_id": 974894, "name": "David Mokwa", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 3, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" ], "prior_competitions": [ "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13289", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 974894, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 974894, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:976207", "player_id": 976207, "name": "Federico Serra", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 2, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Societ\u00e0 Sportiva Lazio S.p.A." ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 976207, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 976207, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:976446", "player_id": 976446, "name": "Alessandro Cardinali", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "14139", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 976446, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 45.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 45.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 976446, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:979766", "player_id": 979766, "name": "Mathis Lambourde", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Hellas Verona" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "11996", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 979766, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 979766, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:982097", "player_id": 982097, "name": "Shumaira Mheuka", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Chelsea FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "GB1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13476", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 982097, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 1.0, "prior_starts": 0.0, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_prior_role_outside_CF_validation_population" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 982097, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:986288", "player_id": 986288, "name": "Sidiki Ch\u00e9rif", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 16, "cf_ss_starts": 11, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.7857142857142857, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 11, "Left Winger": 3 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Angers SCO" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12847", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "12847", "name": "Sidiki Ch\u00e9rif", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Angers", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 19.6, "seasons_used": 2, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1503, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 672, "npxg90": 0.2642, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.416, "xa90": 0.0957, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.416, "xgchain90": 0.4924, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.416, "xgbuildup90": 0.1945, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.416, "player_id": 986288, "history": [ { "season": 2024, "minutes": 316.0, "npxg90": 0.19048440815362183, "xa90": 0.05619723161187353, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1187.0, "npxg90": 0.2144522103147539, "xa90": 0.04564732975360216, "clubs": "Angers", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1504633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4418909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.01816617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.198346048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 986288, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 883.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 2017.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 1164.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 883.333333, "prior_starts": 14.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.785714, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 986288, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:988999", "player_id": 988999, "name": "Alex Castiello", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 5, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "AC Milan" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 988999, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 988999, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:989000", "player_id": 989000, "name": "Francesco Castaldo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 0, "all_position_starts": 0, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bologna Football Club 1909" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [], "review_status": "no_understat_link" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 989000, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 989000, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:989574", "player_id": 989574, "name": "Santiago Hidalgo", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 20, "cf_ss_starts": 2, "all_position_starts": 14, "cf_start_share": 0.14285714285714285, "starting_position_counts": { "Right Winger": 12, "Centre-Forward": 2 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Toulouse" ], "prior_competitions": [ "FR1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13756", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13756", "name": "Santiago Hidalgo", "comp": "FR1", "team": "Toulouse", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 21.5, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 1387, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "FR1", "effective_minutes": 694, "npxg90": 0.3024, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.409, "xa90": 0.1722, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.409, "xgchain90": 0.5026, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.409, "xgbuildup90": 0.1627, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.409, "player_id": 989574, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 1387.0, "npxg90": 0.2790865720274557, "xa90": 0.17667882740040994, "clubs": "Toulouse", "competitions": [ "FR1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1886633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4800909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.09466617618051311, "xa90_high": 0.274846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 989574, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": null, "empirical_lo80": null, "empirical_hi80": null, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": null, "weighted_prior_minutes": null, "prior_starts": null, "prior_cf_start_share": null, "history_seasons": null, "prior_role_basis": null, "status": "abstain_no_observed_previous_complete_big5_season" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 989574, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:991268", "player_id": 991268, "name": "Samuel Aghehowa", "kind": "feeder", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "source": "FotMob profile Striker label in feeder extract", "season": "2025/26", "cf_ss_starts": null, "cf_start_share": null, "starting_position_counts": {}, "limitation": "Profile position is not historical played role; source extract excludes players below900min" }, "inclusion_reason": "Available feeder2025/26 extract, source-labeled Striker", "prior_clubs": [ "FC Porto" ], "prior_competitions": [ "Liga Portugal" ], "identity": { "method": "existing FotMob bridge", "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; current-profile source may differ from historical club", "fotmob_references": [ { "source": "FotMob", "season": "2025/26", "club": "FC Porto", "league": "Liga Portugal", "minutes": 1414.0, "npxg90": 0.4577524827258421, "xa90": 0.0569944945723872, "status": "Observed source-specific whole-season components, not a Serie A projection" } ], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": null, "cost": { "tm_id": 991268, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:991459", "player_id": 991459, "name": "Daniel Miko\u0142ajewski", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 7, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 1, "cf_start_share": 1.0, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Parma Calcio 1913" ], "prior_competitions": [ "IT1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "12787", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": null, "forecast_status": "no_unique_supported_prior_complete_season_Understat_forecast", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 991459, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 68.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1202.2, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 68.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 68.0, "prior_starts": 1.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 1.0, "history_seasons": 1.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 991459, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:99353", "player_id": 99353, "name": "Portu", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 1, "cf_ss_starts": 1, "all_position_starts": 4, "cf_start_share": 0.25, "starting_position_counts": { "Attacking Midfield": 2, "Centre-Forward": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "6118", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "6118", "name": "Portu", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 34.2, "seasons_used": 3, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 2396, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1", "effective_minutes": 715, "npxg90": 0.2359, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.402, "xa90": 0.1352, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.402, "xgchain90": 0.4668, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.402, "xgbuildup90": 0.1448, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.402, "player_id": 99353, "history": [ { "season": 2023, "minutes": 1205.0, "npxg90": 0.37148506794109387, "xa90": 0.27292928159144164, "clubs": "Getafe,Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2024, "minutes": 728.0, "npxg90": 0.21713856538593934, "xa90": 0.20201240354064073, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] }, { "season": 2025, "minutes": 463.0, "npxg90": 0.32544160837038033, "xa90": 0.036853459174895645, "clubs": "Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.1221633301532983, "npxg90_high": 0.4135909689715773, "xa90_low": 0.057666176180513104, "xa90_high": 0.237846048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 99353, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 746.0, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1656.4, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 473.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 746.0, "prior_starts": 4.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.25, "history_seasons": 3.0, "prior_role_basis": "mixed/minority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 99353, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" }, { "candidate_id": "tm:994536", "player_id": 994536, "name": "Claudio Echeverri", "kind": "discovery", "in_legacy_14": false, "role_evidence": { "season": "2025/26", "source": "Transfermarkt dated lineup records", "cf_ss_lineup_listings": 4, "cf_ss_starts": 4, "all_position_starts": 6, "cf_start_share": 0.6666666666666666, "starting_position_counts": { "Centre-Forward": 4, "Attacking Midfield": 1, "Left Winger": 1 }, "limitation": "Lineup listings include bench; starts are not within-match role minutes" }, "inclusion_reason": "At least one2025/26 CF/SS lineup listing; no minutes gate", "prior_clubs": [ "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "Girona FC" ], "prior_competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ], "identity": { "method": "existing canonical TM identity and unique source bridge", "understat_links": [ { "src_id": "13649", "method": "name_in_season", "confidence": 0.8 } ], "review_status": "linked_existing_bridge" }, "availability": "unverified; search candidate does not establish selling willingness, player preference or Juventus terms", "fotmob_references": [], "forecast": { "us_id": "13649", "name": "Claudio Echeverri", "comp": "ES1", "team": "Bayer Leverkusen; Girona", "target_season": 2026, "age_at_target": 20.6, "seasons_used": 1, "pos": "FW", "minutes_basis": 718, "model_version": "marcel-understat-v2-exposure-2026-09-09", "context_basis": "dominant observed league-row minutes", "reference_comps": "ES1;L1", "effective_minutes": 359, "npxg90": 0.2972, "npxg90_regression_pct": 0.572, "xa90": 0.1585, "xa90_regression_pct": 0.572, "xgchain90": 0.5629, "xgchain90_regression_pct": 0.572, "xgbuildup90": 0.2083, "xgbuildup90_regression_pct": 0.572, "player_id": 994536, "history": [ { "season": 2025, "minutes": 718.0, "npxg90": 0.2800307403938601, "xa90": 0.1414995095472067, "clubs": "Bayer Leverkusen; Girona", "competitions": [ "ES1", "L1" ] } ], "rate_scope": "all observed positions, whole player-season; not striker-only splits", "npxg90_low": 0.18346333015329833, "npxg90_high": 0.47489096897157734, "xa90_low": 0.08096617618051312, "xa90_high": 0.261146048755192 }, "forecast_status": "available_baseline_not_Juventus_adjusted", "minutes_forecast": { "player_id": 994536, "target_season": 2026, "model": "weighted_history", "model_version": "receiving-club-minutes-v1-2026-09-09", "target": "next full receiving-club domestic league season minutes", "feature_last_season": 2025, "destination_games": 38, "empirical_projected_minutes": 500.333333, "empirical_lo80": 0.0, "empirical_hi80": 1634.533333, "interval_label": "pooled10th\u201390th retrospective residual range; not individually calibrated", "prior_minutes": 748.0, "weighted_prior_minutes": 500.333333, "prior_starts": 6.0, "prior_cf_start_share": 0.666667, "history_seasons": 2.0, "prior_role_basis": "majority_CF_starts", "status": "descriptive_empirical_baseline_not_Juventus_role_prediction" }, "cost": { "tm_id": 994536, "player": null, "currency": "EUR", "as_of": "2026-09-09", "scope": "unpriced_candidate", "evidence_quality": "missing", "fee_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "contract_years": null, "annual_fee_allocation_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annual_gross_wage_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "annualized_commitment_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_proxy_eur": { "low": null, "base": null, "high": null }, "full_contract_verified_liability_eur": null, "actual_cash_paid_eur": null, "missing_components": [ "acquisition_terms", "contract_term", "gross_wage", "ancillary_costs", "bonuses" ], "sources": [], "notes": [ "No cost evidence for this canonical player ID." ], "conditional_components": [], "available_for_juventus": null, "availability_status": "not_established", "signed_date": null, "scenario_is_confidence_interval": false, "complete_all_in_cost": false, "user_overrides": {}, "wage_only_reference_eur": null, "label": "Annualized commitment proxy: fee allocation + fixed gross wage; incomplete" }, "component_tradeoff": "Whole-season shooting and creation evidence; striker-only production not available" } ], "limitations": [ "No overall quality grade, monetary alpha or claim of a market-beating policy.", "No validated league translation: prior-source rate is a baseline, not a predicted Juventus tactical effect.", "Source season is known; historical retrieval/publication snapshots are incomplete. This is reconstructed, not proven vintage-safe.", "Feeder rows stay visible with source-specific observations and abstentions; the extract already filters below900minutes.", "Cost estimates for a different buying club are market references, not Juventus quotes.", "Unknown costs stay unpriced; scenario edits are user assumptions, not discovered evidence." ] }